SPODD500
Trades Own Strategy
- hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
- -1.7%
- Max Drawdown
- 41.7%
- Trades
- 157
- Win Trades
- 58.0%
- Profit Factor
- 1
- Win Months
- 22.7%
About this strategy
Buys: We adjust equity employed to purchase long or short position in the S&P 500 (3X) without using margin. We are selective and intentional when we place a trade. Trades are placed to execute near the end of the day. Due to C2 limitations a MOC (market on close order) is unavailable so we will use the parked order system to execute at or near the close of the market (15.57 or 15:58 EST). We will try and give you at least 2 hours to place your parked order for those not on auto trade.
Sales: For most of the sales we will close the position the following day at the close of the market but occasionally will hold a trade as long as the odds hold up for as many as 4 consecutive days. We will give you plenty of notice as to when we expect to close a trade. By holding consecutive probability trades, this will help keep brokerage commissions low rather than churning in and out of a position.
Methodology: Our system uses an algorithm that calculates the odds that the S&P will close up or down on the following day. When the odds show a significant chance that the market will close up or down the following day, we place a trade in the direction of that signal the day before. Stops: We recognize the market doesn't always behave in predictable patterns, so in the event the market drifts in the opposite direction of our trade, we monitor the position and if necessary we place a stop at 4.5% of the trade. We do not place stops as soon as we open a trade due to gaps which often backfill. Remember the market can gap down or up and a stop is no way to eliminate market gaps and can even cause you to sell as soon as the market opens at the worst possible price. When a trade gaps against us, we monitor the situation and place stops to prevent additional capital erosion. Sometimes the market may gap in the opposite direction of our trade and then recover throughout the day.
Risks: Overnight Risk, Leveraged ETF risks which are unique, General market directional risks, order execution risks, in the event of catastrophic moves you should refer to the SPXL and or SPXS prospectus' to identify how they handle payouts.
Trend-following
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | -0.3 | 2.3 | 4.8 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 4.3 | 5.7 | 25.2 | |||||
| 2020 | -0.6 | 6.3 | -8.1 | 2.1 | -4.7 | 1.5 | -0.7 | -1.1 | -1.7 | 0.8 | 6.6 | 0.0 | -0.4 |
| 2021 | 0.5 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 3.0 | -8.2 | -4.1 | 0.9 | -4.6 | -7.9 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 8.5 | -4.6 |
| 2022 | -11.4 | 0.2 | -16.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -25.9 |
| 2023 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2024 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2026 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Statistics
Overview
| Strategy began | 6/28/2019 |
|---|---|
| Suggested Minimum Capital | $15,000 |
| Age | 88 months |
| What it trades | Stocks |
| # Trades | 157 |
| # Profitable | 91 |
| % Profitable | 58.0% |
| Avg trade duration | 2.4 days |
| Max peak-to-valley drawdown | 41.7% |
| drawdown period | March 11, 2020 - March 29, 2022 |
| Annual Return (Compounded) | -1.7% |
| Avg win | $840 |
| Avg loss | $1,160 |
Ratios
| W:L ratio | 1.01 |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.29 |
| Sortino Ratio | -0.39 |
| Calmar Ratio | 0.00 |
CORRELATION STATISTICS
| Correlation to SP500 | 0.10 |
|---|---|
| Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life | 158.1% |
| Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu) | -171.4% |
Return Statistics
| Ann Return (w trading costs) | -1.7% |
|---|---|
| Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant) | -0.0% |
| Return Pcnt Since TOS Status | -12.0% |
| Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees) | 0.1% |
Slump
| Current Slump as Pcnt Equity | 71.5% |
|---|---|
| Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life | 0.9% |
Instruments
| Percent Trades Forex | 0.0% |
|---|---|
| Percent Trades Futures | 0.0% |
| Percent Trades Options | 0.0% |
| Short Options - Percent Covered | 100.0% |
| Percent Trades Stocks | 1.0% |
Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
| Chance of 10% account loss | 73.0% |
|---|---|
| Chance of 20% account loss | 28.0% |
| Chance of 30% account loss | 4.5% |
| Chance of 40% account loss | 1.0% |
| Chance of 50% account loss | 0.0% |
| Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
Automation
| Percentage Signals Automated | 0.0% |
|---|
Popularity
| Popularity (Today) | 0 |
|---|---|
| Popularity (Last 6 weeks) | 0 |
| Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale) | 0 |
Trading Style
| Any stock shorts? 0/1 | 0 |
|---|
Trades-Own-System Certification
| Trades Own System? | 185065 |
|---|---|
| TOS percent | 10.0% |
Win / Loss
| Avg Loss | $1,160 |
|---|---|
| Avg Win | $840 |
| # Winners | 91 |
| Sum Trade PL (losers) | $76,530 |
| Sum Trade PL (winners) | $76,469 |
| Num Months Winners | 21 |
| # Losers | 66 |
| % Winners | 58.0% |
Dividends
| Dividends Received in Model Acct | 451 |
|---|
Age
| Num Months filled monthly returns table | 88 |
|---|
Frequency
| Avg Position Time (mins) | 3409.12 |
|---|---|
| Avg Position Time (hrs) | 56.82 |
| Avg Trade Length | 2.40 |
| Last Trade Ago | 1626 |
Leverage
| Daily leverage (average) | 1.77 |
|---|---|
| Daily leverage (max) | 3.81 |
Regression
| Alpha | -0.01 |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.05 |
| Treynor Index | -0.18 |
Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
| MAE:Equity, average, all trades | 0.02 |
|---|---|
| MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | 0.05 |
| MAE:Equity, average, losing trades | 0.03 |
| MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | — |
| MAE:Equity, average, winning trades | 0 |
| MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | — |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades | -4.46 |
| MAE:PL (avg, all trades) | 0.33 |
| MAE:PL (avg, losing trades) | — |
| MAE:PL (avg, winning trades) | — |
| MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy | — |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades | 0.33 |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades | -1.37 |
| Hold-and-Hope Ratio | -0.22 |
RATIO STATISTICS
| Mean | -0.02 |
|---|---|
| SD | 0.12 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -0.16 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -0.15 |
| df | 77 |
| t | -0.40 |
| p | 0.65 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.92 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.61 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -0.92 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0.61 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.20 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 1.04 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.10 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.12 |
| Upside SD | 0.08 |
| Downside SD | 0.10 |
| N nonnegative terms | 18 |
| N negative terms | 60 |
| N of observations | 78 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.14 |
| Mean of criterion | -0.02 |
| SD of predictor | 0.17 |
| SD of criterion | 0.12 |
| Covariance | 0.00 |
| r | 0.19 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.13 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.04 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.01 |
| DF error | 76 |
| t(b) | 1.71 |
| p(b) | 0.05 |
| t(a) | -0.77 |
| p(a) | 0.78 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.02 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.29 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.13 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.06 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -0.14 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.04 |
| Mean | -0.03 |
| SD | 0.13 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -0.21 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -0.21 |
| df | 77 |
| t | -0.54 |
| p | 0.71 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.98 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.56 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -0.98 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0.56 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.26 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0.95 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.10 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.12 |
| Upside SD | 0.07 |
| Downside SD | 0.10 |
| N nonnegative terms | 18 |
| N negative terms | 60 |
| N of observations | 78 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.12 |
| Mean of criterion | -0.03 |
| SD of predictor | 0.18 |
| SD of criterion | 0.13 |
| Covariance | 0.00 |
| r | 0.21 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.15 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.05 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.02 |
| DF error | 76 |
| t(b) | 1.91 |
| p(b) | 0.03 |
| t(a) | -0.92 |
| p(a) | 0.82 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.01 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.31 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.14 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.05 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -0.17 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.05 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.06 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.07 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.03 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.06 |
| Mean | -0.02 |
| SD | 0.09 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -0.24 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -0.24 |
| df | 1712 |
| t | -0.61 |
| p | 0.51 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -1.01 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.53 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -1.01 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0.53 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.32 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 3.48 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.24 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.26 |
| Upside SD | 0.06 |
| Downside SD | 0.07 |
| N nonnegative terms | 224 |
| N negative terms | 1489 |
| N of observations | 1713 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.14 |
| Mean of criterion | -0.02 |
| SD of predictor | 0.20 |
| SD of criterion | 0.09 |
| Covariance | 0.00 |
| r | 0.13 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.06 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.03 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.01 |
| DF error | 1711 |
| t(b) | 5.23 |
| p(b) | 0.42 |
| t(a) | -0.84 |
| p(a) | 0.51 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.04 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.08 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.10 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.04 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -0.38 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.03 |
| Mean | -0.03 |
| SD | 0.09 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -0.29 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -0.29 |
| df | 1712 |
| t | -0.73 |
| p | 0.51 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -1.05 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.48 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -1.05 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0.48 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.38 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 3.38 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.24 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.26 |
| Upside SD | 0.06 |
| Downside SD | 0.07 |
| N nonnegative terms | 224 |
| N negative terms | 1489 |
| N of observations | 1713 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.12 |
| Mean of criterion | -0.03 |
| SD of predictor | 0.20 |
| SD of criterion | 0.09 |
| Covariance | 0.00 |
| r | 0.14 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.06 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.03 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.01 |
| DF error | 1711 |
| t(b) | 5.68 |
| p(b) | 0.41 |
| t(a) | -0.94 |
| p(a) | 0.51 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.04 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.09 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.11 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.04 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -0.42 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.03 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.01 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.01 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.00 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.01 |
| Mean | -0.03 |
| SD | 0 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0 |
| df | 0 |
| t | 0 |
| p | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0 |
| Sortino ratio | -16.19 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0 |
| Upside part of mean | 0 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.03 |
| Upside SD | 0 |
| Downside SD | 0.00 |
| N nonnegative terms | 0 |
| N negative terms | 131 |
| N of observations | 131 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.22 |
| Mean of criterion | -0.03 |
| SD of predictor | 0.14 |
| SD of criterion | 0 |
| Covariance | 0 |
| r | 0 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0 |
| Mean Square Error | 0 |
| DF error | 0 |
| t(b) | 0 |
| p(b) | 0 |
| t(a) | 0 |
| p(a) | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 0 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0 |
| Mean | -0.03 |
| SD | 0 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -9.74841826823373e+15 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -9.69206937105203e+15 |
| df | 130 |
| t | -6893172865105920 |
| p | 1 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -1.08701574255084e+16 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -8513981316595712 |
| Sortino ratio | -16.19 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0 |
| Upside part of mean | 0 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.03 |
| Upside SD | 0 |
| Downside SD | 0.00 |
| N nonnegative terms | 0 |
| N negative terms | 131 |
| N of observations | 131 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.21 |
| Mean of criterion | -0.03 |
| SD of predictor | 0.14 |
| SD of criterion | 0 |
| Covariance | 0 |
| r | 0 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.03 |
| Mean Square Error | 0 |
| DF error | 129 |
| t(b) | 0 |
| p(b) | 0.50 |
| t(a) | -6836650558619648 |
| p(a) | 1 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0 |
| VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl) | 0.01 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.03 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.03 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -2.06274733003443e+31 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.03 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.00 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.00 |
| VaR(95%) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0 |
ORDER STATISTICS
| Number of observations | 78 |
|---|---|
| Minimum | 0.85 |
| Quartile 1 | 1 |
| Median | 1 |
| Quartile 3 | 1 |
| Maximum | 1.12 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.97 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.03 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0 |
| Number outliers low | 14 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.18 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0.95 |
| Number of outliers high | 19 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.24 |
| Mean of outliers high | 1.04 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | -0.24 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.04 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.07 |
| Number of observations | 1713 |
| Minimum | 0.93 |
| Quartile 1 | 1 |
| Median | 1 |
| Quartile 3 | 1 |
| Maximum | 1.04 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 1.00 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.00 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0 |
| Number outliers low | 231 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.13 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0.99 |
| Number of outliers high | 228 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.13 |
| Mean of outliers high | 1.01 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0.41 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.00 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.01 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0.18 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.00 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.01 |
| Number of observations | 131 |
| Minimum | 1 |
| Quartile 1 | 1 |
| Median | 1 |
| Quartile 3 | 1 |
| Maximum | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
| Number of observations | 3 |
|---|---|
| Minimum | 0.01 |
| Quartile 1 | 0.08 |
| Median | 0.15 |
| Quartile 3 | 0.23 |
| Maximum | 0.30 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.01 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.15 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.30 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.15 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Number of observations | 20 |
| Minimum | 0.00 |
| Quartile 1 | 0.00 |
| Median | 0.01 |
| Quartile 3 | 0.02 |
| Maximum | 0.35 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.00 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.00 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0.02 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.10 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.02 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 1 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.05 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0.35 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0.90 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.09 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.95 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 1.50 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.07 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Number of observations | 0 |
| Minimum | 0 |
| Quartile 1 | 0 |
| Median | 0 |
| Quartile 3 | 0 |
| Maximum | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life? | -393223872 |
| Max Equity Drawdown (num days) | 748 |
| Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative | 0.0% |
COMBINED STATISTICS
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0.00 |
|---|---|
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0.00 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 0.00 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 0.00 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 0.02 |
| j156mfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| j157mfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0.00 |
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0.00 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 0.00 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 0.01 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 0.10 |
| j313dfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| j314dfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0 |
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 0 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 0 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 0 |
Trading record
Placed 295 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.
| Symbol | Side | Qty | Opened | Closed | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPXS | long | 1500 | Mar 1, 2022 | Mar 29, 2022 | ($7,000) |
| SPXL | long | 300 | Feb 28, 2022 | Mar 1, 2022 | ($1,450) |
| SPXS | long | 1500 | Feb 25, 2022 | Feb 28, 2022 | ($1,483) |
| SPXS | long | 1478 | Feb 17, 2022 | Feb 22, 2022 | $1,647 |
| SPXL | long | 270 | Jan 24, 2022 | Jan 25, 2022 | ($1,096) |
| SPXL | long | 230 | Jan 14, 2022 | Jan 18, 2022 | ($1,743) |
| SPXL | long | 342 | Jan 4, 2022 | Jan 6, 2022 | ($3,810) |
| SPXL | long | 460 | Dec 22, 2021 | Dec 23, 2021 | $1,385 |
| SPXS | long | 3472 | Dec 16, 2021 | Dec 17, 2021 | $1,790 |
| SPXL | long | 462 | Dec 15, 2021 | Dec 16, 2021 | $773 |
| SPXS | long | 1624 | Nov 29, 2021 | Dec 1, 2021 | $2,653 |
| SPXS | long | 1553 | Oct 6, 2021 | Oct 8, 2021 | ($758) |
| SPXL | long | 328 | Oct 4, 2021 | Oct 6, 2021 | $1,568 |
| SPXS | long | 2171 | Sep 21, 2021 | Sep 23, 2021 | ($2,708) |
| SPXL | long | 438 | Sep 15, 2021 | Sep 17, 2021 | ($1,662) |
| SPXL | long | 479 | Aug 30, 2021 | Aug 31, 2021 | ($142) |
| SPXS | long | 2400 | Aug 27, 2021 | Aug 30, 2021 | ($737) |
| SPXL | long | 427 | Aug 13, 2021 | Aug 20, 2021 | ($708) |
| SPXS | long | 2400 | Aug 10, 2021 | Aug 12, 2021 | ($977) |
| SPXS | long | 2315 | Jul 27, 2021 | Jul 28, 2021 | ($86) |
| SPXS | long | 2250 | Jul 20, 2021 | Jul 23, 2021 | ($3,043) |
| SPXL | long | 510 | Jul 19, 2021 | Jul 20, 2021 | $2,704 |
| SPXS | long | 2300 | Jul 14, 2021 | Jul 15, 2021 | $524 |
| SPXL | long | 460 | Jul 12, 2021 | Jul 14, 2021 | ($348) |
| SPXL | long | 500 | Jul 6, 2021 | Jul 9, 2021 | $951 |
| SPXS | long | 2088 | Jun 22, 2021 | Jun 25, 2021 | ($1,769) |
| SPXL | long | 82 | Jun 14, 2021 | Jun 17, 2021 | ($167) |
| SPXS | long | 2070 | Jun 8, 2021 | Jun 10, 2021 | ($525) |
| SPXL | long | 560 | May 28, 2021 | Jun 2, 2021 | $38 |
| SPXL | long | 533 | May 26, 2021 | May 27, 2021 | $428 |
Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.
These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.