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PASSIVE 100

Futures · Started Aug 2021

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-1.7%
Max Drawdown
17.7%
Trades
167
Win Trades
71.9%
Profit Factor
0.90
Win Months
0.0%

About this strategy

PASSIVE is a discretionary DAY trading strategy that focuses mostly on MNQ and MES (Micro E- Mini Index Futures).

Trade Time:
• All trading activities start after the US opening bell and all operations will be closed at least 16 Minutes before the US closing bell.
• I have enabled ''Daily Auto-Close Time (ET) at 15.44'' from Trade leader C2 Setting. The reason for closing all trades 16 minutes early is because some ‘’Discount Brokers’’ expect all trades to be closed 15 minutes before US closing bell.

Objectives:
• As its name indicates, this strategy is designed to produce passive income for investors while the strategy is actively managed by Trade Leader on a discretionary basis.
• The primary objective of the strategy is organic capital growth while maintaining reasonable risk management.
• In terms of Risk Management, the objective is to keep the drawdown less than 10% of the Starting equity of the Strategy (C2 model capital). Just for information, PASSIVE's Initial Capital is US$50,000.
• Regarding ROI, I will try to produce 10%+ in a calendar month based on Initial Capital, but actual results may vary. ROI aim is based on the Strategy’s initial C2 Model capital.
Risk Warning: Please see "Day-Trading Risk by www.finra.org"
for more information, please visit – https://www.finra.org/rules-guidance/rulebooks/finra-rules/2270
It is always better to keep an eye on your capital on daily basis to see if the strategy provides what you expected.

Capital Requirement:
• Though the Strategy’s Initial capital is US$50,000, an investor can follow it at 100% scaling with Capital of anything around USD10,000+ if the investor uses any of the discount Brokers supported by C2; Example: Ninja Trader-Dorman/Philip, Gain Capital-Daniel’s trading or Tradovate etc.
• Though trading with less Capital through Discount Broker is desirable to small investors, I should remind you that trading with less capital carries more risk and may lead to margin call if market goes against the trades suddenly.
• If Investor prefers to start with 50% scaling, around US$5000+ is good enough capital with any of the above-mentioned Brokers.
• Investors with Interactive Brokers may require more capital because IBKR requires Day trading margins as per CME’s guidelines.
• I have no affiliation with any of the brokers mentioned above. Please do your own due diligence and, if required, seek help from a ‘’Registered Investment Advisor’’ in your Domicile.
• This link may be useful to US based investors - - https://www.investor.gov/.

Order Types and Stop-Loss & Take Profit:
• Orders could be executed at ''Market price or at Limit orders'' to Enter/Exit a Trade.
• No standard/pre-defined SL/TP is used in each trade, limit orders are executed based on the market conditions at the discretion of the Trade Leader.
• If you like to follow my strategy at 100% scaling, for additional safety, I recommend that you set your Maximum allowed contract size = 4.
• For 50% scaling, set your Maximum allowed contract size = 2.
• For 200% scaling, , set your Maximum allowed contract size = 8 and so on..
Since this is a discretionary strategy, I can’t rule out human error and keeping additional safety at C2 level is always safe.

Trading Cost:
There are two types of Trading cost involved in Auto-Trading PASSIVE.
1. Broker side trading cost
2. C2 side Trading cost.

Broker side trading cost:
• Typically, ‘’Exchange Fee, Commission, Clearing and NFA Fees’’ come under Broker side trading cost and this may be charged automatically from your brokerage account itself daily.
• There may be around 3 to 10+ trades per each trading day. The average trading cost is around $1.50 to $1.75+ per each MNQ/MES. On average, we assume trading cost = $1.65/MNQ
• For example, if 5 trades are executed in a day with minimum contacts traded per lot, then the trading cost = 5 x 2 x $1.65 = $16.5
• If the Gross profit for the day is $300, then the Net profit for the day = $300 - $16.5 = $283.5

C2 side Trading cost:
There are two types of cost involved on C2 side trading cost.
1. The strategy Subscription fee, which is recurring fee monthly. PASSIVE cost $99/month.
2. C2 Investor Trading Plan fee (Check INVESTORS): The minimum fee is $49/month, and the maximum is $299/month.

IRA accounts:
• IRA accounts can be used to follow this strategy, please check with a Qualified Investment Advisor.
• Some useful link - https://www.interactivebrokers.com/en/index.php?f=14429

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2021-1.8-6.50.00.00.0-8.2
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began8/3/2021
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age62 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades167
# Profitable120
% Profitable71.9%
Avg trade duration21.3 minutes
Max peak-to-valley drawdown17.7%
drawdown periodAug 27, 2021 - Sept 02, 2021
Annual Return (Compounded)-1.7%
Avg win$142
Avg loss$407

Ratios

W:L ratio0.89
Sharpe Ratio-0.71
Sortino Ratio-0.80
Calmar Ratio-0.53

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.00
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life72.7%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-82.0%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-1.7%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)-0.9%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity16.5%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss36.5%
Chance of 20% account loss1.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated1.2%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$407
Avg Win$142
# Winners120
Sum Trade PL (losers)$19,129
Sum Trade PL (winners)$17,008
Num Months Winners0
# Losers47
% Winners71.9%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table61

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)21.25
Avg Position Time (hrs)0.35
Avg Trade Length0
Last Trade Ago1823

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)7.52
Daily leverage (max)31.16

Regression

Alpha-0.01
Beta0
Treynor Index18.90

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-4.15
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.04
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.76
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.39
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.24

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-0.09
SD0.04
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-2.51
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-2.27
df8
t-2.17
p0.97
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-5.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.12
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-4.79
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.26
Sortino ratio-2.11
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.09
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms9
N of observations9
Mean of predictor0.65
Mean of criterion-0.09
SD of predictor0.41
SD of criterion0.04
Covariance0.00
r0.30
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.11
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error7
t(b)0.82
p(b)0.22
t(a)-2.27
p(a)0.97
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.22
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.00
Treynor index (mean / b)-3.44
Jensen alpha (a)-0.11
Mean-0.09
SD0.04
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-2.50
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-2.26
df8
t-2.16
p0.97
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-5.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.12
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-4.77
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.26
Sortino ratio-2.11
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.09
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms9
N of observations9
Mean of predictor0.56
Mean of criterion-0.09
SD of predictor0.40
SD of criterion0.04
Covariance0.00
r0.27
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.11
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error7
t(b)0.75
p(b)0.24
t(a)-2.23
p(a)0.97
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.11
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.22
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.01
Treynor index (mean / b)-3.63
Jensen alpha (a)-0.11
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
Mean-0.09
SD0.09
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.00
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.99
df207
t-0.89
p0.81
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.21
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.19
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.21
Sortino ratio-1.17
Upside Potential Ratio1.81
Upside part of mean0.13
Downside part of mean-0.22
Upside SD0.04
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms13
N negative terms195
N of observations208
Mean of predictor0.76
Mean of criterion-0.09
SD of predictor0.42
SD of criterion0.09
Covariance0.00
r0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.09
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error206
t(b)0.07
p(b)0.47
t(a)-0.89
p(a)0.81
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.28
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.10
Treynor index (mean / b)-80.47
Jensen alpha (a)-0.09
Mean-0.09
SD0.09
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.03
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.03
df207
t-0.92
p0.82
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.17
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.23
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.18
Sortino ratio-1.20
Upside Potential Ratio1.76
Upside part of mean0.13
Downside part of mean-0.22
Upside SD0.04
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms13
N negative terms195
N of observations208
Mean of predictor0.67
Mean of criterion-0.09
SD of predictor0.42
SD of criterion0.09
Covariance0.00
r0.00
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.09
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error206
t(b)0.07
p(b)0.47
t(a)-0.92
p(a)0.82
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.28
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.10
Treynor index (mean / b)-92.44
Jensen alpha (a)-0.09
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.22
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.50
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.10
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.50
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6804032429490176
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)1.19683443370904e+32
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations9
Minimum0.98
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.22
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-5.01
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.07
Number of observations208
Minimum0.96
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.03
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low11
Percentage of outliers low0.05
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high13
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.83
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.01
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.05
Quartile 10.05
Median0.05
Quartile 30.05
Maximum0.05
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations4
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.04
Maximum0.11
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.11
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.25
Mean of outliers high0.11
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-460979424
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)6
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.06
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.06
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-1.32
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-2.13
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.06
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.06
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.53
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.53
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-5.25
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 330 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
NQ U1long4Sep 3, 2021Sep 3, 2021$568
NQ U1long4Sep 2, 2021Sep 2, 2021($4,862)
NQ U1short2Sep 1, 2021Sep 1, 2021$1,624
NQ U1short5Aug 31, 2021Aug 31, 2021($2,797)
NQ U1short2Aug 31, 2021Aug 31, 2021$952
NQ U1long1Aug 31, 2021Aug 31, 2021($34)
NQ U1short2Aug 31, 2021Aug 31, 2021$804
NQ U1short1Aug 31, 2021Aug 31, 2021$512
NQ U1short2Aug 30, 2021Aug 30, 2021($746)
NQ U1long2Aug 30, 2021Aug 30, 2021($176)
NQ U1short3Aug 30, 2021Aug 30, 2021($736)
NQ U1long2Aug 30, 2021Aug 30, 2021($371)
NQ U1short1Aug 30, 2021Aug 30, 2021($31)
NQ U1short2Aug 30, 2021Aug 30, 2021$342
NQ U1short2Aug 30, 2021Aug 30, 2021($215)
NQ U1short2Aug 30, 2021Aug 30, 2021$558
NQ U1short2Aug 30, 2021Aug 30, 2021$361
NQ U1short2Aug 30, 2021Aug 30, 2021($1,788)
NQ U1short2Aug 30, 2021Aug 30, 2021($1,029)
NQ U1short1Aug 27, 2021Aug 27, 2021$177
NQ U1short2Aug 27, 2021Aug 27, 2021$231
NQ U1long1Aug 27, 2021Aug 27, 2021$294
NQ U1short1Aug 27, 2021Aug 27, 2021$125
NQ U1long1Aug 27, 2021Aug 27, 2021$395
NQ U1long3Aug 27, 2021Aug 27, 2021$482
NQ U1short1Aug 27, 2021Aug 27, 2021($192)
NQ U1short1Aug 27, 2021Aug 27, 2021$223
NQ U1long1Aug 26, 2021Aug 26, 2021$133
NQ U1long1Aug 26, 2021Aug 26, 2021$118
NQ U1short2Aug 26, 2021Aug 26, 2021$475

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.