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EURUSD Forex Profits

Futures · Forex · Started Apr 2018

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
2.5%
Max Drawdown
25.6%
Trades
647
Win Trades
84.2%
Profit Factor
8
Win Months
52.0%

About this strategy

Trading Record - Around 2000 trades in real-life brokerage accounts - See AutoTrade data.


Recommended Brokers:

OANDA, Interactive Brokers, FXCM, TradePro, AGM Markets


US Customers:

OANDA, TradePro, AGM Markets


FREE Trial - Coupon code: UGKF54274

This coupon allows a new subscriber access to 'EURUSD Forex Profits' at reduced price.

Instead of the standard price of $39.00 per month, user having this coupon will be charged $0.00 per month.

This reduced price will remain in effect for 1 billing transactions.

Please note that this coupon expires on 2019-12-11 03:02:00 Eastern U.S. time.

Currencies

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20182.43.82.30.70.91.93.42.80.520.1
2019-0.91.54.00.21.6-2.72.40.20.20.50.20.37.7
20200.20.30.8-0.91.90.0-1.0-1.11.00.3-1.5-1.5-1.5
20210.40.41.4-1.6-0.81.4-0.30.30.40.51.1-0.13.1
2022-0.10.00.72.5-1.10.81.20.81.3-1.2-1.7-1.71.5
2023-1.01.3-1.3-0.91.2-0.7-0.70.70.9-0.1-2.0-0.4-2.9
20240.7-0.00.40.1-0.80.6-1.0-1.4-0.21.61.40.11.5
2025-0.30.4-2.1-2.90.3-2.11.3-1.00.00.00.00.0-6.3
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began4/16/2018
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age102 months
What it tradesForex
# Trades647
# Profitable545
% Profitable84.2%
Avg trade duration3.5 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown25.6%
drawdown periodMarch 17, 2020 - March 20, 2020
Annual Return (Compounded)2.5%
Avg win$38
Avg loss$25

Ratios

W:L ratio8
Sharpe Ratio0.09
Sortino Ratio0.13
Calmar Ratio0.46

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.00
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life185.9%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-160.4%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)2.5%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)3.7%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity13.5%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.5%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex1.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss1.5%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated98.4%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)549
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$25
Avg Win$38
# Winners545
Sum Trade PL (losers)$2,577
Sum Trade PL (winners)$20,625
Num Months Winners55
# Losers102
% Winners84.2%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table102

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)5104.63
Avg Position Time (hrs)85.08
Avg Trade Length3.50
Last Trade Ago385

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.96
Daily leverage (max)34.44

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0
Treynor Index1.21

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades5.30
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)2.40
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats48.59
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats56.16
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades4.20
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-3.32
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.19

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.07
SD0.08
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.91
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.90
df38
t1.65
p0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.02
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.21
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.00
Sortino ratio1.43
Upside Potential Ratio2.84
Upside part of mean0.14
Downside part of mean-0.07
Upside SD0.06
Downside SD0.05
N nonnegative terms27
N negative terms12
N of observations39
Mean of predictor0.29
Mean of criterion0.07
SD of predictor0.23
SD of criterion0.08
Covariance-0.00
r-0.08
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.08
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error37
t(b)-0.48
p(b)0.68
t(a)1.70
p(a)0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.08
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.17
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.68
Jensen alpha (a)0.08
Mean0.07
SD0.08
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.87
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.86
df38
t1.57
p0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.24
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.97
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.25
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.96
Sortino ratio1.34
Upside Potential Ratio2.74
Upside part of mean0.14
Downside part of mean-0.07
Upside SD0.06
Downside SD0.05
N nonnegative terms27
N negative terms12
N of observations39
Mean of predictor0.26
Mean of criterion0.07
SD of predictor0.23
SD of criterion0.08
Covariance-0.00
r-0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.07
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error37
t(b)-0.32
p(b)0.62
t(a)1.58
p(a)0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.09
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.16
Treynor index (mean / b)-3.82
Jensen alpha (a)0.07
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0.07
SD0.12
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.60
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.60
df870
t1.09
p0.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.48
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.67
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.48
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.67
Sortino ratio0.83
Upside Potential Ratio4.87
Upside part of mean0.42
Downside part of mean-0.35
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.09
N nonnegative terms432
N negative terms439
N of observations871
Mean of predictor0.32
Mean of criterion0.07
SD of predictor0.28
SD of criterion0.12
Covariance0.00
r0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.06
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error869
t(b)1.64
p(b)0.05
t(a)0.97
p(a)0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.19
Treynor index (mean / b)2.99
Jensen alpha (a)0.06
Mean0.06
SD0.12
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.53
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.53
df870
t0.97
p0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.54
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.61
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.54
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.61
Sortino ratio0.72
Upside Potential Ratio4.67
Upside part of mean0.42
Downside part of mean-0.35
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.09
N nonnegative terms432
N negative terms439
N of observations871
Mean of predictor0.29
Mean of criterion0.06
SD of predictor0.28
SD of criterion0.12
Covariance0.00
r0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.06
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error869
t(b)1.57
p(b)0.06
t(a)0.87
p(a)0.19
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.19
Treynor index (mean / b)2.80
Jensen alpha (a)0.06
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean-0.04
SD0.10
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.43
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.42
df130
t-0.30
p0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.35
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.20
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.35
Sortino ratio-0.56
Upside Potential Ratio6.51
Upside part of mean0.51
Downside part of mean-0.55
Upside SD0.06
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms51
N negative terms80
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.15
Mean of criterion-0.04
SD of predictor0.43
SD of criterion0.10
Covariance-0.01
r-0.17
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.04
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.00
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)-1.92
p(b)0.61
t(a)0.01
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.28
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.29
Treynor index (mean / b)1.10
Jensen alpha (a)0.00
Mean-0.05
SD0.10
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.48
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.47
df130
t-0.34
p0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.25
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.30
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.25
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.30
Sortino ratio-0.62
Upside Potential Ratio6.43
Upside part of mean0.51
Downside part of mean-0.56
Upside SD0.06
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms51
N negative terms80
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.05
Mean of criterion-0.05
SD of predictor0.43
SD of criterion0.10
Covariance-0.01
r-0.16
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.04
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.01
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)-1.85
p(b)0.60
t(a)-0.06
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.08
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.29
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.28
Treynor index (mean / b)1.27
Jensen alpha (a)-0.01
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations39
Minimum0.95
Quartile 11.00
Median1.01
Quartile 31.02
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.05
Mean of outliers low0.95
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.62
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.06
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.25
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations871
Minimum0.89
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.08
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low78
Percentage of outliers low0.09
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high81
Percentage of outliers high0.09
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.64
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.55
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum0.97
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.02
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low7
Percentage of outliers low0.05
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.27
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.17
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations6
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.05
Maximum0.05
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.05
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations66
Minimum0
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.21
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.00
Mean of quarter 40.04
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high10
Percentage of outliers high0.15
Mean of outliers high0.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.52
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.08
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.50
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.09
Number of observations7
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.08
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.04
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high0.08
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-392333024
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)3
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.11
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.10
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.85
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.90
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.53
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.11
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.10
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.46
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.60
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal6.43
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.02
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.02
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.25
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.46
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-1.57

Trading record

Placed 2279 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
EUR/USD short30Jul 19, 2020Aug 21, 2025($209)
EUR/USD short10Jul 14, 2020Jul 16, 2020$11
EUR/USD short10Jul 6, 2020Jul 7, 2020$32
EUR/USD long50Jun 24, 2020Jul 1, 2020$89
EUR/USD short20Jun 23, 2020Jun 23, 2020$41
EUR/USD long10Jun 23, 2020Jun 23, 2020($6)
EUR/USD long10Jun 23, 2020Jun 23, 2020($9)
EUR/USD long10Jun 23, 2020Jun 23, 2020$2
EUR/USD long10Jun 23, 2020Jun 23, 2020($4)
EUR/USD long10Jun 23, 2020Jun 23, 2020$5
EUR/USD long10Jun 23, 2020Jun 23, 2020($3)
EUR/USD short10Jun 22, 2020Jun 22, 2020$1
EUR/USD long10Jun 22, 2020Jun 22, 2020($1)
EUR/USD short10Jun 22, 2020Jun 22, 2020($9)
EUR/USD long10Jun 22, 2020Jun 22, 2020$25
EUR/USD long20Jun 22, 2020Jun 22, 2020$13
EUR/USD short10Jun 22, 2020Jun 22, 2020($8)
EUR/USD long10Jun 22, 2020Jun 22, 2020($6)
EUR/USD short10Jun 22, 2020Jun 22, 2020($6)
EUR/USD short20Jun 22, 2020Jun 22, 2020($3)
EUR/USD short10Jun 22, 2020Jun 22, 2020$5
EUR/USD long10Jun 22, 2020Jun 22, 2020($1)
EUR/USD short10Jun 22, 2020Jun 22, 2020($1)
EUR/USD short10Jun 22, 2020Jun 22, 2020$2
EUR/USD long10Jun 22, 2020Jun 22, 2020$9
EUR/USD short10Jun 22, 2020Jun 22, 2020($10)
EUR/USD long420Mar 17, 2020May 29, 2020$181
EUR/USD short730Mar 16, 2020Mar 16, 2020$604
EUR/USD long30Mar 15, 2020Mar 16, 2020$72
EUR/USD long50Mar 13, 2020Mar 13, 2020$66

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.