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HPB Options

Options · Started Jan 2015

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
0.6%
Max Drawdown
7.9%
Trades
423
Win Trades
69.5%
Profit Factor
1.30
Win Months
14.2%

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20151.73.01.00.91.20.10.6-5.10.00.41.20.35.1
2016-0.60.1-1.20.41.11.00.20.30.1-0.1-0.2-0.40.6
20170.6-0.0-0.00.30.3-0.00.00.00.00.00.00.01.2
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began1/7/2015
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age142 months
What it tradesOptions
# Trades423
# Profitable294
% Profitable69.5%
Avg trade duration8.4 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown7.9%
drawdown periodAug 02, 2015 - Aug 24, 2015
Annual Return (Compounded)0.6%
Avg win$101
Avg loss$176

Ratios

W:L ratio1.33
Sharpe Ratio-0.78
Sortino Ratio-0.95
Calmar Ratio0.57

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.12
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life277.9%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-274.0%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)0.6%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)1.2%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity1.8%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.9%
Percent Trades Stocks0.1%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss0.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.1%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$176
Avg Win$100
# Winners294
Sum Trade PL (losers)$22,691
Sum Trade PL (winners)$29,548
Num Months Winners21
# Losers129
% Winners69.5%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct640

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table141

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)12068.75
Avg Position Time (hrs)201.15
Avg Trade Length8.40
Last Trade Ago3380

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0.01
Treynor Index-0.36

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades9.62
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.17
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats55.34
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats43.80
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.79
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.47
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.10

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.03
SD0.03
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.10
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.08
df48
t2.22
p0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.09
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.09
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.08
Sortino ratio1.99
Upside Potential Ratio2.93
Upside part of mean0.05
Downside part of mean-0.02
Upside SD0.03
Downside SD0.02
N nonnegative terms43
N negative terms6
N of observations49
Mean of predictor0.34
Mean of criterion0.03
SD of predictor0.20
SD of criterion0.03
Covariance-0.00
r-0.10
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.04
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error47
t(b)-0.70
p(b)0.76
t(a)2.29
p(a)0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.07
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.18
Jensen alpha (a)0.04
Mean0.03
SD0.03
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.09
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.07
df48
t2.20
p0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.08
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.08
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.06
Sortino ratio1.94
Upside Potential Ratio2.88
Upside part of mean0.05
Downside part of mean-0.02
Upside SD0.03
Downside SD0.02
N nonnegative terms43
N negative terms6
N of observations49
Mean of predictor0.32
Mean of criterion0.03
SD of predictor0.19
SD of criterion0.03
Covariance-0.00
r-0.09
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.04
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error47
t(b)-0.62
p(b)0.73
t(a)2.24
p(a)0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.07
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.33
Jensen alpha (a)0.04
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
Mean0.03
SD0.03
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.24
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.24
df1085
t2.52
p0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.28
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.20
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.27
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.20
Sortino ratio1.50
Upside Potential Ratio4.71
Upside part of mean0.10
Downside part of mean-0.07
Upside SD0.01
Downside SD0.02
N nonnegative terms879
N negative terms207
N of observations1086
Mean of predictor0.36
Mean of criterion0.03
SD of predictor0.27
SD of criterion0.03
Covariance0.00
r0.13
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.03
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error1084
t(b)4.22
p(b)0.44
t(a)2.18
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.05
Treynor index (mean / b)2.59
Jensen alpha (a)0.03
Mean0.03
SD0.03
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.22
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.22
df1085
t2.48
p0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.26
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.18
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.26
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.18
Sortino ratio1.47
Upside Potential Ratio4.67
Upside part of mean0.10
Downside part of mean-0.07
Upside SD0.01
Downside SD0.02
N nonnegative terms879
N negative terms207
N of observations1086
Mean of predictor0.32
Mean of criterion0.03
SD of predictor0.27
SD of criterion0.03
Covariance0.00
r0.13
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.03
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error1084
t(b)4.28
p(b)0.44
t(a)2.18
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.05
Treynor index (mean / b)2.52
Jensen alpha (a)0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.95
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.37
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.88
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.37
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations49
Minimum0.97
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.03
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.06
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.64
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations1086
Minimum0.97
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.01
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low103
Percentage of outliers low0.09
Mean of outliers low1.00
Number of outliers high143
Percentage of outliers high0.13
Mean of outliers high1.00
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.61
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.49
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.00
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations3
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.04
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.04
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations53
Minimum0
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.00
Maximum0.06
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.00
Mean of quarter 40.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high0.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.81
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.04
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.70
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-405606336
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)22
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.03
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.03
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.72
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.72
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.21
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.03
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.03
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.57
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.91
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal10.11
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 372 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
IBM long10May 17, 2017Jun 7, 2017($7)
XOM long20May 12, 2017Jun 7, 2017($33)
IWM1702R135 short1May 24, 2017Jun 1, 2017$44
IWM1702F139 short1May 24, 2017Jun 1, 2017$25
IWM1726Q132 short1May 18, 2017May 25, 2017$57
IWM1726Q135 short1May 16, 2017May 25, 2017$30
IWM1726E137 short1May 18, 2017May 22, 2017($4)
IWM1719E136 short3May 17, 2017May 18, 2017$83
IWM1719Q135 short2May 11, 2017May 18, 2017($43)
IWM1712Q135 short1May 1, 2017May 13, 2017$30
XOM long20Mar 31, 2017May 9, 2017($12)
IWM1705Q132 short1Apr 20, 2017May 6, 2017$65
IWM1728P131 short1Apr 12, 2017Apr 29, 2017$82
IWM1721P132 short1Apr 7, 2017Apr 22, 2017$75
IWM1713P133 short1Apr 3, 2017Apr 13, 2017$59
IWM1707P133 short1Mar 31, 2017Apr 8, 2017$15
IWM1731O133 short1Mar 23, 2017Apr 1, 2017$101
IWM1724O133 short1Mar 22, 2017Mar 24, 2017$99
IWM1724O136 short1Mar 17, 2017Mar 22, 2017($297)
IWM1717O135 short2Mar 2, 2017Mar 18, 2017$125
IWM1710O135 short1Mar 9, 2017Mar 11, 2017$45
IWM1710O136 short1Feb 28, 2017Mar 9, 2017($50)
XOM1710O82 short1Mar 3, 2017Mar 9, 2017($66)
IWM1703O137 short1Feb 22, 2017Mar 4, 2017$53
XOM1703O81 short1Feb 22, 2017Mar 4, 2017$60
BABA1703O96 short1Feb 14, 2017Feb 24, 2017$37
XOM1724N82 short1Feb 10, 2017Feb 22, 2017($38)
IWM1717N133 short1Feb 6, 2017Feb 18, 2017$54
BABA1724N100 short1Feb 10, 2017Feb 14, 2017($35)
XOM1710N82 short1Jan 31, 2017Feb 11, 2017$50

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.