Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

handleit

Futures · Futures · Started Dec 2022

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-6.5%
Max Drawdown
88.0%
Trades
458
Win Trades
51.5%
Profit Factor
1
Win Months
20.0%

Momentum

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20222.52.5
202319.57.88.01.91.5-1.5-1.512.9-78.1-43.3237.415.1-24.2
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began12/1/2022
Suggested Minimum Capital$30,655
Age46 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades458
# Profitable236
% Profitable51.5%
Avg trade duration11.9 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown88.0%
drawdown periodSept 11, 2023 - Oct 24, 2023
Annual Return (Compounded)-6.5%
Avg win$380
Avg loss$406

Ratios

W:L ratio1
Sharpe Ratio0.15
Sortino Ratio0.25
Calmar Ratio-0.01

Verified

C2Star0

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.14
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life87.4%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-111.4%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-6.5%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)-0.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity114.4%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.8%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss78.0%
Chance of 40% account loss60.0%
Chance of 50% account loss30.5%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)5.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated99.5%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$406
Avg Win$380
# Winners236
Sum Trade PL (losers)$90,043
Sum Trade PL (winners)$89,689
Num Months Winners9
# Losers222
% Winners51.5%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table45

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)713.58
Avg Position Time (hrs)11.89
Avg Trade Length0.50
Last Trade Ago1077

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)5.89
Daily leverage (max)66.45

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0.62
Treynor Index0.05

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.03
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-5.29
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.05
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats46.93
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats74.43
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.74
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.26
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.19

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.15
SD0.56
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.27
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.25
df11
t0.27
p0.40
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.70
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.22
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.72
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.21
Sortino ratio0.33
Upside Potential Ratio1.40
Upside part of mean0.64
Downside part of mean-0.49
Upside SD0.29
Downside SD0.46
N nonnegative terms8
N negative terms4
N of observations12
Mean of predictor0.53
Mean of criterion0.15
SD of predictor0.26
SD of criterion0.56
Covariance-0.04
r-0.30
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.65
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.50
Mean Square Error0.31
DF error10
t(b)-1.00
p(b)0.83
t(a)0.75
p(a)0.23
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-2.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.80
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.97
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.97
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.23
Jensen alpha (a)0.50
Mean-0.04
SD0.69
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.06
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.05
df11
t-0.06
p0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.90
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.01
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.91
Sortino ratio-0.07
Upside Potential Ratio0.99
Upside part of mean0.60
Downside part of mean-0.64
Upside SD0.26
Downside SD0.60
N nonnegative terms8
N negative terms4
N of observations12
Mean of predictor0.49
Mean of criterion-0.04
SD of predictor0.24
SD of criterion0.69
Covariance-0.05
r-0.31
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.86
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.39
Mean Square Error0.47
DF error10
t(b)-1.02
p(b)0.83
t(a)0.48
p(a)0.32
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-2.76
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.41
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.18
Treynor index (mean / b)0.05
Jensen alpha (a)0.39
VaR(95%)0.28
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.34
VaR(95%)0.07
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.16
Mean0.34
SD0.85
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.40
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.40
df275
t0.41
p0.34
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.51
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.31
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.51
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.31
Sortino ratio0.58
Upside Potential Ratio3.52
Upside part of mean2.05
Downside part of mean-1.71
Upside SD0.61
Downside SD0.58
N nonnegative terms88
N negative terms188
N of observations276
Mean of predictor0.62
Mean of criterion0.34
SD of predictor0.28
SD of criterion0.85
Covariance0.04
r0.15
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.47
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.04
Mean Square Error0.70
DF error274
t(b)2.57
p(b)0.01
t(a)0.06
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.83
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.58
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.67
Treynor index (mean / b)0.72
Jensen alpha (a)0.05
Mean-0.04
SD0.89
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.04
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.04
df275
t-0.04
p0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.95
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.87
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.95
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.87
Sortino ratio-0.06
Upside Potential Ratio2.68
Upside part of mean1.89
Downside part of mean-1.93
Upside SD0.54
Downside SD0.71
N nonnegative terms88
N negative terms188
N of observations276
Mean of predictor0.58
Mean of criterion-0.04
SD of predictor0.28
SD of criterion0.89
Covariance0.03
r0.14
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.45
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.30
Mean Square Error0.78
DF error274
t(b)2.33
p(b)0.01
t(a)-0.35
p(a)0.64
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.83
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.41
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.09
Jensen alpha (a)-0.30
VaR(95%)0.09
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.11
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
Mean-0.20
SD1.21
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.17
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.17
df130
t-0.12
p0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.94
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.60
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.94
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.61
Sortino ratio-0.24
Upside Potential Ratio3.63
Upside part of mean3.06
Downside part of mean-3.26
Upside SD0.86
Downside SD0.84
N nonnegative terms27
N negative terms104
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.20
Mean of criterion-0.20
SD of predictor0.36
SD of criterion1.21
Covariance0.08
r0.18
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.60
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.92
Mean Square Error1.43
DF error129
t(b)2.06
p(b)0.39
t(a)-0.53
p(a)0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.18
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-4.35
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.50
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.34
Jensen alpha (a)-0.92
Mean-0.97
SD1.27
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.76
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.76
df130
t-0.54
p0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.54
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.01
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.53
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.01
Sortino ratio-0.95
Upside Potential Ratio2.68
Upside part of mean2.75
Downside part of mean-3.72
Upside SD0.75
Downside SD1.02
N nonnegative terms27
N negative terms104
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.14
Mean of criterion-0.97
SD of predictor0.36
SD of criterion1.27
Covariance0.08
r0.17
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.58
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-1.64
Mean Square Error1.59
DF error129
t(b)1.91
p(b)0.40
t(a)-0.90
p(a)0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.02
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.19
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-5.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.96
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.67
Jensen alpha (a)-1.64
VaR(95%)0.12
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.15
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.08

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations12
Minimum0.55
Quartile 11
Median1.04
Quartile 31.06
Maximum1.23
Mean of quarter 10.84
Mean of quarter 21.02
Mean of quarter 31.05
Mean of quarter 41.15
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.08
Mean of outliers low0.55
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high1.23
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)3.00
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.51
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations276
Minimum0.59
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.41
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low41
Percentage of outliers low0.15
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high52
Percentage of outliers high0.19
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.54
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.25
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations131
Minimum0.59
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.41
Mean of quarter 10.95
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.05
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low32
Percentage of outliers low0.24
Mean of outliers low0.95
Number of outliers high27
Percentage of outliers high0.21
Mean of outliers high1.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.58
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.97
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)1.59

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.03
Quartile 10.13
Median0.24
Quartile 30.35
Maximum0.45
Mean of quarter 10.03
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.45
Inter Quartile Range0.21
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations20
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.78
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.22
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.10
Mean of outliers high0.50
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.40
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.19
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)3.58
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.22
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations6
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.02
Quartile 30.18
Maximum0.78
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.50
Inter Quartile Range0.17
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high0.78
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-390828448
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)43
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.01
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.01
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.03
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.03
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.03
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.01
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.01
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.01
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.05
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.10
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.75
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.61
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.79
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-1.22
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-4.00

Trading record

Placed 714 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
ES Z3long2Sep 13, 2023Dec 11, 2023$2,634
ES Z3short19Sep 13, 2023Sep 13, 2023($8,690)
ES Z3long10Sep 13, 2023Sep 13, 2023($5,855)
ES Z3long6Sep 13, 2023Sep 13, 2023($1,036)
ES Z3short17Sep 13, 2023Sep 13, 2023($8,499)
ES Z3short11Sep 13, 2023Sep 13, 2023($1,538)
ES Z3short1Sep 13, 2023Sep 13, 2023($33)
ES Z3short4Sep 12, 2023Sep 13, 2023$281
ES Z3long4Sep 12, 2023Sep 12, 2023($982)
YM Z3short4Sep 12, 2023Sep 12, 2023($1,962)
ES Z3long3Sep 11, 2023Sep 12, 2023($1,062)
ES Z3long1Sep 7, 2023Sep 11, 2023$992
MES Z3long20Sep 5, 2023Sep 7, 2023$81
MYM Z3short2Sep 5, 2023Sep 7, 2023($30)
NQ U3long7.04Aug 29, 2023Aug 29, 2023$16,272
NQ U3short7.04Aug 29, 2023Aug 29, 2023$586
NQ U3short0.88Aug 29, 2023Aug 29, 2023($214)
NQ U3long0.88Aug 29, 2023Aug 29, 2023($271)
NQ U3long3.52Aug 29, 2023Aug 29, 2023$51
NQ U3long2.64Aug 28, 2023Aug 29, 2023$291
NQ U3long3.52Aug 28, 2023Aug 28, 2023$966
NQ U3long3.52Aug 28, 2023Aug 28, 2023$452
NQ U3long1.76Aug 28, 2023Aug 28, 2023($1,990)
NQ U3long3.52Aug 28, 2023Aug 28, 2023($54)
ES U3long3.52Aug 28, 2023Aug 28, 2023$665
NQ U3short4.4Aug 25, 2023Aug 25, 2023($193)
NQ U3long5.28Aug 25, 2023Aug 25, 2023$2,444
NQ U3short4.4Aug 25, 2023Aug 25, 2023($1,694)
NQ U3short0.88Aug 25, 2023Aug 25, 2023$63
BX U3short0.88Aug 25, 2023Aug 25, 2023($26)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.