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Equity Dividend Value

Equity · Stocks · Started Oct 2022

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
16.9%
Max Drawdown
18.0%
Trades
6
Win Trades
83.3%
Profit Factor
1025.30
Win Months
61.7%

Non-hedged Equity

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2022-2.210.0-0.47.3
20236.6-9.3-4.32.31.33.48.3-5.9-7.6-3.817.610.216.5
2024-3.02.62.0-6.61.12.45.06.16.64.13.71.427.6
2025-0.7-4.6-1.0-4.35.47.63.74.71.1-4.5-7.67.76.3
20262.6-2.1-11.28.13.4-2.24.55.4

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began10/30/2022
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age47 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades6
# Profitable5
% Profitable83.3%
Avg trade duration1381.6 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown18.0%
drawdown periodNov 11, 2022 - March 14, 2023
Annual Return (Compounded)16.9%
Avg win$7,103
Avg loss$40

Ratios

W:L ratio1025.26
Sharpe Ratio0.62
Sortino Ratio1.01
Calmar Ratio10.97

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.63
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life95.8%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-15.8%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)16.9%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.2%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)16.8%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity0.7%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss7.5%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$40
Avg Win$7,103
# Winners5
Sum Trade PL (losers)$40
Sum Trade PL (winners)$35,514
Num Months Winners29
# Losers1
% Winners83.3%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct5497

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table47

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)1989523.25
Avg Position Time (hrs)33158.72
Avg Trade Length1381.60
Last Trade Ago1375

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)0.86
Daily leverage (max)0.93

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0.92
Treynor Index0.05

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.02
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades0.13
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.08
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.13
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.43
Hold-and-Hope Ratio13.25

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.93
SD0.53
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.76
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.53
df6
t1.34
p0.11
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.44
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.18
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.23
Sortino ratio9.88
Upside Potential Ratio11.73
Upside part of mean1.11
Downside part of mean-0.17
Upside SD0.55
Downside SD0.09
N nonnegative terms5
N negative terms2
N of observations7
Mean of predictor1.15
Mean of criterion0.93
SD of predictor0.35
SD of criterion0.53
Covariance0.12
r0.66
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.99
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.21
Mean Square Error0.19
DF error5
t(b)1.95
p(b)0.05
t(a)-0.25
p(a)0.60
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.32
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.31
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.32
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.90
Treynor index (mean / b)0.94
Jensen alpha (a)-0.21
Mean0.80
SD0.46
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.75
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.52
df6
t1.34
p0.11
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.44
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.18
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.23
Sortino ratio8.30
Upside Potential Ratio10.15
Upside part of mean0.98
Downside part of mean-0.18
Upside SD0.47
Downside SD0.10
N nonnegative terms5
N negative terms2
N of observations7
Mean of predictor1.05
Mean of criterion0.80
SD of predictor0.32
SD of criterion0.46
Covariance0.09
r0.60
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.86
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.10
Mean Square Error0.16
DF error5
t(b)1.67
p(b)0.08
t(a)-0.13
p(a)0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.47
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.19
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.84
Treynor index (mean / b)0.93
Jensen alpha (a)-0.10
VaR(95%)0.14
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.18
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
Mean1.16
SD0.55
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.11
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.10
df156
t1.64
p0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.43
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.65
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.44
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.65
Sortino ratio3.53
Upside Potential Ratio11.07
Upside part of mean3.64
Downside part of mean-2.48
Upside SD0.44
Downside SD0.33
N nonnegative terms77
N negative terms80
N of observations157
Mean of predictor1.20
Mean of criterion1.16
SD of predictor0.35
SD of criterion0.55
Covariance0.12
r0.65
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.07
Mean Square Error0.18
DF error155
t(b)10.57
p(b)0.12
t(a)-0.13
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.84
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.22
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.02
Treynor index (mean / b)1.13
Jensen alpha (a)-0.07
Mean1.01
SD0.54
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.86
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.85
df156
t1.44
p0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.69
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.39
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.69
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.39
Sortino ratio2.97
Upside Potential Ratio10.44
Upside part of mean3.54
Downside part of mean-2.53
Upside SD0.43
Downside SD0.34
N nonnegative terms77
N negative terms80
N of observations157
Mean of predictor1.14
Mean of criterion1.01
SD of predictor0.34
SD of criterion0.54
Covariance0.12
r0.64
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.15
Mean Square Error0.17
DF error155
t(b)10.51
p(b)0.12
t(a)-0.28
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.83
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.21
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.24
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.93
Treynor index (mean / b)0.99
Jensen alpha (a)-0.15
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
Mean1.22
SD0.58
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.10
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.09
df130
t1.48
p0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.69
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.88
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.70
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.87
Sortino ratio3.44
Upside Potential Ratio11.03
Upside part of mean3.91
Downside part of mean-2.69
Upside SD0.46
Downside SD0.35
N nonnegative terms68
N negative terms63
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.40
Mean of criterion1.22
SD of predictor0.36
SD of criterion0.58
Covariance0.14
r0.66
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.07
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.27
Mean Square Error0.19
DF error129
t(b)9.93
p(b)0.11
t(a)-0.43
p(a)0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.86
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.28
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.54
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.99
Treynor index (mean / b)1.14
Jensen alpha (a)-0.27
Mean1.05
SD0.58
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.82
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.81
df130
t1.29
p0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.96
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.60
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.97
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.59
Sortino ratio2.87
Upside Potential Ratio10.39
Upside part of mean3.81
Downside part of mean-2.76
Upside SD0.45
Downside SD0.37
N nonnegative terms68
N negative terms63
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.33
Mean of criterion1.05
SD of predictor0.36
SD of criterion0.58
Covariance0.13
r0.66
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.06
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.37
Mean Square Error0.19
DF error129
t(b)9.87
p(b)0.11
t(a)-0.57
p(a)0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.85
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.28
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.62
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.89
Treynor index (mean / b)0.99
Jensen alpha (a)-0.37
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations7
Minimum0.95
Quartile 10.98
Median1.05
Quartile 31.10
Maximum1.40
Mean of quarter 10.95
Mean of quarter 21.03
Mean of quarter 31.09
Mean of quarter 41.25
Inter Quartile Range0.12
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high1.40
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations157
Minimum0.89
Quartile 10.99
Median1
Quartile 31.02
Maximum1.15
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.05
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low8
Percentage of outliers low0.05
Mean of outliers low0.93
Number of outliers high11
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.08
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.30
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.05
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.00
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.04
Number of observations131
Minimum0.89
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.02
Maximum1.15
Mean of quarter 10.96
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.05
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low5
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.92
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.10
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.06
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.04
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.19
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.04

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.04
Quartile 10.05
Median0.05
Quartile 30.05
Maximum0.05
Mean of quarter 10.04
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.05
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations12
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.03
Quartile 30.14
Maximum0.17
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.08
Mean of quarter 40.16
Inter Quartile Range0.13
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-15.81
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.16
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.16
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-2.20
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.17
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.17
Number of observations13
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.03
Quartile 30.13
Maximum0.16
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.08
Mean of quarter 40.16
Inter Quartile Range0.12
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-83.56
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.16
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-2.46
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.16
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.16
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-382951040
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)123
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.2%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.07
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)1.30
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)24.71
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs24.71
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal7.01
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.44
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)1.82
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)10.97
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs11.24
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal28.77
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.43
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)1.95
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)11.94
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs12.21
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal29.03

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.