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C2Star dax and fgbl

Futures · Futures · Started Apr 2019

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
13.3%
Max Drawdown
28.5%
Trades
554
Win Trades
49.5%
Profit Factor
1.40
Win Months
11.2%

Trend-following

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2019-0.212.5-0.37.7-1.8-1.612.14.6-6.927.2
20200.47.36.23.43.1-2.0-21.814.20.00.00.00.06.8
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began4/30/2019
Suggested Minimum Capital$36,450
Age90 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades554
# Profitable274
% Profitable49.5%
Avg trade duration5.9 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown28.5%
drawdown periodJune 15, 2020 - Aug 23, 2020
Annual Return (Compounded)13.3%
Avg win$260
Avg loss$182

Ratios

W:L ratio1.40
Sharpe Ratio0.30
Sortino Ratio0.46
Calmar Ratio0.75

Verified

C2Star0

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.00
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life157.7%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-15.5%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)13.3%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)6.2%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity15.3%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.8%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss0.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated95.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)414
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$182
Avg Win$260
# Winners274
Sum Trade PL (losers)$50,867
Sum Trade PL (winners)$71,174
Num Months Winners11
# Losers280
% Winners49.5%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table90

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)352.13
Avg Position Time (hrs)5.87
Avg Trade Length0.20
Last Trade Ago2203

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)2.83
Daily leverage (max)14.56

Regression

Alpha0.01
Beta0
Treynor Index-7

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades130.75
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.23
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats32.05
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats51.80
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.37
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.03
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.01

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.19
SD0.21
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.90
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.88
df26
t1.36
p0.09
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.43
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.23
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.45
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.21
Sortino ratio1.65
Upside Potential Ratio2.84
Upside part of mean0.33
Downside part of mean-0.14
Upside SD0.18
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms10
N negative terms17
N of observations27
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion0.19
SD of predictor0.21
SD of criterion0.21
Covariance-0.01
r-0.18
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.18
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.22
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error25
t(b)-0.90
p(b)0.81
t(a)1.53
p(a)0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.60
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.23
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.53
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.05
Jensen alpha (a)0.22
Mean0.17
SD0.21
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.80
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.78
df26
t1.21
p0.12
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.53
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.12
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.54
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.10
Sortino ratio1.35
Upside Potential Ratio2.52
Upside part of mean0.31
Downside part of mean-0.15
Upside SD0.17
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms10
N negative terms17
N of observations27
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.17
SD of predictor0.21
SD of criterion0.21
Covariance-0.01
r-0.19
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.19
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.20
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error25
t(b)-0.95
p(b)0.82
t(a)1.38
p(a)0.09
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.59
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.22
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.49
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.90
Jensen alpha (a)0.20
VaR(95%)0.08
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.10
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
Mean0.17
SD0.11
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.53
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.53
df594
t2.31
p0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.83
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.22
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.83
Sortino ratio2.44
Upside Potential Ratio7.07
Upside part of mean0.50
Downside part of mean-0.33
Upside SD0.09
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms173
N negative terms422
N of observations595
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion0.17
SD of predictor0.25
SD of criterion0.11
Covariance-0.00
r-0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.14
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error593
t(b)-0.38
p(b)0.65
t(a)2.32
p(a)0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.32
Treynor index (mean / b)-24.53
Jensen alpha (a)0.18
Mean0.17
SD0.11
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.47
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.47
df594
t2.22
p0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.78
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.17
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.77
Sortino ratio2.30
Upside Potential Ratio6.89
Upside part of mean0.50
Downside part of mean-0.33
Upside SD0.09
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms173
N negative terms422
N of observations595
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.17
SD of predictor0.25
SD of criterion0.11
Covariance-0.00
r-0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.17
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error593
t(b)-0.41
p(b)0.66
t(a)2.23
p(a)0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.32
Treynor index (mean / b)-22.01
Jensen alpha (a)0.17
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6819155546210304
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.51884084435001e+31
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations27
Minimum0.85
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.04
Maximum1.15
Mean of quarter 10.96
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.02
Mean of quarter 41.10
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.85
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high1.13
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.03
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.12
Number of observations595
Minimum0.94
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.05
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low93
Percentage of outliers low0.16
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high111
Percentage of outliers high0.19
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.43
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.20
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations3
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.04
Median0.06
Quartile 30.13
Maximum0.20
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.06
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.20
Inter Quartile Range0.09
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations25
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.23
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.07
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.16
Mean of outliers high0.09
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.71
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.24
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.92
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-316804384
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)69
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.25
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.22
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.11
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.11
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.07
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.25
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.22
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.94
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.10
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal15.70
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 734 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
S X0long4Aug 18, 2020Aug 28, 2020$6,318
SB V0long4Jul 30, 2020Jul 30, 2020($928)
NKD U0long2Jul 27, 2020Jul 30, 2020($6,016)
S X0long3Jul 24, 2020Jul 27, 2020($1,862)
S X0long2Jul 23, 2020Jul 23, 2020($170)
NKD U0short1Jul 22, 2020Jul 23, 2020($874)
QCL U0long1Jul 21, 2020Jul 21, 2020$1,231
S X0long1Jul 16, 2020Jul 16, 2020$205
S X0long3Jul 14, 2020Jul 15, 2020$387
NKD U0short1Jul 9, 2020Jul 10, 2020$420
SB V0long2Jul 8, 2020Jul 8, 2020($598)
CD U0short3Jul 7, 2020Jul 7, 2020($95)
NKD U0long1Jul 6, 2020Jul 6, 2020($824)
BD U0short1Jul 6, 2020Jul 6, 2020($132)
M2K U0long8Jul 2, 2020Jul 2, 2020($986)
DXM U0long1Jul 1, 2020Jul 1, 2020($943)
AD U0long2Jul 1, 2020Jul 1, 2020($496)
JY U0short1Jul 1, 2020Jul 1, 2020($221)
JY U0short1Jun 30, 2020Jun 30, 2020($146)
CD U0short1Jun 30, 2020Jun 30, 2020($77)
JY U0short1Jun 30, 2020Jun 30, 2020($8)
DXM U0long1Jun 30, 2020Jun 30, 2020$78
DXM U0long1Jun 29, 2020Jun 29, 2020$34
DXM U0short1Jun 29, 2020Jun 29, 2020$550
CD U0short2Jun 26, 2020Jun 26, 2020$494
DXM U0long1Jun 26, 2020Jun 26, 2020($333)
M2K U0long5Jun 25, 2020Jun 25, 2020$70
DXM U0long1Jun 24, 2020Jun 24, 2020$145
DXM U0long1Jun 24, 2020Jun 24, 2020($352)
DXM U0long1Jun 24, 2020Jun 24, 2020($80)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.