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slap strat

Options · Stocks, Options · Started Mar 2021

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-9.9%
Max Drawdown
46.7%
Trades
13
Win Trades
61.5%
Profit Factor
0.70
Win Months
40.9%

Volatility Long / Short

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2021-18.7-8.8-2.2-1.5-9.7-0.7-1.10.6-3.8-1.7-39.7
2022-1.50.60.1-1.90.00.70.4-0.4-2.20.2-0.0-0.6-4.4
20231.70.2-1.0-0.3-0.21.50.6-0.4-0.7-0.4-0.70.20.3
2024-0.11.10.2-1.00.3-1.10.3-0.40.9-0.5-0.21.10.5
2025-0.3-1.0-0.0-1.4-0.20.1-0.80.20.50.4-0.40.1-2.8
20260.80.3-1.10.4-0.1-1.10.50.4

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began3/3/2021
Suggested Minimum Capital$5,000
Age67 months
What it tradesStocks, Options
# Trades13
# Profitable8
% Profitable61.5%
Avg trade duration160.5 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown46.7%
drawdown periodMarch 17, 2021 - June 22, 2026
Annual Return (Compounded)-9.9%
Avg win$167
Avg loss$367

Ratios

W:L ratio0.73
Sharpe Ratio-0.82
Sortino Ratio-0.91
Calmar Ratio-0.40

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.07
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life99.9%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-145.5%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-9.9%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)-1.8%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity85.8%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.5%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.5%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss64.5%
Chance of 20% account loss20.5%
Chance of 30% account loss1.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$367
Avg Win$167
# Winners8
Sum Trade PL (losers)$1,837
Sum Trade PL (winners)$1,335
Num Months Winners27
# Losers5
% Winners61.5%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct10

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table66

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)231064.08
Avg Position Time (hrs)3851.07
Avg Trade Length160.50
Last Trade Ago1857

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)0.65
Daily leverage (max)10

Regression

Alpha-0.03
Beta0.05
Treynor Index-0.58

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.05
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.19
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.10
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.02
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-5.26
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.03
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.58
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.01
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.22

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-0.11
SD0.15
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.75
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.71
df13
t-0.81
p0.64
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.57
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.10
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.54
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.13
Sortino ratio-0.90
Upside Potential Ratio0.90
Upside part of mean0.11
Downside part of mean-0.22
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms4
N negative terms10
N of observations14
Mean of predictor0.46
Mean of criterion-0.11
SD of predictor0.24
SD of criterion0.15
Covariance0.00
r0.03
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.12
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error12
t(b)0.09
p(b)0.49
t(a)-0.72
p(a)0.60
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.37
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.40
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.47
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.24
Treynor index (mean / b)-7.08
Jensen alpha (a)-0.12
Mean-0.12
SD0.15
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.80
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.76
df13
t-0.87
p0.65
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.63
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.05
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.59
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.08
Sortino ratio-0.94
Upside Potential Ratio0.83
Upside part of mean0.11
Downside part of mean-0.23
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.13
N nonnegative terms4
N negative terms10
N of observations14
Mean of predictor0.43
Mean of criterion-0.12
SD of predictor0.23
SD of criterion0.15
Covariance0.00
r0.03
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.13
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error12
t(b)0.11
p(b)0.48
t(a)-0.78
p(a)0.61
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.42
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.49
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.23
Treynor index (mean / b)-6.01
Jensen alpha (a)-0.13
VaR(95%)0.08
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.09
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.09
Mean-0.10
SD0.15
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.66
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.66
df325
t-0.73
p0.77
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.42
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.10
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.42
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.10
Sortino ratio-0.75
Upside Potential Ratio3.28
Upside part of mean0.44
Downside part of mean-0.54
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.13
N nonnegative terms139
N negative terms187
N of observations326
Mean of predictor0.57
Mean of criterion-0.10
SD of predictor0.33
SD of criterion0.15
Covariance0.00
r0.09
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.04
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.12
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error324
t(b)1.58
p(b)0.06
t(a)-0.90
p(a)0.82
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.09
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.39
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.15
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.50
Jensen alpha (a)-0.12
Mean-0.11
SD0.16
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.71
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.71
df325
t-0.79
p0.78
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.47
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.05
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.46
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.05
Sortino ratio-0.79
Upside Potential Ratio3.08
Upside part of mean0.44
Downside part of mean-0.55
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms139
N negative terms187
N of observations326
Mean of predictor0.51
Mean of criterion-0.11
SD of predictor0.33
SD of criterion0.16
Covariance0.00
r0.08
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.04
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.13
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error324
t(b)1.53
p(b)0.06
t(a)-0.93
p(a)0.82
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.09
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.41
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.15
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.78
Jensen alpha (a)-0.13
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean-0.07
SD0.05
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.44
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.43
df130
t-1.01
p0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-4.21
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.34
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-4.20
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.35
Sortino ratio-1.97
Upside Potential Ratio6.60
Upside part of mean0.22
Downside part of mean-0.29
Upside SD0.03
Downside SD0.03
N nonnegative terms51
N negative terms80
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.32
Mean of criterion-0.07
SD of predictor0.37
SD of criterion0.05
Covariance0.00
r0.25
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.11
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error129
t(b)2.87
p(b)0.35
t(a)-1.64
p(a)0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.24
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.02
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.15
Jensen alpha (a)-0.11
Mean-0.07
SD0.05
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.46
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.45
df130
t-1.03
p0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-4.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.32
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-4.23
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.33
Sortino ratio-2.00
Upside Potential Ratio6.56
Upside part of mean0.22
Downside part of mean-0.29
Upside SD0.03
Downside SD0.03
N nonnegative terms51
N negative terms80
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.25
Mean of criterion-0.07
SD of predictor0.37
SD of criterion0.05
Covariance0.00
r0.25
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.11
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error129
t(b)2.92
p(b)0.34
t(a)-1.64
p(a)0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.01
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.24
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.02
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.15
Jensen alpha (a)-0.11
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations14
Minimum0.89
Quartile 10.98
Median0.99
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.07
Mean of quarter 10.95
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.07
Mean of outliers low0.89
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high1.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.38
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.10
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.35
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations326
Minimum0.87
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low10
Percentage of outliers low0.03
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high21
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.62
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.51
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum0.99
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.01
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high6
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.19
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.33
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.00

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.13
Quartile 10.13
Median0.13
Quartile 30.13
Maximum0.13
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations1
Minimum0.20
Quartile 10.20
Median0.20
Quartile 30.20
Maximum0.20
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations3
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.01
Median0.01
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.04
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.04
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-481499776
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)1923
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.09
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.09
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.70
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.93
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.08
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.08
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.40
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-3.96
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.04
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.04
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-1.11
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-1.11
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-6.33

Trading record

Placed 24 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
W2130G260 long1Jul 29, 2021Jul 29, 2021$123
UWMC long100May 17, 2021Jun 18, 2021$127
DBX long120Mar 11, 2021Jun 11, 2021$243
BCRX long50May 7, 2021Jun 11, 2021$185
SPCE2126C35 long2Mar 15, 2021Mar 27, 2021($451)
ROKU2119C360 long1Mar 18, 2021Mar 20, 2021($401)
SQ2119C237.5 long2Mar 18, 2021Mar 20, 2021($463)
ROKU2119C362.5 long1Mar 16, 2021Mar 17, 2021$148
BA2119C260 long1Mar 16, 2021Mar 17, 2021$168
SPY2115O394 long1Mar 15, 2021Mar 16, 2021($12)
UAVS long100Mar 5, 2021Mar 15, 2021$253
ROKU2112C365 long1Mar 11, 2021Mar 11, 2021$73

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.