Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

Medallion X

Futures · Forex · Started Dec 2020

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
0.0%
Max Drawdown
100.0%
Trades
154
Win Trades
82.5%
Profit Factor
0.50
Win Months
5.8%

About this strategy

Hello,

1) Trading experience since 2006. Experience in managing a fund of 20 million USD. The plan and goal for the future is to open a hedge fund.
2) My public verified trading results | 2011 + 12.11% | 2012 + 105.51% | 2013 + 272.49% | 2014 + 182.49% | 2015 + 121.17% | 2016 + 65.57% | 2017 + 18.24% | 2018 + 88.6% | 2019 +16.5%.
3) Manual trading is based on the use of advanced mathematical algorithms that generate accurate entry and exit signals, as well as on the analysis of intraday currency futures of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME Group).
4) Trading is carried out both on a trend and on a reversal, on GBPUSD, EURUSD, AUDUSD, USDJPY, USDCAD, USDCHF currency pairs.
5) Each trade is protected by stop loss. Prior to the opening of each trade, a risk calculation is made and only after that a trade is opened. Risk control takes first place in the system.
6) Maximum drawdown per month 10%. The risk for you may be more than 10% if you connected not from the 1st of the month.
7) Not a martingale.

It is important to know when connecting my system “Medallion X” (Forex) to autotrade:

1) If you are a resident of the USA, Australia, then you will not be able to trade forex through Interactive brokers, local restrictions apply. You can connect to auto trading only with brokers Oanda, Trade Pro, FXCM, AGM Markets.
2) If you are a non-resident of the USA, Australia. There are no restrictions on the connection of autotrader. Any broker from the list - Interactive Brokers, Oanda, Trade Pro, FXCM, AGM Markets.
3) If you do not want to open a separate forex account, for this purpose I have a system for trading currency futures "Medallion CME" (Futures) is identical to the system "Medallion X" (Forex) | https://collective2.com/details/134947287

July 27, 2021
Michael

Currencies

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2020-3.6-3.6
20215.7-4.515.55.5-11.0-2.010.6-25.7-13.9-77.6-376.90.0-147.2
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began12/4/2020
Suggested Minimum Capital$10,000
Age70 months
What it tradesForex
# Trades154
# Profitable127
% Profitable82.5%
Avg trade duration2.9 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown100.0%
drawdown periodNov 02, 2021 - Nov 11, 2021
Annual Return (Compounded)0.0%
Avg win$82
Avg loss$707

Ratios

W:L ratio0.55
Sharpe Ratio-0.99
Sortino Ratio-1.10
Calmar Ratio-0.74

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.03
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life106.4%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-254.0%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)0.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)-29.5%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex1.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss93.5%
Chance of 30% account loss81.0%
Chance of 40% account loss57.0%
Chance of 50% account loss30.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)9.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)1.5%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$707
Avg Win$82
# Winners127
Sum Trade PL (losers)$19,097
Sum Trade PL (winners)$10,426
Num Months Winners5
# Losers27
% Winners82.5%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table12

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)4158.28
Avg Position Time (hrs)69.31
Avg Trade Length2.90
Last Trade Ago1774

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)9.97
Daily leverage (max)62.89

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0.44
Treynor Index0

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.03
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.23
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.12
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-4.07
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.76
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.30
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.25
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.25

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-0.39
SD0.73
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.53
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.51
df20
t-0.71
p0.58
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.96
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.00
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.98
Sortino ratio-0.56
Upside Potential Ratio0.43
Upside part of mean0.30
Downside part of mean-0.69
Upside SD0.18
Downside SD0.70
N nonnegative terms6
N negative terms15
N of observations21
Mean of predictor0.38
Mean of criterion-0.39
SD of predictor0.31
SD of criterion0.73
Covariance-0.02
r-0.07
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.16
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.33
Mean Square Error0.56
DF error19
t(b)-0.29
p(b)0.54
t(a)-0.55
p(a)0.58
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.29
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.97
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.59
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.93
Treynor index (mean / b)2.45
Jensen alpha (a)-0.33
Mean-1.18
SD1.70
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.69
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.67
df20
t-0.92
p0.60
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.81
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.83
Sortino ratio-0.70
Upside Potential Ratio0.17
Upside part of mean0.29
Downside part of mean-1.47
Upside SD0.17
Downside SD1.69
N nonnegative terms6
N negative terms15
N of observations21
Mean of predictor0.33
Mean of criterion-1.18
SD of predictor0.30
SD of criterion1.70
Covariance-0.05
r-0.09
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.53
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-1.01
Mean Square Error3.03
DF error19
t(b)-0.40
p(b)0.56
t(a)-0.73
p(a)0.60
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-3.26
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-3.90
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.89
Treynor index (mean / b)2.24
Jensen alpha (a)-1.01
VaR(95%)0.60
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.67
VaR(95%)0.16
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.36
Mean-0.75
SD0.75
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.00
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.00
df468
t-1.34
p0.91
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.47
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.47
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.47
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.47
Sortino ratio-1.10
Upside Potential Ratio2.14
Upside part of mean1.47
Downside part of mean-2.23
Upside SD0.31
Downside SD0.69
N nonnegative terms136
N negative terms333
N of observations469
Mean of predictor0.40
Mean of criterion-0.75
SD of predictor0.28
SD of criterion0.75
Covariance0.01
r0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.13
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.80
Mean Square Error0.57
DF error467
t(b)1.02
p(b)0.15
t(a)-1.42
p(a)0.92
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.37
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.91
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.31
Treynor index (mean / b)-5.92
Jensen alpha (a)-0.80
Mean-1.15
SD0.99
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.17
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.17
df468
t-1.56
p0.94
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.63
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.30
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.63
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.30
Sortino ratio-1.22
Upside Potential Ratio1.51
Upside part of mean1.43
Downside part of mean-2.58
Upside SD0.29
Downside SD0.95
N nonnegative terms136
N negative terms333
N of observations469
Mean of predictor0.36
Mean of criterion-1.15
SD of predictor0.28
SD of criterion0.99
Covariance0.01
r0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.16
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-1.21
Mean Square Error0.98
DF error467
t(b)0.96
p(b)0.17
t(a)-1.63
p(a)0.95
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.67
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.25
Treynor index (mean / b)-7.36
Jensen alpha (a)-1.21
VaR(95%)0.10
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.12
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.12
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.47
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.01
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.47
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6806975555829760
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)3.19470969205119e+32
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations21
Minimum0.11
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.04
Maximum1.14
Mean of quarter 10.80
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.10
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.10
Mean of outliers low0.44
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high1.13
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)2.41
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.29
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations469
Minimum0.36
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.25
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low80
Percentage of outliers low0.17
Mean of outliers low0.95
Number of outliers high95
Percentage of outliers high0.20
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.93
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.15
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.81
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.15
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations4
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.25
Maximum0.92
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.92
Inter Quartile Range0.24
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.25
Mean of outliers high0.92
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations19
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.07
Maximum0.92
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.04
Mean of quarter 40.26
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high0.92
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.94
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.28
Expected Shortfall (moments method)4.12
Extreme Value Index (regression method)2.76
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.29
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-393861216
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)9
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative1.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.50
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.68
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.75
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.75
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-1.03
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.48
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.68
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.74
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-2.55
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-5.54
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 1100 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
GBP/USD long2900Aug 4, 2021Nov 10, 2021($13,221)
BP Z1short1Oct 15, 2021Oct 21, 2021($271)
BP H2short1Oct 8, 2021Oct 21, 2021($1,096)
AUD/USD long2180Jul 5, 2021Oct 12, 2021$49
EUR/USD long70Aug 10, 2021Aug 11, 2021$60
GBP/USD short120Aug 2, 2021Aug 4, 2021($140)
GBP/USD long20Aug 2, 2021Aug 2, 2021$20
GBP/USD short40Aug 2, 2021Aug 2, 2021$57
GBP/USD short30Aug 2, 2021Aug 2, 2021$79
GBP/USD long50Aug 1, 2021Aug 2, 2021$72
GBP/USD short40Jul 29, 2021Aug 1, 2021$261
GBP/USD long30Jul 28, 2021Jul 28, 2021$77
GBP/USD long60Jul 28, 2021Jul 28, 2021$72
GBP/USD long70Jul 28, 2021Jul 28, 2021$94
GBP/USD long20Jul 28, 2021Jul 28, 2021$43
GBP/USD long10Jul 28, 2021Jul 28, 2021$16
GBP/USD long140Jul 23, 2021Jul 26, 2021$474
GBP/USD long110Jul 15, 2021Jul 19, 2021($822)
GBP/USD long70Jul 14, 2021Jul 15, 2021$223
GBP/USD long180Jul 12, 2021Jul 14, 2021$199
GBP/USD long90Jul 9, 2021Jul 9, 2021$125
EUR/USD long480Jun 27, 2021Jul 5, 2021$393
AUD/USD long50Jul 2, 2021Jul 2, 2021$74
USD/CHF short110Jun 28, 2021Jul 2, 2021($288)
EUR/USD long270Jun 22, 2021Jun 25, 2021$334
GBP/USD long190Jun 22, 2021Jun 22, 2021$382
EUR/USD long50Jun 20, 2021Jun 21, 2021$150
USD/CAD short90Jun 17, 2021Jun 18, 2021($987)
GBP/USD short10Jun 16, 2021Jun 17, 2021$29
GBP/USD short50Jun 16, 2021Jun 16, 2021$69

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.