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ANYTRADE

Stocks · Started Aug 2019

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-10.1%
Max Drawdown
88.9%
Trades
800
Win Trades
46.1%
Profit Factor
1
Win Months
25.6%

About this strategy

Trades both long and short.
Do not trade more than $1
Trading is risky, you may lose some or all of your money doing so.


Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
201912.23.614.110.23.150.7
2020-2.98.50.8-3.50.21.4-6.58.2-8.615.7-0.51.913.0
2021-1.26.6-1.514.230.911.712.7-11.7-18.827.023.3-11.394.7
2022-13.3-35.6-31.1-19.8-17.9-21.0-7.30.814.3-7.5-6.01.3-81.2
2023-4.9-5.9-15.60.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-24.5
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began8/1/2019
Suggested Minimum Capital$25,000
Age86 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades800
# Profitable369
% Profitable46.1%
Avg trade duration3.8 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown88.9%
drawdown periodNov 29, 2021 - Oct 18, 2022
Annual Return (Compounded)-10.1%
Avg win$694
Avg loss$571

Ratios

W:L ratio1.04
Sharpe Ratio-0.25
Sortino Ratio-0.34
Calmar Ratio0.12

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.11
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life158.6%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-211.3%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-10.1%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)4.9%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity734.1%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.7%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss78.5%
Chance of 20% account loss60.0%
Chance of 30% account loss33.5%
Chance of 40% account loss14.0%
Chance of 50% account loss4.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)2.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$571
Avg Win$694
# Winners369
Sum Trade PL (losers)$246,216
Sum Trade PL (winners)$256,222
Num Months Winners22
# Losers431
% Winners46.1%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct190

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table86

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)5414.23
Avg Position Time (hrs)90.24
Avg Trade Length3.80
Last Trade Ago1254

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)2
Daily leverage (max)4.55

Regression

Alpha-0.03
Beta0.16
Treynor Index-0.15

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-27.74
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.91
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats74.68
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats51.47
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.39
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.37
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.04

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.13
SD0.39
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.34
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.33
df49
t0.69
p0.25
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.63
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.30
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.63
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.29
Sortino ratio0.53
Upside Potential Ratio2.07
Upside part of mean0.52
Downside part of mean-0.39
Upside SD0.30
Downside SD0.25
N nonnegative terms23
N negative terms27
N of observations50
Mean of predictor0.23
Mean of criterion0.13
SD of predictor0.23
SD of criterion0.39
Covariance0.02
r0.26
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.43
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.03
Mean Square Error0.15
DF error48
t(b)1.84
p(b)0.04
t(a)0.17
p(a)0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.90
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.43
Treynor index (mean / b)0.31
Jensen alpha (a)0.03
Mean0.05
SD0.40
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.13
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.13
df49
t0.27
p0.39
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.83
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.09
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.83
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.09
Sortino ratio0.18
Upside Potential Ratio1.62
Upside part of mean0.48
Downside part of mean-0.42
Upside SD0.27
Downside SD0.30
N nonnegative terms23
N negative terms27
N of observations50
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion0.05
SD of predictor0.23
SD of criterion0.40
Covariance0.03
r0.29
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.52
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.05
Mean Square Error0.15
DF error48
t(b)2.08
p(b)0.02
t(a)-0.25
p(a)0.60
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.45
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.35
Treynor index (mean / b)0.10
Jensen alpha (a)-0.05
VaR(95%)0.17
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.21
VaR(95%)0.08
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.16
Mean0.09
SD0.28
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.33
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.33
df1092
t0.68
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.63
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.29
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.63
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.29
Sortino ratio0.48
Upside Potential Ratio7.47
Upside part of mean1.46
Downside part of mean-1.37
Upside SD0.20
Downside SD0.20
N nonnegative terms479
N negative terms614
N of observations1093
Mean of predictor0.23
Mean of criterion0.09
SD of predictor0.25
SD of criterion0.28
Covariance0.01
r0.12
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.13
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.06
Mean Square Error0.08
DF error1091
t(b)3.88
p(b)0.43
t(a)0.46
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.21
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.33
Treynor index (mean / b)0.71
Jensen alpha (a)0.06
Mean0.05
SD0.28
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.19
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.19
df1092
t0.39
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.77
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.15
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.77
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.15
Sortino ratio0.27
Upside Potential Ratio7.21
Upside part of mean1.44
Downside part of mean-1.39
Upside SD0.20
Downside SD0.20
N nonnegative terms479
N negative terms614
N of observations1093
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion0.05
SD of predictor0.25
SD of criterion0.28
Covariance0.01
r0.12
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.13
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.03
Mean Square Error0.08
DF error1091
t(b)3.93
p(b)0.42
t(a)0.20
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.24
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.29
Treynor index (mean / b)0.41
Jensen alpha (a)0.03
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.26
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.32
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.21
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.32
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6688014625406976
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)8.63021290835967e+31
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations50
Minimum0.61
Quartile 10.96
Median1
Quartile 31.07
Maximum1.35
Mean of quarter 10.89
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.02
Mean of quarter 41.15
Inter Quartile Range0.11
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.61
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.28
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.04
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.09
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.13
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.01
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.14
Number of observations1093
Minimum0.92
Quartile 10.99
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.13
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low65
Percentage of outliers low0.06
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high55
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.30
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.03
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.03
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations8
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.03
Median0.06
Quartile 30.12
Maximum0.66
Mean of quarter 10.02
Mean of quarter 20.03
Mean of quarter 30.08
Mean of quarter 40.45
Inter Quartile Range0.09
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high0.66
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations41
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.03
Quartile 30.07
Maximum0.70
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.05
Mean of quarter 40.18
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high0.39
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.69
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.20
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.64
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.74
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.16
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-448157376
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)323
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.10
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.09
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.13
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.19
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.41
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.10
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.09
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.12
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.47
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.44
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 2083 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
SQQQ long115Mar 9, 2023Mar 27, 2023($672)
TQQQ long220Mar 9, 2023Mar 9, 2023($285)
SQQQ long120Mar 7, 2023Mar 9, 2023($197)
TQQQ long210Mar 3, 2023Mar 7, 2023($163)
SQQQ long110Feb 22, 2023Mar 3, 2023($273)
TQQQ short94Feb 10, 2023Feb 22, 2023$89
CERS long390Feb 7, 2023Feb 21, 2023($153)
GSMG long1350Feb 7, 2023Feb 21, 2023($92)
NOTE long336Feb 7, 2023Feb 21, 2023($182)
VERA long170Feb 7, 2023Feb 21, 2023$192
BCAB long295Feb 7, 2023Feb 21, 2023($217)
YANG long200Jan 31, 2023Feb 7, 2023$125
TQQQ long430Jan 25, 2023Jan 27, 2023$835
LYT short1200Jan 20, 2023Jan 24, 2023$367
SQQQ long110Jan 20, 2023Jan 24, 2023($335)
TQQQ long420Jan 13, 2023Jan 20, 2023$126
BOIL long500Jan 10, 2023Jan 13, 2023($358)
ZOM short11000Jan 6, 2023Jan 9, 2023($394)
YANG long500Jan 6, 2023Jan 9, 2023($121)
PSQ long500Jan 6, 2023Jan 9, 2023($175)
VYNT short4000Jan 5, 2023Jan 6, 2023$404
TQQQ long600Dec 29, 2022Jan 5, 2023($441)
DRMA short4000Dec 30, 2022Dec 30, 2022($128)
LUCY short900Dec 28, 2022Dec 30, 2022($203)
ELYS short6100Dec 27, 2022Dec 30, 2022$553
APE short1200Dec 23, 2022Dec 30, 2022$399
TMV long60Dec 22, 2022Dec 29, 2022$753
XPON short700Dec 23, 2022Dec 23, 2022($11)
TMV long60Dec 21, 2022Dec 22, 2022($140)
AUVI short1000Dec 16, 2022Dec 21, 2022$42

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.