Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

Credit Spread Master

Options · Options · Started Jul 2020

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-2.2%
Max Drawdown
31.5%
Trades
263
Win Trades
48.7%
Profit Factor
1.10
Win Months
6.7%

About this strategy

I utilize short-term technical signals to trade a handful of options via credit spreads. I will always hold a position overnight to avoid the PDT Day Trading rule. In most situations, I will hold a position for 1-5 days but can be longer at times.

The strategy will work best when there's some level of volatility in the stock market. The strategy will not do as well during the extreme times in the stock market in terms of volatility (i.e. the VIX index is above 50 or below 15).

Goals for this strategy include:

1. 2-5% monthly return
2. Sharpe ratio above 1.5
3. Sortino ratio above 3
3. Max drawdown capped at 20%

These are of course goals of the strategy and are not guaranteed.

To minimize losses on losing trades, I also trade with a broad market hedge. I will also utilize gamma scalping to attempt to make money during down days. Due to the hedge and the limited number of positions I trade, my position size will typically be larger than most traders (~10-20% per trade).

Premium Collecting Directional Bets

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20209.38.5-10.0-19.729.95.917.9
20217.4-10.9-8.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-12.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began7/7/2020
Suggested Minimum Capital$10,000
Age75 months
What it tradesOptions
# Trades263
# Profitable128
% Profitable48.7%
Avg trade duration4.4 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown31.5%
drawdown periodMarch 05, 2021 - March 05, 2021
Cumul. Return-1.5%
Avg win$226
Avg loss$201

Ratios

W:L ratio1.07
Sharpe Ratio-0.02
Sortino Ratio-0.03
Calmar Ratio0.59

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.20
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life141.8%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-22.8%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-2.2%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)2.7%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity23.9%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.9%
Short Options - Percent Covered3.7%
Percent Trades Stocks0.1%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated1.4%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)665
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$201
Avg Win$226
# Winners128
Sum Trade PL (losers)$27,159
Sum Trade PL (winners)$28,934
Num Months Winners5
# Losers135
% Winners48.7%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table75

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)6281.05
Avg Position Time (hrs)104.68
Avg Trade Length4.40
Last Trade Ago2011

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)18
Daily leverage (max)48.27

Regression

Alpha-0.01
Beta0.16
Treynor Index-0.01

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.03
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.03
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-7.53
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.07
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.16
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.15
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.13

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.58
SD0.17
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)3.44
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.99
df6
t2.63
p0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio6.55
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.08
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation6.07
Sortino ratio16.04
Upside Potential Ratio17.35
Upside part of mean0.62
Downside part of mean-0.05
Upside SD0.23
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms6
N negative terms1
N of observations7
Mean of predictor0.35
Mean of criterion0.58
SD of predictor0.08
SD of criterion0.17
Covariance0.01
r0.68
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.52
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.04
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error5
t(b)2.08
p(b)0.05
t(a)0.13
p(a)0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.35
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta3.39
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.76
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.84
Treynor index (mean / b)0.38
Jensen alpha (a)0.04
Mean0.55
SD0.16
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)3.45
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)3.00
df6
t2.63
p0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio6.56
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.08
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation6.07
Sortino ratio15.15
Upside Potential Ratio16.46
Upside part of mean0.60
Downside part of mean-0.05
Upside SD0.21
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms6
N negative terms1
N of observations7
Mean of predictor0.35
Mean of criterion0.55
SD of predictor0.07
SD of criterion0.16
Covariance0.01
r0.69
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.50
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.03
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error5
t(b)2.10
p(b)0.04
t(a)0.11
p(a)0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta3.34
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.73
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.80
Treynor index (mean / b)0.37
Jensen alpha (a)0.03
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0.28
SD0.35
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.80
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.80
df170
t0.65
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.63
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.23
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.63
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.23
Sortino ratio1.13
Upside Potential Ratio7.02
Upside part of mean1.76
Downside part of mean-1.48
Upside SD0.25
Downside SD0.25
N nonnegative terms83
N negative terms88
N of observations171
Mean of predictor0.28
Mean of criterion0.28
SD of predictor0.17
SD of criterion0.35
Covariance0.03
r0.59
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.24
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.03
Mean Square Error0.08
DF error169
t(b)9.40
p(b)0.15
t(a)-0.18
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.98
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.77
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.64
Treynor index (mean / b)0.23
Jensen alpha (a)-0.06
Mean0.22
SD0.35
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.62
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.62
df170
t0.50
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.80
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.05
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.81
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.05
Sortino ratio0.86
Upside Potential Ratio6.69
Upside part of mean1.73
Downside part of mean-1.51
Upside SD0.24
Downside SD0.26
N nonnegative terms83
N negative terms88
N of observations171
Mean of predictor0.27
Mean of criterion0.22
SD of predictor0.17
SD of criterion0.35
Covariance0.03
r0.59
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.24
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.11
Mean Square Error0.08
DF error169
t(b)9.41
p(b)0.15
t(a)-0.31
p(a)0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.98
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.82
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.60
Treynor index (mean / b)0.18
Jensen alpha (a)-0.11
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean-0.04
SD0.39
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.11
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.11
df130
t-0.08
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.88
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.66
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.88
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.67
Sortino ratio-0.15
Upside Potential Ratio6.29
Upside part of mean1.79
Downside part of mean-1.83
Upside SD0.26
Downside SD0.28
N nonnegative terms60
N negative terms71
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion-0.04
SD of predictor0.18
SD of criterion0.39
Covariance0.04
r0.60
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.29
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.23
Mean Square Error0.10
DF error129
t(b)8.52
p(b)0.14
t(a)-0.52
p(a)0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.99
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.65
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.03
Jensen alpha (a)-0.23
Mean-0.12
SD0.39
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.30
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.30
df130
t-0.21
p0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.47
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.07
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.47
Sortino ratio-0.40
Upside Potential Ratio5.98
Upside part of mean1.75
Downside part of mean-1.87
Upside SD0.26
Downside SD0.29
N nonnegative terms60
N negative terms71
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.13
Mean of criterion-0.12
SD of predictor0.18
SD of criterion0.39
Covariance0.04
r0.60
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.29
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.28
Mean Square Error0.10
DF error129
t(b)8.52
p(b)0.14
t(a)-0.64
p(a)0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.99
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.60
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.09
Jensen alpha (a)-0.28
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations7
Minimum0.97
Quartile 11.03
Median1.04
Quartile 31.08
Maximum1.12
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21.04
Mean of quarter 31.07
Mean of quarter 41.11
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations171
Minimum0.92
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.08
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low14
Percentage of outliers low0.08
Mean of outliers low0.95
Number of outliers high12
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.77
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.10
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.09
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.03
Number of observations131
Minimum0.92
Quartile 10.99
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.08
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low11
Percentage of outliers low0.08
Mean of outliers low0.95
Number of outliers high9
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.71
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.10
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.23
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.03

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.03
Quartile 10.03
Median0.03
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.03
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations18
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.23
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.10
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high0.16
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.87
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.61
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.01
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.11
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.18
Number of observations12
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.23
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.15
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high0.22
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-760.92
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-3.74
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.47
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.47
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-282623744
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)59
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.69
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.79
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)31.22
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal16.38
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.27
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.28
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.23
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.84
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal6.53
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.09
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.09
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.37
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.57
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-1.75

Trading record

Placed 249 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
QQQ2117U316 long1Feb 25, 2021Mar 5, 2021$452
QQQ2117I310 long1Feb 25, 2021Mar 5, 2021($640)
QQQ2119O308 short4Feb 19, 2021Mar 5, 2021($2,394)
QQQ2119O295 long4Feb 19, 2021Mar 5, 2021$1,086
SPY2119O369 short3Feb 19, 2021Mar 5, 2021($214)
SPY2119O356 long3Feb 19, 2021Mar 5, 2021$35
SPY2116G377 long1Feb 2, 2021Mar 5, 2021($393)
SPY2116S385 long1Feb 2, 2021Mar 5, 2021($265)
SPY2130F367 long1Jan 29, 2021Feb 1, 2021$101
SPY2130R375 long1Jan 29, 2021Feb 1, 2021($217)
SPY2119N337 long4Jan 29, 2021Feb 1, 2021($422)
SPY2119N349 short4Jan 29, 2021Feb 1, 2021$570
QQQ2119N280 long3Jan 29, 2021Feb 1, 2021($406)
QQQ2119N292 short3Jan 29, 2021Feb 1, 2021$587
QQQ2119N278 long4Jan 29, 2021Jan 29, 2021($38)
SPY2130R378 long1Jan 27, 2021Jan 28, 2021($443)
SPY2130F370 long1Jan 27, 2021Jan 28, 2021$266
QQQ2119N282 long3Jan 27, 2021Jan 28, 2021($370)
QQQ2119N294 short3Jan 27, 2021Jan 28, 2021$527
DIA2119N274 long2Jan 27, 2021Jan 28, 2021($155)
DIA2119N286 short2Jan 27, 2021Jan 28, 2021$227
SPY2119N335 long3Jan 27, 2021Jan 28, 2021($292)
SPY2119N347 short3Jan 27, 2021Jan 28, 2021$419
QQQ2130F325 long1Jan 25, 2021Jan 27, 2021($190)
QQQ2130R331 long1Jan 25, 2021Jan 27, 2021$353
QQQ2130R330 long1Jan 21, 2021Jan 25, 2021$9
QQQ2130F324 long1Jan 21, 2021Jan 25, 2021$42
SPY2130R379 long1Jan 15, 2021Jan 20, 2021($294)
SPY2130F371 long1Jan 15, 2021Jan 20, 2021$301
SPY2119N351 short3Jan 15, 2021Jan 20, 2021$344

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.