Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

Star NQ

Futures · Futures · Started Jan 2020

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
35.2%
Max Drawdown
14.3%
Trades
293
Win Trades
51.2%
Profit Factor
1.60
Win Months
13.6%

Trend-following

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20202.26.122.22.12.2-2.06.42.71.72.9-3.16.459.8
2021-2.16.5-11.6-0.30.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-8.1
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began1/21/2020
Suggested Minimum Capital$36,450
Age81 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades293
# Profitable150
% Profitable51.2%
Avg trade duration16.3 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown14.3%
drawdown periodMarch 25, 2021 - April 16, 2021
Annual Return (Compounded)35.2%
Avg win$371
Avg loss$240

Ratios

W:L ratio1.62
Sharpe Ratio0.49
Sortino Ratio0.71
Calmar Ratio2.42

Verified

C2Star0

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.05
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life129.0%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)21.9%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)35.2%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.4%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)7.2%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity16.6%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.8%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss6.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated94.2%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)616
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)933
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)778

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$240
Avg Win$371
# Winners150
Sum Trade PL (losers)$34,324
Sum Trade PL (winners)$55,588
Num Months Winners11
# Losers143
% Winners51.2%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table81

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)980.93
Avg Position Time (hrs)16.35
Avg Trade Length0.70
Last Trade Ago1989

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.85
Daily leverage (max)19.60

Regression

Alpha0.01
Beta-0.02
Treynor Index-0.61

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.02
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades4.62
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.21
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats37.77
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats43.65
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.49
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.26
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.22

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.45
SD0.28
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.63
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.53
df13
t1.76
p0.23
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.32
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.52
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.38
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.44
Sortino ratio7.38
Upside Potential Ratio8.93
Upside part of mean0.55
Downside part of mean-0.10
Upside SD0.29
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms11
N negative terms3
N of observations14
Mean of predictor0.22
Mean of criterion0.45
SD of predictor0.42
SD of criterion0.28
Covariance-0.09
r-0.74
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.49
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.56
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error12
t(b)-3.78
p(b)0.87
t(a)3.05
p(a)0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.78
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.21
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.96
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.92
Jensen alpha (a)0.56
Mean0.41
SD0.25
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.66
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.56
df13
t1.80
p0.23
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.29
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.56
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.35
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.48
Sortino ratio6.60
Upside Potential Ratio8.15
Upside part of mean0.51
Downside part of mean-0.10
Upside SD0.26
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms11
N negative terms3
N of observations14
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.41
SD of predictor0.46
SD of criterion0.25
Covariance-0.09
r-0.77
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.41
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.46
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error12
t(b)-4.21
p(b)0.89
t(a)3.04
p(a)0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.63
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.80
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.00
Jensen alpha (a)0.46
VaR(95%)0.08
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.11
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0.36
SD0.16
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.25
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.24
df323
t2.50
p0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.48
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.02
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.47
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.01
Sortino ratio3.37
Upside Potential Ratio8.82
Upside part of mean0.94
Downside part of mean-0.58
Upside SD0.12
Downside SD0.11
N nonnegative terms142
N negative terms182
N of observations324
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion0.36
SD of predictor0.32
SD of criterion0.16
Covariance-0.00
r-0.09
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.04
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.25
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error322
t(b)-1.61
p(b)0.95
t(a)2.57
p(a)0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.65
Treynor index (mean / b)-8.00
Jensen alpha (a)0.37
Mean0.35
SD0.16
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.16
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.15
df323
t2.40
p0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.39
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.93
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.38
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.92
Sortino ratio3.18
Upside Potential Ratio8.57
Upside part of mean0.93
Downside part of mean-0.59
Upside SD0.12
Downside SD0.11
N nonnegative terms142
N negative terms182
N of observations324
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.35
SD of predictor0.32
SD of criterion0.16
Covariance-0.00
r-0.09
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.35
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error322
t(b)-1.65
p(b)0.95
t(a)2.45
p(a)0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.64
Treynor index (mean / b)-7.58
Jensen alpha (a)0.35
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean-0.07
SD0.19
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.35
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.35
df130
t-0.25
p0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.42
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.12
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.43
Sortino ratio-0.43
Upside Potential Ratio5.32
Upside part of mean0.83
Downside part of mean-0.89
Upside SD0.11
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms41
N negative terms90
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.33
Mean of criterion-0.07
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.19
Covariance-0.00
r-0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.04
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.05
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error129
t(b)-0.41
p(b)0.52
t(a)-0.19
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.26
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.59
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.49
Treynor index (mean / b)1.50
Jensen alpha (a)-0.05
Mean-0.09
SD0.19
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.44
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.44
df130
t-0.31
p0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.21
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.33
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.21
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.33
Sortino ratio-0.54
Upside Potential Ratio5.16
Upside part of mean0.82
Downside part of mean-0.91
Upside SD0.11
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms41
N negative terms90
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.31
Mean of criterion-0.09
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.19
Covariance-0.00
r-0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.04
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.07
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error129
t(b)-0.41
p(b)0.52
t(a)-0.26
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.26
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.62
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.48
Treynor index (mean / b)1.93
Jensen alpha (a)-0.07
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations14
Minimum0.95
Quartile 11.01
Median1.03
Quartile 31.05
Maximum1.29
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.03
Mean of quarter 31.04
Mean of quarter 41.12
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.07
Mean of outliers low0.95
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.29
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-1.09
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.03
Number of observations324
Minimum0.93
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.05
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low15
Percentage of outliers low0.05
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high24
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.47
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.31
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum0.93
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low16
Percentage of outliers low0.12
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high12
Percentage of outliers high0.09
Mean of outliers high1.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.43
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.12
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations3
Minimum0.03
Quartile 10.03
Median0.03
Quartile 30.04
Maximum0.05
Mean of quarter 10.03
Mean of quarter 20.03
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.05
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations25
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.01
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.12
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.06
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high0.09
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-1.35
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.06
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.28
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.08
Number of observations5
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.04
Median0.05
Quartile 30.06
Maximum0.12
Mean of quarter 10.02
Mean of quarter 20.05
Mean of quarter 30.06
Mean of quarter 40.12
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.20
Mean of outliers low0.00
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.20
Mean of outliers high0.12
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-313941824
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)22
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.58
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.56
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)11.45
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs11.45
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal5.18
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.48
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.45
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)3.81
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs7.67
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal23.98
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.06
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.06
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.47
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.47
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-2.26

Trading record

Placed 455 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
ES M1long9Mar 30, 2021Mar 30, 2021($1,715)
QCL M1long6Mar 30, 2021Mar 30, 2021($4,388)
TY M1short2Mar 30, 2021Mar 30, 2021($110)
CD M1short2Mar 30, 2021Mar 30, 2021$4
QGC J1long1Mar 30, 2021Mar 30, 2021($698)
QCL M1long1Mar 30, 2021Mar 30, 2021($18)
QCL M1long1Mar 30, 2021Mar 30, 2021($21)
QGC J1long1Mar 29, 2021Mar 29, 2021($58)
ES M1short1Mar 29, 2021Mar 29, 2021($1,258)
QCL M1long1Mar 29, 2021Mar 29, 2021$915
ES M1long1Mar 29, 2021Mar 29, 2021($371)
DXM M1short1Mar 29, 2021Mar 29, 2021($96)
ES M1short1Mar 25, 2021Mar 25, 2021$242
QGC J1long1Mar 25, 2021Mar 25, 2021($201)
DXM M1short1Mar 25, 2021Mar 25, 2021$391
DXM M1short2Mar 25, 2021Mar 25, 2021($121)
QGC J1long1Mar 25, 2021Mar 25, 2021($303)
GF K1long1Mar 9, 2021Mar 11, 2021$130
KC K1long1Mar 9, 2021Mar 11, 2021$761
JY H1short2Feb 8, 2021Feb 26, 2021$2,059
SB H1long2Nov 23, 2020Feb 5, 2021$2,031
KC H1long1Dec 11, 2020Feb 5, 2021$442
SB H1long2Nov 18, 2020Nov 18, 2020$225
MNQ Z0long3Nov 10, 2020Nov 10, 2020($15)
MNQ Z0long2Nov 10, 2020Nov 10, 2020$140
MNQ Z0short3Nov 10, 2020Nov 10, 2020$198
MNQ Z0short4Nov 10, 2020Nov 10, 2020($196)
SB H1long2Sep 29, 2020Oct 12, 2020$2,125
SB H1long3Sep 16, 2020Sep 21, 2020$1,186
MNQ U0short3Sep 3, 2020Sep 3, 2020$465

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.