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MNQ Trades

Futures · Futures · Started Dec 2022

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
8.3%
Max Drawdown
51.0%
Trades
327
Win Trades
45.3%
Profit Factor
1.10
Win Months
47.8%
Subscribe $149/mo

About this strategy

day trades MNQ with 1 MNQ per 5000 USD in model account

Financials / Indexes

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2022-2.5-2.5
202312.2-4.720.29.22.43.7-4.41.1-7.0-3.416.4-0.949.4
20247.95.7-5.17.9-4.03.2-1.712.98.9-9.6-9.43.218.2
2025-6.0-9.1-4.315.0-5.4-3.1-0.54.0-8.48.9-6.0-1.7-17.8
2026-10.51.6-15.729.3-3.72.5-9.95.13.6-4.1

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began12/2/2022
Suggested Minimum Capital$40,000
Age46 months
C2 Rank231
What it tradesFutures
# Trades327
# Profitable148
% Profitable45.3%
Avg trade duration2.7 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown51.0%
drawdown periodSept 18, 2024 - April 13, 2026
Annual Return (Compounded)8.3%
Avg win$1,391
Avg loss$1,040

Ratios

W:L ratio1.11
Sharpe Ratio0.32
Sortino Ratio0.52
Calmar Ratio0.37

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.21
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life87.7%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-52.4%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)8.3%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)14.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity53.5%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.5%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss68.5%
Chance of 20% account loss27.5%
Chance of 30% account loss14.5%
Chance of 40% account loss2.5%
Chance of 50% account loss0.5%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated99.1%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)743
C2 Score231
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)522

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$1,040
Avg Win$1,391
# Winners148
Sum Trade PL (losers)$186,199
Sum Trade PL (winners)$205,931
Num Months Winners22
# Losers179
% Winners45.3%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table46

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)160.70
Avg Position Time (hrs)2.68
Avg Trade Length0.10
Last Trade Ago0

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)7.15
Daily leverage (max)10.90

Regression

Alpha0.01
Beta0.34
Treynor Index0.07

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.02
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.03
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-58.14
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.61
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats36.55
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats18.06
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.36
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.28
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.02

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.14
SD0.25
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.58
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.57
df43
t1.10
p0.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.46
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.60
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.47
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.60
Sortino ratio1.00
Upside Potential Ratio2.97
Upside part of mean0.43
Downside part of mean-0.28
Upside SD0.21
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms24
N negative terms20
N of observations44
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.14
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.25
Covariance0.02
r0.46
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.86
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.01
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error42
t(b)3.35
p(b)0.00
t(a)0.09
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.34
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.37
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.24
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.26
Treynor index (mean / b)0.17
Jensen alpha (a)0.01
Mean0.11
SD0.25
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.46
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.45
df43
t0.88
p0.19
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.57
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.49
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.58
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.48
Sortino ratio0.75
Upside Potential Ratio2.71
Upside part of mean0.41
Downside part of mean-0.29
Upside SD0.19
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms24
N negative terms20
N of observations44
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.11
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.25
Covariance0.01
r0.46
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.84
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.01
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error42
t(b)3.34
p(b)0.00
t(a)-0.08
p(a)0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.35
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.25
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.23
Treynor index (mean / b)0.13
Jensen alpha (a)-0.01
VaR(95%)0.10
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.13
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.09
Mean0.13
SD0.22
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.60
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.60
df976
t1.16
p0.12
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.42
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.61
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.42
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.61
Sortino ratio1.02
Upside Potential Ratio7.90
Upside part of mean1.03
Downside part of mean-0.90
Upside SD0.18
Downside SD0.13
N nonnegative terms227
N negative terms750
N of observations977
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.13
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.22
Covariance0.01
r0.22
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.32
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.08
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error975
t(b)6.88
p(b)0
t(a)0.75
p(a)0.23
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.41
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.31
Treynor index (mean / b)0.41
Jensen alpha (a)0.08
Mean0.11
SD0.22
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.49
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.49
df976
t0.95
p0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.52
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.51
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.52
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.51
Sortino ratio0.82
Upside Potential Ratio7.67
Upside part of mean1.01
Downside part of mean-0.91
Upside SD0.18
Downside SD0.13
N nonnegative terms227
N negative terms750
N of observations977
Mean of predictor0.14
Mean of criterion0.11
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.22
Covariance0.01
r0.21
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.32
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.06
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error975
t(b)6.83
p(b)0
t(a)0.57
p(a)0.28
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.41
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.28
Treynor index (mean / b)0.34
Jensen alpha (a)0.06
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0.12
SD0.28
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.43
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.43
df130
t0.31
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.34
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.21
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.34
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.20
Sortino ratio0.75
Upside Potential Ratio7.75
Upside part of mean1.27
Downside part of mean-1.15
Upside SD0.23
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms25
N negative terms106
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.22
Mean of criterion0.12
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.28
Covariance0.01
r0.22
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.45
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.02
Mean Square Error0.08
DF error129
t(b)2.56
p(b)0.36
t(a)0.06
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.80
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.76
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.81
Treynor index (mean / b)0.27
Jensen alpha (a)0.02
Mean0.08
SD0.28
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.30
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.30
df130
t0.21
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.47
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.07
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.47
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.07
Sortino ratio0.50
Upside Potential Ratio7.47
Upside part of mean1.24
Downside part of mean-1.16
Upside SD0.22
Downside SD0.17
N nonnegative terms25
N negative terms106
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion0.08
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.28
Covariance0.01
r0.22
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.44
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.01
Mean Square Error0.08
DF error129
t(b)2.53
p(b)0.36
t(a)-0.02
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.10
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.79
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.78
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.76
Treynor index (mean / b)0.19
Jensen alpha (a)-0.01
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations44
Minimum0.86
Quartile 10.95
Median1.01
Quartile 31.06
Maximum1.20
Mean of quarter 10.93
Mean of quarter 20.98
Mean of quarter 31.04
Mean of quarter 41.11
Inter Quartile Range0.11
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.23
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.08
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.11
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.82
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.23
Number of observations977
Minimum0.95
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.10
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low218
Percentage of outliers low0.22
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high204
Percentage of outliers high0.21
Mean of outliers high1.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-1.06
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.25
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum0.95
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.07
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low21
Percentage of outliers low0.16
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high19
Percentage of outliers high0.15
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.44
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.25
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations7
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.03
Median0.05
Quartile 30.07
Maximum0.31
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.04
Mean of quarter 30.06
Mean of quarter 40.19
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high0.31
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations20
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.03
Quartile 30.08
Maximum0.40
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.06
Mean of quarter 40.16
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high0.40
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.58
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.19
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.44
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.66
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.18
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations4
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.06
Median0.11
Quartile 30.16
Maximum0.18
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.07
Mean of quarter 30.15
Mean of quarter 40.18
Inter Quartile Range0.10
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-431174560
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)572
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.2%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.18
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.15
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.49
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.78
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.19
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.18
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.15
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.37
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.92
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal5.37
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.12
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.12
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.67
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.67
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal3.40

Trading record

Placed 499 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
MNQ U6short6Sep 9, 2026Sep 9, 2026($246)
MNQ U6long6Sep 4, 2026Sep 4, 2026($741)
MNQ U6long6Sep 3, 2026Sep 3, 2026$2,400
MNQ U6short3Aug 28, 2026Aug 28, 2026($248)
MNQ U6short3Aug 28, 2026Aug 28, 2026($272)
MNQ U6short3Aug 28, 2026Aug 28, 2026($168)
MNQ U6long3Aug 28, 2026Aug 28, 2026($593)
MNQ U6long3Aug 27, 2026Aug 27, 2026$606
MNQ U6long3Aug 27, 2026Aug 27, 2026($248)
MNQ U6long3Aug 27, 2026Aug 27, 2026($192)
MNQ U6long3Aug 27, 2026Aug 27, 2026$188
MNQ U6long3Aug 27, 2026Aug 27, 2026($452)
MNQ U6short3Aug 27, 2026Aug 27, 2026($96)
MNQ U6long5Aug 21, 2026Aug 21, 2026($555)
MNQ U6long5Aug 12, 2026Aug 12, 2026($333)
MNQ U6long5Aug 7, 2026Aug 7, 2026($1,580)
MNQ U6long5Aug 4, 2026Aug 4, 2026$4,995
MNQ U6long5Aug 3, 2026Aug 3, 2026$1,015
MNQ U6long5Jul 31, 2026Jul 31, 2026($1,895)
MNQ U6long5Jul 30, 2026Jul 30, 2026($808)
MNQ U6long5Jul 21, 2026Jul 21, 2026$890
MNQ U6long5Jul 21, 2026Jul 21, 2026($855)
MNQ U6long5Jul 14, 2026Jul 14, 2026($963)
MNQ U6long5Jul 10, 2026Jul 10, 2026$573
MNQ U6long5Jul 6, 2026Jul 6, 2026($878)
MNQ U6long5Jun 30, 2026Jun 30, 2026$2,088
MNQ U6long5Jun 29, 2026Jun 29, 2026$2,220
MNQ U6long6Jun 18, 2026Jun 18, 2026$1,944
MNQ M6long6Jun 15, 2026Jun 15, 2026$1,776
MNQ M6long6Jun 12, 2026Jun 12, 2026($2,076)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.