CoT Trading Advanced
- hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
- 19.0%
- Max Drawdown
- 18.3%
- Trades
- 14
- Win Trades
- 71.4%
- Profit Factor
- 12.60
- Win Months
- 1.5%
About this strategy
The goal of this strategy is long-term growth.
The foundation of the strategy is the data from the Commitment of Traders (CoT). Close attention is paid to the trading positions of commercials and non-commercials. Their activities can show trading signals in connection with the Momentum and Stochastic indicators.
Momentum Advanced and the InsideRange indicator were developed by Paper Trading Pro to filter out profitable trading signals.
There are two ways trading signals are identified:
1. A trade is opened as soon as a new trend based on the CoT and the indicators mentioned above were found.
2. During the course of the established trends, trading signals are identified and addressed with the help of Momentum Advanced, InsideDays4 and the Stochastic.
Stop Loss of max. $ 2,500 is set for each trade. The first trading signal (1) is always started with 1 Future item, and in the trend progression (2) the number of Futures may increase, but more than $2,500 per trade signal will never be risked. When trading with several Futures, the margin is then correspondingly high. Therefore, it makes sense to have a minimum capital of $50,000.
The trading period runs from 1 to 14 days, and sometimes longer.
More trading systems are being planned:
5-Hour Trading Goal: generate additional income
CoT Trading Advanced Mini Goal: long-term growth for small depots
Send us your email address or visit us on Facebook or Twitter. You will be informed from the very beginning and will receive 20% off of the monthly fee.
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Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 9.7 | 41.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 55.5 | |||
| 2016 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2017 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2018 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2019 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2020 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2021 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2022 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2023 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2024 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2026 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Statistics
Overview
| Strategy began | 4/4/2015 |
|---|---|
| Suggested Minimum Capital | $50,000 |
| Age | 139 months |
| What it trades | Futures |
| # Trades | 14 |
| # Profitable | 10 |
| % Profitable | 71.4% |
| Avg trade duration | 4.9 days |
| Max peak-to-valley drawdown | 18.3% |
| drawdown period | May 06, 2015 - May 07, 2015 |
| Annual Return (Compounded) | 19.0% |
| Avg win | $3,124 |
| Avg loss | $620 |
Ratios
| W:L ratio | 12.60 |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.26 |
| Sortino Ratio | 1.11 |
| Calmar Ratio | 3.38 |
CORRELATION STATISTICS
| Correlation to SP500 | -0.01 |
|---|---|
| Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life | 270.4% |
| Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu) | 32.1% |
Return Statistics
| Ann Return (w trading costs) | 19.0% |
|---|---|
| Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant) | 0.2% |
| Return Pcnt Since TOS Status | 0.0% |
| Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees) | 4.1% |
Slump
| Current Slump as Pcnt Equity | 9.1% |
|---|---|
| Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life | 1.0% |
Instruments
| Percent Trades Forex | 0.0% |
|---|---|
| Percent Trades Futures | 1.0% |
| Percent Trades Options | 0.0% |
| Percent Trades Stocks | 0.0% |
Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
| Chance of 10% account loss | 100.0% |
|---|---|
| Chance of 20% account loss | 0.0% |
| Chance of 30% account loss | 0.0% |
| Chance of 40% account loss | 0.0% |
| Chance of 50% account loss | 0.0% |
| Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
Automation
| Percentage Signals Automated | 0.0% |
|---|
Popularity
| Popularity (Today) | 0 |
|---|---|
| Popularity (Last 6 weeks) | 0 |
| Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale) | 0 |
Trading Style
| Any stock shorts? 0/1 | 0 |
|---|
Trades-Own-System Certification
| Trades Own System? | 0 |
|---|---|
| TOS percent | 0.0% |
Win / Loss
| Avg Loss | $620 |
|---|---|
| Avg Win | $3,124 |
| # Winners | 10 |
| Sum Trade PL (losers) | $2,479 |
| Sum Trade PL (winners) | $31,240 |
| Num Months Winners | 2 |
| # Losers | 4 |
| % Winners | 71.4% |
Dividends
| Dividends Received in Model Acct | 0 |
|---|
Age
| Num Months filled monthly returns table | 137 |
|---|
Frequency
| Avg Position Time (mins) | 7058.12 |
|---|---|
| Avg Position Time (hrs) | 117.64 |
| Avg Trade Length | 4.90 |
| Last Trade Ago | 4120 |
Regression
| Alpha | 0.01 |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0 |
| Treynor Index | -1.55 |
Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
| MAE:Equity, average, all trades | 0.01 |
|---|---|
| MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | 0.01 |
| MAE:Equity, average, losing trades | 0.01 |
| MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | — |
| MAE:Equity, average, winning trades | 0.02 |
| MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | — |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades | 0.40 |
| MAE:PL (avg, all trades) | 0.05 |
| MAE:PL (avg, losing trades) | — |
| MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats | 29.97 |
| MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats | 17.50 |
| MAE:PL (avg, winning trades) | — |
| MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy | — |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades | 0.28 |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades | -1.15 |
| Hold-and-Hope Ratio | 2.36 |
RATIO STATISTICS
| Mean | 0.44 |
|---|---|
| SD | 0.33 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 1.33 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 1.25 |
| df | 12 |
| t | 1.39 |
| p | 0.31 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.65 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 3.26 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -0.70 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 3.20 |
| Sortino ratio | 59.71 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 62.90 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.47 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.02 |
| Upside SD | 0.34 |
| Downside SD | 0.01 |
| N nonnegative terms | 2 |
| N negative terms | 11 |
| N of observations | 13 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.17 |
| Mean of criterion | 0.44 |
| SD of predictor | 0.13 |
| SD of criterion | 0.33 |
| Covariance | -0.01 |
| r | -0.16 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -0.40 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.51 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.12 |
| DF error | 11 |
| t(b) | -0.53 |
| p(b) | 0.70 |
| t(a) | 1.45 |
| p(a) | 0.09 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -2.05 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 1.25 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.27 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 1.29 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -1.12 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.51 |
| Mean | 0.39 |
| SD | 0.30 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 1.32 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 1.24 |
| df | 12 |
| t | 1.38 |
| p | 0.32 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.66 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 3.25 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -0.71 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 3.19 |
| Sortino ratio | 52.84 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 56.02 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.42 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.02 |
| Upside SD | 0.31 |
| Downside SD | 0.01 |
| N nonnegative terms | 2 |
| N negative terms | 11 |
| N of observations | 13 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.16 |
| Mean of criterion | 0.39 |
| SD of predictor | 0.13 |
| SD of criterion | 0.30 |
| Covariance | -0.01 |
| r | -0.15 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -0.33 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.44 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.09 |
| DF error | 11 |
| t(b) | -0.50 |
| p(b) | 0.69 |
| t(a) | 1.42 |
| p(a) | 0.09 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -1.79 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 1.13 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.24 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 1.13 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -1.19 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.44 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.10 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.13 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.00 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.00 |
| Mean | 0.41 |
| SD | 0.22 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 1.82 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 1.81 |
| df | 288 |
| t | 1.91 |
| p | 0.03 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.06 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 3.69 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -0.06 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 3.68 |
| Sortino ratio | 8.01 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 11.34 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.58 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.17 |
| Upside SD | 0.22 |
| Downside SD | 0.05 |
| N nonnegative terms | 16 |
| N negative terms | 273 |
| N of observations | 289 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.18 |
| Mean of criterion | 0.41 |
| SD of predictor | 0.19 |
| SD of criterion | 0.22 |
| Covariance | -0.00 |
| r | -0.03 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -0.04 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.19 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.05 |
| DF error | 287 |
| t(b) | -0.53 |
| p(b) | 0.70 |
| t(a) | 1.93 |
| p(a) | 0.03 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.17 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.10 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.01 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.84 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -11.19 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.41 |
| Mean | 0.38 |
| SD | 0.21 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 1.80 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 1.79 |
| df | 288 |
| t | 1.89 |
| p | 0.03 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.08 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 3.67 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -0.08 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 3.66 |
| Sortino ratio | 7.45 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 10.76 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.55 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.17 |
| Upside SD | 0.21 |
| Downside SD | 0.05 |
| N nonnegative terms | 16 |
| N negative terms | 273 |
| N of observations | 289 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.16 |
| Mean of criterion | 0.38 |
| SD of predictor | 0.19 |
| SD of criterion | 0.21 |
| Covariance | -0.00 |
| r | -0.03 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -0.03 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.39 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.05 |
| DF error | 287 |
| t(b) | -0.52 |
| p(b) | 0.70 |
| t(a) | 1.91 |
| p(a) | 0.03 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.16 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.09 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.01 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.79 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -11.30 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.39 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.02 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.03 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.00 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.00 |
| Mean | -0.03 |
| SD | 0 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0 |
| df | 0 |
| t | 0 |
| p | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0 |
| Sortino ratio | -16.19 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0 |
| Upside part of mean | 0 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.03 |
| Upside SD | 0 |
| Downside SD | 0.00 |
| N nonnegative terms | 0 |
| N negative terms | 131 |
| N of observations | 131 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.38 |
| Mean of criterion | -0.03 |
| SD of predictor | 0.16 |
| SD of criterion | 0 |
| Covariance | 0 |
| r | 0 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0 |
| Mean Square Error | 0 |
| DF error | 0 |
| t(b) | 0 |
| p(b) | 0 |
| t(a) | 0 |
| p(a) | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 0 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0 |
| Mean | -0.03 |
| SD | 0 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -9.74841826823373e+15 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -9.69206937105203e+15 |
| df | 130 |
| t | -6893172865105920 |
| p | 1 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -1.08701574255084e+16 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -8513981316595712 |
| Sortino ratio | -16.19 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0 |
| Upside part of mean | 0 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.03 |
| Upside SD | 0 |
| Downside SD | 0.00 |
| N nonnegative terms | 0 |
| N negative terms | 131 |
| N of observations | 131 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.36 |
| Mean of criterion | -0.03 |
| SD of predictor | 0.16 |
| SD of criterion | 0 |
| Covariance | 0 |
| r | 0 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.03 |
| Mean Square Error | 0 |
| DF error | 129 |
| t(b) | 0 |
| p(b) | 0.50 |
| t(a) | -6796790577758208 |
| p(a) | 1 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0 |
| VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl) | 0.01 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.03 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.03 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 2.96884327646469e+31 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.03 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.00 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.00 |
| VaR(95%) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0 |
ORDER STATISTICS
| Number of observations | 13 |
|---|---|
| Minimum | 1 |
| Quartile 1 | 1 |
| Median | 1 |
| Quartile 3 | 1 |
| Maximum | 1.26 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.17 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 2 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.15 |
| Mean of outliers high | 1.26 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Number of observations | 289 |
| Minimum | 0.97 |
| Quartile 1 | 1 |
| Median | 1 |
| Quartile 3 | 1 |
| Maximum | 1.14 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 1.00 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.01 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0 |
| Number outliers low | 18 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.06 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0.99 |
| Number of outliers high | 16 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.06 |
| Mean of outliers high | 1.04 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | -7.41 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.00 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.00 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | -0.59 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.00 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.01 |
| Number of observations | 131 |
| Minimum | 1 |
| Quartile 1 | 1 |
| Median | 1 |
| Quartile 3 | 1 |
| Maximum | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
| Number of observations | 0 |
|---|---|
| Minimum | 0 |
| Quartile 1 | 0 |
| Median | 0 |
| Quartile 3 | 0 |
| Maximum | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Number of observations | 6 |
| Minimum | 0.00 |
| Quartile 1 | 0.01 |
| Median | 0.02 |
| Quartile 3 | 0.03 |
| Maximum | 0.07 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.01 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.02 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0.03 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.05 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.02 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 1 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.17 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0.07 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Number of observations | 0 |
| Minimum | 0 |
| Quartile 1 | 0 |
| Median | 0 |
| Quartile 3 | 0 |
| Maximum | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Max Equity Drawdown (num days) | 1 |
| Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative | 0.0% |
COMBINED STATISTICS
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0.53 |
|---|---|
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0.52 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 0 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 0 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 3.91 |
| j156mfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| j157mfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0.52 |
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0.51 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 7.73 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 10.52 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 20.04 |
| j313dfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| j314dfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0 |
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 0 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 0 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 0 |
Trading record
Placed 14 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.
| Symbol | Side | Qty | Opened | Closed | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BP M5 | long | 1 | May 21, 2015 | May 22, 2015 | ($1,152) |
| QCL N5 | long | 1 | May 18, 2015 | May 19, 2015 | ($1,143) |
| EU M5 | long | 1 | May 12, 2015 | May 15, 2015 | $1,305 |
| DX M5 | short | 3 | May 12, 2015 | May 15, 2015 | $2,826 |
| CD M5 | long | 3 | May 11, 2015 | May 15, 2015 | $1,206 |
| AD M5 | long | 3 | May 12, 2015 | May 13, 2015 | $6,066 |
| QHO M5 | long | 1 | May 12, 2015 | May 13, 2015 | $744 |
| QCL M5 | long | 1 | May 12, 2015 | May 13, 2015 | ($208) |
| BP M5 | long | 4 | May 5, 2015 | May 12, 2015 | $12,468 |
| DX M5 | short | 3 | May 5, 2015 | May 7, 2015 | $531 |
| EU M5 | long | 2 | May 5, 2015 | May 7, 2015 | $734 |
| CD M5 | long | 4 | May 4, 2015 | May 7, 2015 | ($32) |
| QCL M5 | long | 1 | Apr 23, 2015 | May 7, 2015 | $2,312 |
| CD M5 | long | 4 | Apr 8, 2015 | May 1, 2015 | $2,848 |
Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.
These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.