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High Frequency Algo

Equity · Options · Started Apr 2022

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
0.0%
Max Drawdown
100.0%
Trades
676
Win Trades
53.3%
Profit Factor
1
Win Months
26.4%

About this strategy

I recently rescaled the account to $100k from $1.1M to allow traders with smaller accounts to follow me. The way I was able to reach such a large profit target is by using real time order flows from level 2 and depth of market/ volume profile to determine buy and sell trading decisions. I utilize order flows from a wide variety of markets that include futures, forex, options flows and real volume from level 2 to determine price targets. Some trades can last a few minutes, based on faster moving orders, while others may last up to 2-3 weeks. Typically, I utilize up to 15% of my total account and rarely make trades exceeding this amount = $15k-20k; I do this to protect risk. The goal is to keep myself underexposed to the market and make quality trading decisions versus using higher risk and over exposure.

Momentum

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2022496.033.577.6-20.8-5.248.58.8-0.34.51685.9
202326.71.1-3.2-12.452.417.029.6-20.10.6-8.1-10.967.1175.9
2024-58.299.4-100.6-1690.0-0.7-2.2-0.60.00.00.00.00.0-109.2
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began4/4/2022
Suggested Minimum Capital$4,950
Age54 months
What it tradesOptions
# Trades676
# Profitable360
% Profitable53.3%
Avg trade duration4.3 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown100.0%
drawdown periodApril 01, 2024 - April 27, 2024
Annual Return (Compounded)0.0%
Avg win$2,236
Avg loss$2,563

Ratios

W:L ratio0.99
Sharpe Ratio-0.40
Sortino Ratio-0.42
Calmar Ratio-0.84

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.01
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life66.7%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-585.6%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)0.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)-69.9%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.6%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options1.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss100.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)787
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)705
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$2,562
Avg Win$2,236
# Winners360
Sum Trade PL (losers)$809,750
Sum Trade PL (winners)$804,832
Num Months Winners14
# Losers316
% Winners53.2%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table24

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)6142.98
Avg Position Time (hrs)102.38
Avg Trade Length4.30
Last Trade Ago786

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)11.57
Daily leverage (max)271.28

Regression

Alpha0
Beta-12350.53
Treynor Index0

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.03
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.23
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.06
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-28.97
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.07
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats3.78
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats16.57
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.36
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.02
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.04

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean2.25
SD3.11
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.72
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.71
df32
t1.20
p0.12
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.48
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.91
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.49
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.90
Sortino ratio2.16
Upside Potential Ratio3.62
Upside part of mean3.77
Downside part of mean-1.51
Upside SD2.95
Downside SD1.04
N nonnegative terms13
N negative terms20
N of observations33
Mean of predictor0.09
Mean of criterion2.25
SD of predictor0.18
SD of criterion3.11
Covariance-0.17
r-0.31
b (slope, estimate of beta)-5.33
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)2.75
Mean Square Error9.01
DF error31
t(b)-1.80
p(b)0.96
t(a)1.50
p(a)0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-11.37
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.70
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.99
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha6.48
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.42
Jensen alpha (a)2.75
Mean-1.97
SD3.98
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.49
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.48
df32
t-0.82
p0.79
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.68
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.70
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.67
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.71
Sortino ratio-0.53
Upside Potential Ratio0.60
Upside part of mean2.24
Downside part of mean-4.21
Upside SD1.37
Downside SD3.71
N nonnegative terms13
N negative terms20
N of observations33
Mean of predictor0.08
Mean of criterion-1.97
SD of predictor0.18
SD of criterion3.98
Covariance-0.05
r-0.07
b (slope, estimate of beta)-1.44
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-1.86
Mean Square Error16.27
DF error31
t(b)-0.36
p(b)0.64
t(a)-0.76
p(a)0.77
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-9.48
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta6.60
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-6.86
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha3.14
Treynor index (mean / b)1.37
Jensen alpha (a)-1.86
VaR(95%)0.87
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.91
VaR(95%)0.32
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.66
Mean1.56
SD2.89
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.54
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.54
df726
t0.90
p0.18
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.64
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.72
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.64
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.72
Sortino ratio1.02
Upside Potential Ratio6.06
Upside part of mean9.28
Downside part of mean-7.71
Upside SD2.45
Downside SD1.53
N nonnegative terms259
N negative terms468
N of observations727
Mean of predictor0.09
Mean of criterion1.56
SD of predictor0.17
SD of criterion2.89
Covariance0.00
r0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.09
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)1.49
Mean Square Error8.35
DF error725
t(b)0.14
p(b)0.44
t(a)0.90
p(a)0.19
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.32
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.85
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha4.96
Treynor index (mean / b)17.51
Jensen alpha (a)1.56
Mean-1.95
SD2.70
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.72
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.72
df726
t-1.20
p0.88
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.90
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.46
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.90
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.46
Sortino ratio-0.90
Upside Potential Ratio3.49
Upside part of mean7.61
Downside part of mean-9.56
Upside SD1.60
Downside SD2.18
N nonnegative terms259
N negative terms468
N of observations727
Mean of predictor0.07
Mean of criterion-1.95
SD of predictor0.17
SD of criterion2.70
Covariance0.00
r0.00
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-1.95
Mean Square Error7.32
DF error725
t(b)0.04
p(b)0.48
t(a)-1.20
p(a)0.88
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-5.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.24
Treynor index (mean / b)-76.55
Jensen alpha (a)-1.95
VaR(95%)0.25
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.30
VaR(95%)0.08
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.17
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.17
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6845481548251136
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.24
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-9.49944507977243e+31
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations33
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.92
Median1
Quartile 31.37
Maximum5.33
Mean of quarter 10.56
Mean of quarter 20.98
Mean of quarter 31.13
Mean of quarter 42.17
Inter Quartile Range0.44
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.09
Mean of outliers low0.06
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high4.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.54
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.37
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.96
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.01
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.31
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.45
Number of observations727
Minimum0.24
Quartile 10.98
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum3.53
Mean of quarter 10.89
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.14
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low75
Percentage of outliers low0.10
Mean of outliers low0.77
Number of outliers high93
Percentage of outliers high0.13
Mean of outliers high1.25
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.07
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.59
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.20
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations5
Minimum0.12
Quartile 10.18
Median0.23
Quartile 30.24
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10.15
Mean of quarter 20.23
Mean of quarter 30.24
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.20
Mean of outliers high1.00
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations32
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.02
Median0.06
Quartile 30.15
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.04
Mean of quarter 30.10
Mean of quarter 40.42
Inter Quartile Range0.13
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high0.63
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.38
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.43
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.82
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.66
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.49
Expected Shortfall (regression method)1.48
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-414260768
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)26
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.36
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.86
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.86
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.86
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.94
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.36
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.85
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.85
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-2.03
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-2.89
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 2729 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
IWM2405G204 long1Jun 24, 2024Jul 6, 2024($168)
IWM2425F204 long1Jun 17, 2024Jun 24, 2024($64)
IWM2426F203 long3Jun 17, 2024Jun 24, 2024($183)
SPY2420F544 long1Jun 14, 2024Jun 17, 2024$351
IWM2418F204 long4Jun 11, 2024Jun 14, 2024($380)
IWM2414F204 long2Jun 7, 2024Jun 7, 2024($58)
IWM2414R200 long2Jun 6, 2024Jun 7, 2024$80
IWM2407R202 long4May 31, 2024Jun 5, 2024($115)
IWM2404R202 long4May 24, 2024May 31, 2024($182)
IWM2404R201 long4May 24, 2024May 31, 2024($163)
IWM2431Q204 long4May 24, 2024May 24, 2024($27)
IWM2430Q203 long4May 23, 2024May 23, 2024$374
IWM2428E209 long4May 22, 2024May 22, 2024($194)
IWM2431E209 long1May 22, 2024May 22, 2024($59)
SOXL2414F50 long2May 14, 2024May 21, 2024$299
SPY2413E519 long1May 9, 2024May 13, 2024$134
IWM2408E203 long1May 3, 2024May 6, 2024$107
IWM2426D210 long66Apr 1, 2024Apr 27, 2024($25,031)
BA2419P180 long89Mar 15, 2024Apr 1, 2024($34,681)
BA2412P180 long79Mar 15, 2024Apr 1, 2024($34,709)
BA2405P180 long111Mar 15, 2024Mar 27, 2024($37,224)
IWM2428C201 long120Feb 12, 2024Mar 15, 2024($34,706)
IWM2428C200 long100Feb 9, 2024Mar 15, 2024($8,312)
IWM2422C200 long110Feb 9, 2024Mar 15, 2024($12,335)
IWM2422C200 short10Feb 9, 2024Feb 9, 2024($55)
IWM2408C199 long90Feb 9, 2024Feb 9, 2024($391)
SPY2415C500 long60Feb 2, 2024Feb 7, 2024$16,190
SPY2428C500 long30Feb 2, 2024Feb 7, 2024$9,199
SPY2401C492 long40Feb 2, 2024Feb 7, 2024$16,525
SPY2408C492 long60Feb 2, 2024Feb 7, 2024$25,542

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.