Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

LoDo LEVERAGE

Forex · Started Jan 2014

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
14.6%
Max Drawdown
78.0%
Trades
62
Win Trades
58.1%
Profit Factor
1.20
Win Months
49.7%

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
201417.94.84.1-9.134.9-5.719.33.2-13.83.21.218.795.7
201535.422.9-0.4-42.918.0-7.0-5.3-44.218.30.1-12.011.2-36.4
2016-1.77.38.6-4.915.136.19.33.6-2.5-4.027.915.2166.4
2017-4.35.16.7-8.8-15.0-17.7-31.5-25.710.911.0-33.1-16.6-76.1
2018-37.434.3-5.552.4100.9-5.06.62.4-1.328.2-4.5-4.7190.2
2019-1.57.89.15.50.5-6.14.410.9-1.1-5.55.9-5.824.6
20203.93.6-4.19.0-8.3-4.4-21.7-6.314.4-0.5-15.7-15.1-40.9
20217.62.217.1-16.8-5.820.82.58.74.9-1.013.90.862.1
20221.62.19.411.7-2.55.012.56.44.1-7.3-6.8-7.729.0
2023-8.210.9-6.2-6.89.5-7.9-1.63.98.52.9-11.4-3.4-12.4
20246.20.51.51.9-4.35.9-4.0-11.60.610.815.7-2.619.2
20250.00.4-10.3-14.9-2.2-13.47.7-4.00.00.00.00.0-32.9
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began1/14/2014
Suggested Minimum Capital$20,000
Age154 months
What it tradesForex
# Trades62
# Profitable36
% Profitable58.1%
Avg trade duration133.5 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown78.0%
drawdown periodMarch 12, 2015 - Aug 25, 2015
Annual Return (Compounded)14.6%
Avg win$6,146
Avg loss$7,174

Ratios

W:L ratio1.19
Sharpe Ratio0.35
Sortino Ratio0.65
Calmar Ratio0.27

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.07
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life316.4%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)27.6%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)14.6%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)8.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity81.8%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.3%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex1.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss88.5%
Chance of 20% account loss78.0%
Chance of 30% account loss67.5%
Chance of 40% account loss54.5%
Chance of 50% account loss42.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)23.5%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)9.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)2.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.1%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)253
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)686
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)516

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$7,174
Avg Win$6,146
# Winners36
Sum Trade PL (losers)$186,527
Sum Trade PL (winners)$221,252
Num Months Winners77
# Losers26
% Winners58.1%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table153

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)192238.77
Avg Position Time (hrs)3203.98
Avg Trade Length133.50
Last Trade Ago382

Regression

Alpha0.10
Beta-0.33
Treynor Index-0.29

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.14
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.49
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.18
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.11
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades3.08
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.58
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats48.37
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats23.17
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.56
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.17
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.32

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.45
SD0.62
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.73
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.71
df40
t1.34
p0.09
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.35
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.79
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.36
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.78
Sortino ratio1.23
Upside Potential Ratio2.83
Upside part of mean1.03
Downside part of mean-0.58
Upside SD0.50
Downside SD0.36
N nonnegative terms24
N negative terms17
N of observations41
Mean of predictor0.06
Mean of criterion0.45
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion0.62
Covariance0.01
r0.12
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.64
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.41
Mean Square Error0.38
DF error39
t(b)0.75
p(b)0.23
t(a)1.20
p(a)0.12
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.36
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.28
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.09
Treynor index (mean / b)0.70
Jensen alpha (a)0.41
Mean0.26
SD0.63
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.41
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.40
df40
t0.76
p0.23
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.66
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.47
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.66
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.47
Sortino ratio0.58
Upside Potential Ratio2.09
Upside part of mean0.92
Downside part of mean-0.67
Upside SD0.44
Downside SD0.44
N nonnegative terms24
N negative terms17
N of observations41
Mean of predictor0.05
Mean of criterion0.26
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion0.63
Covariance0.01
r0.14
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.79
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.21
Mean Square Error0.39
DF error39
t(b)0.91
p(b)0.19
t(a)0.62
p(a)0.27
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.97
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.48
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.91
Treynor index (mean / b)0.33
Jensen alpha (a)0.21
VaR(95%)0.24
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.29
VaR(95%)0.10
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.20
Mean0.32
SD0.59
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.53
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.53
df915
t1.00
p0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.51
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.58
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.51
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.58
Sortino ratio0.80
Upside Potential Ratio7.49
Upside part of mean2.98
Downside part of mean-2.67
Upside SD0.44
Downside SD0.40
N nonnegative terms452
N negative terms464
N of observations916
Mean of predictor0.07
Mean of criterion0.32
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.59
Covariance0.01
r0.13
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.61
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.69
Mean Square Error0.35
DF error914
t(b)3.93
p(b)0.00
t(a)0.88
p(a)0.19
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.91
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.34
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.90
Treynor index (mean / b)0.52
Jensen alpha (a)0.28
Mean0.14
SD0.59
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.24
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.24
df915
t0.45
p0.33
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.81
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.29
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.81
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.29
Sortino ratio0.34
Upside Potential Ratio6.86
Upside part of mean2.89
Downside part of mean-2.75
Upside SD0.42
Downside SD0.42
N nonnegative terms452
N negative terms464
N of observations916
Mean of predictor0.06
Mean of criterion0.14
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.59
Covariance0.01
r0.13
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.63
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.11
Mean Square Error0.35
DF error914
t(b)4.11
p(b)0.00
t(a)0.34
p(a)0.37
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.93
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.51
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.72
Treynor index (mean / b)0.23
Jensen alpha (a)0.11
VaR(95%)0.06
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
Mean-1.16
SD0.42
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-2.76
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-2.75
df130
t-1.95
p0.58
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-5.55
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.04
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-5.54
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.05
Sortino ratio-3.19
Upside Potential Ratio5.23
Upside part of mean1.90
Downside part of mean-3.06
Upside SD0.22
Downside SD0.36
N nonnegative terms63
N negative terms68
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion-1.16
SD of predictor0.07
SD of criterion0.42
Covariance0.00
r0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.12
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-1.17
Mean Square Error0.18
DF error129
t(b)0.23
p(b)0.49
t(a)-1.96
p(a)0.61
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.93
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.18
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.01
Treynor index (mean / b)-9.49
Jensen alpha (a)-1.17
Mean-1.25
SD0.43
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-2.93
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-2.92
df130
t-2.08
p0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-5.72
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.13
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-5.71
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.12
Sortino ratio-3.34
Upside Potential Ratio5.02
Upside part of mean1.88
Downside part of mean-3.13
Upside SD0.22
Downside SD0.37
N nonnegative terms63
N negative terms68
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion-1.25
SD of predictor0.07
SD of criterion0.43
Covariance0.00
r0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.13
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-1.27
Mean Square Error0.18
DF error129
t(b)0.24
p(b)0.49
t(a)-2.08
p(a)0.61
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.94
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.47
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.06
Treynor index (mean / b)-9.74
Jensen alpha (a)-1.27
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations41
Minimum0.59
Quartile 10.92
Median1.04
Quartile 31.16
Maximum1.48
Mean of quarter 10.84
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.09
Mean of quarter 41.26
Inter Quartile Range0.24
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.52
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.19
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.42
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.28
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.16
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.25
Number of observations916
Minimum0.81
Quartile 10.99
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.25
Mean of quarter 10.96
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.04
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low52
Percentage of outliers low0.06
Mean of outliers low0.92
Number of outliers high63
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.08
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.46
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.07
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.23
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.05
Number of observations131
Minimum0.91
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.06
Mean of quarter 10.96
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low8
Percentage of outliers low0.06
Mean of outliers low0.93
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.02
Mean of outliers high1.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.47
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.04
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.31
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.05

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations5
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.02
Median0.17
Quartile 30.25
Maximum0.67
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.17
Mean of quarter 30.25
Mean of quarter 40.67
Inter Quartile Range0.23
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.20
Mean of outliers high0.67
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations36
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.06
Maximum0.74
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.23
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high0.49
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.73
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.24
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.95
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.89
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.25
Expected Shortfall (regression method)2.10
Number of observations6
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.01
Median0.03
Quartile 30.09
Maximum0.53
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.04
Mean of quarter 40.32
Inter Quartile Range0.08
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high0.53
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)166
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.48
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.33
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.49
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.49
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.11
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.23
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.18
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.25
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.81
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.56
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.91
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.71
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-1.32
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-2.22
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-12.31

Trading record

Placed 468 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
USD/CHF short210Jul 21, 2017Aug 21, 2025$4,640
EUR/USD short3700Jan 3, 2017Aug 21, 2025($58,124)
USD/CHF short5090Jan 3, 2017Jul 21, 2017$43,343
EUR/USD short1190Nov 17, 2016Dec 26, 2016$9,126
USD/CHF short900Nov 9, 2016Dec 26, 2016($4,363)
EUR/USD short10Nov 16, 2016Nov 17, 2016$36
EUR/USD short30Nov 14, 2016Nov 16, 2016$116
EUR/USD short400Oct 21, 2016Nov 14, 2016$3,888
USD/CHF short2490Jun 8, 2016Nov 8, 2016$11,436
EUR/USD short190Oct 12, 2016Oct 21, 2016$2,212
EUR/USD short1500Jun 24, 2016Oct 12, 2016$1,735
EUR/USD short2150Nov 6, 2015Jun 23, 2016$3,262
USD/CHF short530May 3, 2016Jun 8, 2016$3,127
USD/CHF short310Apr 19, 2016May 3, 2016$3,721
USD/CHF short560Mar 17, 2016Apr 19, 2016$2,327
USD/CHF short430Feb 9, 2016Mar 17, 2016$4,204
USD/CHF short1560Sep 1, 2015Feb 9, 2016($726)
EUR/USD short30Nov 4, 2015Nov 6, 2015$258
EUR/USD short830Aug 27, 2015Nov 4, 2015$7,654
EUR/USD short300Aug 24, 2015Aug 27, 2015$6,831
EUR/USD short200Aug 23, 2015Aug 24, 2015($3,544)
USD/CHF short20Aug 20, 2015Aug 21, 2015$303
EUR/USD short1020Jul 30, 2015Aug 21, 2015($22,751)
USD/CHF short200Jul 30, 2015Aug 13, 2015($94)
EUR/USD short620Jul 27, 2015Jul 30, 2015$9,708
USD/CHF short40Jul 22, 2015Jul 29, 2015$10
EUR/USD short640Jul 21, 2015Jul 27, 2015($12,617)
USD/CHF short30Jul 16, 2015Jul 21, 2015($120)
EUR/USD short640Jul 10, 2015Jul 21, 2015$8,561
EUR/USD short630Jul 6, 2015Jul 10, 2015($6,475)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.