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AlgoSys YM - Andromalius

Futures · Futures · Started Jan 2019

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
6.1%
Max Drawdown
30.9%
Trades
592
Win Trades
53.5%
Profit Factor
1.20
Win Months
16.1%

Short Term Financials / Indexes

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20192.65.06.820.66.07.41.7-2.629.2-3.76.8-12.881.4
2020-6.214.82.7-4.65.2-6.21.1-1.2-11.1-6.6-3.31.9-15.0
20211.70.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.01.7
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began1/25/2019
Suggested Minimum Capital$18,000
Age93 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades592
# Profitable317
% Profitable53.5%
Avg trade duration2.6 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown30.9%
drawdown periodNov 19, 2019 - Dec 21, 2020
Annual Return (Compounded)6.1%
Avg win$439
Avg loss$439

Ratios

W:L ratio1.15
Sharpe Ratio0.32
Sortino Ratio0.49
Calmar Ratio1.24

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.00
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life184.9%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-129.7%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)6.1%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)9.7%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity38.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss48.0%
Chance of 20% account loss20.0%
Chance of 30% account loss4.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.5%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$439
Avg Win$439
# Winners317
Sum Trade PL (losers)$120,646
Sum Trade PL (winners)$139,170
Num Months Winners15
# Losers275
% Winners53.5%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table93

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)154.53
Avg Position Time (hrs)2.58
Avg Trade Length0.10
Last Trade Ago2056

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)6.06
Daily leverage (max)129.12

Regression

Alpha0.02
Beta0
Treynor Index6.97

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.02
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades23.48
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.07
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats54.69
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats51.30
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.49
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.06
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.04

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.22
SD0.25
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.91
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.89
df39
t1.66
p0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.99
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.20
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.98
Sortino ratio2.26
Upside Potential Ratio3.65
Upside part of mean0.36
Downside part of mean-0.14
Upside SD0.23
Downside SD0.10
N nonnegative terms13
N negative terms27
N of observations40
Mean of predictor0.29
Mean of criterion0.22
SD of predictor0.24
SD of criterion0.25
Covariance-0.01
r-0.14
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.14
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.27
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error38
t(b)-0.89
p(b)0.81
t(a)1.85
p(a)0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.47
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.18
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.56
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.55
Jensen alpha (a)0.27
Mean0.19
SD0.23
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.83
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.82
df39
t1.52
p0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.26
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.92
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.27
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.91
Sortino ratio1.88
Upside Potential Ratio3.25
Upside part of mean0.34
Downside part of mean-0.14
Upside SD0.21
Downside SD0.10
N nonnegative terms13
N negative terms27
N of observations40
Mean of predictor0.26
Mean of criterion0.19
SD of predictor0.24
SD of criterion0.23
Covariance-0.01
r-0.14
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.14
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.23
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error38
t(b)-0.88
p(b)0.81
t(a)1.71
p(a)0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.45
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.18
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.50
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.43
Jensen alpha (a)0.23
VaR(95%)0.09
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.12
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
Mean0.21
SD0.20
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.07
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.07
df885
t1.96
p0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.13
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.00
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.13
Sortino ratio1.73
Upside Potential Ratio7.20
Upside part of mean0.88
Downside part of mean-0.67
Upside SD0.16
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms205
N negative terms681
N of observations886
Mean of predictor0.32
Mean of criterion0.21
SD of predictor0.28
SD of criterion0.20
Covariance-0.00
r-0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.21
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error884
t(b)-0.29
p(b)0.62
t(a)1.98
p(a)0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.42
Treynor index (mean / b)-30.23
Jensen alpha (a)0.21
Mean0.19
SD0.20
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.97
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.97
df885
t1.79
p0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.04
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.09
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.04
Sortino ratio1.55
Upside Potential Ratio6.98
Upside part of mean0.86
Downside part of mean-0.67
Upside SD0.15
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms205
N negative terms681
N of observations886
Mean of predictor0.28
Mean of criterion0.19
SD of predictor0.28
SD of criterion0.20
Covariance-0.00
r-0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.19
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error884
t(b)-0.26
p(b)0.60
t(a)1.80
p(a)0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.40
Treynor index (mean / b)-31.29
Jensen alpha (a)0.19
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.42
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.38
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.34
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.38
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6703977945104384
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)3.47300161101858e+31
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations40
Minimum0.89
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.03
Maximum1.25
Mean of quarter 10.96
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.12
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low4
Percentage of outliers low0.10
Mean of outliers low0.92
Number of outliers high7
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high1.14
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.31
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.06
Number of observations886
Minimum0.93
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.08
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low173
Percentage of outliers low0.20
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high205
Percentage of outliers high0.23
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.95
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.07
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations4
Minimum0.02
Quartile 10.05
Median0.08
Quartile 30.12
Maximum0.19
Mean of quarter 10.02
Mean of quarter 20.06
Mean of quarter 30.10
Mean of quarter 40.19
Inter Quartile Range0.08
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations22
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.04
Quartile 30.07
Maximum0.20
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.06
Mean of quarter 40.13
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high0.20
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.94
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.14
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.15
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.40
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.17
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.19
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-382394752
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)398
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.33
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.25
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.32
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.32
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.16
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.32
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.24
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.24
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.90
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal10.20
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 1532 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
YM H1short2Jan 14, 2021Jan 14, 2021$584
YM H1long1Dec 21, 2020Dec 21, 2020$672
YM H1short1Dec 21, 2020Dec 21, 2020($38)
YM Z0long1Nov 30, 2020Nov 30, 2020($793)
YM Z0short1Nov 10, 2020Nov 10, 2020($868)
YM Z0long1Nov 3, 2020Nov 3, 2020$832
YM Z0long1Oct 26, 2020Oct 26, 2020($198)
YM Z0long1Oct 26, 2020Oct 26, 2020($708)
YM Z0long1Oct 23, 2020Oct 23, 2020$702
YM Z0long1Oct 22, 2020Oct 22, 2020$827
YM Z0short1Oct 21, 2020Oct 21, 2020$7
YM Z0short1Oct 21, 2020Oct 21, 2020$187
YM Z0short1Oct 21, 2020Oct 21, 2020($263)
YM Z0long1Oct 20, 2020Oct 20, 2020($1,113)
YM Z0short3Oct 20, 2020Oct 20, 2020($1,244)
YM Z0long2Oct 19, 2020Oct 19, 2020($2,186)
YM Z0short1Oct 19, 2020Oct 19, 2020$662
YM Z0long1Oct 15, 2020Oct 15, 2020$762
YM Z0short1Oct 14, 2020Oct 14, 2020$7
YM Z0long1Oct 14, 2020Oct 14, 2020($133)
YM Z0short1Oct 14, 2020Oct 14, 2020$767
YM Z0short1Oct 12, 2020Oct 12, 2020($398)
YM Z0short1Oct 9, 2020Oct 9, 2020($73)
YM Z0short1Oct 8, 2020Oct 8, 2020$142
YM Z0long1Oct 7, 2020Oct 7, 2020$602
YM Z0long1Oct 7, 2020Oct 7, 2020$397
YM Z0short1Oct 6, 2020Oct 6, 2020($448)
YM Z0long1Oct 5, 2020Oct 5, 2020$417
YM Z0long1Oct 1, 2020Oct 1, 2020($593)
YM Z0long1Sep 30, 2020Sep 30, 2020$877

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.