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Empire Diversified

Equity · Stocks, Options · Started Jul 2022

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
0.0%
Max Drawdown
100.0%
Trades
689
Win Trades
63.6%
Profit Factor
0.90
Win Months
10.0%

About this strategy

I have rescued this account from the situation I had. It will now go back to normal trading. I do not trade with emotions, I trade a system. I am not a therapist, so please seek one if you want to talk about emotions.

Momentum Event-driven

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
202219.420.0-3.314.594.413.9251.2
2023-111.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-111.4
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began7/26/2022
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age50 months
What it tradesStocks, Options
# Trades689
# Profitable438
% Profitable63.6%
Avg trade duration1.3 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown100.0%
drawdown periodJan 12, 2023 - Jan 17, 2023
Annual Return (Compounded)0.0%
Avg win$737
Avg loss$1,485

Ratios

W:L ratio0.87
Sharpe Ratio-0.49
Sortino Ratio-0.71
Calmar Ratio-1

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.02
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life94.8%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-236.6%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)0.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)-84.1%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.3%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.7%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss100.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)551
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)450

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$1,485
Avg Win$737
# Winners438
Sum Trade PL (losers)$372,729
Sum Trade PL (winners)$322,748
Num Months Winners5
# Losers251
% Winners63.6%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table7

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)79.82
Avg Position Time (hrs)1.33
Avg Trade Length0.10
Last Trade Ago1321

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)31.97
Daily leverage (max)707.93

Regression

Alpha0
Beta-0.28
Treynor Index0

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.03
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-5.07
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.64
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.72
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.06
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.20

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.83
SD1.67
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.50
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.45
df9
t0.45
p0.33
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.68
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.64
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.70
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.61
Sortino ratio0.76
Upside Potential Ratio1.86
Upside part of mean2.05
Downside part of mean-1.22
Upside SD1.17
Downside SD1.10
N nonnegative terms4
N negative terms6
N of observations10
Mean of predictor0.73
Mean of criterion0.83
SD of predictor0.38
SD of criterion1.67
Covariance-0.03
r-0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.21
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.98
Mean Square Error3.14
DF error8
t(b)-0.13
p(b)0.55
t(a)0.44
p(a)0.34
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-3.84
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta3.42
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-4.22
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha6.19
Treynor index (mean / b)-3.95
Jensen alpha (a)0.98
Mean-9.16
SD9.98
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.92
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.84
df9
t-0.84
p0.79
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.29
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.02
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.34
Sortino ratio-0.93
Upside Potential Ratio0.16
Upside part of mean1.59
Downside part of mean-10.74
Upside SD0.86
Downside SD9.79
N nonnegative terms4
N negative terms6
N of observations10
Mean of predictor0.65
Mean of criterion-9.16
SD of predictor0.36
SD of criterion9.98
Covariance0.00
r0.00
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-9.16
Mean Square Error112.11
DF error8
t(b)0.00
p(b)0.50
t(a)-0.69
p(a)0.75
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-22.83
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta22.85
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-39.78
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha21.46
Treynor index (mean / b)-876.89
Jensen alpha (a)-9.16
VaR(95%)1.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR1.00
VaR(95%)0.26
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.56
Mean-3.00
SD2.31
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.30
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.29
df227
t-1.21
p0.89
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.40
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.81
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.40
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.81
Sortino ratio-1.57
Upside Potential Ratio1.63
Upside part of mean3.12
Downside part of mean-6.12
Upside SD1.31
Downside SD1.91
N nonnegative terms86
N negative terms142
N of observations228
Mean of predictor0.77
Mean of criterion-3.00
SD of predictor0.34
SD of criterion2.31
Covariance0.02
r0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.14
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-3.11
Mean Square Error5.38
DF error226
t(b)0.31
p(b)0.38
t(a)-1.24
p(a)0.89
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.76
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-8.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.83
Treynor index (mean / b)-21.13
Jensen alpha (a)-3.11
Mean-8.77
SD4.39
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-2.00
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.99
df227
t-1.86
p0.97
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-4.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.12
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-4.10
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.12
Sortino ratio-2.03
Upside Potential Ratio0.60
Upside part of mean2.58
Downside part of mean-11.35
Upside SD0.93
Downside SD4.32
N nonnegative terms86
N negative terms142
N of observations228
Mean of predictor0.71
Mean of criterion-8.77
SD of predictor0.34
SD of criterion4.39
Covariance0.05
r0.03
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.45
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-9.09
Mean Square Error19.37
DF error226
t(b)0.51
p(b)0.30
t(a)-1.91
p(a)0.97
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.26
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-18.46
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.29
Treynor index (mean / b)-19.65
Jensen alpha (a)-9.09
VaR(95%)0.38
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.44
VaR(95%)0.06
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.14
Mean-8.85
SD2.42
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-3.66
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-3.64
df130
t-2.59
p0.61
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-6.46
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.85
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-6.45
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.84
Sortino ratio-3.59
Upside Potential Ratio0.05
Upside part of mean0.13
Downside part of mean-8.99
Upside SD0.03
Downside SD2.47
N nonnegative terms15
N negative terms116
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.32
Mean of criterion-8.85
SD of predictor0.39
SD of criterion2.42
Covariance0.04
r0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.30
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-9.25
Mean Square Error5.87
DF error129
t(b)0.55
p(b)0.47
t(a)-2.64
p(a)0.64
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.79
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.39
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-16.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.32
Treynor index (mean / b)-29.26
Jensen alpha (a)-9.25
Mean-17.78
SD5.58
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-3.19
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-3.17
df130
t-2.25
p0.60
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-5.98
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.38
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-5.97
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.37
Sortino ratio-3.14
Upside Potential Ratio0.02
Upside part of mean0.13
Downside part of mean-17.91
Upside SD0.03
Downside SD5.67
N nonnegative terms15
N negative terms116
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.24
Mean of criterion-17.78
SD of predictor0.39
SD of criterion5.58
Covariance0.12
r0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.82
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-18.79
Mean Square Error31.27
DF error129
t(b)0.65
p(b)0.46
t(a)-2.33
p(a)0.63
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.69
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta3.32
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-34.75
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.84
Treynor index (mean / b)-21.73
Jensen alpha (a)-18.79
VaR(95%)0.47
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.54
VaR(95%)0.11
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.24

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations10
Minimum0.00
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.17
Maximum1.95
Mean of quarter 10.67
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.07
Mean of quarter 41.53
Inter Quartile Range0.17
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.10
Mean of outliers low0.00
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.20
Mean of outliers high1.70
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations228
Minimum0.09
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum2.10
Mean of quarter 10.91
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.05
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low20
Percentage of outliers low0.09
Mean of outliers low0.74
Number of outliers high17
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.13
Extreme Value Index (moments method)2.55
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.95
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)1.13
Number of observations131
Minimum0.09
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.01
Mean of quarter 10.86
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low10
Percentage of outliers low0.08
Mean of outliers low0.55
Number of outliers high15
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high1.00
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.94
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.18
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.33

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.25
Median0.50
Quartile 30.75
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0.50
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations10
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.04
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.51
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.20
Mean of outliers high0.75
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-23.76
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.19
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.19
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.79
VaR(95%) (regression method)1.18
Expected Shortfall (regression method)1.36
Number of observations1
Minimum1.00
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-405745792
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)5
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.2%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-1.20
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-1.00
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-1.00
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-1.00
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-1.00
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-1.15
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-1.00
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-1.00
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-1.94
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-2.25
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-2.00
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-1
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-1.00
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-1.86

Trading record

Placed 1387 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
SPY2313M392 long85Jan 13, 2023Jan 17, 2023($7,455)
TSLA2313M102 long450Jan 6, 2023Jan 17, 2023($55,864)
SPY2312M391 long490Jan 12, 2023Jan 12, 2023($36,386)
SPY2312M393 long210Jan 12, 2023Jan 12, 2023$9,926
SPY2311M381 long380Jan 9, 2023Jan 12, 2023($12,716)
SPY2311M388 long140Jan 11, 2023Jan 12, 2023($2,198)
SPY2309M382 long140Jan 6, 2023Jan 10, 2023($5,698)
SPY2309M381 long520Jan 6, 2023Jan 9, 2023($32,258)
SPY2306M385 long420Jan 6, 2023Jan 7, 2023($23,884)
SPY2306M379 long470Jan 6, 2023Jan 6, 2023($18,366)
TSLA short600Jan 6, 2023Jan 6, 2023($1,230)
SPY2306M381 long20Jan 6, 2023Jan 6, 2023$1,732
SPY2305M379 long50Jan 5, 2023Jan 5, 2023$505
SPY2305M379 long15Jan 5, 2023Jan 5, 2023$204
SPY2305M378 long40Jan 5, 2023Jan 5, 2023$674
TSLA short200Jan 5, 2023Jan 5, 2023$157
SPY2305M380 long20Jan 5, 2023Jan 5, 2023$714
SPY2304M380 long400Jan 4, 2023Jan 5, 2023($18,988)
SPY2304M383 long140Jan 4, 2023Jan 4, 2023$2,394
SPY2304M384 long70Jan 4, 2023Jan 4, 2023$2,002
SPY2304M381 long5Jan 4, 2023Jan 4, 2023$333
TSLA short200Jan 3, 2023Jan 3, 2023$51
SPY2303M382 long20Jan 3, 2023Jan 3, 2023$214
TSLA short100Jan 3, 2023Jan 3, 2023$26
SPY2303M382 long30Jan 3, 2023Jan 3, 2023$531
SPY2230X380 long8Dec 30, 2022Dec 30, 2022$160
SPY2227X379 long20Dec 27, 2022Dec 27, 2022$197
COIN short400Dec 27, 2022Dec 27, 2022$186
NVDA short100Dec 27, 2022Dec 27, 2022$102
SPY2222X378 long5Dec 22, 2022Dec 22, 2022$56

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.