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Zero T

Futures · Started May 2015

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
0.0%
Max Drawdown
100.0%
Trades
640
Win Trades
96.4%
Profit Factor
0.70
Win Months
21.9%

About this strategy

System Zero T trade only intraday futures contracts: CL, BRN, NG, HO, GC, PL, PA, SI, HG, 6E, DX, ES, TF, YM, NQ, ZB, ZN, ZF. The system is based on a thorough Intermarket analysis, intraday rhythm of each market, the combination of the zero levels and levels correction, mapping markets, and correlation of ticks for each market. The system is not a robot. The system allows you to trade deposits from $100000 and above. Stop loss depends on the amount of the subcriber's deposit. The trading is conducted by limit and stop orders. The subscriber chooses to lock in profits or losses at discretion. "At the discretion" is the only option. The subscriber can fully follow the system and its results. The placing of stop losses is done automatically for each position on our signals on any amount the subscriber specify in its control panel of Collective2. This happens regardless of whether, or not we use in our signals our own stop losses.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2015-0.219.610.83.41.4-4.11.61.236.5
20163.72.61.92.4-5.47.90.60.60.00.51.30.417.1
20170.70.00.2-0.10.00.4-1.30.31.22.42.9-0.96.0
20186.11.81.4-4.86.6-39.567.3-4.814.117.4-115.30.0-121.9
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began5/27/2015
Suggested Minimum Capital$100,000
Age137 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades640
# Profitable617
% Profitable96.4%
Avg trade duration13.8 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown100.0%
drawdown periodNov 20, 2018 - Nov 23, 2018
Annual Return (Compounded)0.0%
Avg win$372
Avg loss$14,649

Ratios

W:L ratio0.68
Sharpe Ratio-0.47
Sortino Ratio-0.49
Calmar Ratio-0.93

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.10
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life261.2%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-396.8%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)0.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)0.0%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.7%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss100.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)442
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)345

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$14,649
Avg Win$372
# Winners617
Sum Trade PL (losers)$336,923
Sum Trade PL (winners)$229,658
Num Months Winners34
# Losers23
% Winners96.4%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table43

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)828.27
Avg Position Time (hrs)13.80
Avg Trade Length0.60
Last Trade Ago2837

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0.42
Treynor Index0

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.16
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-9.32
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)3.40
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats4.92
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats59.40
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades3.51
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.09
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.11

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.01
SD0.57
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.03
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.03
df52
t0.05
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.91
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.96
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.91
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.96
Sortino ratio0.03
Upside Potential Ratio0.71
Upside part of mean0.35
Downside part of mean-0.34
Upside SD0.26
Downside SD0.50
N nonnegative terms32
N negative terms21
N of observations53
Mean of predictor0.29
Mean of criterion0.01
SD of predictor0.24
SD of criterion0.57
Covariance0.01
r0.08
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.19
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.04
Mean Square Error0.32
DF error51
t(b)0.58
p(b)0.28
t(a)-0.14
p(a)0.56
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.47
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.86
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.62
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.54
Treynor index (mean / b)0.07
Jensen alpha (a)-0.04
Mean-2.64
SD5.97
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.44
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.43
df52
t-0.93
p0.82
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.50
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.37
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.50
Sortino ratio-0.44
Upside Potential Ratio0.05
Upside part of mean0.32
Downside part of mean-2.96
Upside SD0.22
Downside SD5.96
N nonnegative terms32
N negative terms21
N of observations53
Mean of predictor0.26
Mean of criterion-2.64
SD of predictor0.22
SD of criterion5.97
Covariance0.20
r0.15
b (slope, estimate of beta)3.96
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-3.65
Mean Square Error35.61
DF error51
t(b)1.06
p(b)0.15
t(a)-1.22
p(a)0.89
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-3.51
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta11.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-9.66
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.36
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.67
Jensen alpha (a)-3.65
VaR(95%)0.95
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.97
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.13
Mean-0.45
SD0.76
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.60
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.60
df1159
t-1.26
p0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.53
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.33
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.53
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.33
Sortino ratio-0.62
Upside Potential Ratio1.01
Upside part of mean0.73
Downside part of mean-1.19
Upside SD0.21
Downside SD0.73
N nonnegative terms422
N negative terms738
N of observations1160
Mean of predictor0.29
Mean of criterion-0.45
SD of predictor0.25
SD of criterion0.76
Covariance0.00
r0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.46
Mean Square Error0.57
DF error1158
t(b)0.37
p(b)0.49
t(a)-1.28
p(a)0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.25
Treynor index (mean / b)-14.02
Jensen alpha (a)-0.46
Mean-2.63
SD4.40
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.60
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.60
df1159
t-1.26
p0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.53
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.33
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.53
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.33
Sortino ratio-0.60
Upside Potential Ratio0.16
Upside part of mean0.71
Downside part of mean-3.34
Upside SD0.20
Downside SD4.40
N nonnegative terms422
N negative terms738
N of observations1160
Mean of predictor0.26
Mean of criterion-2.63
SD of predictor0.26
SD of criterion4.40
Covariance-0.02
r-0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.32
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-2.55
Mean Square Error19.37
DF error1158
t(b)-0.63
p(b)0.51
t(a)-1.21
p(a)0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.31
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.67
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-6.66
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.57
Treynor index (mean / b)8.28
Jensen alpha (a)-2.55
VaR(95%)0.37
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.43
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.12
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.47
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.01
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.47
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6807696573464576
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.37
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-3.74435352206885e+32
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations53
Minimum0
Quartile 11
Median1.01
Quartile 31.03
Maximum1.43
Mean of quarter 10.90
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.02
Mean of quarter 41.11
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.06
Mean of outliers low0.55
Number of outliers high7
Percentage of outliers high0.13
Mean of outliers high1.17
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.62
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations1160
Minimum0.00
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.24
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low141
Percentage of outliers low0.12
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high171
Percentage of outliers high0.15
Mean of outliers high1.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.50
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.08
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations7
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.03
Median0.03
Quartile 30.18
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 10.02
Mean of quarter 20.03
Mean of quarter 30.06
Mean of quarter 40.65
Inter Quartile Range0.15
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high1
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations68
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.02
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.13
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high11
Percentage of outliers high0.16
Mean of outliers high0.19
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.94
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.11
Expected Shortfall (moments method)2.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.62
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.09
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-486154752
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)3
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.23
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.93
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.93
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-1.44
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.95
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.23
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.93
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.93
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-6.94
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-2.14
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 916 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
QCL F9long20Nov 7, 2018Nov 25, 2018($217,260)
QCL Z8long11Oct 31, 2018Nov 25, 2018($80,698)
QHO F9long7Nov 9, 2018Nov 13, 2018($26,457)
QPL F9short12Nov 1, 2018Nov 8, 2018$4,159
QCL F9long20Nov 6, 2018Nov 7, 2018$10,740
QHO F9long2Nov 6, 2018Nov 7, 2018$1,605
QHO F9long5Nov 6, 2018Nov 6, 2018$3,341
QCL F9long10Nov 5, 2018Nov 5, 2018$7,120
QHO F9long5Nov 5, 2018Nov 5, 2018$9,410
QHO Z8long5Nov 1, 2018Nov 5, 2018$3,177
QHG Z8short1Nov 2, 2018Nov 2, 2018$355
QHG Z8long1Oct 31, 2018Nov 1, 2018$355
QHO Z8long3Nov 1, 2018Nov 1, 2018$1,895
QCL Z8long3Oct 31, 2018Oct 31, 2018$1,036
QGC Z8long2Oct 30, 2018Oct 31, 2018$424
QCL Z8long1Oct 31, 2018Oct 31, 2018$322
QCL Z8long4Oct 30, 2018Oct 30, 2018$1,778
QHO Z8long3Oct 30, 2018Oct 30, 2018$2,076
QCL Z8short1Oct 30, 2018Oct 30, 2018$452
QCL Z8short1Oct 29, 2018Oct 29, 2018$272
QGC Z8short2Oct 26, 2018Oct 26, 2018$644
US Z8short1Oct 26, 2018Oct 26, 2018$117
QCL Z8long1Oct 24, 2018Oct 25, 2018$432
QGC Z8short1Oct 25, 2018Oct 25, 2018$412
QHO Z8long6Oct 23, 2018Oct 24, 2018$2,430
QCL Z8long12Oct 23, 2018Oct 24, 2018$3,684
QGC Z8short2Oct 23, 2018Oct 24, 2018$864
QCL Z8long1Oct 22, 2018Oct 22, 2018$402
QGC Z8short1Oct 19, 2018Oct 19, 2018$412
QCL Z8long5Oct 17, 2018Oct 18, 2018$1,450

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.