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Stocks to daytrade

Equity · Stocks · Started Dec 2021

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
8.6%
Max Drawdown
86.0%
Trades
2787
Win Trades
45.1%
Profit Factor
1.10
Win Months
29.3%

About this strategy

Detailed statistics:
http://en.webmarketstat.ru/view/stat/1e8a07ff829cbc563fbb7ea2e19294aa#summary

Manual trading. No algos.

Strategy weaknesses with high vol short squeezes fixed. Longs entries are morе accurate.

NB! Do not sync existing open positions when setting up an AutoTrade.

Most of the time all positions are closed at the end of the day.

Momentum

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2021-0.0-0.0
20225.24.620.425.7-5.40.328.8-40.311.924.320.7-14.175.6
2023-36.327.83.50.60.3-0.20.7-1.10.40.7-0.2-0.6-15.2
20240.40.0-0.1-0.4-0.5-0.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.7
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began12/14/2021
Suggested Minimum Capital$45,000
Age58 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades2787
# Profitable1257
% Profitable45.1%
Avg trade duration5.9 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown86.0%
drawdown periodDec 27, 2022 - Jan 27, 2023
Annual Return (Compounded)8.6%
Avg win$418
Avg loss$313

Ratios

W:L ratio1.10
Sharpe Ratio0.31
Sortino Ratio0.75
Calmar Ratio0.73

Verified

C2Star0

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.01
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life64.8%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-18.7%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)8.6%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)16.1%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity118.6%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.8%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss91.0%
Chance of 20% account loss79.0%
Chance of 30% account loss77.0%
Chance of 40% account loss69.5%
Chance of 50% account loss56.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)43.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)37.5%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)12.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)3.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated99.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$313
Avg Win$418
# Winners1257
Sum Trade PL (losers)$478,476
Sum Trade PL (winners)$524,817
Num Months Winners19
# Losers1530
% Winners45.1%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table58

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)356.33
Avg Position Time (hrs)5.94
Avg Trade Length0.20
Last Trade Ago802

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)0.78
Daily leverage (max)6.67

Regression

Alpha0.09
Beta0.07
Treynor Index1.39

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.04
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-25.66
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.56
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.66
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.16
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.04

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.37
SD0.43
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.86
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.83
df27
t1.31
p0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.45
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.15
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.47
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.14
Sortino ratio1.57
Upside Potential Ratio2.76
Upside part of mean0.65
Downside part of mean-0.28
Upside SD0.36
Downside SD0.23
N nonnegative terms15
N negative terms13
N of observations28
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion0.37
SD of predictor0.22
SD of criterion0.43
Covariance-0.01
r-0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.11
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.39
Mean Square Error0.19
DF error26
t(b)-0.29
p(b)0.61
t(a)1.32
p(a)0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.88
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.67
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.22
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.99
Treynor index (mean / b)-3.35
Jensen alpha (a)0.39
Mean0.28
SD0.42
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.65
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.63
df27
t1.00
p0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.65
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.94
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.66
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.93
Sortino ratio1.02
Upside Potential Ratio2.18
Upside part of mean0.59
Downside part of mean-0.31
Upside SD0.33
Downside SD0.27
N nonnegative terms15
N negative terms13
N of observations28
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.28
SD of predictor0.22
SD of criterion0.42
Covariance-0.01
r-0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.12
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.30
Mean Square Error0.18
DF error26
t(b)-0.32
p(b)0.63
t(a)1.03
p(a)0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.90
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.65
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.89
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.25
Jensen alpha (a)0.30
VaR(95%)0.16
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.20
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.11
Mean0.37
SD0.44
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.85
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.85
df616
t1.31
p0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.43
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.13
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.43
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.13
Sortino ratio1.16
Upside Potential Ratio5.02
Upside part of mean1.61
Downside part of mean-1.24
Upside SD0.30
Downside SD0.32
N nonnegative terms312
N negative terms305
N of observations617
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion0.37
SD of predictor0.24
SD of criterion0.44
Covariance0.00
r0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.37
Mean Square Error0.19
DF error615
t(b)0.23
p(b)0.41
t(a)1.29
p(a)0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.93
Treynor index (mean / b)22.48
Jensen alpha (a)0.37
Mean0.27
SD0.45
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.60
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.60
df616
t0.92
p0.18
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.68
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.88
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.68
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.88
Sortino ratio0.77
Upside Potential Ratio4.44
Upside part of mean1.57
Downside part of mean-1.30
Upside SD0.28
Downside SD0.35
N nonnegative terms312
N negative terms305
N of observations617
Mean of predictor0.19
Mean of criterion0.27
SD of predictor0.24
SD of criterion0.45
Covariance0.00
r0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.27
Mean Square Error0.21
DF error615
t(b)0.24
p(b)0.41
t(a)0.91
p(a)0.18
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.31
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.85
Treynor index (mean / b)15.09
Jensen alpha (a)0.27
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean-0.02
SD0.01
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.32
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.31
df130
t-0.93
p0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-4.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.46
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-4.08
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.47
Sortino ratio-1.69
Upside Potential Ratio3.75
Upside part of mean0.04
Downside part of mean-0.06
Upside SD0.01
Downside SD0.01
N nonnegative terms24
N negative terms107
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.99
Mean of criterion-0.02
SD of predictor0.35
SD of criterion0.01
Covariance0.00
r0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.02
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error129
t(b)0.52
p(b)0.47
t(a)-1.00
p(a)0.56
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.02
Treynor index (mean / b)-10.05
Jensen alpha (a)-0.02
Mean-0.02
SD0.01
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.32
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.31
df130
t-0.93
p0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-4.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.46
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-4.09
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.46
Sortino ratio-1.69
Upside Potential Ratio3.74
Upside part of mean0.04
Downside part of mean-0.06
Upside SD0.01
Downside SD0.01
N nonnegative terms24
N negative terms107
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.93
Mean of criterion-0.02
SD of predictor0.35
SD of criterion0.01
Covariance0.00
r0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.02
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error129
t(b)0.54
p(b)0.47
t(a)-1.01
p(a)0.56
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.01
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.02
Treynor index (mean / b)-9.59
Jensen alpha (a)-0.02
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations28
Minimum0.70
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.09
Maximum1.29
Mean of quarter 10.91
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.03
Mean of quarter 41.19
Inter Quartile Range0.09
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.07
Mean of outliers low0.78
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high1.28
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.50
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.09
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations617
Minimum0.71
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.17
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low68
Percentage of outliers low0.11
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high86
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.31
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.79
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.07
Number of observations131
Minimum1.00
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low17
Percentage of outliers low0.13
Mean of outliers low1.00
Number of outliers high27
Percentage of outliers high0.21
Mean of outliers high1.00
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.43
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.17
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.00

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations3
Minimum0.08
Quartile 10.15
Median0.22
Quartile 30.26
Maximum0.31
Mean of quarter 10.08
Mean of quarter 20.22
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.31
Inter Quartile Range0.11
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations21
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.01
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.48
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.26
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.19
Mean of outliers high0.31
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.28
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.12
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.15
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.77
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.32
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.37
Number of observations4
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.00
Maximum0.01
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.00
Mean of quarter 40.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-417471232
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)31
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.44
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.35
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.15
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.15
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.74
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.44
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.35
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.73
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.36
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal6.35
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.01
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.01
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.47
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.47
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal4.81

Trading record

Placed 3317 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
MSGM short3200Jan 31, 2023Jun 27, 2024$22,145
MGAM short3000Feb 1, 2023Feb 1, 2023$1,808
PALT short2000Jan 31, 2023Jan 31, 2023($105)
PALT short2000Jan 31, 2023Jan 31, 2023($250)
CNTX short20800Jan 31, 2023Jan 31, 2023$487
MSGM long400Jan 31, 2023Jan 31, 2023$269
MSGM short1000Jan 31, 2023Jan 31, 2023$379
MSGM short1000Jan 31, 2023Jan 31, 2023$191
BZFD short10000Jan 30, 2023Jan 30, 2023$1,453
GNS short1500Jan 30, 2023Jan 30, 2023$460
GTII long1000Jan 30, 2023Jan 30, 2023($235)
GNS long880Jan 30, 2023Jan 30, 2023$235
GNS short2200Jan 30, 2023Jan 30, 2023$71
BZFD short32782Jan 27, 2023Jan 30, 2023$8,865
AUVI short11300Jan 27, 2023Jan 27, 2023$877
BZFD short30000Jan 27, 2023Jan 27, 2023($4,205)
BZFD short30000Jan 27, 2023Jan 27, 2023($2,405)
QNCX short9600Jan 27, 2023Jan 27, 2023$230
BZFD short54000Jan 27, 2023Jan 27, 2023($16,285)
AUVI short7700Jan 27, 2023Jan 27, 2023($817)
AUVI short11000Jan 27, 2023Jan 27, 2023($119)
BZFD short10000Jan 27, 2023Jan 27, 2023($1,503)
AUVI long4000Jan 27, 2023Jan 27, 2023($450)
BZFD short6580Jan 27, 2023Jan 27, 2023($2,078)
BZFD long1000Jan 27, 2023Jan 27, 2023($73)
BZFD long1000Jan 27, 2023Jan 27, 2023($198)
GNS short1000Jan 26, 2023Jan 26, 2023$5
MLGO short4200Jan 26, 2023Jan 26, 2023$677
GNS long3000Jan 26, 2023Jan 26, 2023$300
BZFD long4160Jan 26, 2023Jan 26, 2023$265

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.