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Tax the Rich

Futures · Started Jul 2020

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-30.0%
Max Drawdown
79.4%
Trades
260
Win Trades
62.7%
Profit Factor
1
Win Months
12.0%

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
202024.97.317.413.98.97.7110.2
202129.63.115.2-19.5-68.90.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-61.4
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began7/18/2020
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age75 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades260
# Profitable163
% Profitable62.7%
Avg trade duration1.0 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown79.4%
drawdown periodFeb 24, 2021 - March 05, 2021
Cumul. Return-25.4%
Avg win$2,000
Avg loss$3,353

Ratios

W:L ratio1
Sharpe Ratio0.17
Sortino Ratio0.22
Calmar Ratio0.01

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.07
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life135.4%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-55.3%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-30.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.3%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)0.2%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity410.1%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss94.5%
Chance of 20% account loss86.0%
Chance of 30% account loss73.5%
Chance of 40% account loss66.5%
Chance of 50% account loss57.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)46.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)32.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)9.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)3.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated99.5%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)443
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)913
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)534

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$3,353
Avg Win$2,000
# Winners163
Sum Trade PL (losers)$325,270
Sum Trade PL (winners)$325,931
Num Months Winners9
# Losers97
% Winners62.7%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table75

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)1379.82
Avg Position Time (hrs)23
Avg Trade Length1
Last Trade Ago1942

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)4.76
Daily leverage (max)40.04

Regression

Alpha0.02
Beta0.21
Treynor Index0.14

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.04
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.03
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.05
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-6.29
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.70
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.55
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.10
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.16

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean1.41
SD0.59
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.39
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.16
df8
t2.07
p0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.21
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.87
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.34
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.66
Sortino ratio4.60
Upside Potential Ratio5.76
Upside part of mean1.76
Downside part of mean-0.35
Upside SD0.62
Downside SD0.31
N nonnegative terms8
N negative terms1
N of observations9
Mean of predictor0.32
Mean of criterion1.41
SD of predictor0.09
SD of criterion0.59
Covariance-0.03
r-0.51
b (slope, estimate of beta)-3.26
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)2.44
Mean Square Error0.29
DF error7
t(b)-1.59
p(b)0.92
t(a)2.71
p(a)0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-8.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.60
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.31
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha4.56
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.43
Jensen alpha (a)2.44
Mean1.18
SD0.59
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.00
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.81
df8
t1.73
p0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.51
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.41
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.62
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.24
Sortino ratio3.34
Upside Potential Ratio4.50
Upside part of mean1.59
Downside part of mean-0.41
Upside SD0.55
Downside SD0.35
N nonnegative terms8
N negative terms1
N of observations9
Mean of predictor0.31
Mean of criterion1.18
SD of predictor0.09
SD of criterion0.59
Covariance-0.03
r-0.55
b (slope, estimate of beta)-3.57
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)2.28
Mean Square Error0.28
DF error7
t(b)-1.72
p(b)0.94
t(a)2.58
p(a)0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-8.47
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.33
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha4.37
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.33
Jensen alpha (a)2.28
VaR(95%)0.17
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.22
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
Mean1.01
SD1.17
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.86
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.86
df208
t0.77
p0.22
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.06
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.33
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.06
Sortino ratio1.06
Upside Potential Ratio4.61
Upside part of mean4.36
Downside part of mean-3.35
Upside SD0.68
Downside SD0.95
N nonnegative terms134
N negative terms75
N of observations209
Mean of predictor0.30
Mean of criterion1.01
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion1.17
Covariance0.03
r0.18
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.32
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.36
Mean Square Error1.32
DF error207
t(b)2.63
p(b)0.00
t(a)0.47
p(a)0.32
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.31
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.94
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha3.16
Treynor index (mean / b)0.77
Jensen alpha (a)0.61
Mean0.15
SD1.40
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.11
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.11
df208
t0.10
p0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.30
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.09
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.30
Sortino ratio0.12
Upside Potential Ratio3.31
Upside part of mean4.16
Downside part of mean-4.00
Upside SD0.62
Downside SD1.26
N nonnegative terms134
N negative terms75
N of observations209
Mean of predictor0.29
Mean of criterion0.15
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion1.40
Covariance0.04
r0.16
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.43
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.26
Mean Square Error1.93
DF error207
t(b)2.37
p(b)0.01
t(a)-0.17
p(a)0.57
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.24
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.62
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-3.34
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.82
Treynor index (mean / b)0.11
Jensen alpha (a)-0.26
VaR(95%)0.13
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.16
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
Mean0.24
SD1.46
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.17
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.16
df130
t0.12
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.61
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.94
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.61
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.94
Sortino ratio0.20
Upside Potential Ratio4.45
Upside part of mean5.31
Downside part of mean-5.06
Upside SD0.83
Downside SD1.19
N nonnegative terms83
N negative terms48
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.33
Mean of criterion0.24
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion1.46
Covariance0.05
r0.26
b (slope, estimate of beta)2.85
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.71
Mean Square Error2.00
DF error129
t(b)3.09
p(b)0.33
t(a)-0.35
p(a)0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta4.67
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-4.71
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha3.29
Treynor index (mean / b)0.08
Jensen alpha (a)-0.71
Mean-1.09
SD1.76
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.62
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.62
df130
t-0.44
p0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.39
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.15
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.39
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.15
Sortino ratio-0.69
Upside Potential Ratio3.16
Upside part of mean5.00
Downside part of mean-6.10
Upside SD0.75
Downside SD1.58
N nonnegative terms83
N negative terms48
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.33
Mean of criterion-1.09
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion1.76
Covariance0.06
r0.24
b (slope, estimate of beta)3.13
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-2.11
Mean Square Error2.94
DF error129
t(b)2.80
p(b)0.35
t(a)-0.86
p(a)0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.92
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta5.34
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-6.97
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.74
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.35
Jensen alpha (a)-2.11
VaR(95%)0.17
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.20
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.08

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations9
Minimum0.74
Quartile 11.08
Median1.13
Quartile 31.22
Maximum1.33
Mean of quarter 10.95
Mean of quarter 21.13
Mean of quarter 31.20
Mean of quarter 41.29
Inter Quartile Range0.14
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.11
Mean of outliers low0.74
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations209
Minimum0.45
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.02
Maximum1.35
Mean of quarter 10.95
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.06
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low20
Percentage of outliers low0.10
Mean of outliers low0.88
Number of outliers high23
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high1.10
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.46
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.72
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.14
Number of observations131
Minimum0.45
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.35
Mean of quarter 10.92
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.08
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low17
Percentage of outliers low0.13
Mean of outliers low0.86
Number of outliers high20
Percentage of outliers high0.15
Mean of outliers high1.11
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.99
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)2.42
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.55
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.16

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.26
Quartile 10.26
Median0.26
Quartile 30.26
Maximum0.26
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations19
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.07
Maximum0.72
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.36
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.16
Mean of outliers high0.54
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.52
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.32
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.82
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.02
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.36
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations16
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.06
Maximum0.72
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.43
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.19
Mean of outliers high0.54
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-10.76
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.25
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.25
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-1.57
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.82
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.87
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-312273120
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)9
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.98
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)2.36
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)9.00
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal10.61
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.20
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.20
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.28
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.56
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.23
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.83
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.66
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.91
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-1.53
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-3.22

Trading record

Placed 497 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
NQ M1long24May 7, 2021May 11, 2021($167,414)
QGC M1long5May 7, 2021May 7, 2021($990)
NQ M1short10May 7, 2021May 7, 2021$1,995
NQ M1long15May 7, 2021May 7, 2021$14,915
QGC M1long5May 5, 2021May 6, 2021$12,860
QCL M1long5May 6, 2021May 6, 2021$1,060
QSI N1long7May 5, 2021May 6, 2021$17,169
NQ M1short5May 5, 2021May 5, 2021$7,955
NQ M1short5May 5, 2021May 5, 2021$215
NQ M1short5May 5, 2021May 5, 2021($3,890)
QCL M1long10Apr 15, 2021May 4, 2021$29,520
QCL K1short1Apr 14, 2021Apr 15, 2021($158)
NQ M1short10Apr 14, 2021Apr 14, 2021($560)
NQ M1long10Apr 14, 2021Apr 14, 2021($980)
NQ M1long10Apr 14, 2021Apr 14, 2021($950)
QCL K1short10Apr 13, 2021Apr 14, 2021($15,872)
QCL K1short10Apr 13, 2021Apr 13, 2021($3,290)
QCL K1short10Apr 7, 2021Apr 13, 2021($5,048)
QCL K1short10Apr 7, 2021Apr 7, 2021($893)
QCL K1short10Apr 7, 2021Apr 7, 2021($1,655)
QCL K1short10Apr 7, 2021Apr 7, 2021$2,420
NQ M1short6Apr 7, 2021Apr 7, 2021$2,139
NQ M1short5Apr 7, 2021Apr 7, 2021($624)
NQ M1short5Apr 7, 2021Apr 7, 2021($1,678)
NQ M1long5Apr 7, 2021Apr 7, 2021$3,528
QCL K1long5Apr 7, 2021Apr 7, 2021$10
QCL K1short5Apr 7, 2021Apr 7, 2021($3,290)
NQ M1short5Apr 5, 2021Apr 5, 2021($9,537)
QCL K1short5Apr 1, 2021Apr 1, 2021($610)
QCL K1short5Apr 1, 2021Apr 1, 2021($240)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

Unachievable Scalping. This strategy exhibits a scalping trading pattern that is unlikely to be achievable as more AutoTraders begin to follow the strategy.