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PxV Forex

Forex · Started Jan 2019

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
10.1%
Max Drawdown
66.5%
Trades
419
Win Trades
66.8%
Profit Factor
1.10
Win Months
17.2%

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
201910.125.339.716.09.411.9-17.126.13.28.010.3-9.1220.1
2020-9.9-23.776.4-15.721.10.7-16.4-35.5-13.138.84.52.3-13.3
2021-21.4-4.20.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-24.7
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began1/6/2019
Suggested Minimum Capital$10,000
Age93 months
What it tradesForex
# Trades419
# Profitable280
% Profitable66.8%
Avg trade duration2.0 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown66.5%
drawdown periodJuly 16, 2020 - Sept 17, 2020
Annual Return (Compounded)10.1%
Avg win$537
Avg loss$976

Ratios

W:L ratio1.11
Sharpe Ratio0.34
Sortino Ratio0.48
Calmar Ratio0.62

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.01
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life199.8%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-95.8%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)10.1%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)12.5%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity113.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.8%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex1.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss35.5%
Chance of 20% account loss14.0%
Chance of 30% account loss2.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.5%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$976
Avg Win$537
# Winners280
Sum Trade PL (losers)$135,709
Sum Trade PL (winners)$150,405
Num Months Winners16
# Losers139
% Winners66.8%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table93

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)2823.03
Avg Position Time (hrs)47.05
Avg Trade Length2
Last Trade Ago2090

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)11.97
Daily leverage (max)39.15

Regression

Alpha0.04
Beta-0.01
Treynor Index-4.05

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.03
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.14
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.04
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.02
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades27.67
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-3.81
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats42.33
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats60.43
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.77
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.14
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.04

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.44
SD0.53
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.84
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.82
df33
t1.41
p0.08
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.35
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.01
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.36
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.00
Sortino ratio1.36
Upside Potential Ratio2.68
Upside part of mean0.87
Downside part of mean-0.43
Upside SD0.43
Downside SD0.32
N nonnegative terms16
N negative terms18
N of observations34
Mean of predictor0.33
Mean of criterion0.44
SD of predictor0.27
SD of criterion0.53
Covariance0.02
r0.15
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.30
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.34
Mean Square Error0.28
DF error32
t(b)0.88
p(b)0.19
t(a)1.02
p(a)0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.40
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.34
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.02
Treynor index (mean / b)1.47
Jensen alpha (a)0.34
Mean0.29
SD0.56
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.53
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.51
df33
t0.89
p0.19
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.65
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.69
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.66
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.68
Sortino ratio0.72
Upside Potential Ratio1.95
Upside part of mean0.79
Downside part of mean-0.50
Upside SD0.38
Downside SD0.40
N nonnegative terms16
N negative terms18
N of observations34
Mean of predictor0.29
Mean of criterion0.29
SD of predictor0.28
SD of criterion0.56
Covariance0.02
r0.16
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.31
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.20
Mean Square Error0.31
DF error32
t(b)0.90
p(b)0.19
t(a)0.58
p(a)0.28
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.40
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.51
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.91
Treynor index (mean / b)0.94
Jensen alpha (a)0.20
VaR(95%)0.21
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.26
VaR(95%)0.08
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.18
Mean0.41
SD0.50
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.82
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.82
df763
t1.40
p0.08
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.97
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.33
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.97
Sortino ratio1.16
Upside Potential Ratio6.27
Upside part of mean2.24
Downside part of mean-1.83
Upside SD0.36
Downside SD0.36
N nonnegative terms266
N negative terms498
N of observations764
Mean of predictor0.40
Mean of criterion0.41
SD of predictor0.29
SD of criterion0.50
Covariance0.00
r0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.04
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.40
Mean Square Error0.25
DF error762
t(b)0.62
p(b)0.27
t(a)1.34
p(a)0.09
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.98
Treynor index (mean / b)10.47
Jensen alpha (a)0.40
Mean0.28
SD0.51
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.55
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.55
df763
t0.94
p0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.59
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.70
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.60
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.70
Sortino ratio0.74
Upside Potential Ratio5.72
Upside part of mean2.18
Downside part of mean-1.90
Upside SD0.34
Downside SD0.38
N nonnegative terms266
N negative terms498
N of observations764
Mean of predictor0.35
Mean of criterion0.28
SD of predictor0.29
SD of criterion0.51
Covariance0.00
r0.03
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.06
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.26
Mean Square Error0.26
DF error762
t(b)0.86
p(b)0.19
t(a)0.88
p(a)0.19
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.18
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.86
Treynor index (mean / b)5.09
Jensen alpha (a)0.26
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.39
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.31
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.34
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.30
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6623038749540352
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)7.04599782871043e+31
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations34
Minimum0.56
Quartile 11
Median1.00
Quartile 31.14
Maximum1.38
Mean of quarter 10.87
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.06
Mean of quarter 41.22
Inter Quartile Range0.14
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.06
Mean of outliers low0.67
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.38
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.16
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.14
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.25
Number of observations764
Minimum0.77
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.15
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low108
Percentage of outliers low0.14
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high107
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high1.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.22
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.38
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.05
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations4
Minimum0.07
Quartile 10.11
Median0.15
Quartile 30.28
Maximum0.57
Mean of quarter 10.07
Mean of quarter 20.12
Mean of quarter 30.18
Mean of quarter 40.57
Inter Quartile Range0.17
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.25
Mean of outliers high0.57
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations37
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.06
Maximum0.59
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.23
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high6
Percentage of outliers high0.16
Mean of outliers high0.30
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.13
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.18
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.27
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.17
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.30
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.50
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-469981248
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)63
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.52
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.38
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.67
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.67
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.44
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.51
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.37
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.62
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.58
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal5.88
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 976 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
EUR/USD long400Dec 16, 2020Feb 2, 2021($4,908)
GBP/USD long100Dec 7, 2020Dec 16, 2020$2,379
EUR/USD long450Dec 2, 2020Dec 9, 2020($1,962)
EUR/USD short300Dec 2, 2020Dec 2, 2020($246)
EUR/USD long300Dec 2, 2020Dec 2, 2020($519)
EUR/USD short300Dec 2, 2020Dec 2, 2020($975)
EUR/USD short300Nov 30, 2020Nov 30, 2020($549)
AUD/USD long150Nov 25, 2020Nov 26, 2020$351
USD/CAD short10Oct 30, 2020Nov 23, 2020$153
GBP/USD short300Nov 23, 2020Nov 23, 2020$3,057
AUD/USD long200Nov 10, 2020Nov 23, 2020$1,066
GBP/USD short150Nov 10, 2020Nov 12, 2020$1,503
EUR/USD short300Nov 5, 2020Nov 9, 2020($3,382)
AUD/USD short100Nov 5, 2020Nov 9, 2020($891)
GBP/USD short100Oct 30, 2020Oct 30, 2020$183
EUR/USD short50Oct 30, 2020Oct 30, 2020$271
GBP/USD short100Oct 29, 2020Oct 29, 2020$834
EUR/USD short250Oct 19, 2020Oct 29, 2020$2,593
GBP/USD short100Oct 21, 2020Oct 28, 2020$1,988
GBP/USD short200Oct 16, 2020Oct 20, 2020$928
EUR/USD short150Oct 16, 2020Oct 19, 2020($558)
EUR/USD short200Oct 7, 2020Oct 15, 2020$992
GBP/USD short150Oct 8, 2020Oct 8, 2020$726
GBP/USD short250Sep 30, 2020Oct 5, 2020($1,050)
EUR/USD long300Sep 23, 2020Sep 29, 2020$2,061
AUD/USD long50Sep 23, 2020Sep 25, 2020($597)
GBP/USD short200Sep 22, 2020Sep 23, 2020$56
GBP/USD short200Sep 22, 2020Sep 22, 2020$286
EUR/USD long100Sep 16, 2020Sep 22, 2020($984)
GBP/USD short200Sep 17, 2020Sep 21, 2020$2,170

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.