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C2Star GREENAPPLES

Equity · Futures · Started Feb 2023

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-13.1%
Max Drawdown
51.6%
Trades
371
Win Trades
69.8%
Profit Factor
1.10
Win Months
14.0%

About this strategy

20-25K will be sufficient to trade using this strategy.

Trend-following

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2023-0.720.86.1-1.38.30.7-5.0-47.620.99.30.0-9.8
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began2/28/2023
Suggested Minimum Capital$22,410
Age43 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades371
# Profitable259
% Profitable69.8%
Avg trade duration10.1 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown51.6%
drawdown periodAug 04, 2023 - Oct 02, 2023
Cumul. Return-9.6%
Avg win$199
Avg loss$420

Ratios

W:L ratio1.09
Sharpe Ratio-0.06
Sortino Ratio-0.08
Calmar Ratio0.50

Verified

C2Star0

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.04
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life92.3%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-20.7%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-13.1%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)5.2%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity56.1%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss72.0%
Chance of 20% account loss43.0%
Chance of 30% account loss19.0%
Chance of 40% account loss4.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.5%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated48.1%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)731
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)448

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$420
Avg Win$199
# Winners259
Sum Trade PL (losers)$47,024
Sum Trade PL (winners)$51,456
Num Months Winners7
# Losers112
% Winners69.8%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table43

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)604.43
Avg Position Time (hrs)10.07
Avg Trade Length0.40
Last Trade Ago1022

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)7.62
Daily leverage (max)25.66

Regression

Alpha-0.01
Beta0.06
Treynor Index-0.09

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.03
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-27.32
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.83
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats60.09
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats73.89
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.17
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.44
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.04

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.35
SD0.65
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.54
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.48
df7
t0.44
p0.34
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.90
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.93
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.94
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.89
Sortino ratio0.76
Upside Potential Ratio2.18
Upside part of mean1.00
Downside part of mean-0.65
Upside SD0.41
Downside SD0.46
N nonnegative terms5
N negative terms3
N of observations8
Mean of predictor0.06
Mean of criterion0.35
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.65
Covariance0.05
r0.60
b (slope, estimate of beta)3.21
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.15
Mean Square Error0.32
DF error6
t(b)1.84
p(b)0.06
t(a)0.22
p(a)0.42
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta7.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.56
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.86
Treynor index (mean / b)0.11
Jensen alpha (a)0.15
Mean0.13
SD0.73
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.18
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.16
df7
t0.15
p0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.58
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.24
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.56
Sortino ratio0.23
Upside Potential Ratio1.62
Upside part of mean0.93
Downside part of mean-0.79
Upside SD0.38
Downside SD0.57
N nonnegative terms5
N negative terms3
N of observations8
Mean of predictor0.05
Mean of criterion0.13
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.73
Covariance0.06
r0.64
b (slope, estimate of beta)3.86
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.08
Mean Square Error0.37
DF error6
t(b)2.05
p(b)0.04
t(a)-0.10
p(a)0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.74
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta8.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.91
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.76
Treynor index (mean / b)0.03
Jensen alpha (a)-0.08
VaR(95%)0.29
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.34
VaR(95%)0.10
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.22
Mean0.32
SD0.45
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.72
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.71
df183
t0.60
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.63
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.05
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.63
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.05
Sortino ratio0.94
Upside Potential Ratio7.36
Upside part of mean2.53
Downside part of mean-2.20
Upside SD0.29
Downside SD0.34
N nonnegative terms107
N negative terms77
N of observations184
Mean of predictor0.13
Mean of criterion0.32
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.45
Covariance0.01
r0.09
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.32
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.20
Mean Square Error0.20
DF error182
t(b)1.26
p(b)0.45
t(a)0.52
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.83
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.78
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.35
Treynor index (mean / b)1.00
Jensen alpha (a)0.28
Mean0.22
SD0.46
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.48
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.48
df183
t0.40
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.86
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.82
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.86
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.82
Sortino ratio0.61
Upside Potential Ratio6.95
Upside part of mean2.49
Downside part of mean-2.27
Upside SD0.29
Downside SD0.36
N nonnegative terms107
N negative terms77
N of observations184
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.22
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.46
Covariance0.01
r0.09
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.33
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.18
Mean Square Error0.21
DF error182
t(b)1.27
p(b)0.45
t(a)0.33
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.85
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.90
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.26
Treynor index (mean / b)0.67
Jensen alpha (a)0.18
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
Mean-0.15
SD0.44
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.34
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.34
df130
t-0.24
p0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.44
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.11
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.44
Sortino ratio-0.41
Upside Potential Ratio5.81
Upside part of mean2.11
Downside part of mean-2.26
Upside SD0.25
Downside SD0.36
N nonnegative terms75
N negative terms56
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.11
Mean of criterion-0.15
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.44
Covariance0.01
r0.20
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.73
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.23
Mean Square Error0.19
DF error129
t(b)2.34
p(b)0.37
t(a)-0.38
p(a)0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.36
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.45
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.98
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.20
Jensen alpha (a)-0.23
Mean-0.25
SD0.45
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.55
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.55
df130
t-0.39
p0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.32
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.22
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.32
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.22
Sortino ratio-0.65
Upside Potential Ratio5.47
Upside part of mean2.08
Downside part of mean-2.33
Upside SD0.24
Downside SD0.38
N nonnegative terms75
N negative terms56
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.11
Mean of criterion-0.25
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.45
Covariance0.01
r0.20
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.74
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.33
Mean Square Error0.20
DF error129
t(b)2.29
p(b)0.37
t(a)-0.52
p(a)0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.10
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.58
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.92
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.34
Jensen alpha (a)-0.33
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations8
Minimum0.63
Quartile 10.98
Median1.07
Quartile 31.14
Maximum1.22
Mean of quarter 10.79
Mean of quarter 21.01
Mean of quarter 31.11
Mean of quarter 41.21
Inter Quartile Range0.16
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.12
Mean of outliers low0.63
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations184
Minimum0.87
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.09
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low14
Percentage of outliers low0.08
Mean of outliers low0.93
Number of outliers high10
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high1.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.36
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.05
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.06
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.05
Number of observations131
Minimum0.87
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.09
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low9
Percentage of outliers low0.07
Mean of outliers low0.93
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.37
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.05
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.21
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.06

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.11
Median0.21
Quartile 30.30
Maximum0.40
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.40
Inter Quartile Range0.19
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations9
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.03
Median0.12
Quartile 30.14
Maximum0.41
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.09
Mean of quarter 30.13
Mean of quarter 40.30
Inter Quartile Range0.11
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high0.41
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.75
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.29
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.33
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.83
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.49
Expected Shortfall (regression method)2.70
Number of observations6
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.05
Median0.09
Quartile 30.18
Maximum0.41
Mean of quarter 10.03
Mean of quarter 20.07
Mean of quarter 30.12
Mean of quarter 40.30
Inter Quartile Range0.13
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high0.41
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-338872608
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)59
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.17
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.17
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.43
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.43
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.50
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.27
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.28
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.69
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.93
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal5.02
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.21
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.20
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.49
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.66
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-3.49

Trading record

Placed 622 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
MNQ Z3long5Nov 13, 2023Nov 13, 2023$30
QMGC Z3long5Nov 13, 2023Nov 13, 2023$147
QMCL Z3long3Nov 13, 2023Nov 13, 2023$50
QMCL Z3short3Nov 13, 2023Nov 13, 2023($137)
MNQ Z3long5Nov 13, 2023Nov 13, 2023$101
QMCL Z3long3Nov 13, 2023Nov 13, 2023$67
QMCL Z3short3Nov 13, 2023Nov 13, 2023$41
QMCL Z3long3Nov 13, 2023Nov 13, 2023($38)
QMCL Z3short3Nov 13, 2023Nov 13, 2023($41)
QMGC Z3long5Nov 9, 2023Nov 9, 2023$132
MNQ Z3short5Nov 9, 2023Nov 9, 2023$116
QMCL Z3long3Nov 9, 2023Nov 9, 2023$50
QMCL Z3short3Nov 9, 2023Nov 9, 2023$65
QMCL Z3long3Nov 9, 2023Nov 9, 2023$53
QMCL Z3short3Nov 9, 2023Nov 9, 2023$50
QMCL Z3long3Nov 9, 2023Nov 9, 2023($71)
QMCL Z3short3Nov 9, 2023Nov 9, 2023($44)
MNQ Z3long5Nov 9, 2023Nov 9, 2023($315)
MNQ Z3short5Nov 8, 2023Nov 8, 2023$156
QMGC Z3short5Nov 8, 2023Nov 8, 2023$117
QMCL Z3short3Nov 8, 2023Nov 8, 2023$56
MNQ Z3long10Nov 7, 2023Nov 7, 2023$145
MNQ Z3long5Nov 7, 2023Nov 7, 2023$192
QMCL Z3long3Nov 7, 2023Nov 7, 2023$38
QMCL Z3short3Nov 7, 2023Nov 7, 2023$40
MNQ Z3long5Nov 6, 2023Nov 6, 2023$178
QMGC Z3short5Nov 5, 2023Nov 5, 2023$122
QMGC Z3long5Nov 2, 2023Nov 3, 2023$139
MYM Z3long5Nov 2, 2023Nov 2, 2023$98
MNQ Z3long5Nov 1, 2023Nov 1, 2023$174

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.