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High Frequency Stocks

Options · Started Jun 2023

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-84.9%
Max Drawdown
91.8%
Trades
124
Win Trades
35.5%
Profit Factor
0.90
Win Months
7.7%

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2023-15.7144.6-49.7-5.2-9.6-41.3200.657.0
2024-53.487.4-81.2-30.30.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-88.5
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began6/23/2023
Suggested Minimum Capital$25,000
Age39 months
What it tradesOptions
# Trades124
# Profitable44
% Profitable35.5%
Avg trade duration3.9 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown91.8%
drawdown periodOct 12, 2023 - April 27, 2024
Cumul. Return-82.0%
Avg win$3,605
Avg loss$2,134

Ratios

W:L ratio0.93
Sharpe Ratio0.28
Sortino Ratio0.55
Calmar Ratio-0.59

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.08
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life75.7%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-103.8%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-84.9%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.8%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)-18.6%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity1124.7%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options1.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss98.5%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)92.5%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)89.5%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)84.5%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)65.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)879
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)639

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$2,134
Avg Win$3,605
# Winners44
Sum Trade PL (losers)$170,705
Sum Trade PL (winners)$158,608
Num Months Winners3
# Losers80
% Winners35.5%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table39

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)5554.30
Avg Position Time (hrs)92.57
Avg Trade Length3.90
Last Trade Ago855

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)27.26
Daily leverage (max)146.27

Regression

Alpha0.11
Beta0.90
Treynor Index0.17

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.13
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.02
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.15
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.07
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-11.01
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.23
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.32
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.23
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.09

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean1.57
SD2.39
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.65
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.60
df9
t0.60
p0.28
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.53
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.80
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.57
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.76
Sortino ratio1.34
Upside Potential Ratio3.54
Upside part of mean4.15
Downside part of mean-2.58
Upside SD2.00
Downside SD1.17
N nonnegative terms5
N negative terms5
N of observations10
Mean of predictor0.19
Mean of criterion1.57
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion2.39
Covariance0.08
r0.22
b (slope, estimate of beta)3.45
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.90
Mean Square Error6.13
DF error8
t(b)0.64
p(b)0.27
t(a)0.31
p(a)0.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-9.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta15.96
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-5.82
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha7.61
Treynor index (mean / b)0.45
Jensen alpha (a)0.90
Mean-0.82
SD2.35
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.35
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.32
df9
t-0.32
p0.62
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.49
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.81
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.47
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.83
Sortino ratio-0.46
Upside Potential Ratio1.65
Upside part of mean2.93
Downside part of mean-3.76
Upside SD1.37
Downside SD1.77
N nonnegative terms5
N negative terms5
N of observations10
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion-0.82
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion2.35
Covariance0.06
r0.17
b (slope, estimate of beta)2.65
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-1.31
Mean Square Error6.03
DF error8
t(b)0.48
p(b)0.32
t(a)-0.46
p(a)0.67
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-10.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta15.35
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-7.93
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha5.31
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.31
Jensen alpha (a)-1.31
VaR(95%)0.69
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.76
VaR(95%)0.50
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.81
Mean1.56
SD2.37
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.66
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.65
df224
t0.61
p0.27
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.46
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.77
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.46
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.77
Sortino ratio1.24
Upside Potential Ratio9.94
Upside part of mean12.42
Downside part of mean-10.87
Upside SD2.01
Downside SD1.25
N nonnegative terms92
N negative terms133
N of observations225
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion1.56
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion2.37
Covariance0.05
r0.19
b (slope, estimate of beta)3.87
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.88
Mean Square Error5.44
DF error223
t(b)2.93
p(b)0.00
t(a)0.30
p(a)0.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.27
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta6.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-4.24
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha5.74
Treynor index (mean / b)0.40
Jensen alpha (a)0.75
Mean-0.80
SD2.11
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.38
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.38
df224
t-0.35
p0.64
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.49
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.74
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.49
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.74
Sortino ratio-0.58
Upside Potential Ratio7.92
Upside part of mean10.96
Downside part of mean-11.76
Upside SD1.59
Downside SD1.38
N nonnegative terms92
N negative terms133
N of observations225
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion-0.80
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion2.11
Covariance0.05
r0.20
b (slope, estimate of beta)3.54
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-1.51
Mean Square Error4.30
DF error223
t(b)3.02
p(b)0.00
t(a)-0.67
p(a)0.75
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta5.85
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-5.95
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.92
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.23
Jensen alpha (a)-1.51
VaR(95%)0.20
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.24
VaR(95%)0.11
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.19
Mean2.50
SD2.77
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.90
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.90
df130
t0.64
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.87
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.68
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.88
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.67
Sortino ratio1.78
Upside Potential Ratio10.30
Upside part of mean14.48
Downside part of mean-11.97
Upside SD2.38
Downside SD1.41
N nonnegative terms54
N negative terms77
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.37
Mean of criterion2.50
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion2.77
Covariance0.07
r0.23
b (slope, estimate of beta)5.53
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.48
Mean Square Error7.32
DF error129
t(b)2.64
p(b)0.36
t(a)0.12
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.39
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta9.67
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-7.24
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha8.20
Treynor index (mean / b)0.45
Jensen alpha (a)0.48
Mean-0.61
SD2.42
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.25
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.25
df130
t-0.18
p0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.52
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.02
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.52
Sortino ratio-0.39
Upside Potential Ratio7.96
Upside part of mean12.51
Downside part of mean-13.12
Upside SD1.82
Downside SD1.57
N nonnegative terms54
N negative terms77
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.36
Mean of criterion-0.61
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion2.42
Covariance0.07
r0.24
b (slope, estimate of beta)5.19
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-2.47
Mean Square Error5.53
DF error129
t(b)2.85
p(b)0.35
t(a)-0.73
p(a)0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.59
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta8.80
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-9.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha4.24
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.12
Jensen alpha (a)-2.47
VaR(95%)0.22
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.27
VaR(95%)0.12
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.21

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations10
Minimum0.33
Quartile 10.57
Median0.99
Quartile 31.66
Maximum2.27
Mean of quarter 10.42
Mean of quarter 20.80
Mean of quarter 31.21
Mean of quarter 42.01
Inter Quartile Range1.09
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-14.61
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.62
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.62
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-1.93
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.75
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.76
Number of observations225
Minimum0.69
Quartile 10.94
Median1.00
Quartile 31.05
Maximum2.21
Mean of quarter 10.86
Mean of quarter 20.97
Mean of quarter 31.02
Mean of quarter 41.17
Inter Quartile Range0.12
Number outliers low4
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.72
Number of outliers high10
Percentage of outliers high0.04
Mean of outliers high1.45
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.37
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.14
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.16
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.25
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.13
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.15
Number of observations131
Minimum0.69
Quartile 10.92
Median1
Quartile 31.06
Maximum2.21
Mean of quarter 10.84
Mean of quarter 20.98
Mean of quarter 31.02
Mean of quarter 41.20
Inter Quartile Range0.13
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.70
Number of outliers high6
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high1.54
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.43
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.16
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.19
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.31
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.15
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.18

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.74
Quartile 10.74
Median0.74
Quartile 30.74
Maximum0.74
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations4
Minimum0.04
Quartile 10.22
Median0.45
Quartile 30.67
Maximum0.79
Mean of quarter 10.04
Mean of quarter 20.28
Mean of quarter 30.63
Mean of quarter 40.79
Inter Quartile Range0.45
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations5
Minimum0.10
Quartile 10.31
Median0.54
Quartile 30.64
Maximum0.75
Mean of quarter 10.21
Mean of quarter 20.54
Mean of quarter 30.64
Mean of quarter 40.75
Inter Quartile Range0.32
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-391376416
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)198
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.58
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.55
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.74
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.72
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.56
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.54
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.68
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.68
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-2.27
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.50
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.44
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.59
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.59
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-1.66

Trading record

Placed 584 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
IWM2426D210 long6Apr 1, 2024Apr 27, 2024($2,229)
BA2412P180 long32Mar 15, 2024Apr 1, 2024($14,425)
IWM2428C200 long40Feb 9, 2024Mar 15, 2024($3,991)
SPY2415C500 long35Feb 2, 2024Feb 9, 2024$11,007
PLTR2416N16 long235Feb 1, 2024Feb 2, 2024($2,934)
IWM2401C200 long34Jan 22, 2024Jan 31, 2024($6,730)
IWM2423B200 long15Jan 22, 2024Jan 31, 2024($2,749)
IWM2423B195 long20Jan 24, 2024Jan 24, 2024($538)
IWM2409B194.5 long20Jan 11, 2024Jan 24, 2024$322
SPY2402B477 long20Jan 11, 2024Jan 22, 2024$10,876
SPY2426A474 long10Jan 9, 2024Jan 11, 2024($354)
SPY2426A476 long10Jan 9, 2024Jan 11, 2024($304)
SPY2426A473 long10Jan 9, 2024Jan 11, 2024$264
AAPL2415C200 long40Jan 2, 2024Jan 9, 2024($4,771)
AAPL2416B190 long20Jan 2, 2024Jan 9, 2024($4,128)
GDX2421F37 long40Dec 26, 2023Jan 9, 2024($2,736)
GLD2416B191 long15Dec 21, 2023Jan 9, 2024($2,521)
AAPL2419D200 long10Jan 2, 2024Jan 9, 2024($634)
SPY2417M464 long21Jan 5, 2024Jan 9, 2024($3,434)
SPY2426A470 long10Jan 5, 2024Jan 5, 2024($794)
SPY2402B473 long10Jan 2, 2024Jan 3, 2024($1,719)
AAPL2402B195 long10Dec 28, 2023Dec 29, 2023($832)
SPY2419A475 long10Dec 27, 2023Dec 29, 2023($254)
SPY2419A476 long10Dec 27, 2023Dec 27, 2023($494)
SPY2419A479 long20Dec 22, 2023Dec 27, 2023$922
IWM2426A200 long10Dec 21, 2023Dec 26, 2023$2,551
IWM2426A201 long10Dec 22, 2023Dec 26, 2023$1,211
AAPL2426A195 long10Dec 22, 2023Dec 22, 2023($384)
GLD2428C210 long40Dec 21, 2023Dec 22, 2023$1,989
IWM2426A199 long10Dec 21, 2023Dec 21, 2023($509)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.