Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

FuturesMillionaire

Futures · Futures · Started Jul 2020

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
0.0%
Max Drawdown
100.0%
Trades
128
Win Trades
75.0%
Profit Factor
0.60
Win Months
1.3%

Short Term

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
202050.2-102.10.00.00.00.0-103.1
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began7/6/2020
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age75 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades128
# Profitable96
% Profitable75.0%
Avg trade duration4.5 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown100.0%
drawdown periodAug 12, 2020 - Aug 12, 2020
Annual Return (Compounded)0.0%
Avg win$666
Avg loss$3,490

Ratios

W:L ratio0.57
Sharpe Ratio-3.66
Sortino Ratio-3.58
Calmar Ratio-0.99

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.23
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life139.2%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-242.0%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)0.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)-39.6%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$3,490
Avg Win$666
# Winners96
Sum Trade PL (losers)$111,681
Sum Trade PL (winners)$63,904
Num Months Winners1
# Losers32
% Winners75.0%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table2

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)267.60
Avg Position Time (hrs)4.46
Avg Trade Length0.20
Last Trade Ago2220

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)15.50
Daily leverage (max)43.50

Regression

Alpha0
Beta3.11
Treynor Index0

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.05
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.14
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.14
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-3.21
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.71
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.03
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.35
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.31

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-0.48
SD1.22
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.39
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.36
df10
t-0.38
p0.64
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.44
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.67
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.42
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.69
Sortino ratio-0.47
Upside Potential Ratio0.59
Upside part of mean0.61
Downside part of mean-1.09
Upside SD0.58
Downside SD1.02
N nonnegative terms1
N negative terms10
N of observations11
Mean of predictor0.98
Mean of criterion-0.48
SD of predictor0.35
SD of criterion1.22
Covariance0.09
r0.21
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.74
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-1.20
Mean Square Error1.58
DF error9
t(b)0.65
p(b)0.27
t(a)-0.70
p(a)0.75
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.84
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta3.32
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-5.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.70
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.65
Jensen alpha (a)-1.20
Mean-3.47
SD3.83
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.91
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.84
df10
t-0.87
p0.80
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.97
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.20
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.92
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.24
Sortino ratio-0.92
Upside Potential Ratio0.13
Upside part of mean0.48
Downside part of mean-3.95
Upside SD0.46
Downside SD3.76
N nonnegative terms1
N negative terms10
N of observations11
Mean of predictor0.90
Mean of criterion-3.47
SD of predictor0.32
SD of criterion3.83
Covariance0.38
r0.31
b (slope, estimate of beta)3.68
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-6.76
Mean Square Error14.74
DF error9
t(b)0.97
p(b)0.18
t(a)-1.29
p(a)0.88
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-4.91
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta12.28
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-18.66
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha5.13
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.94
Jensen alpha (a)-6.76
VaR(95%)0.88
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.92
VaR(95%)0.30
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.63
Mean-1.67
SD1.22
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.38
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.37
df247
t-1.34
p0.91
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.39
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.64
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.39
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.64
Sortino ratio-1.40
Upside Potential Ratio0.63
Upside part of mean0.76
Downside part of mean-2.44
Upside SD0.21
Downside SD1.20
N nonnegative terms17
N negative terms231
N of observations248
Mean of predictor0.96
Mean of criterion-1.67
SD of predictor0.36
SD of criterion1.22
Covariance0.00
r0.00
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-1.68
Mean Square Error1.48
DF error246
t(b)0.04
p(b)0.49
t(a)-1.33
p(a)0.91
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.42
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-4.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.82
Treynor index (mean / b)-213.37
Jensen alpha (a)-1.68
Mean-3.36
SD2.28
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.47
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.47
df247
t-1.43
p0.92
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.49
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.55
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.49
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.55
Sortino ratio-1.47
Upside Potential Ratio0.32
Upside part of mean0.74
Downside part of mean-4.10
Upside SD0.20
Downside SD2.28
N nonnegative terms17
N negative terms231
N of observations248
Mean of predictor0.89
Mean of criterion-3.36
SD of predictor0.36
SD of criterion2.28
Covariance-0.01
r-0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-3.32
Mean Square Error5.23
DF error246
t(b)-0.11
p(b)0.54
t(a)-1.39
p(a)0.92
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.85
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.76
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-8.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.37
Treynor index (mean / b)73.99
Jensen alpha (a)-3.32
VaR(95%)0.22
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.26
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.03
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.45
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.92
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.45
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6813052397682688
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.22
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)4.23027554913308e+32
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations11
Minimum0.03
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.56
Mean of quarter 10.68
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.19
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.09
Mean of outliers low0.03
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.09
Mean of outliers high1.56
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations248
Minimum0.16
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.10
Mean of quarter 10.96
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low11
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.79
Number of outliers high17
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.92
VaR(95%) (regression method)-0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.97
Quartile 10.97
Median0.97
Quartile 30.97
Maximum0.97
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations2
Minimum0.13
Quartile 10.34
Median0.55
Quartile 30.76
Maximum0.97
Mean of quarter 10.13
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.97
Inter Quartile Range0.42
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-396884576
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)8
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.2%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-1.04
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.97
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-1.00
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-1.05
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-1.01
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.96
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.99
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.99
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-3.70
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 212 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
ES U0long2Aug 12, 2020Aug 12, 2020($816)
QGC Z0short5Aug 12, 2020Aug 12, 2020($22,350)
QGC Z0long5Aug 9, 2020Aug 12, 2020($43,430)
ES U0long5Aug 10, 2020Aug 11, 2020($2,415)
NQ U0long2Aug 9, 2020Aug 11, 2020($3,044)
ES U0short5Aug 4, 2020Aug 9, 2020($12,940)
ES U0short5Aug 4, 2020Aug 4, 2020$335
ES U0short4Aug 4, 2020Aug 4, 2020$743
ES U0long5Aug 3, 2020Aug 4, 2020$1,823
UB U0short4Aug 3, 2020Aug 3, 2020$51
NQ U0short3Aug 3, 2020Aug 3, 2020($375)
ES U0short5Aug 3, 2020Aug 3, 2020$823
UB U0short3Aug 3, 2020Aug 3, 2020$540
QGC Z0long3Aug 3, 2020Aug 3, 2020$300
UB U0short3Aug 2, 2020Aug 3, 2020$2,883
NQ U0long5Aug 2, 2020Aug 2, 2020$687
NQ U0long5Aug 2, 2020Aug 2, 2020$695
NQ U0long5Jul 31, 2020Jul 31, 2020$3,435
ES U0long3Jul 31, 2020Jul 31, 2020$1,476
ES U0short3Jul 31, 2020Jul 31, 2020$564
ES U0long3Jul 30, 2020Jul 30, 2020$3,426
ES U0long3Jul 27, 2020Jul 29, 2020$576
QGC Q0short2Jul 28, 2020Jul 29, 2020$1,924
QI U0long3Jul 28, 2020Jul 28, 2020$4,289
QI Z0short3Jul 28, 2020Jul 28, 2020($399)
QGC Q0long2Jul 27, 2020Jul 27, 2020$164
ES U0long5Jul 23, 2020Jul 27, 2020$723
ES U0long3Jul 23, 2020Jul 23, 2020$239
ES U0short3Jul 23, 2020Jul 23, 2020$764
QGC Q0short5Jul 23, 2020Jul 23, 2020($1,100)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.