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HIPP Income Strategy

Options · Options · Started Sep 2022

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-4.1%
Max Drawdown
56.0%
Trades
760
Win Trades
87.5%
Profit Factor
1
Win Months
42.9%
Subscribe $99/mo

About this strategy

3 Components of the model are
* Hedged Investment. Max risk = cost of long strangle - (Put Strike - Call Strike)
* Capital Preservation
* Income generation (sell Low delta short term options)

Model Involves Option trading

Investment is about $25K (for long strangle) + buying power for short strangle.

Premium Collecting

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2022-2.13.8-0.4-2.0-0.8
2023-2.6-0.7-0.21.0-2.00.2-1.6-2.70.5-0.8-3.2-0.6-12.2
2024-2.32.03.3-3.12.2-0.7-2.3-3.40.82.88.0-0.46.4
20251.9-5.5-6.7-0.6-10.21.00.95.25.04.8-0.44.0-1.8
20269.7-2.6-7.2-12.93.115.4-12.33.6-0.4-7.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began9/9/2022
Suggested Minimum Capital$35,000
Age49 months
C2 Rank13
What it tradesOptions
# Trades760
# Profitable665
% Profitable87.5%
Avg trade duration12.7 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown56.0%
drawdown periodJuly 28, 2023 - Aug 06, 2026
Annual Return (Compounded)-4.1%
Avg win$306
Avg loss$2,118

Ratios

W:L ratio1.01
Sharpe Ratio-0.11
Sortino Ratio-0.16
Calmar Ratio0.02

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.17
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life87.9%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-103.2%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-4.1%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)0.4%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity24.6%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.8%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options1.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered42.3%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss97.5%
Chance of 20% account loss92.0%
Chance of 30% account loss86.0%
Chance of 40% account loss83.0%
Chance of 50% account loss68.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)55.5%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)33.5%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)14.5%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)2.5%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)616
C2 Score13
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$2,133
Avg Win$306
# Winners665
Sum Trade PL (losers)$202,589
Sum Trade PL (winners)$203,305
Num Months Winners21
# Losers95
% Winners87.5%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct9

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table49

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)18230.37
Avg Position Time (hrs)303.84
Avg Trade Length12.70
Last Trade Ago5

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)3.70
Daily leverage (max)15.28

Regression

Alpha-0.02
Beta0.26
Treynor Index-0.03

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.05
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.02
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.19
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.03
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-89.44
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)14.91
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades4.32
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-3.93
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.01

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-0.01
SD0.15
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.09
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.09
df44
t-0.17
p0.57
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.93
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.10
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.93
Sortino ratio-0.12
Upside Potential Ratio1.63
Upside part of mean0.19
Downside part of mean-0.20
Upside SD0.10
Downside SD0.11
N nonnegative terms26
N negative terms19
N of observations45
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion-0.01
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.15
Covariance0.00
r0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.02
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error43
t(b)0.31
p(b)0.38
t(a)-0.25
p(a)0.60
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.27
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.37
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.15
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.27
Jensen alpha (a)-0.02
Mean-0.02
SD0.15
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.16
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.16
df44
t-0.31
p0.62
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.85
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.17
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.85
Sortino ratio-0.21
Upside Potential Ratio1.52
Upside part of mean0.18
Downside part of mean-0.21
Upside SD0.09
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms26
N negative terms19
N of observations45
Mean of predictor0.14
Mean of criterion-0.02
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.15
Covariance0.00
r0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.06
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error43
t(b)0.37
p(b)0.36
t(a)-0.40
p(a)0.65
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.27
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.13
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.42
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.07
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.09
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
Mean-0.00
SD0.20
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.01
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.01
df1003
t-0.03
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.99
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.01
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.99
Sortino ratio-0.02
Upside Potential Ratio6.54
Upside part of mean0.94
Downside part of mean-0.95
Upside SD0.14
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms534
N negative terms470
N of observations1004
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion-0.00
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.20
Covariance0.01
r0.18
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.22
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.04
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error1002
t(b)5.70
p(b)0.41
t(a)-0.36
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.30
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.24
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.17
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.01
Jensen alpha (a)-0.04
Mean-0.02
SD0.20
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.12
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.12
df1003
t-0.23
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.89
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.12
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.89
Sortino ratio-0.16
Upside Potential Ratio6.35
Upside part of mean0.93
Downside part of mean-0.96
Upside SD0.14
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms534
N negative terms470
N of observations1004
Mean of predictor0.14
Mean of criterion-0.02
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.20
Covariance0.01
r0.18
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.23
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.05
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error1002
t(b)5.78
p(b)0.41
t(a)-0.53
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.30
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.26
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.15
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.10
Jensen alpha (a)-0.05
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean-0.24
SD0.32
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.74
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.73
df130
t-0.52
p0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.51
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.04
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.50
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.04
Sortino ratio-1.09
Upside Potential Ratio7.02
Upside part of mean1.52
Downside part of mean-1.76
Upside SD0.24
Downside SD0.22
N nonnegative terms64
N negative terms67
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion-0.24
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.32
Covariance0.02
r0.34
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.77
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.39
Mean Square Error0.09
DF error129
t(b)4.05
p(b)0.29
t(a)-0.91
p(a)0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.40
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.25
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.46
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.31
Jensen alpha (a)-0.39
Mean-0.29
SD0.32
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.90
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.90
df130
t-0.64
p0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.68
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.87
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.67
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.88
Sortino ratio-1.30
Upside Potential Ratio6.73
Upside part of mean1.50
Downside part of mean-1.78
Upside SD0.23
Downside SD0.22
N nonnegative terms64
N negative terms67
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.19
Mean of criterion-0.29
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.32
Covariance0.02
r0.34
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.77
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.44
Mean Square Error0.09
DF error129
t(b)4.07
p(b)0.29
t(a)-1.02
p(a)0.56
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.40
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.28
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.41
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.37
Jensen alpha (a)-0.44
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations45
Minimum0.89
Quartile 10.98
Median1.00
Quartile 31.03
Maximum1.09
Mean of quarter 10.95
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.02
Mean of quarter 41.05
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.07
Mean of outliers low0.90
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.62
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.05
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.49
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.08
Number of observations1004
Minimum0.91
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.13
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low81
Percentage of outliers low0.08
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high63
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.48
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.24
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum0.91
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.13
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.95
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.07
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.10
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.03

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations4
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.08
Median0.15
Quartile 30.19
Maximum0.19
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.11
Mean of quarter 30.19
Mean of quarter 40.19
Inter Quartile Range0.11
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations15
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.02
Quartile 30.05
Maximum0.24
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.17
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.20
Mean of outliers high0.20
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-5.72
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.15
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.15
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-1.79
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.28
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.29
Number of observations2
Minimum0.02
Quartile 10.08
Median0.13
Quartile 30.18
Maximum0.23
Mean of quarter 10.02
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.23
Inter Quartile Range0.10
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-393913952
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)1105
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.00
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.00
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.02
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.02
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.04
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.00
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.00
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.02
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.03
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.17
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.24
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.23
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.99
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.99
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-5.60

Trading record

Placed 1498 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
QQQ2618I690 short1Aug 24, 2026Sep 1, 2026$172
QQQ2618I705 short1Aug 24, 2026Sep 1, 2026$188
QQQ2616V710 short1Aug 25, 2026Aug 26, 2026$185
QQQ2625U705 short1Aug 24, 2026Aug 25, 2026$105
QQQ2628H695 short1Jul 30, 2026Aug 24, 2026($433)
QQQ2628H700 short1Jul 30, 2026Aug 24, 2026($199)
QQQ2618U710 short1Aug 21, 2026Aug 21, 2026$135
QQQ2621T720 long1Aug 7, 2026Aug 21, 2026($216)
QQQ2618U715 short1Aug 20, 2026Aug 21, 2026$255
QQQ2618U725 short1Aug 13, 2026Aug 17, 2026$149
QQQ2618U720 short1Aug 12, 2026Aug 13, 2026$174
QQQ2625U720 short1Aug 10, 2026Aug 12, 2026$288
QQQ2618U720 short1Aug 7, 2026Aug 10, 2026$182
QQQ2618U710 short1Aug 5, 2026Aug 7, 2026$191
QQQ2618U720 short1Aug 6, 2026Aug 7, 2026$235
QQQ2618U715 short1Aug 6, 2026Aug 6, 2026$353
QQQ2614T725 long1Aug 4, 2026Aug 6, 2026$563
QQQ2618U720 short1Aug 4, 2026Aug 4, 2026$243
QQQ2621T720 short2Jun 22, 2026Aug 4, 2026$405
QQQ2628H700 short1Jul 29, 2026Jul 29, 2026$136
QQQ2628H695 short1Jul 27, 2026Jul 28, 2026$127
QQQ2628H710 short1Jul 24, 2026Jul 27, 2026$185
QQQ2621H715 short1Jul 21, 2026Jul 23, 2026$502
QQQ2621H710 short1Jul 21, 2026Jul 22, 2026$155
QQQ2621H720 short1Jul 6, 2026Jul 20, 2026$1,655
QQQ2621H710 short1Jul 20, 2026Jul 20, 2026$141
QQQ2621H720 short1Jun 30, 2026Jul 2, 2026$201
QQQ2621H730 short1Jun 30, 2026Jul 1, 2026$177
QQQ2624S730 short1Jun 15, 2026Jun 22, 2026$185

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.