Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

Futures Foot Print

Futures · Futures · Started Mar 2025

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
356.3%
Max Drawdown
80.4%
Trades
420
Win Trades
71.7%
Profit Factor
1.50
Win Months
26.3%

Short Term

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20250.9149.0257.80.11.00.00.00.00.00.0808.7
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began3/28/2025
Suggested Minimum Capital$90,000
Age18 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades420
# Profitable301
% Profitable71.7%
Avg trade duration2.7 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown80.4%
drawdown periodApril 28, 2025 - May 01, 2025
Annual Return (Compounded)356.3%
Avg win$990
Avg loss$1,714

Ratios

W:L ratio1.46
Sharpe Ratio1.59
Sortino Ratio3.17
Calmar Ratio46.76

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.01
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life37.5%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)770.4%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)356.3%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)3.6%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)386.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity9.8%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.8%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss73.0%
Chance of 20% account loss56.5%
Chance of 30% account loss49.0%
Chance of 40% account loss42.0%
Chance of 50% account loss27.5%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)19.5%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)8.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)3.5%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.5%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$1,714
Avg Win$990
# Winners301
Sum Trade PL (losers)$203,912
Sum Trade PL (winners)$298,011
Num Months Winners5
# Losers119
% Winners71.7%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table19

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)162.82
Avg Position Time (hrs)2.71
Avg Trade Length0.10
Last Trade Ago433

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)17.40
Daily leverage (max)120.85

Regression

Alpha0.58
Beta0.09
Treynor Index6.89

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.05
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.07
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.08
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.03
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades78.20
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.81
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats89.53
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats72.28
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.42
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-2.11
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.01

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean11.35
SD8.15
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.39
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.21
df6
t1.06
p0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.34
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.02
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.45
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.87
Sortino ratio235.48
Upside Potential Ratio237.03
Upside part of mean11.42
Downside part of mean-0.07
Upside SD8.22
Downside SD0.05
N nonnegative terms3
N negative terms4
N of observations7
Mean of predictor0.34
Mean of criterion11.35
SD of predictor0.08
SD of criterion8.15
Covariance-0.41
r-0.67
b (slope, estimate of beta)-72.09
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)36.16
Mean Square Error43.77
DF error5
t(b)-2.02
p(b)0.95
t(a)2.41
p(a)0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-163.64
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta19.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.43
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha74.75
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.16
Jensen alpha (a)36.16
Mean3.91
SD2.56
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.53
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.33
df6
t1.17
p0.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.18
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.35
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.00
Sortino ratio79.89
Upside Potential Ratio81.43
Upside part of mean3.99
Downside part of mean-0.08
Upside SD2.62
Downside SD0.05
N nonnegative terms3
N negative terms4
N of observations7
Mean of predictor0.34
Mean of criterion3.91
SD of predictor0.07
SD of criterion2.56
Covariance-0.12
r-0.63
b (slope, estimate of beta)-21.88
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)11.27
Mean Square Error4.74
DF error5
t(b)-1.81
p(b)0.94
t(a)2.27
p(a)0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-52.90
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta9.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.48
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha24.02
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.18
Jensen alpha (a)11.27
VaR(95%)0.59
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.69
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean4.52
SD1.46
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)3.09
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)3.08
df173
t2.52
p0.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.66
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.51
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.65
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.50
Sortino ratio6.17
Upside Potential Ratio8.89
Upside part of mean6.52
Downside part of mean-2.00
Upside SD1.29
Downside SD0.73
N nonnegative terms41
N negative terms133
N of observations174
Mean of predictor0.50
Mean of criterion4.52
SD of predictor0.30
SD of criterion1.46
Covariance-0.00
r-0.00
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)4.53
Mean Square Error2.15
DF error172
t(b)-0.04
p(b)0.50
t(a)2.50
p(a)0.41
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.76
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.73
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.96
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha8.10
Treynor index (mean / b)-269.64
Jensen alpha (a)4.53
Mean3.43
SD1.49
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.31
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.30
df173
t1.88
p0.41
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.72
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.12
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.71
Sortino ratio3.41
Upside Potential Ratio5.80
Upside part of mean5.84
Downside part of mean-2.41
Upside SD1.11
Downside SD1.01
N nonnegative terms41
N negative terms133
N of observations174
Mean of predictor0.46
Mean of criterion3.43
SD of predictor0.29
SD of criterion1.49
Covariance-0.00
r-0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.06
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)3.46
Mean Square Error2.23
DF error172
t(b)-0.14
p(b)0.51
t(a)1.88
p(a)0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.84
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.73
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha7.09
Treynor index (mean / b)-59.60
Jensen alpha (a)3.46
VaR(95%)0.13
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.16
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
Mean0.03
SD0.19
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.15
df130
t0.11
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.62
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.92
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.62
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.92
Sortino ratio0.23
Upside Potential Ratio3.68
Upside part of mean0.44
Downside part of mean-0.42
Upside SD0.14
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms8
N negative terms123
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.55
Mean of criterion0.03
SD of predictor0.27
SD of criterion0.19
Covariance-0.00
r-0.00
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.03
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error129
t(b)-0.03
p(b)0.50
t(a)0.11
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.12
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.50
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.55
Treynor index (mean / b)-14.12
Jensen alpha (a)0.03
Mean0.01
SD0.19
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.06
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.06
df130
t0.04
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.71
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.83
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.71
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.83
Sortino ratio0.09
Upside Potential Ratio3.50
Upside part of mean0.44
Downside part of mean-0.42
Upside SD0.14
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms8
N negative terms123
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.51
Mean of criterion0.01
SD of predictor0.26
SD of criterion0.19
Covariance-0.00
r-0.00
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.01
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error129
t(b)-0.04
p(b)0.50
t(a)0.05
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.13
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.12
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.51
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.54
Treynor index (mean / b)-4.42
Jensen alpha (a)0.01
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations7
Minimum0.97
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.20
Maximum7.27
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.06
Mean of quarter 44.30
Inter Quartile Range0.20
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high7.27
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations174
Minimum0.46
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.55
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.10
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low24
Percentage of outliers low0.14
Mean of outliers low0.95
Number of outliers high41
Percentage of outliers high0.24
Mean of outliers high1.11
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.00
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations131
Minimum0.93
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.06
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low14
Percentage of outliers low0.11
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high8
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.47
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.03
Quartile 10.03
Median0.03
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.03
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations9
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.02
Median0.05
Quartile 30.13
Maximum0.66
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.05
Mean of quarter 30.09
Mean of quarter 40.41
Inter Quartile Range0.11
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high0.66
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.60
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.41
Expected Shortfall (moments method)1.14
Extreme Value Index (regression method)3.12
VaR(95%) (regression method)1.52
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations4
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.01
Quartile 30.05
Maximum0.16
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.16
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.25
Mean of outliers high0.16
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-391819936
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)3
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)15.35
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)50.40
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1471.38
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal73.29
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)13.49
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)30.83
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)46.76
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs75.71
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal191.06
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.04
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.04
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.26
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.26
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.72

Trading record

Placed 667 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
QMGC Q5long16Jun 26, 2025Jul 1, 2025$813
LE Q5long12Jun 24, 2025Jun 24, 2025($3,956)
QMGC Q5long16Jun 24, 2025Jun 24, 2025$97
QMGC Q5long8Jun 16, 2025Jun 24, 2025($5,778)
QMGC Q5short20Jun 10, 2025Jun 11, 2025$722
QMGC Q5short16Jun 10, 2025Jun 10, 2025($79)
QMGC Q5short16Jun 6, 2025Jun 6, 2025$1,657
QC N5short8Jun 3, 2025Jun 3, 2025($1,264)
QC N5long8Jun 3, 2025Jun 3, 2025$936
QC N5long8Jun 2, 2025Jun 3, 2025($264)
QMGC Q5short20Jun 2, 2025Jun 2, 2025$2,461
QC N5short10Jun 2, 2025Jun 2, 2025$1,170
QC N5long10Jun 2, 2025Jun 2, 2025$1,520
QC N5short10Jun 2, 2025Jun 2, 2025$9,920
QMGC Q5short20Jun 2, 2025Jun 2, 2025$99
QHG N5short4Jun 2, 2025Jun 2, 2025($232)
QMGC Q5short20Jun 2, 2025Jun 2, 2025($6,384)
QMGC Q5long20May 30, 2025May 30, 2025$974
QMGC Q5short20May 29, 2025May 29, 2025($1,077)
QMGC Q5short20May 28, 2025May 28, 2025$1,330
QMGC Q5long20May 27, 2025May 27, 2025$342
QMGC Q5long20May 27, 2025May 27, 2025$1,339
QMGC Q5short20May 27, 2025May 27, 2025$878
QMGC Q5short20May 25, 2025May 27, 2025$3,666
QMGC M5short20May 23, 2025May 25, 2025($2,786)
LE Q5short12May 22, 2025May 22, 2025($4,896)
QMGC M5short16May 22, 2025May 22, 2025$141
QMGC M5long16May 22, 2025May 22, 2025($1,115)
QMGC M5long24May 22, 2025May 22, 2025$775
QMGC M5long24May 22, 2025May 22, 2025$335

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.