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XessIVol

Stocks · Started Jan 2015

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
11.0%
Max Drawdown
44.0%
Trades
29
Win Trades
89.7%
Profit Factor
3.50
Win Months
62.6%

About this strategy

*** General description ***

The excess volatility implied in options premium has been and continues to be a good fount of added value. As managing an options portfolio is always a challenge, our team closely manage the risk and continuously apply strict risk management rules (defined before the trade entry) regarding stop losses levels and global exposures.

In addition to this strategy on options market, we have discovered some cyclical and structural negative bias in the pricing of various financial instruments. Our investment team has built a long/short sub-portfolio with these instruments which is expected to generate a good risk/reward profiled PnL.

*** Asset allocation purpose ***

From an investor's point of view, XessIVol structure seeks to offer a complement to the traditional equity - fixed income portfolio strategy, in an attempt to contribute to the overall portfolio performance while reducing its volatility.

The strategy is structured trough the Collective2 platform as an individual managed account, and is not appropriate for all investors. With the assistance of its financial advisor, the client will have to define its investment objectives and confirm its interest for this vehicle.

*** Disclaimer ***

We want to inform the investor that our signal generating system can maintain the strategy off the market for long periods (from few days to few months) in certain market's conditions.

The investment management team will not be blamed for not investing during these periods, as by the nature of volatility markets, most interesting entry levels usually emerge after inactivity periods.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2015-3.640.07.215.33.70.65.0-3.7-2.99.2-2.83.187.0
2016-1.4-2.617.70.45.3-2.86.21.34.30.93.5-0.335.7
2017-0.3-0.31.22.60.5-2.48.9-3.36.36.31.93.226.7
2018-3.4-29.7-1.41.71.9-0.72.31.41.6-7.72.2-4.1-34.3
20192.22.71.02.6-0.20.0-3.43.90.25.71.315.2
20200.4-9.4-13.80.52.0-3.22.81.6-0.40.34.40.3-14.9
2021-4.13.45.02.01.42.8-1.02.8-2.55.4-2.90.413.0
2022-3.0-1.22.4-5.20.8-0.33.2-0.6-3.02.14.10.8-0.2
20234.6-1.9-0.63.12.88.41.91.2-1.6-4.811.03.029.5
20241.71.31.7-1.23.42.3-4.4-3.5-2.8-4.15.32.11.3
2025-1.2-3.1-3.5-10.93.81.66.13.61.50.6-0.42.3-0.8
20261.6-1.6-5.10.07.8-0.35.00.910.6

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began1/14/2015
Suggested Minimum Capital$25,000
Age142 months
What it tradesStocks, Options
# Trades29
# Profitable26
% Profitable89.7%
Avg trade duration136.1 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown44.0%
drawdown periodJan 22, 2018 - March 19, 2020
Annual Return (Compounded)11.0%
Avg win$3,585
Avg loss$8,955

Ratios

W:L ratio3.47
Sharpe Ratio0.50
Sortino Ratio0.64
Calmar Ratio0.86

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.56
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life281.4%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-44.8%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)11.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)11.7%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity0.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.2%
Percent Trades Stocks0.8%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$8,955
Avg Win$3,585
# Winners26
Sum Trade PL (losers)$26,865
Sum Trade PL (winners)$93,211
Num Months Winners87
# Losers3
% Winners89.7%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table141

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)195932.91
Avg Position Time (hrs)3265.55
Avg Trade Length136.10
Last Trade Ago3119

Regression

Alpha0.01
Beta0.60
Treynor Index0.05

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.05
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.46
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.25
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.04
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades1.10
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)2.39
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats8.85
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats61.76
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.48
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.03
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.58

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.31
SD0.27
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.14
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.13
df51
t2.38
p0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.10
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.09
Sortino ratio1.91
Upside Potential Ratio3.04
Upside part of mean0.49
Downside part of mean-0.18
Upside SD0.23
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms37
N negative terms15
N of observations52
Mean of predictor0.31
Mean of criterion0.31
SD of predictor0.26
SD of criterion0.27
Covariance0.02
r0.36
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.37
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.19
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error50
t(b)2.71
p(b)0.00
t(a)1.47
p(a)0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.65
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.45
Treynor index (mean / b)0.82
Jensen alpha (a)0.19
Mean0.27
SD0.27
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.98
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.97
df51
t2.04
p0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.94
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.01
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.93
Sortino ratio1.47
Upside Potential Ratio2.54
Upside part of mean0.46
Downside part of mean-0.20
Upside SD0.21
Downside SD0.18
N nonnegative terms37
N negative terms15
N of observations52
Mean of predictor0.28
Mean of criterion0.27
SD of predictor0.24
SD of criterion0.27
Covariance0.02
r0.38
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.43
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.15
Mean Square Error0.07
DF error50
t(b)2.89
p(b)0.00
t(a)1.12
p(a)0.13
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.74
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.41
Treynor index (mean / b)0.62
Jensen alpha (a)0.15
VaR(95%)0.10
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.13
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
Mean0.31
SD0.27
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.16
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.16
df1135
t2.41
p0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.21
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.10
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.21
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.10
Sortino ratio1.51
Upside Potential Ratio6.42
Upside part of mean1.31
Downside part of mean-1.00
Upside SD0.17
Downside SD0.20
N nonnegative terms518
N negative terms618
N of observations1136
Mean of predictor0.32
Mean of criterion0.31
SD of predictor0.26
SD of criterion0.27
Covariance0.04
r0.60
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.62
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.11
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error1134
t(b)25.54
p(b)0.20
t(a)1.09
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.57
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.67
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.31
Treynor index (mean / b)0.49
Jensen alpha (a)0.11
Mean0.27
SD0.27
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.99
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.99
df1135
t2.05
p0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.93
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.04
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.93
Sortino ratio1.25
Upside Potential Ratio5.98
Upside part of mean1.30
Downside part of mean-1.03
Upside SD0.17
Downside SD0.22
N nonnegative terms518
N negative terms618
N of observations1136
Mean of predictor0.28
Mean of criterion0.27
SD of predictor0.26
SD of criterion0.27
Covariance0.04
r0.61
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.63
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.09
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error1134
t(b)25.65
p(b)0.20
t(a)0.87
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.59
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.68
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.30
Treynor index (mean / b)0.43
Jensen alpha (a)0.09
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0.73
SD0.41
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.79
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.78
df130
t1.27
p0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.99
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.57
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.00
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.56
Sortino ratio2.63
Upside Potential Ratio10.02
Upside part of mean2.77
Downside part of mean-2.04
Upside SD0.30
Downside SD0.28
N nonnegative terms75
N negative terms56
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.21
Mean of criterion0.73
SD of predictor0.46
SD of criterion0.41
Covariance0.14
r0.73
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.64
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.05
Mean Square Error0.08
DF error129
t(b)12.09
p(b)0.08
t(a)-0.11
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.53
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.74
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.84
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.75
Treynor index (mean / b)1.14
Jensen alpha (a)-0.05
Mean0.65
SD0.41
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.58
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.57
df130
t1.12
p0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.36
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.21
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.35
Sortino ratio2.27
Upside Potential Ratio9.58
Upside part of mean2.73
Downside part of mean-2.08
Upside SD0.29
Downside SD0.28
N nonnegative terms75
N negative terms56
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.10
Mean of criterion0.65
SD of predictor0.46
SD of criterion0.41
Covariance0.14
r0.72
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.64
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.06
Mean Square Error0.08
DF error129
t(b)11.95
p(b)0.08
t(a)-0.16
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.54
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.75
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.86
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.73
Treynor index (mean / b)1.00
Jensen alpha (a)-0.06
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations52
Minimum0.72
Quartile 11
Median1.03
Quartile 31.06
Maximum1.26
Mean of quarter 10.94
Mean of quarter 21.01
Mean of quarter 31.04
Mean of quarter 41.12
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.79
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high1.18
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.43
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.09
Number of observations1136
Minimum0.80
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.07
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low97
Percentage of outliers low0.09
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high92
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.52
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.24
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum0.90
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.02
Maximum1.07
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low5
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.94
Number of outliers high6
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high1.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.14
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.04
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.18
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.04

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations4
Minimum0.04
Quartile 10.05
Median0.06
Quartile 30.15
Maximum0.37
Mean of quarter 10.04
Mean of quarter 20.05
Mean of quarter 30.07
Mean of quarter 40.37
Inter Quartile Range0.10
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.25
Mean of outliers high0.37
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations54
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.04
Maximum0.40
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.11
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high0.21
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.36
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.11
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.20
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.52
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.12
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.26
Number of observations13
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.01
Median0.01
Quartile 30.05
Maximum0.22
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.12
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high0.22
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.17
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.11
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.17
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.10
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.20
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-416388960
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)787
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.2%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.60
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.34
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.93
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.93
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.63
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.61
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.35
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.86
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.21
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal10.43
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.80
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.96
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)4.43
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs7.75
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal19.90

Trading record

Placed 58 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
XIV long190Jan 16, 2018Feb 7, 2018($25,369)
XIV long250Dec 1, 2017Dec 4, 2017$2,488
XIV long250Nov 15, 2017Nov 16, 2017$1,455
XIV long320Aug 9, 2017Oct 23, 2017$7,024
EXIV long950Jun 23, 2017Jul 25, 2017$4,297
XIV long250May 17, 2017Jun 15, 2017$739
XIV long680Mar 22, 2017Apr 24, 2017$2,792
XIV long800Nov 1, 2016Nov 9, 2016$2,333
XIV long390Oct 13, 2016Oct 18, 2016$758
XIV long510Sep 26, 2016Sep 29, 2016$945
XIV long1950Jun 10, 2016Sep 21, 2016$4,865
XIV long1920Jan 7, 2016May 20, 2016$10,033
XIV long440Dec 11, 2015Dec 29, 2015$1,575
VIX1518K23 short60Nov 11, 2015Nov 13, 2015($1,584)
XIV long1840Aug 25, 2015Nov 4, 2015$71
VIX1528J21 short25Oct 21, 2015Oct 29, 2015$483
VIX1516I40 short50Sep 8, 2015Sep 11, 2015$930
VIX1519H24 short35Aug 6, 2015Aug 20, 2015$326
VIX1519H28 short50Aug 6, 2015Aug 20, 2015$215
VIX1522G32.5 short50Jul 1, 2015Jul 23, 2015$715
VIX1522G24 short50Jul 15, 2015Jul 23, 2015$165
XIV long520Jul 1, 2015Jul 16, 2015$1,526
XIV long260Jun 29, 2015Jun 30, 2015($5)
XIV long510Apr 30, 2015Jun 29, 2015$666
VIX1517F24 short50Jun 1, 2015Jun 18, 2015$715
VIX1517F25 short50Jun 10, 2015Jun 18, 2015$215
VIX1520E30 short50Apr 22, 2015May 21, 2015$715
XIV long1380Jan 14, 2015Apr 13, 2015$17,390

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.