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Get Paid Index Trader

Futures · Futures · Started May 2020

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
0.7%
Max Drawdown
32.2%
Trades
57
Win Trades
35.1%
Profit Factor
1.10
Win Months
1.3%

About this strategy

Mainly trade technical factors with an eye on news to determine market sentiment. Trade mostly SP500 index, but will trade others when action in SP500 slow. Don't hold onto positions too long. Time in the market is risk, so we reduce that risk with short term trades only catching the momentum bias. So we wouldn't have caught the downdraft earlier in the year, but would have profited from it instead.

Short Term Financials / Indexes

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
202024.0-15.50.00.00.00.00.00.04.8
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began5/23/2020
Suggested Minimum Capital$10,000
Age76 months
What it tradesFutures, Forex
# Trades57
# Profitable20
% Profitable35.1%
Avg trade duration2.3 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown32.2%
drawdown periodMay 28, 2020 - June 03, 2020
Annual Return (Compounded)0.7%
Avg win$410
Avg loss$195

Ratios

W:L ratio1.13
Sharpe Ratio-0.05
Sortino Ratio-0.09
Calmar Ratio0.21

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.01
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life156.9%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-156.8%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)0.7%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)1.5%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity38.4%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.3%
Percent Trades Futures0.7%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated4.7%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$195
Avg Win$410
# Winners20
Sum Trade PL (losers)$7,232
Sum Trade PL (winners)$8,204
Num Months Winners1
# Losers37
% Winners35.1%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table76

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)140.02
Avg Position Time (hrs)2.33
Avg Trade Length0.10
Last Trade Ago2276

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)19.01
Daily leverage (max)26.03

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0.01
Treynor Index-0.22

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.07
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.02
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-19.55
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-1.32
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.47
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.38
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.05

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.03
SD0.05
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.61
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.55
df8
t0.53
p0.31
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.69
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.87
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.73
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.83
Sortino ratio4.11
Upside Potential Ratio7.38
Upside part of mean0.06
Downside part of mean-0.02
Upside SD0.05
Downside SD0.01
N nonnegative terms1
N negative terms8
N of observations9
Mean of predictor1.19
Mean of criterion0.03
SD of predictor0.39
SD of criterion0.05
Covariance0.01
r0.31
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.04
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.02
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error7
t(b)0.86
p(b)0.21
t(a)-0.20
p(a)0.58
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.21
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.18
Treynor index (mean / b)0.78
Jensen alpha (a)-0.02
Mean0.03
SD0.05
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.60
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.54
df8
t0.52
p0.31
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.70
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.86
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.74
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.82
Sortino ratio3.95
Upside Potential Ratio7.22
Upside part of mean0.05
Downside part of mean-0.02
Upside SD0.05
Downside SD0.01
N nonnegative terms1
N negative terms8
N of observations9
Mean of predictor1.07
Mean of criterion0.03
SD of predictor0.37
SD of criterion0.05
Covariance0.01
r0.31
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.04
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.01
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error7
t(b)0.85
p(b)0.21
t(a)-0.18
p(a)0.57
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.17
Treynor index (mean / b)0.72
Jensen alpha (a)-0.01
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
Mean0.07
SD0.29
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.23
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.23
df215
t0.21
p0.42
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.93
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.39
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.93
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.38
Sortino ratio0.37
Upside Potential Ratio2.50
Upside part of mean0.44
Downside part of mean-0.37
Upside SD0.23
Downside SD0.18
N nonnegative terms4
N negative terms212
N of observations216
Mean of predictor1.24
Mean of criterion0.07
SD of predictor0.42
SD of criterion0.29
Covariance0.00
r0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.06
Mean Square Error0.08
DF error214
t(b)0.14
p(b)0.45
t(a)0.18
p(a)0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.58
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.69
Treynor index (mean / b)10.06
Jensen alpha (a)0.06
Mean0.02
SD0.28
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.09
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.09
df215
t0.08
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.25
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.07
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.25
Sortino ratio0.13
Upside Potential Ratio2.24
Upside part of mean0.42
Downside part of mean-0.39
Upside SD0.21
Downside SD0.18
N nonnegative terms4
N negative terms212
N of observations216
Mean of predictor1.15
Mean of criterion0.02
SD of predictor0.42
SD of criterion0.28
Covariance0.00
r0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.02
Mean Square Error0.08
DF error214
t(b)0.13
p(b)0.45
t(a)0.06
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.61
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.64
Treynor index (mean / b)4.07
Jensen alpha (a)0.02
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.22
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.47
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.11
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.47
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6794327950884864
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.56386595668316e+32
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations9
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations216
Minimum0.88
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.14
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low5
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.94
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.02
Mean of outliers high1.09
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.16
VaR(95%) (regression method)-0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations1
Minimum0.26
Quartile 10.26
Median0.26
Quartile 30.26
Maximum0.26
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-418104352
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)6
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.06
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.06
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.21
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.05
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.05
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.21
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.53
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
QO Q0short3Jun 3, 2020Jun 4, 2020$714
ES M0short1Jun 3, 2020Jun 3, 2020($496)
MNQ M0long5Jun 3, 2020Jun 3, 2020$58
MNQ M0short3Jun 2, 2020Jun 3, 2020($934)
ES M0long1Jun 2, 2020Jun 2, 2020($383)
ES M0short1Jun 1, 2020Jun 1, 2020($108)
ES M0long1Jun 1, 2020Jun 1, 2020$67
GBP/CAD short100Jun 1, 2020Jun 1, 2020($3)
GBP/CAD long100Jun 1, 2020Jun 1, 2020($89)
EUR/GBP short100Jun 1, 2020Jun 1, 2020$289
GBP/CAD long50Jun 1, 2020Jun 1, 2020$43
EUR/GBP long50Jun 1, 2020Jun 1, 2020($7)
EUR/GBP long50Jun 1, 2020Jun 1, 2020($25)
EUR/GBP short50Jun 1, 2020Jun 1, 2020($54)
QM N0long1Jun 1, 2020Jun 1, 2020($246)
EUR/GBP long50Jun 1, 2020Jun 1, 2020($155)
ES M0long1Jun 1, 2020Jun 1, 2020($596)
ES M0long1May 29, 2020May 29, 2020($446)
ES M0long1May 29, 2020May 29, 2020($246)
ES M0long1May 29, 2020May 29, 2020($183)
ES M0long1May 29, 2020May 29, 2020($408)
DXM M0short1May 29, 2020May 29, 2020($365)
DXM M0short1May 29, 2020May 29, 2020($108)
ES M0long1May 28, 2020May 28, 2020($146)
ES M0short1May 28, 2020May 28, 2020($208)
ES M0long1May 28, 2020May 28, 2020$317
ES M0long1May 27, 2020May 27, 2020$1,217
ES M0long1May 27, 2020May 27, 2020$930
ES M0short1May 27, 2020May 27, 2020$17
ES M0long1May 27, 2020May 27, 2020($396)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.