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M1 Daily Profit

Equity · Stocks · Started Nov 2019

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-9.7%
Max Drawdown
58.5%
Trades
78
Win Trades
73.1%
Profit Factor
0.50
Win Months
1.2%

About this strategy

After carefully re-evaluating my strategy - I have decided to trade stocks that offer good risk/reward and also get in names that are moving and have the tendency to give good results based on technical and chart patterns.

Any questions, please drop me a note.
Thanks

Ainee | Mommy

Non-hedged Equity Momentum

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2019-0.115.315.2
2020-0.5-0.8-1.6-55.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-56.4
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began11/27/2019
Suggested Minimum Capital$25,000
Age82 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades78
# Profitable57
% Profitable73.1%
Avg trade duration7.6 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown58.5%
drawdown periodJan 22, 2020 - April 17, 2020
Annual Return (Compounded)-9.7%
Avg win$208
Avg loss$1,145

Ratios

W:L ratio0.49
Sharpe Ratio-0.68
Sortino Ratio-0.69
Calmar Ratio-0.54

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.07
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life140.7%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-194.3%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-9.7%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)-9.4%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity141.3%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated2.9%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$1,145
Avg Win$208
# Winners57
Sum Trade PL (losers)$24,047
Sum Trade PL (winners)$11,865
Num Months Winners1
# Losers21
% Winners73.1%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table82

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)457.47
Avg Position Time (hrs)7.62
Avg Trade Length0.30
Last Trade Ago2326

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)0.98
Daily leverage (max)2.54

Regression

Alpha-0.03
Beta-0.05
Treynor Index0.68

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.03
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.06
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-2.48
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)1.95
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.70
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-0.97
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.40

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-0.27
SD0.43
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.61
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.59
df20
t-0.81
p0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.89
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.08
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.90
Sortino ratio-0.64
Upside Potential Ratio0.21
Upside part of mean0.09
Downside part of mean-0.35
Upside SD0.11
Downside SD0.41
N nonnegative terms2
N negative terms19
N of observations21
Mean of predictor0.47
Mean of criterion-0.27
SD of predictor0.33
SD of criterion0.43
Covariance-0.02
r-0.12
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.16
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.19
Mean Square Error0.19
DF error19
t(b)-0.55
p(b)0.58
t(a)-0.52
p(a)0.58
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.79
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.94
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.57
Treynor index (mean / b)1.62
Jensen alpha (a)-0.19
Mean-0.41
SD0.61
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.67
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.65
df20
t-0.89
p0.60
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.83
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.14
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.85
Sortino ratio-0.69
Upside Potential Ratio0.14
Upside part of mean0.08
Downside part of mean-0.49
Upside SD0.10
Downside SD0.60
N nonnegative terms2
N negative terms19
N of observations21
Mean of predictor0.41
Mean of criterion-0.41
SD of predictor0.33
SD of criterion0.61
Covariance-0.03
r-0.13
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.24
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.31
Mean Square Error0.38
DF error19
t(b)-0.56
p(b)0.58
t(a)-0.63
p(a)0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.65
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.73
Treynor index (mean / b)1.74
Jensen alpha (a)-0.31
VaR(95%)0.28
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.33
VaR(95%)0.10
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.21
Mean-0.37
SD0.26
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.39
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.39
df464
t-1.86
p0.97
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.87
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.08
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.87
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.08
Sortino ratio-1.42
Upside Potential Ratio0.84
Upside part of mean0.21
Downside part of mean-0.58
Upside SD0.06
Downside SD0.26
N nonnegative terms59
N negative terms406
N of observations465
Mean of predictor0.52
Mean of criterion-0.37
SD of predictor0.38
SD of criterion0.26
Covariance-0.01
r-0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.35
Mean Square Error0.07
DF error463
t(b)-1.08
p(b)0.86
t(a)-1.76
p(a)0.96
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.74
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.04
Treynor index (mean / b)10.62
Jensen alpha (a)-0.35
Mean-0.40
SD0.29
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.41
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.40
df464
t-1.87
p0.97
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.88
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.07
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.88
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.07
Sortino ratio-1.43
Upside Potential Ratio0.75
Upside part of mean0.21
Downside part of mean-0.62
Upside SD0.06
Downside SD0.28
N nonnegative terms59
N negative terms406
N of observations465
Mean of predictor0.45
Mean of criterion-0.40
SD of predictor0.38
SD of criterion0.29
Covariance-0.01
r-0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.04
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.39
Mean Square Error0.08
DF error463
t(b)-1.12
p(b)0.87
t(a)-1.79
p(a)0.96
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.81
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.04
Treynor index (mean / b)10.42
Jensen alpha (a)-0.39
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.08
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.33
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.02
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.33
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6744631421173760
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)2.3133286865779e+32
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations21
Minimum0.45
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.14
Mean of quarter 10.90
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.14
Mean of outliers low0.81
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.10
Mean of outliers high1.08
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)3.50
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations465
Minimum0.77
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.03
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low35
Percentage of outliers low0.08
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high60
Percentage of outliers high0.13
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.16
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.84
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.07
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.56
Quartile 10.56
Median0.56
Quartile 30.56
Maximum0.56
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations6
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.58
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.00
Mean of quarter 40.30
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high0.58
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-442300256
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)86
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.28
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.32
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.57
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.97
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.27
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.31
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.54
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-1.06
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-8.38
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 192 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
SHOP short100Apr 8, 2020Apr 17, 2020($15,657)
SHOP long25Apr 7, 2020Apr 7, 2020$75
SHOP long25Apr 2, 2020Apr 2, 2020$105
SHOP short25Apr 1, 2020Apr 1, 2020$63
SHOP short25Mar 31, 2020Mar 31, 2020$57
SHOP short25Mar 30, 2020Mar 30, 2020$65
SHOP long25Mar 27, 2020Mar 27, 2020$53
SHOP short25Mar 26, 2020Mar 26, 2020$54
SHOP short50Mar 25, 2020Mar 25, 2020$149
SHOP short50Mar 23, 2020Mar 23, 2020$131
SHOP short50Mar 20, 2020Mar 20, 2020$108
SHOP short25Mar 20, 2020Mar 20, 2020$100
SHOP short25Mar 19, 2020Mar 19, 2020$50
SHOP short130Mar 19, 2020Mar 19, 2020($160)
SHOP short50Mar 18, 2020Mar 18, 2020$149
SHOP long50Mar 17, 2020Mar 17, 2020$48
SHOP short25Mar 17, 2020Mar 17, 2020$105
V long100Mar 16, 2020Mar 16, 2020$113
V long25Mar 13, 2020Mar 13, 2020($48)
V long25Mar 12, 2020Mar 12, 2020$70
AAPL long50Mar 11, 2020Mar 11, 2020($94)
NFLX long50Mar 10, 2020Mar 10, 2020$193
MSFT long50Mar 9, 2020Mar 9, 2020$212
TTD long60Mar 2, 2020Mar 6, 2020($2,056)
REGN long25Mar 6, 2020Mar 6, 2020$23
SHOP long50Mar 5, 2020Mar 5, 2020$147
OKTA long25Feb 27, 2020Mar 2, 2020$193
NFLX long30Feb 27, 2020Feb 27, 2020$256
BA short50Feb 26, 2020Feb 26, 2020$126
SHOP short90Feb 25, 2020Feb 25, 2020$430

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.