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Kosher Value investing

Equity · Stocks · Started Mar 2021

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
12.4%
Max Drawdown
54.6%
Trades
25
Win Trades
88.0%
Profit Factor
7.90
Win Months
35.9%

About this strategy

My strategy
**Designed for weeks to yeers**

Investing in businesses rather than stocks.

Purchase with margin of safety and wait until the full price is reached.

My Fundamentals:

-Investing in few quality businesses rather than in many medium-sized businesses
-In a good asset, volatility is not a disadvantage.
-I'm not trying to catch the highs nor the lows.
-I do not use leverage !!
- I do not use Stop Loss command !!!

So in the short term (days or weeks or months), there will be a decrease in the price at which the stock was purchased (paper loss), but in the long term (months or yeers) the profit will be tens of percent!

Finally, I would like to add

I invest in businesses that have passed a halachic kosher test !!
By doing so, I am confident that my investments will be successful and blessed by God.

Non-hedged Equity Pairs Trading / Relative Value

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20214.838.83.59.626.9-23.8-1.92.1-5.4-1.748.5
2022-19.4-10.20.07.020.6-11.14.86.0-17.5-13.6
20232.612.0-3.9-2.65.831.44.24.6-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.261.9
2024-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.61.6-5.4-6.60.23.5-1.71.31.3-7.0
2025-2.1-1.6-3.3-1.66.90.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-2.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began3/23/2021
Suggested Minimum Capital$25,000
Age66 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades25
# Profitable22
% Profitable88.0%
Avg trade duration122.5 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown54.6%
drawdown periodJuly 23, 2021 - Feb 10, 2022
Annual Return (Compounded)12.4%
Avg win$1,386
Avg loss$1,303

Ratios

W:L ratio7.88
Sharpe Ratio0.41
Sortino Ratio0.64
Calmar Ratio1.07

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.17
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life95.3%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-7.8%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)12.4%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)14.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity24.7%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss76.0%
Chance of 20% account loss55.5%
Chance of 30% account loss35.5%
Chance of 40% account loss23.5%
Chance of 50% account loss11.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)2.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.5%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$1,303
Avg Win$1,386
# Winners22
Sum Trade PL (losers)$3,908
Sum Trade PL (winners)$30,498
Num Months Winners23
# Losers3
% Winners88.0%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct278

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table64

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)176361.81
Avg Position Time (hrs)2939.36
Avg Trade Length122.50
Last Trade Ago483

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.94
Daily leverage (max)4.43

Regression

Alpha0.03
Beta0.43
Treynor Index0.11

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.08
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.16
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.06
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.09
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades2.09
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)1.63
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.52
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-2.23
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.48

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.63
SD0.67
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.95
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.91
df19
t1.23
p0.33
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.61
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.48
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.63
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.46
Sortino ratio1.94
Upside Potential Ratio3.47
Upside part of mean1.14
Downside part of mean-0.50
Upside SD0.59
Downside SD0.33
N nonnegative terms11
N negative terms9
N of observations20
Mean of predictor0.36
Mean of criterion0.63
SD of predictor0.31
SD of criterion0.67
Covariance0.07
r0.34
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.73
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.37
Mean Square Error0.42
DF error18
t(b)1.54
p(b)0.33
t(a)0.69
p(a)0.42
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.27
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.73
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.74
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.48
Treynor index (mean / b)0.86
Jensen alpha (a)0.37
Mean0.43
SD0.64
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.67
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.64
df19
t0.87
p0.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.87
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.19
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.89
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.18
Sortino ratio1.11
Upside Potential Ratio2.59
Upside part of mean0.99
Downside part of mean-0.57
Upside SD0.50
Downside SD0.38
N nonnegative terms11
N negative terms9
N of observations20
Mean of predictor0.32
Mean of criterion0.43
SD of predictor0.29
SD of criterion0.64
Covariance0.06
r0.34
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.74
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.19
Mean Square Error0.38
DF error18
t(b)1.55
p(b)0.33
t(a)0.39
p(a)0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.27
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.74
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.86
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.24
Treynor index (mean / b)0.58
Jensen alpha (a)0.19
VaR(95%)0.23
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.29
VaR(95%)0.09
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.19
Mean0.59
SD0.59
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.99
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.99
df447
t1.30
p0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.51
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.49
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.51
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.49
Sortino ratio1.58
Upside Potential Ratio8.01
Upside part of mean2.99
Downside part of mean-2.40
Upside SD0.46
Downside SD0.37
N nonnegative terms192
N negative terms256
N of observations448
Mean of predictor0.40
Mean of criterion0.59
SD of predictor0.25
SD of criterion0.59
Covariance0.02
r0.15
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.35
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.45
Mean Square Error0.34
DF error446
t(b)3.23
p(b)0.00
t(a)0.99
p(a)0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.57
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.44
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.33
Treynor index (mean / b)1.66
Jensen alpha (a)0.45
Mean0.42
SD0.59
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.71
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.71
df447
t0.93
p0.18
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.79
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.21
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.79
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.21
Sortino ratio1.06
Upside Potential Ratio7.38
Upside part of mean2.89
Downside part of mean-2.47
Upside SD0.44
Downside SD0.39
N nonnegative terms192
N negative terms256
N of observations448
Mean of predictor0.37
Mean of criterion0.42
SD of predictor0.25
SD of criterion0.59
Covariance0.02
r0.16
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.38
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.28
Mean Square Error0.34
DF error446
t(b)3.49
p(b)0.00
t(a)0.62
p(a)0.27
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.60
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.15
Treynor index (mean / b)1.09
Jensen alpha (a)0.28
VaR(95%)0.06
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
Mean-0.13
SD0.16
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.79
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.79
df130
t-0.56
p0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.57
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.98
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.56
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.98
Sortino ratio-1.12
Upside Potential Ratio4.54
Upside part of mean0.52
Downside part of mean-0.65
Upside SD0.11
Downside SD0.11
N nonnegative terms45
N negative terms86
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.86
Mean of criterion-0.13
SD of predictor0.31
SD of criterion0.16
Covariance0.02
r0.47
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.25
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.34
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error129
t(b)6.05
p(b)0.21
t(a)-1.66
p(a)0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.33
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.75
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.07
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.52
Jensen alpha (a)-0.34
Mean-0.14
SD0.16
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.87
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.87
df130
t-0.62
p0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.65
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.90
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.64
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.90
Sortino ratio-1.21
Upside Potential Ratio4.40
Upside part of mean0.51
Downside part of mean-0.65
Upside SD0.11
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms45
N negative terms86
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.81
Mean of criterion-0.14
SD of predictor0.30
SD of criterion0.16
Covariance0.02
r0.46
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.25
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.34
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error129
t(b)5.94
p(b)0.22
t(a)-1.67
p(a)0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.17
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.33
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.75
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.06
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.56
Jensen alpha (a)-0.34
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations20
Minimum0.66
Quartile 10.97
Median1.02
Quartile 31.12
Maximum1.51
Mean of quarter 10.84
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.07
Mean of quarter 41.32
Inter Quartile Range0.15
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.05
Mean of outliers low0.66
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.10
Mean of outliers high1.44
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-4.56
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.10
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.25
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.23
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.31
Number of observations448
Minimum0.83
Quartile 10.99
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.23
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.04
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low49
Percentage of outliers low0.11
Mean of outliers low0.94
Number of outliers high51
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high1.07
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.40
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.06
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.12
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.05
Number of observations131
Minimum0.95
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.06
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low9
Percentage of outliers low0.07
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high9
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.62
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.60
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.39
Quartile 10.39
Median0.39
Quartile 30.39
Maximum0.39
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations13
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.03
Quartile 30.05
Maximum0.52
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.05
Mean of quarter 40.24
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high0.52
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.49
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.20
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.47
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.37
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.39
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations3
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.07
Maximum0.14
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.14
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-496968000
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)202
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.68
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.58
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.49
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.99
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.66
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.56
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.07
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.29
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal7.91
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.11
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.11
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.74
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.74
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-5.13

Trading record

Placed 115 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
FIVE long81May 1, 2024May 13, 2025($3,045)
MED long394Mar 26, 2024May 13, 2025($691)
MBUU long22Mar 26, 2024May 13, 2025($182)
TSLA short10Nov 13, 2024Nov 13, 2024$11
TSLA short10Nov 13, 2024Nov 13, 2024$14
TSLA short10Nov 13, 2024Nov 13, 2024$7
FOXF long117May 1, 2024May 7, 2024$706
XPEL long2242Jun 16, 2021Aug 30, 2023$5,971
TPL long8May 24, 2021Aug 30, 2023$1,847
TPX long101Dec 20, 2021Dec 23, 2021$245
CWH long101Dec 20, 2021Dec 21, 2021$214
TPX long606Nov 1, 2021Dec 7, 2021$800
MBUU long50Nov 16, 2021Nov 18, 2021$95
CWH long606Oct 26, 2021Nov 3, 2021$765
WFG long2Aug 4, 2021Aug 17, 2021$2
CWH long2Jul 19, 2021Jul 21, 2021$8
TPX long2220May 3, 2021Jul 6, 2021$5,369
AMZN long5Jun 8, 2021Jun 15, 2021$597
XPEL long229Jun 1, 2021Jun 8, 2021$1,747
AMZN long5May 12, 2021May 27, 2021$386
TPL long1May 20, 2021May 20, 2021$31
TPL long10May 11, 2021May 12, 2021$30
TPL long30Apr 20, 2021Apr 29, 2021$5,362
XPEL long626Mar 23, 2021Apr 21, 2021$4,988
TPL long30Mar 23, 2021Apr 15, 2021$1,191

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.