Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

CURATUS SP500 FUTURES

Futures · Futures · Started Mar 2020

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
0.0%
Max Drawdown
100.0%
Trades
197
Win Trades
66.5%
Profit Factor
1
Win Months
6.4%

About this strategy

This system trades sp500 futures using a market breath based algo. Highly accurate in all market conditions as it looks at volume data and money inflow/outflow rather than technical chart based signals. It trades mainly ES, but also CL and NQ are sometimes traded. The core algo is based on the same metrics that mega quant funds renaissance tech and citadel are using. STRATEGY IS OVERALL VERY VERY CLOSE TO THE RENTEC MAIN ALGO, NEARLY IDENTICAL.

Short Term Financials / Indexes

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
202067.9-35.1267.713.424.6109.4-91.9-133.2-1549.8-166.7-409.1
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began3/22/2020
Suggested Minimum Capital$2,344
Age79 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades197
# Profitable131
% Profitable66.5%
Avg trade duration1.5 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown100.0%
drawdown periodDec 21, 2020 - Dec 21, 2020
Annual Return (Compounded)0.0%
Avg win$817
Avg loss$1,703

Ratios

W:L ratio0.95
Sharpe Ratio-0.51
Sortino Ratio-0.53
Calmar Ratio-0.92

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.12
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life229.9%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-501.2%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)0.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)0.0%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss100.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$1,703
Avg Win$817
# Winners131
Sum Trade PL (losers)$112,414
Sum Trade PL (winners)$106,974
Num Months Winners5
# Losers66
% Winners66.5%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table8

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)2099.40
Avg Position Time (hrs)34.99
Avg Trade Length1.50
Last Trade Ago2086

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)34.11
Daily leverage (max)890.24

Regression

Alpha0
Beta1.78
Treynor Index0

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.25
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.31
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.64
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.04
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-11.52
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.60
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats76.58
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats20.77
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.51
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.29
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.09

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean2.38
SD3.58
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.66
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.65
df33
t1.12
p0.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.52
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.83
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.53
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.82
Sortino ratio2.84
Upside Potential Ratio3.85
Upside part of mean3.23
Downside part of mean-0.85
Upside SD3.50
Downside SD0.84
N nonnegative terms6
N negative terms28
N of observations34
Mean of predictor0.24
Mean of criterion2.38
SD of predictor0.23
SD of criterion3.58
Covariance0.23
r0.28
b (slope, estimate of beta)4.34
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)1.35
Mean Square Error12.18
DF error32
t(b)1.66
p(b)0.05
t(a)0.62
p(a)0.27
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.99
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta9.67
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-3.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha5.76
Treynor index (mean / b)0.55
Jensen alpha (a)1.35
Mean-2.81
SD6.01
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.47
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.46
df33
t-0.79
p0.78
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.63
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.71
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.63
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.71
Sortino ratio-0.48
Upside Potential Ratio0.27
Upside part of mean1.55
Downside part of mean-4.35
Upside SD1.35
Downside SD5.82
N nonnegative terms6
N negative terms28
N of observations34
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion-2.81
SD of predictor0.22
SD of criterion6.01
Covariance0.16
r0.12
b (slope, estimate of beta)3.15
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-3.47
Mean Square Error36.77
DF error32
t(b)0.66
p(b)0.26
t(a)-0.93
p(a)0.82
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-6.51
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta12.80
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-11.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha4.15
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.89
Jensen alpha (a)-3.47
VaR(95%)0.95
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.97
VaR(95%)0.22
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.47
Mean1.28
SD1.74
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.74
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.74
df749
t1.25
p0.11
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.42
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.90
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.42
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.90
Sortino ratio1.11
Upside Potential Ratio4.15
Upside part of mean4.81
Downside part of mean-3.52
Upside SD1.30
Downside SD1.16
N nonnegative terms99
N negative terms651
N of observations750
Mean of predictor0.23
Mean of criterion1.28
SD of predictor0.22
SD of criterion1.74
Covariance0.05
r0.12
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.94
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.93
Mean Square Error2.98
DF error748
t(b)3.30
p(b)0.00
t(a)1.04
p(a)0.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.94
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha3.07
Treynor index (mean / b)1.36
Jensen alpha (a)1.06
Mean-2.78
SD5.48
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.51
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.51
df749
t-0.86
p0.80
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.67
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.65
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.67
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.65
Sortino ratio-0.52
Upside Potential Ratio0.78
Upside part of mean4.18
Downside part of mean-6.96
Upside SD1.04
Downside SD5.38
N nonnegative terms99
N negative terms651
N of observations750
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion-2.78
SD of predictor0.22
SD of criterion5.48
Covariance0.05
r0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-3.00
Mean Square Error30.00
DF error748
t(b)1.14
p(b)0.13
t(a)-0.92
p(a)0.82
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.75
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.82
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-9.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha3.37
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.68
Jensen alpha (a)-3.00
VaR(95%)0.43
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.50
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.10
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.10
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.26
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.06
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.26
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6865803722883072
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.42
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)3.03010680129948e+32
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations34
Minimum0.00
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum6.57
Mean of quarter 10.74
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 42.02
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.09
Mean of outliers low0.22
Number of outliers high6
Percentage of outliers high0.18
Mean of outliers high2.53
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-2.28
VaR(95%) (regression method)1.16
Expected Shortfall (regression method)1.31
Number of observations750
Minimum0.00
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.99
Mean of quarter 10.95
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.07
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low60
Percentage of outliers low0.08
Mean of outliers low0.83
Number of outliers high99
Percentage of outliers high0.13
Mean of outliers high1.14
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.28
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.14
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum1.00
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations13
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.01
Median0.03
Quartile 30.27
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.15
Mean of quarter 40.74
Inter Quartile Range0.26
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.15
Mean of outliers high0.85
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-4.56
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.59
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.59
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.77
VaR(95%) (regression method)1.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)1.16
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-317090624
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)4
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.35
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.94
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.94
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.96
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.35
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.94
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.94
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-1.27
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-1.86
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 225 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
LNG long6800Dec 19, 2020Dec 21, 2020($3,201)
LNG2018L57.5 long68Sep 17, 2020Dec 19, 2020($11,178)
NQ U0long1Sep 17, 2020Sep 17, 2020($2,028)
NQ Z0short2Sep 17, 2020Sep 17, 2020($3,691)
NQ Z0long5Sep 16, 2020Sep 17, 2020($8,290)
NQ Z0long4Sep 16, 2020Sep 16, 2020($7,262)
ES Z0long3Sep 16, 2020Sep 16, 2020($3,937)
NQ Z0long4Sep 16, 2020Sep 16, 2020$3,433
NQ Z0short2Sep 16, 2020Sep 16, 2020($1,311)
NQ Z0long2Sep 16, 2020Sep 16, 2020($2,781)
ES Z0long2Sep 16, 2020Sep 16, 2020($866)
ES Z0long4Sep 15, 2020Sep 16, 2020($1,857)
NQ Z0short1Sep 16, 2020Sep 16, 2020($278)
QCL Z0long6Sep 13, 2020Sep 15, 2020$2,552
NQ Z0long1Sep 15, 2020Sep 15, 2020$1,112
ES Z0long4Sep 15, 2020Sep 15, 2020$1,018
NQ Z0long1Sep 15, 2020Sep 15, 2020$942
NQ Z0short1Sep 15, 2020Sep 15, 2020($513)
ES Z0long2Sep 14, 2020Sep 15, 2020$747
NQ Z0long1Sep 14, 2020Sep 15, 2020$1,172
NQ Z0long3Sep 14, 2020Sep 14, 2020$3,886
ES U0long4Sep 11, 2020Sep 14, 2020($145)
NQ U0long2Sep 11, 2020Sep 13, 2020$2,509
ES U0short4Sep 11, 2020Sep 11, 2020($582)
NQ U0long1Sep 11, 2020Sep 11, 2020($2,683)
ES U0long3Sep 11, 2020Sep 11, 2020($1,749)
ES U0short3Sep 10, 2020Sep 11, 2020($74)
NQ U0short1Sep 10, 2020Sep 10, 2020$887
ES U0long1Sep 10, 2020Sep 10, 2020($3,833)
NQ U0long1Sep 10, 2020Sep 10, 2020($503)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.