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MICRO TRADES

Futures · Started Jan 2019

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-1.7%
Max Drawdown
29.2%
Trades
116
Win Trades
76.7%
Profit Factor
0.80
Win Months
2.2%

About this strategy

MICRO-TRADE (MT) in a nutshell:
• Trades E-mini of “S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 “.
• MT is a Day-Trading strategy. All open trades will be closed automatically when US markets close and this feature is enabled on C2.
• The maximum number of contracts traded won’t exceed 10 contracts.
• Base lot size is 5. Trades may be executed in any of the following format (5x1 or 5x2 or 10x1).
• MT strongly suggest that all subscribers to set a Max Limit @ C2 client side to avoid accidental trades or Fat-Finger situation. If you follow MT at 100% scaling, then set Max = 10; likewise, if you are on 20% scaling, set Max = 2. If you have larger portfolio, set Max size according to your scaling level.
• Subscribers are expected to do their home-work on scaling and Risk management if necessary. If you need help, please contact through C2 message centre.
• Money manager of MT cannot guarantee any profit target or loss limit but will work on the interest of the subscribers within his capacity.
• MT aims to execute between 2 to 5 trades each working day.
• All trades are executed by humans. No open trades left unattended.
• MT will try to address any issues with subscribers professionally, politely and in friendly manner and expects the same from subscribers.
• MT aims to produce 10% /month ROR and MT assumes that all subscribers understand the potential “RISK” involved in Futures trading and past performance DOES NOT guarantee future profits.
• Hedging, Loss-limit, Profit-Target may be practiced but it is at the discretion of the Manager.
• Information on how trading decisions are made will not be available in public.
• No free trial provided. No coupons provided.

We appreciate your interest in MICRO TRADE.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20199.3-1.44.7-22.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-12.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began1/22/2019
Suggested Minimum Capital$12,500
Age93 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades116
# Profitable89
% Profitable76.7%
Avg trade duration3.1 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown29.2%
drawdown periodApril 01, 2019 - April 03, 2019
Annual Return (Compounded)-1.7%
Avg win$40
Avg loss$176

Ratios

W:L ratio0.76
Sharpe Ratio-0.44
Sortino Ratio-0.46
Calmar Ratio-0.44

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.00
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life190.8%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-203.4%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-1.7%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)-1.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity31.3%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss92.0%
Chance of 20% account loss23.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.8%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$176
Avg Win$40
# Winners89
Sum Trade PL (losers)$4,745
Sum Trade PL (winners)$3,585
Num Months Winners2
# Losers27
% Winners76.7%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table93

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)185.15
Avg Position Time (hrs)3.09
Avg Trade Length0.10
Last Trade Ago2716

Regression

Alpha-0.01
Beta0
Treynor Index13.85

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-5.93
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)1.07
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats5.58
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats53.67
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.32
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.03
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.17

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-0.11
SD0.19
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.59
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.55
df12
t-0.61
p0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.48
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.32
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.45
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.34
Sortino ratio-0.65
Upside Potential Ratio0.43
Upside part of mean0.07
Downside part of mean-0.18
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.17
N nonnegative terms2
N negative terms11
N of observations13
Mean of predictor0.94
Mean of criterion-0.11
SD of predictor0.34
SD of criterion0.19
Covariance0.01
r0.10
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.06
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.16
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error11
t(b)0.33
p(b)0.37
t(a)-0.66
p(a)0.74
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.31
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.70
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.38
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.00
Jensen alpha (a)-0.16
Mean-0.13
SD0.20
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.64
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.60
df12
t-0.66
p0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.52
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.27
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.50
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.30
Sortino ratio-0.69
Upside Potential Ratio0.38
Upside part of mean0.07
Downside part of mean-0.20
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.19
N nonnegative terms2
N negative terms11
N of observations13
Mean of predictor0.86
Mean of criterion-0.13
SD of predictor0.31
SD of criterion0.20
Covariance0.01
r0.10
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.07
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.19
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error11
t(b)0.34
p(b)0.37
t(a)-0.71
p(a)0.75
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.37
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.77
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.39
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.90
Jensen alpha (a)-0.19
VaR(95%)0.10
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.12
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.10
Mean-0.11
SD0.17
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.65
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.65
df294
t-0.69
p0.76
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.50
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.19
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.50
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.20
Sortino ratio-0.69
Upside Potential Ratio1.15
Upside part of mean0.18
Downside part of mean-0.29
Upside SD0.05
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms32
N negative terms263
N of observations295
Mean of predictor1.04
Mean of criterion-0.11
SD of predictor0.48
SD of criterion0.17
Covariance0.00
r0.00
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.11
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error293
t(b)0.08
p(b)0.47
t(a)-0.70
p(a)0.76
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.43
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.20
Treynor index (mean / b)-69.53
Jensen alpha (a)-0.11
Mean-0.13
SD0.18
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.70
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.70
df294
t-0.74
p0.77
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.55
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.15
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.55
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.15
Sortino ratio-0.73
Upside Potential Ratio1.07
Upside part of mean0.18
Downside part of mean-0.31
Upside SD0.05
Downside SD0.17
N nonnegative terms32
N negative terms263
N of observations295
Mean of predictor0.92
Mean of criterion-0.13
SD of predictor0.47
SD of criterion0.18
Covariance0.00
r0.00
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.13
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error293
t(b)0.07
p(b)0.47
t(a)-0.75
p(a)0.77
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.46
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.21
Treynor index (mean / b)-80.34
Jensen alpha (a)-0.13
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.11
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.46
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.01
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.46
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6803988406075392
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)7.74991316613944e+33
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations13
Minimum0.83
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.07
Mean of quarter 10.96
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.08
Mean of outliers low0.83
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.15
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations295
Minimum0.85
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.03
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low12
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high33
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.97
VaR(95%) (moments method)-0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.13
VaR(95%) (regression method)-0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.17
Quartile 10.17
Median0.17
Quartile 30.17
Maximum0.17
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations2
Minimum0.05
Quartile 10.09
Median0.13
Quartile 30.17
Maximum0.21
Mean of quarter 10.05
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.21
Inter Quartile Range0.08
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-459784704
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)2
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.10
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.10
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.55
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.78
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.09
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.09
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.44
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.44
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-4.04
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 188 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
NQ M9short2Apr 1, 2019Apr 3, 2019($3,341)
NQ M9long1Apr 1, 2019Apr 1, 2019$182
ES M9short1Mar 31, 2019Apr 1, 2019$55
ES M9long0.25Mar 22, 2019Mar 31, 2019$261
ES M9long0.25Mar 22, 2019Mar 22, 2019$82
NQ M9short0.25Mar 21, 2019Mar 22, 2019$23
ES M9short0.25Mar 21, 2019Mar 22, 2019$111
ES M9short0.25Mar 19, 2019Mar 19, 2019$1
ES H9short0.25Mar 6, 2019Mar 6, 2019$42
ES H9short0.25Mar 5, 2019Mar 5, 2019$39
ES H9short0.25Mar 4, 2019Mar 4, 2019$67
ES H9short0.25Mar 1, 2019Mar 1, 2019$21
ES H9short0.25Feb 28, 2019Feb 28, 2019$29
ES H9short0.25Feb 27, 2019Feb 27, 2019$14
ES H9long0.25Feb 27, 2019Feb 27, 2019$38
NQ H9short0.25Feb 25, 2019Feb 25, 2019$22
NQ H9short0.25Feb 25, 2019Feb 25, 2019$25
NQ H9long0.25Feb 21, 2019Feb 21, 2019$12
NQ H9long0.5Feb 21, 2019Feb 21, 2019$19
NQ H9long0.25Feb 21, 2019Feb 21, 2019($1)
NQ H9short0.25Feb 21, 2019Feb 21, 2019($8)
ES H9long0.25Feb 21, 2019Feb 21, 2019($58)
NQ H9long0.25Feb 21, 2019Feb 21, 2019($59)
ES H9long0.25Feb 20, 2019Feb 20, 2019$23
NQ H9short0.25Feb 19, 2019Feb 19, 2019($9)
NQ H9short0.25Feb 19, 2019Feb 19, 2019($15)
ES H9long0.25Feb 19, 2019Feb 19, 2019$1
ES H9long0.25Feb 19, 2019Feb 19, 2019($8)
ES H9long0.25Feb 15, 2019Feb 15, 2019($5)
NQ H9long0.25Feb 15, 2019Feb 15, 2019$3

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.