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Quantum Scaler

Equity · Stocks · Started May 2022

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
4.2%
Max Drawdown
17.0%
Trades
419
Win Trades
81.6%
Profit Factor
1.30
Win Months
18.9%

About this strategy

Quantum Scaler is a trading strategy that combines technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and quantitative triggers to identify the best buying and selling opportunities.

Our approach is simple: we use a three-filter system to enter trades, starting with a technical setup that helps us spot approaching opportunities. We then perform a fundamental analysis of the company, only buying those that are profitable and selling those that aren't. Finally, we use a specific quantitative trigger to scale into the trade and carefully size our positions.

This strategy has been back-tested over 15 years of data and has consistently demonstrated profitability. It can be used with a 100k account, but is also suitable for larger accounts. Our goal is to consistently make base hits, rather than chasing long-term home runs.

If you have any questions about Quantum Scaler, please don't hesitate to contact me or reach out on Twitter @KryptoHawk. We look forward to helping you achieve your trading goals.

Non-hedged Equity

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20223.90.50.80.23.99.84.94.832.3
2023-9.4-0.01.8-2.10.20.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-9.6
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began5/6/2022
Suggested Minimum Capital$100,000
Age53 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades419
# Profitable342
% Profitable81.6%
Avg trade duration7.3 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown17.0%
drawdown periodJan 03, 2023 - March 17, 2023
Annual Return (Compounded)4.2%
Avg win$321
Avg loss$1,109

Ratios

W:L ratio1.29
Sharpe Ratio0.21
Sortino Ratio0.33
Calmar Ratio1.31

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.07
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life85.2%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-68.3%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)4.2%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)5.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity11.3%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.8%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss51.0%
Chance of 20% account loss13.5%
Chance of 30% account loss2.5%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$1,109
Avg Win$321
# Winners342
Sum Trade PL (losers)$85,424
Sum Trade PL (winners)$109,931
Num Months Winners11
# Losers77
% Winners81.6%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct594

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table53

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)10521.83
Avg Position Time (hrs)175.36
Avg Trade Length7.30
Last Trade Ago1236

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)0.84
Daily leverage (max)9.72

Regression

Alpha0.01
Beta0.05
Treynor Index0.16

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades13.04
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.56
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.83
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.84
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.08

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.17
SD0.21
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.82
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.78
df14
t0.92
p0.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.97
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.58
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.00
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.55
Sortino ratio2.37
Upside Potential Ratio3.80
Upside part of mean0.27
Downside part of mean-0.10
Upside SD0.19
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms7
N negative terms8
N of observations15
Mean of predictor0.42
Mean of criterion0.17
SD of predictor0.28
SD of criterion0.21
Covariance-0.02
r-0.42
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.31
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.30
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error13
t(b)-1.66
p(b)0.76
t(a)1.57
p(a)0.25
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.72
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.72
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.55
Jensen alpha (a)0.30
Mean0.15
SD0.19
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.78
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.74
df14
t0.87
p0.39
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.54
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.04
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.51
Sortino ratio2.04
Upside Potential Ratio3.46
Upside part of mean0.26
Downside part of mean-0.11
Upside SD0.18
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms7
N negative terms8
N of observations15
Mean of predictor0.38
Mean of criterion0.15
SD of predictor0.27
SD of criterion0.19
Covariance-0.02
r-0.43
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.31
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.27
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error13
t(b)-1.70
p(b)0.76
t(a)1.52
p(a)0.26
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.70
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.08
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.65
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.49
Jensen alpha (a)0.27
VaR(95%)0.08
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.10
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
Mean0.17
SD0.21
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.80
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.80
df339
t0.91
p0.18
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.93
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.52
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.93
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.52
Sortino ratio1.26
Upside Potential Ratio7.71
Upside part of mean1.02
Downside part of mean-0.85
Upside SD0.16
Downside SD0.13
N nonnegative terms122
N negative terms218
N of observations340
Mean of predictor0.49
Mean of criterion0.17
SD of predictor0.29
SD of criterion0.21
Covariance0.00
r0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.04
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.14
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error338
t(b)1.15
p(b)0.12
t(a)0.78
p(a)0.22
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.12
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.22
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.51
Treynor index (mean / b)3.72
Jensen alpha (a)0.14
Mean0.14
SD0.21
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.70
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.69
df339
t0.79
p0.21
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.42
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.03
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.42
Sortino ratio1.07
Upside Potential Ratio7.49
Upside part of mean1.01
Downside part of mean-0.86
Upside SD0.16
Downside SD0.13
N nonnegative terms122
N negative terms218
N of observations340
Mean of predictor0.45
Mean of criterion0.14
SD of predictor0.29
SD of criterion0.21
Covariance0.00
r0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.04
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.12
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error338
t(b)1.15
p(b)0.13
t(a)0.68
p(a)0.25
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.12
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.24
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.48
Treynor index (mean / b)3.26
Jensen alpha (a)0.12
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean-0.02
SD0.10
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.23
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.23
df130
t-0.16
p0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.55
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.00
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.55
Sortino ratio-0.38
Upside Potential Ratio4.66
Upside part of mean0.29
Downside part of mean-0.32
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms15
N negative terms116
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.36
Mean of criterion-0.02
SD of predictor0.36
SD of criterion0.10
Covariance0.00
r0.10
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.06
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)1.14
p(b)0.44
t(a)-0.42
p(a)0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.08
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.24
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.82
Jensen alpha (a)-0.06
Mean-0.03
SD0.10
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.28
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.28
df130
t-0.20
p0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.49
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.05
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.49
Sortino ratio-0.46
Upside Potential Ratio4.57
Upside part of mean0.29
Downside part of mean-0.32
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms15
N negative terms116
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.29
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.36
SD of criterion0.10
Covariance0.00
r0.10
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.07
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)1.15
p(b)0.44
t(a)-0.44
p(a)0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.02
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.08
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.23
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.99
Jensen alpha (a)-0.07
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations15
Minimum0.93
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.02
Maximum1.21
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.02
Mean of quarter 41.08
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.13
Mean of outliers low0.95
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.21
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.62
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.71
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.20
Number of observations340
Minimum0.94
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.06
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low27
Percentage of outliers low0.08
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high32
Percentage of outliers high0.09
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.21
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.21
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum0.98
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low24
Percentage of outliers low0.18
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high15
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.15
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.15
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.04
Quartile 10.05
Median0.05
Quartile 30.06
Maximum0.07
Mean of quarter 10.04
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.07
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations17
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.06
Maximum0.14
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.04
Mean of quarter 40.10
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high0.14
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.08
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.12
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.23
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.09
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations4
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.05
Maximum0.07
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.04
Mean of quarter 40.07
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-423338304
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)73
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.20
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.20
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.96
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.96
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.01
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.19
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.19
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.31
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.97
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal7.36
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.00
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.00
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.01
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.01
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.08

Trading record

Placed 78 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
HEAR short2132Mar 22, 2023Apr 18, 2023($3,709)
MU short336Mar 20, 2023Mar 29, 2023($638)
ARHS long1530Mar 3, 2023Mar 29, 2023($6,125)
ARCO long1603Mar 13, 2023Mar 29, 2023$152
MFG long4285Mar 14, 2023Mar 28, 2023$504
SBS long1298Mar 21, 2023Mar 28, 2023$578
HIVE short1032Mar 15, 2023Mar 27, 2023$9
TKC long485Mar 22, 2023Mar 24, 2023$43
LBTYK short99Mar 22, 2023Mar 23, 2023$56
LBTYA short314Mar 20, 2023Mar 23, 2023$189
HSBC long175Mar 13, 2023Mar 23, 2023$80
LPG long3603Mar 14, 2023Mar 22, 2023$5,454
VIR short85Mar 16, 2023Mar 22, 2023$42
CSIQ long327Mar 13, 2023Mar 22, 2023$1,613
RES long1534Mar 14, 2023Mar 22, 2023$909
NWG long1832Mar 14, 2023Mar 22, 2023$644
PBT long539Mar 14, 2023Mar 21, 2023$512
OPAD short1818Mar 16, 2023Mar 21, 2023$16
GLPG short155Mar 15, 2023Mar 21, 2023$43
AAON long68Mar 14, 2023Mar 20, 2023$122
NSSC long66Mar 14, 2023Mar 16, 2023$49
ELF long29Mar 13, 2023Mar 15, 2023$95
GMAB long569Feb 24, 2023Mar 14, 2023$48
MPLN short892Mar 7, 2023Mar 10, 2023$57
ILMN short9Mar 6, 2023Mar 10, 2023$166
SBS long1204Feb 24, 2023Mar 9, 2023$276
CGNT short261Mar 6, 2023Mar 7, 2023$45
HBI short1035Mar 2, 2023Mar 7, 2023$219
ARCO long245Feb 28, 2023Mar 6, 2023$27
NSSC long63Mar 1, 2023Mar 2, 2023$8

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.