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International Value

Equity · Stocks · Started Oct 2018

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
25.0%
Max Drawdown
79.5%
Trades
185
Win Trades
67.0%
Profit Factor
2.50
Win Months
61.5%

About this strategy

The Strategy invests in International stocks with perceived low valuations, stable business, or emerging growth opportunities.

The Strategy utilizes investments across all major market sectors with a focus on companies that have a market capitalization greater than ~$1.5B, with the majority of holdings significantly above $10B.

Margin is not required to emulate the International Value Strategy, however, we recommend investors consider enabling margin. From time to time we may incorporate small amounts of leverage in the strategy. The strategy DOES NOT sell securities short.

Trading stops are utilized to limit the downside in each position. On average the strategy's total downside risk is targeted at 15-20% of the value of the total holdings, with some positions above and some positions below this average level.

While no system can guarantee risk-free or low-risk trading, and while unforeseen events can cause you to lose money, we do make an effort to control risk.

Non-hedged Equity

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2018-0.50.1-7.1-7.5
201914.010.65.10.4-4.58.67.5-5.55.98.715.18.7101.8
2020-9.0-19.4-45.429.613.512.711.13.6-0.0-7.310.218.5-7.6
202147.1-11.75.79.611.6-9.99.4-6.8-10.08.0-4.02.948.1
20220.923.6-0.8-15.8-15.9-16.34.6-6.6-3.10.315.6-2.9-21.9
202310.3-7.110.26.0-12.21.06.4-7.1-6.1-2.96.52.64.5
20244.22.217.7-0.4-1.2-11.98.3-2.75.022.00.5-1.944.8
20256.03.68.32.30.02.94.24.98.43.85.63.668.5
202634.9-7.6-5.10.2-3.9-13.94.714.6-3.014.2

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began10/29/2018
Suggested Minimum Capital$25,000
Age96 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades185
# Profitable124
% Profitable67.0%
Avg trade duration188.9 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown79.5%
drawdown periodMarch 08, 2022 - May 18, 2024
Annual Return (Compounded)25.0%
Avg win$1,639
Avg loss$1,425

Ratios

W:L ratio2.51
Sharpe Ratio0.62
Sortino Ratio0.91
Calmar Ratio0.52

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.40
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life187.4%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)289.1%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)25.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.2%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)26.2%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity18.1%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.1%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss80.5%
Chance of 20% account loss77.0%
Chance of 30% account loss68.0%
Chance of 40% account loss55.0%
Chance of 50% account loss45.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)30.5%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)20.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)8.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)1.5%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$1,425
Avg Win$1,639
# Winners124
Sum Trade PL (losers)$86,936
Sum Trade PL (winners)$203,200
Num Months Winners60
# Losers61
% Winners67.0%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct15154

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table96

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)272053.06
Avg Position Time (hrs)4534.22
Avg Trade Length188.90
Last Trade Ago624

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.62
Daily leverage (max)2.26

Regression

Alpha0.05
Beta0.73
Treynor Index0.10

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.05
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.04
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades1.37
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)1.97
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats3.21
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats14.84
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.22
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.18
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.79

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.41
SD0.53
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.77
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.76
df74
t1.92
p0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.56
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.03
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.55
Sortino ratio1.80
Upside Potential Ratio3.25
Upside part of mean0.73
Downside part of mean-0.33
Upside SD0.49
Downside SD0.23
N nonnegative terms45
N negative terms30
N of observations75
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.41
SD of predictor0.23
SD of criterion0.53
Covariance0.09
r0.74
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.71
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.15
Mean Square Error0.13
DF error73
t(b)9.35
p(b)0
t(a)1.00
p(a)0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.35
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.08
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.44
Treynor index (mean / b)0.24
Jensen alpha (a)0.15
Mean0.29
SD0.45
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.64
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.63
df74
t1.60
p0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.43
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.42
Sortino ratio1.13
Upside Potential Ratio2.52
Upside part of mean0.65
Downside part of mean-0.36
Upside SD0.38
Downside SD0.26
N nonnegative terms45
N negative terms30
N of observations75
Mean of predictor0.13
Mean of criterion0.29
SD of predictor0.22
SD of criterion0.45
Covariance0.07
r0.68
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.42
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.11
Mean Square Error0.11
DF error73
t(b)7.85
p(b)0
t(a)0.81
p(a)0.21
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.79
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.38
Treynor index (mean / b)0.20
Jensen alpha (a)0.11
VaR(95%)0.17
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.22
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.12
Mean0.32
SD0.33
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.97
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.97
df1648
t2.43
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.75
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.18
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.75
Sortino ratio1.41
Upside Potential Ratio7.96
Upside part of mean1.79
Downside part of mean-1.47
Upside SD0.24
Downside SD0.22
N nonnegative terms898
N negative terms751
N of observations1649
Mean of predictor0.17
Mean of criterion0.32
SD of predictor0.22
SD of criterion0.33
Covariance0.03
r0.41
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.61
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.22
Mean Square Error0.09
DF error1647
t(b)18.44
p(b)0.24
t(a)1.81
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.55
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.68
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.45
Treynor index (mean / b)0.52
Jensen alpha (a)0.22
Mean0.26
SD0.33
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.80
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.80
df1648
t2.01
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.58
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.02
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.58
Sortino ratio1.13
Upside Potential Ratio7.54
Upside part of mean1.76
Downside part of mean-1.50
Upside SD0.23
Downside SD0.23
N nonnegative terms898
N negative terms751
N of observations1649
Mean of predictor0.14
Mean of criterion0.26
SD of predictor0.22
SD of criterion0.33
Covariance0.03
r0.42
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.62
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.18
Mean Square Error0.09
DF error1647
t(b)18.91
p(b)0.24
t(a)1.47
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.56
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.69
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.41
Treynor index (mean / b)0.42
Jensen alpha (a)0.18
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean1.87
SD0.59
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)3.17
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)3.15
df130
t2.24
p0.40
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.96
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.35
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.95
Sortino ratio5.85
Upside Potential Ratio11.54
Upside part of mean3.68
Downside part of mean-1.82
Upside SD0.51
Downside SD0.32
N nonnegative terms82
N negative terms49
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.73
Mean of criterion1.87
SD of predictor0.35
SD of criterion0.59
Covariance0.05
r0.25
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.42
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)1.55
Mean Square Error0.33
DF error129
t(b)2.95
p(b)0.34
t(a)1.90
p(a)0.40
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.71
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha3.17
Treynor index (mean / b)4.39
Jensen alpha (a)1.55
Mean1.69
SD0.57
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.96
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.94
df130
t2.09
p0.41
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.75
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.15
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.74
Sortino ratio5.08
Upside Potential Ratio10.69
Upside part of mean3.56
Downside part of mean-1.87
Upside SD0.47
Downside SD0.33
N nonnegative terms82
N negative terms49
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.67
Mean of criterion1.69
SD of predictor0.35
SD of criterion0.57
Covariance0.05
r0.25
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.42
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)1.41
Mean Square Error0.31
DF error129
t(b)2.99
p(b)0.34
t(a)1.78
p(a)0.40
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.14
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.70
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.98
Treynor index (mean / b)4.05
Jensen alpha (a)1.41
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations75
Minimum0.67
Quartile 10.97
Median1.02
Quartile 31.08
Maximum1.99
Mean of quarter 10.90
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.05
Mean of quarter 41.19
Inter Quartile Range0.11
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.74
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.67
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.40
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.09
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.18
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.56
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.27
Number of observations1649
Minimum0.84
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.24
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low59
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.95
Number of outliers high60
Percentage of outliers high0.04
Mean of outliers high1.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.38
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.04
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.32
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.03
Number of observations131
Minimum0.88
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.02
Maximum1.24
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.05
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low6
Percentage of outliers low0.05
Mean of outliers low0.92
Number of outliers high10
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high1.09
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.71
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.09
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.37
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.05

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations8
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.05
Median0.08
Quartile 30.24
Maximum0.47
Mean of quarter 10.02
Mean of quarter 20.06
Mean of quarter 30.14
Mean of quarter 40.44
Inter Quartile Range0.20
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations55
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.02
Quartile 30.04
Maximum0.65
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.18
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high7
Percentage of outliers high0.13
Mean of outliers high0.29
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.62
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.17
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.51
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.54
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.21
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.55
Number of observations13
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.05
Maximum0.26
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.04
Mean of quarter 40.15
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high0.26
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.56
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.13
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.15
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.52
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.20
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.47
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-419540448
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)802
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.01
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.37
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.79
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.85
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.72
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.84
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.34
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.52
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.91
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal8.45
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)2.73
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)4.60
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)17.95
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs30.63
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal71.50

Trading record

Placed 893 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
RUM long1500Mar 26, 2024Dec 23, 2024$3,126
BABA long100Sep 24, 2024Oct 23, 2024$672
SMR long600Jul 16, 2024Sep 19, 2024($1,559)
JXI long150Apr 11, 2024Sep 19, 2024$1,526
CCJ long175Jul 5, 2024Sep 18, 2024($1,663)
MEOH long150Feb 8, 2024Sep 10, 2024($798)
NVDS long250Apr 25, 2024Aug 29, 2024($7,180)
CPER long150Mar 28, 2024Aug 2, 2024$101
DJT long350Mar 5, 2024Jul 15, 2024$2,954
THLLY long150Mar 11, 2024Jun 27, 2024$171
XYLD long225Jan 11, 2024May 23, 2024$62
TSLQ long250Apr 29, 2024May 23, 2024$411
MDT long95Mar 18, 2024Apr 29, 2024($88)
FMX long85Jan 11, 2024Apr 17, 2024($360)
INDA long75Dec 12, 2023Apr 17, 2024$271
EWP long150Dec 14, 2023Apr 16, 2024$63
EWO long150Dec 12, 2023Apr 16, 2024$66
VEU long100Dec 12, 2023Apr 16, 2024$215
PDBC long200Dec 14, 2023Apr 15, 2024$60
ECH long100Mar 4, 2024Apr 12, 2024$103
ARGT long50Dec 12, 2023Apr 12, 2024$248
GXG long150Jan 11, 2024Apr 12, 2024$400
AEM long50Aug 11, 2023Apr 9, 2024$670
JPMB long100Dec 14, 2023Mar 27, 2024($34)
ALLE long35Aug 11, 2023Mar 19, 2024$410
DWAC long100Feb 5, 2024Feb 15, 2024$965
DWAC long100Jan 12, 2024Jan 23, 2024$3,770
ICLR long10Aug 17, 2023Dec 12, 2023$157
STNE long125Aug 11, 2023Dec 12, 2023$15
BB long250Aug 28, 2023Oct 23, 2023($402)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.