Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

MNQ combo

Futures · Futures · Started Dec 2020

Trades Own Strategy

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
27.9%
Max Drawdown
40.2%
Trades
353
Win Trades
39.4%
Profit Factor
1.30
Win Months
51.4%
Subscribe $149/mo

About this strategy

A mix of medium term strategy and short term strategy so that you get the benefit of strategy diversification. Trades using MNQ so that capital requirement is lesser and you can scale up/down with more flexibility. Maximum number of MNQ contracts that may be traded at one time will not exceed 10. You may want to scale up/down as per your capital allocation and money management.

Trend-following Financials / Indexes

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20205.35.3
20216.33.46.623.9-2.013.65.65.0-8.811.34.922.2133.4
2022-1.1-3.93.4-2.45.6-6.913.6-3.2-7.9-4.05.3-3.8-7.2
20234.8-5.27.1-3.510.71.2-4.17.9-5.5-5.814.03.224.7
20243.34.4-0.6-8.315.919.83.6-6.70.0-9.3-1.39.429.2
2025-0.7-0.3-8.60.74.24.9-2.0-6.05.58.9-6.3-10.3-11.3
2026-5.6-4.0-3.135.634.9-10.8-25.719.20.026.8

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began12/8/2020
Suggested Minimum Capital$80,000
Age70 months
C2 Rank375
What it tradesFutures
# Trades353
# Profitable139
% Profitable39.4%
Avg trade duration3.3 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown40.2%
drawdown periodJuly 12, 2024 - April 12, 2026
Annual Return (Compounded)27.9%
Avg win$2,239
Avg loss$1,115

Ratios

W:L ratio1.30
Sharpe Ratio0.77
Sortino Ratio1.27
Calmar Ratio1.06

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.38
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life106.3%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)207.6%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)27.9%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.3%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status86.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)31.2%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity29.4%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.1%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss55.0%
Chance of 20% account loss24.0%
Chance of 30% account loss12.0%
Chance of 40% account loss3.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated98.5%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)807
C2 Score375
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)442

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?186109
TOS percent50.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$1,115
Avg Win$2,239
# Winners139
Sum Trade PL (losers)$238,516
Sum Trade PL (winners)$311,216
Num Months Winners37
# Losers214
% Winners39.4%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table70

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)4688.25
Avg Position Time (hrs)78.14
Avg Trade Length3.30
Last Trade Ago1

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)3.06
Daily leverage (max)8.70

Regression

Alpha0.05
Beta0.68
Treynor Index0.11

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.03
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades5.49
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.43
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats55.28
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats76.11
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.25
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.15
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.18

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.32
SD0.37
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.86
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.85
df67
t2.04
p0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.69
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.01
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.68
Sortino ratio1.93
Upside Potential Ratio3.83
Upside part of mean0.63
Downside part of mean-0.31
Upside SD0.34
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms34
N negative terms34
N of observations68
Mean of predictor0.11
Mean of criterion0.32
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.37
Covariance0.03
r0.58
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.35
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.16
Mean Square Error0.09
DF error66
t(b)5.74
p(b)0
t(a)1.24
p(a)0.11
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.88
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.82
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.42
Treynor index (mean / b)0.23
Jensen alpha (a)0.16
Mean0.25
SD0.35
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.72
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.72
df67
t1.73
p0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.55
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.12
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.55
Sortino ratio1.44
Upside Potential Ratio3.30
Upside part of mean0.58
Downside part of mean-0.33
Upside SD0.30
Downside SD0.17
N nonnegative terms34
N negative terms34
N of observations68
Mean of predictor0.10
Mean of criterion0.25
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.35
Covariance0.03
r0.57
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.27
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.12
Mean Square Error0.08
DF error66
t(b)5.70
p(b)0
t(a)1.00
p(a)0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.83
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.72
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.37
Treynor index (mean / b)0.20
Jensen alpha (a)0.12
VaR(95%)0.13
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.17
VaR(95%)0.06
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.11
Mean0.28
SD0.26
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.06
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.06
df1493
t2.54
p0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.24
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.88
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.24
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.88
Sortino ratio1.82
Upside Potential Ratio9.95
Upside part of mean1.54
Downside part of mean-1.26
Upside SD0.22
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms583
N negative terms911
N of observations1494
Mean of predictor0.11
Mean of criterion0.28
SD of predictor0.17
SD of criterion0.26
Covariance0.02
r0.39
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.63
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.21
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error1492
t(b)16.45
p(b)0.30
t(a)2.06
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.55
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.70
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.41
Treynor index (mean / b)0.45
Jensen alpha (a)0.21
Mean0.25
SD0.26
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.94
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.94
df1493
t2.24
p0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.76
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.12
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.76
Sortino ratio1.57
Upside Potential Ratio9.67
Upside part of mean1.51
Downside part of mean-1.27
Upside SD0.21
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms583
N negative terms911
N of observations1494
Mean of predictor0.10
Mean of criterion0.25
SD of predictor0.17
SD of criterion0.26
Covariance0.02
r0.39
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.62
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.19
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error1492
t(b)16.37
p(b)0.30
t(a)1.83
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.55
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.69
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.38
Treynor index (mean / b)0.40
Jensen alpha (a)0.19
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0.71
SD0.36
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.00
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.99
df130
t1.41
p0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.79
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.78
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.79
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.77
Sortino ratio3.47
Upside Potential Ratio11.27
Upside part of mean2.32
Downside part of mean-1.61
Upside SD0.29
Downside SD0.21
N nonnegative terms60
N negative terms71
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.22
Mean of criterion0.71
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.36
Covariance0.03
r0.51
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.33
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.42
Mean Square Error0.09
DF error129
t(b)6.82
p(b)0.19
t(a)0.96
p(a)0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.94
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.72
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.44
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.29
Treynor index (mean / b)0.54
Jensen alpha (a)0.42
Mean0.65
SD0.35
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.84
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.83
df130
t1.30
p0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.94
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.62
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.95
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.61
Sortino ratio3.11
Upside Potential Ratio10.87
Upside part of mean2.28
Downside part of mean-1.63
Upside SD0.29
Downside SD0.21
N nonnegative terms60
N negative terms71
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion0.65
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.35
Covariance0.03
r0.51
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.32
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.37
Mean Square Error0.09
DF error129
t(b)6.82
p(b)0.19
t(a)0.86
p(a)0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.93
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.70
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.48
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.23
Treynor index (mean / b)0.49
Jensen alpha (a)0.37
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations68
Minimum0.79
Quartile 10.96
Median1.00
Quartile 31.07
Maximum1.36
Mean of quarter 10.92
Mean of quarter 20.98
Mean of quarter 31.04
Mean of quarter 41.18
Inter Quartile Range0.11
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.01
Mean of outliers low0.79
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.04
Mean of outliers high1.32
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.21
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.08
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.10
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.38
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.11
Number of observations1494
Minimum0.94
Quartile 10.99
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.12
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low40
Percentage of outliers low0.03
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high95
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.09
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.07
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum0.94
Quartile 10.99
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.10
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.95
Number of outliers high5
Percentage of outliers high0.04
Mean of outliers high1.07
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.07
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.10
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.03

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations12
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.07
Median0.08
Quartile 30.13
Maximum0.27
Mean of quarter 10.03
Mean of quarter 20.08
Mean of quarter 30.10
Mean of quarter 40.23
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high0.26
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-549.66
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.24
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-4.66
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.44
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.44
Number of observations47
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.08
Maximum0.30
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.05
Mean of quarter 40.16
Inter Quartile Range0.08
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.09
Mean of outliers high0.25
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.24
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.18
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.27
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.04
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.16
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.21
Number of observations8
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.04
Quartile 30.05
Maximum0.30
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.04
Mean of quarter 40.18
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high0.30
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-387806976
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)639
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.8%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.68
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.32
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.20
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.39
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.91
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.66
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.32
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.06
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.96
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal9.89
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.81
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.97
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)3.26
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs5.36
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal23.36

Trading record

Placed 1838 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
MNQ U6long6Sep 3, 2026Sep 9, 2026$1,208
MNQ U6long6Aug 25, 2026Sep 1, 2026$304
MNQ U6long9Aug 7, 2026Aug 18, 2026($3,771)
MNQ U6long9Jul 31, 2026Aug 6, 2026$13,787
MNQ U6long3Jul 30, 2026Jul 31, 2026$1,334
MNQ U6long6Jul 21, 2026Jul 23, 2026($5,811)
MNQ U6long3Jul 15, 2026Jul 16, 2026($3,395)
MNQ U6long3Jul 14, 2026Jul 15, 2026($2,497)
MNQ U6long6Jul 9, 2026Jul 13, 2026($3,602)
MNQ U6long3Jul 6, 2026Jul 7, 2026($4,206)
MNQ U6long6Jun 30, 2026Jul 1, 2026($2,381)
MNQ U6long3Jun 29, 2026Jun 29, 2026$1,021
MNQ U6long6Jun 18, 2026Jun 23, 2026($5,924)
MNQ M6long6Jun 15, 2026Jun 16, 2026($3,925)
MNQ M6long3Jun 11, 2026Jun 12, 2026$3,769
MNQ M6long15May 20, 2026Jun 5, 2026$8,517
MNQ M6long6May 13, 2026May 15, 2026($2,405)
MNQ M6long33Apr 8, 2026May 12, 2026$35,875
MNQ M6long3Apr 8, 2026Apr 8, 2026($548)
MNQ M6long3Apr 6, 2026Apr 7, 2026($1,717)
MNQ M6long3Apr 1, 2026Apr 1, 2026$8
MNQ M6long3Mar 31, 2026Apr 1, 2026$3,379
MNQ M6long3Mar 25, 2026Mar 26, 2026($1,584)
MNQ H6long3Mar 16, 2026Mar 18, 2026($514)
MNQ H6long3Mar 9, 2026Mar 11, 2026$5
MNQ H6long3Mar 2, 2026Mar 3, 2026($3,008)
MNQ H6long6Feb 24, 2026Feb 26, 2026($3,789)
MNQ H6long3Feb 20, 2026Feb 23, 2026($253)
MNQ H6long3Feb 18, 2026Feb 18, 2026($442)
MNQ H6long15Feb 6, 2026Feb 10, 2026$2,313

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.