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NQ Algo Daytrading

Futures · Started Jan 2020

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-9.7%
Max Drawdown
41.1%
Trades
196
Win Trades
42.9%
Profit Factor
1
Win Months
7.4%

About this strategy

NQ algo daytrades using Ninjatrader 8 platform. One contract per trade. 100% automated. Trades NYSE hours only since April 1, 2020.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2020-3.219.5-17.37.68.0-10.729.93.88.7-22.7-18.90.0-8.8
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began1/8/2020
Suggested Minimum Capital$25,000
Age81 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades196
# Profitable84
% Profitable42.9%
Avg trade duration54.6 minutes
Max peak-to-valley drawdown41.1%
drawdown periodSept 27, 2020 - Nov 10, 2020
Cumul. Return-8.9%
Avg win$994
Avg loss$726

Ratios

W:L ratio1.03
Sharpe Ratio-0.14
Sortino Ratio-0.21
Calmar Ratio0.16

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.01
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life133.8%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-21.6%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-9.7%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)1.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity69.9%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated76.1%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)585
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)897
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)536

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$726
Avg Win$994
# Winners84
Sum Trade PL (losers)$81,326
Sum Trade PL (winners)$83,530
Num Months Winners6
# Losers112
% Winners42.9%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table81

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)54.60
Avg Position Time (hrs)0.91
Avg Trade Length0
Last Trade Ago2129

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)7.01
Daily leverage (max)12.99

Regression

Alpha-0.01
Beta0.01
Treynor Index-0.94

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.03
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.03
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-5.76
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.52
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.33
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.06
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.17

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.47
SD0.64
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.73
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.66
df8
t0.63
p0.27
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.58
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.00
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.63
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.95
Sortino ratio1.34
Upside Potential Ratio3.16
Upside part of mean1.11
Downside part of mean-0.64
Upside SD0.51
Downside SD0.35
N nonnegative terms4
N negative terms5
N of observations9
Mean of predictor0.04
Mean of criterion0.47
SD of predictor0.29
SD of criterion0.64
Covariance-0.09
r-0.48
b (slope, estimate of beta)-1.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.51
Mean Square Error0.36
DF error7
t(b)-1.44
p(b)0.90
t(a)0.73
p(a)0.24
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-2.76
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.67
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.15
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.45
Jensen alpha (a)0.51
Mean0.28
SD0.63
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.45
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.41
df8
t0.39
p0.35
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.84
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.71
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.87
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.68
Sortino ratio0.72
Upside Potential Ratio2.51
Upside part of mean1.00
Downside part of mean-0.71
Upside SD0.46
Downside SD0.40
N nonnegative terms4
N negative terms5
N of observations9
Mean of predictor-0.00
Mean of criterion0.28
SD of predictor0.32
SD of criterion0.63
Covariance-0.09
r-0.45
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.90
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.28
Mean Square Error0.37
DF error7
t(b)-1.33
p(b)0.89
t(a)0.40
p(a)0.35
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-2.50
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.70
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.37
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.93
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.31
Jensen alpha (a)0.28
VaR(95%)0.24
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.30
VaR(95%)0.13
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.24
Mean0.14
SD0.37
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.38
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.38
df216
t0.35
p0.36
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.77
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.54
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.77
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.54
Sortino ratio0.60
Upside Potential Ratio8.12
Upside part of mean1.92
Downside part of mean-1.78
Upside SD0.28
Downside SD0.24
N nonnegative terms69
N negative terms148
N of observations217
Mean of predictor0.19
Mean of criterion0.14
SD of predictor0.38
SD of criterion0.37
Covariance0.00
r0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.06
Mean Square Error0.14
DF error215
t(b)0.13
p(b)0.45
t(a)0.34
p(a)0.37
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.66
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.94
Treynor index (mean / b)15.90
Jensen alpha (a)0.14
Mean0.07
SD0.37
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.20
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.20
df216
t0.18
p0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.95
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.36
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.95
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.36
Sortino ratio0.31
Upside Potential Ratio7.78
Upside part of mean1.89
Downside part of mean-1.81
Upside SD0.27
Downside SD0.24
N nonnegative terms69
N negative terms148
N of observations217
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.07
SD of predictor0.38
SD of criterion0.37
Covariance0.00
r0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.07
Mean Square Error0.13
DF error215
t(b)0.23
p(b)0.41
t(a)0.18
p(a)0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.72
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.87
Treynor index (mean / b)4.98
Jensen alpha (a)0.07
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
Mean-0.10
SD0.34
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.28
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.28
df130
t-0.20
p0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.49
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.05
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.49
Sortino ratio-0.44
Upside Potential Ratio7.75
Upside part of mean1.68
Downside part of mean-1.78
Upside SD0.25
Downside SD0.22
N nonnegative terms39
N negative terms92
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.43
Mean of criterion-0.10
SD of predictor0.20
SD of criterion0.34
Covariance0.01
r0.13
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.22
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.19
Mean Square Error0.11
DF error129
t(b)1.53
p(b)0.42
t(a)-0.40
p(a)0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.75
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.44
Jensen alpha (a)-0.19
Mean-0.15
SD0.33
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.45
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.45
df130
t-0.32
p0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.22
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.32
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.22
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.32
Sortino ratio-0.68
Upside Potential Ratio7.48
Upside part of mean1.65
Downside part of mean-1.80
Upside SD0.25
Downside SD0.22
N nonnegative terms39
N negative terms92
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.41
Mean of criterion-0.15
SD of predictor0.21
SD of criterion0.33
Covariance0.01
r0.14
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.22
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.24
Mean Square Error0.11
DF error129
t(b)1.56
p(b)0.41
t(a)-0.51
p(a)0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.06
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.69
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.69
Jensen alpha (a)-0.24
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations9
Minimum0.76
Quartile 10.96
Median0.99
Quartile 31.18
Maximum1.28
Mean of quarter 10.85
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.14
Mean of quarter 41.28
Inter Quartile Range0.22
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-44.58
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-1.87
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.33
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.34
Number of observations217
Minimum0.92
Quartile 10.99
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.11
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low12
Percentage of outliers low0.06
Mean of outliers low0.95
Number of outliers high13
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.16
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.00
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.04
Number of observations131
Minimum0.95
Quartile 10.99
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.08
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low5
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high10
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high1.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.04
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.11
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.03

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations4
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.01
Median0.09
Quartile 30.19
Maximum0.24
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.17
Mean of quarter 40.24
Inter Quartile Range0.18
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations9
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.01
Median0.07
Quartile 30.10
Maximum0.35
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.06
Mean of quarter 30.09
Mean of quarter 40.31
Inter Quartile Range0.09
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.22
Mean of outliers high0.31
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-31.02
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.22
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-1.99
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.47
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.47
Number of observations6
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.02
Median0.07
Quartile 30.10
Maximum0.35
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.05
Mean of quarter 30.10
Mean of quarter 40.23
Inter Quartile Range0.08
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high0.35
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-297511392
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)44
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.35
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.37
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.50
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.50
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.24
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.11
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.11
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.30
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.34
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.37
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.12
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.12
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.33
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.50
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-2.74

Trading record

Placed 350 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
NQ Z0long1Nov 10, 2020Nov 10, 2020($884)
NQ Z0long1Nov 9, 2020Nov 9, 2020($898)
NQ Z0long1Nov 9, 2020Nov 9, 2020($734)
NQ Z0short1Nov 5, 2020Nov 5, 2020($876)
NQ Z0long1Nov 4, 2020Nov 4, 2020($838)
NQ Z0short1Nov 4, 2020Nov 4, 2020($832)
NQ Z0long1Oct 30, 2020Oct 30, 2020($900)
NQ Z0short1Oct 30, 2020Oct 30, 2020$1,106
NQ Z0long1Oct 29, 2020Oct 29, 2020$1,052
NQ Z0short1Oct 29, 2020Oct 29, 2020($834)
NQ Z0long1Oct 28, 2020Oct 28, 2020($888)
NQ Z0long1Oct 26, 2020Oct 26, 2020($902)
NQ Z0short1Oct 23, 2020Oct 23, 2020($764)
NQ Z0short1Oct 22, 2020Oct 22, 2020($848)
NQ Z0long1Oct 22, 2020Oct 22, 2020$1,072
NQ Z0long1Oct 21, 2020Oct 21, 2020($908)
NQ Z0short1Oct 20, 2020Oct 20, 2020($848)
NQ Z0long1Oct 20, 2020Oct 20, 2020($788)
NQ Z0long1Oct 20, 2020Oct 20, 2020($798)
NQ Z0short1Oct 19, 2020Oct 19, 2020($918)
NQ Z0long1Oct 19, 2020Oct 19, 2020($1,022)
NQ Z0long1Oct 16, 2020Oct 16, 2020($848)
NQ Z0short1Oct 16, 2020Oct 16, 2020$1,058
NQ Z0short1Oct 14, 2020Oct 14, 2020$1,048
NQ Z0long1Oct 1, 2020Oct 1, 2020($1,016)
NQ Z0long1Oct 1, 2020Oct 1, 2020($1,041)
NQ Z0long1Sep 30, 2020Sep 30, 2020($655)
NQ Z0long1Sep 30, 2020Sep 30, 2020$1,115
NQ Z0long1Sep 29, 2020Sep 29, 2020($957)
NQ Z0long1Sep 29, 2020Sep 29, 2020($906)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.