Tasty Plays
- hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
- 5.6%
- Max Drawdown
- 46.8%
- Trades
- 296
- Win Trades
- 81.8%
- Profit Factor
- 1.80
- Win Months
- 59.4%
About this strategy
Margin Use: Many strategies are using position sizes which are consuming all the allowable margin. When it works in the beginning, they manage to get a very high performance. As soon as the market goes against them, a margin call follows and the account gets obliterated. We invest a maximum 60% of the available margin to absorb price actions going against us and to withhold high volatility in the market.
Adjustments when the markets go against us: Our positions are easy to adjust. Should the strikes of the options be breached, I either roll the position or accept the assignment of the options. This is then followed by covered calls.
Management of winners: We usually close a position at 50%-75% of the maximum gain. Tastytrade studies show that managing winners early improves the performance.
Scaling: The strategy can be traded with accounts from 15k-20k upwards or less if you do not trade all the positions.
Easy to trade: You can trade easily my strategy via emails. Usually the limit prices are reachable several hours (sometimes several days) after the trade alerts are sent. Europeans can also trade options on US ETFs without any problem.
Stop-Losses: Several Tastytrade studies show that placing a kind of stop-loss of 100% or 200% loss of premium is not helpful in the long-term. Such temporary losses can occur and very often the position ends nevertheless with a win. Having cut the loss upfront would have been detrimental. I prefer to protect the portfolio through investing only 60% of the available margin in total.
Premium Collecting
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 1.2 | 1.2 | -0.2 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 1.6 | -4.1 | 4.8 | 0.5 | 10.1 | |||
| 2019 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.5 | -4.6 | 8.4 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 0.2 | -0.0 | -1.2 | 3.3 | 26.8 |
| 2020 | 0.2 | -9.2 | -28.7 | -8.5 | 17.0 | 2.8 | 8.8 | 3.0 | -3.3 | -6.6 | 29.7 | 1.9 | -4.6 |
| 2021 | 1.0 | 7.5 | 8.9 | 3.6 | 3.9 | -4.1 | -5.0 | -1.5 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 4.7 | 3.9 | 28.2 |
| 2022 | 5.7 | -0.3 | -0.9 | -6.2 | -10.9 | -6.4 | 3.9 | -4.8 | -12.1 | 8.5 | 10.9 | -4.8 | -18.6 |
| 2023 | 6.7 | 3.9 | -7.0 | 5.2 | -7.3 | 6.2 | 3.8 | -11.0 | -7.4 | 2.3 | 6.2 | 9.0 | 8.2 |
| 2024 | -3.6 | 6.6 | 9.4 | -2.2 | -1.6 | -2.2 | 0.6 | -1.3 | 0.1 | -0.2 | 6.7 | -3.1 | 8.5 |
| 2025 | 4.4 | -0.8 | -0.8 | -6.4 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 4.5 | -5.4 | -5.2 | 1.8 | 3.6 | -1.1 |
| 2026 | -8.5 | 2.3 | -5.3 | 3.4 | -0.9 | 1.0 | 3.8 | 2.6 |
Statistics
Overview
| Strategy began | 4/7/2018 |
|---|---|
| Suggested Minimum Capital | $100,000 |
| Age | 102 months |
| What it trades | Options |
| # Trades | 296 |
| # Profitable | 242 |
| % Profitable | 81.8% |
| Avg trade duration | 81.8 days |
| Max peak-to-valley drawdown | 46.8% |
| drawdown period | Feb 12, 2020 - March 24, 2020 |
| Annual Return (Compounded) | 5.6% |
| Avg win | $600 |
| Avg loss | $1,962 |
Ratios
| W:L ratio | 1.75 |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.22 |
| Sortino Ratio | 0.32 |
| Calmar Ratio | 0.42 |
CORRELATION STATISTICS
| Correlation to SP500 | 0.51 |
|---|---|
| Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life | 191.5% |
| Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu) | -138.6% |
Return Statistics
| Ann Return (w trading costs) | 5.6% |
|---|---|
| Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant) | 0.1% |
| Return Pcnt Since TOS Status | 0.0% |
| Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees) | 5.7% |
Slump
| Current Slump as Pcnt Equity | 19.0% |
|---|---|
| Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life | 0.5% |
Instruments
| Percent Trades Forex | 0.0% |
|---|---|
| Percent Trades Futures | 0.0% |
| Percent Trades Options | 1.0% |
| Short Options - Percent Covered | 10.0% |
| Percent Trades Stocks | 0.0% |
Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
| Chance of 10% account loss | 2.0% |
|---|---|
| Chance of 20% account loss | 0.0% |
| Chance of 30% account loss | 0.0% |
| Chance of 40% account loss | 0.0% |
| Chance of 50% account loss | 0.0% |
| Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
Automation
| Percentage Signals Automated | 0.0% |
|---|
Popularity
| Popularity (Today) | 0 |
|---|---|
| Popularity (Last 6 weeks) | 0 |
| Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale) | 0 |
Trading Style
| Any stock shorts? 0/1 | 1 |
|---|
Trades-Own-System Certification
| Trades Own System? | 0 |
|---|---|
| TOS percent | 0.0% |
Win / Loss
| Avg Loss | $1,957 |
|---|---|
| Avg Win | $603 |
| # Winners | 242 |
| Sum Trade PL (losers) | $105,692 |
| Sum Trade PL (winners) | $146,021 |
| Num Months Winners | 61 |
| # Losers | 54 |
| % Winners | 81.8% |
Dividends
| Dividends Received in Model Acct | 19688 |
|---|
Age
| Num Months filled monthly returns table | 101 |
|---|
Frequency
| Avg Position Time (mins) | 117731.10 |
|---|---|
| Avg Position Time (hrs) | 1962.19 |
| Avg Trade Length | 81.80 |
| Last Trade Ago | 2106 |
Leverage
| Daily leverage (average) | 2.32 |
|---|---|
| Daily leverage (max) | 5.65 |
Regression
| Alpha | 0 |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.61 |
| Treynor Index | 0.03 |
Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
| MAE:Equity, average, all trades | 0.01 |
|---|---|
| MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | 0.07 |
| MAE:Equity, average, losing trades | 0.02 |
| MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | — |
| MAE:Equity, average, winning trades | 0.01 |
| MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | — |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades | 5.55 |
| MAE:PL (avg, all trades) | 1.42 |
| MAE:PL (avg, losing trades) | — |
| MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats | 13.51 |
| MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats | 36.69 |
| MAE:PL (avg, winning trades) | — |
| MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy | — |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades | 1.43 |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades | -1.47 |
| Hold-and-Hope Ratio | 0.27 |
RATIO STATISTICS
| Mean | 0.20 |
|---|---|
| SD | 0.40 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0.49 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0.48 |
| df | 33 |
| t | 0.83 |
| p | 0.21 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.68 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 1.66 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -0.69 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 1.65 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.73 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 1.73 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.47 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.27 |
| Upside SD | 0.29 |
| Downside SD | 0.27 |
| N nonnegative terms | 25 |
| N negative terms | 9 |
| N of observations | 34 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.36 |
| Mean of criterion | 0.20 |
| SD of predictor | 0.33 |
| SD of criterion | 0.40 |
| Covariance | 0.09 |
| r | 0.68 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.82 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.10 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.09 |
| DF error | 32 |
| t(b) | 5.28 |
| p(b) | 0 |
| t(a) | -0.53 |
| p(a) | 0.70 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.51 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 1.14 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.47 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.28 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 0.24 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.10 |
| Mean | 0.11 |
| SD | 0.43 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0.26 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0.26 |
| df | 33 |
| t | 0.44 |
| p | 0.33 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.91 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 1.43 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -0.91 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 1.42 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.33 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 1.28 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.43 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.32 |
| Upside SD | 0.26 |
| Downside SD | 0.34 |
| N nonnegative terms | 25 |
| N negative terms | 9 |
| N of observations | 34 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.30 |
| Mean of criterion | 0.11 |
| SD of predictor | 0.34 |
| SD of criterion | 0.43 |
| Covariance | 0.11 |
| r | 0.74 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.93 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.17 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.09 |
| DF error | 32 |
| t(b) | 6.18 |
| p(b) | 0 |
| t(a) | -0.92 |
| p(a) | 0.82 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.63 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 1.24 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.53 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.20 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 0.12 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.17 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.18 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.22 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.03 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.08 |
| Mean | 0.22 |
| SD | 0.40 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0.54 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0.54 |
| df | 750 |
| t | 0.92 |
| p | 0.18 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.62 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 1.70 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -0.62 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 1.70 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.77 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 6.51 |
| Upside part of mean | 1.84 |
| Downside part of mean | -1.62 |
| Upside SD | 0.29 |
| Downside SD | 0.28 |
| N nonnegative terms | 412 |
| N negative terms | 339 |
| N of observations | 751 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.40 |
| Mean of criterion | 0.22 |
| SD of predictor | 0.33 |
| SD of criterion | 0.40 |
| Covariance | 0.07 |
| r | 0.55 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.67 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.05 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.11 |
| DF error | 749 |
| t(b) | 17.98 |
| p(b) | 0 |
| t(a) | -0.27 |
| p(a) | 0.61 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.60 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.75 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.45 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.34 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 0.32 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.05 |
| Mean | 0.14 |
| SD | 0.41 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0.34 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0.34 |
| df | 750 |
| t | 0.57 |
| p | 0.28 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.82 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 1.49 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -0.82 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 1.49 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.46 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 6.06 |
| Upside part of mean | 1.80 |
| Downside part of mean | -1.66 |
| Upside SD | 0.28 |
| Downside SD | 0.30 |
| N nonnegative terms | 412 |
| N negative terms | 339 |
| N of observations | 751 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.35 |
| Mean of criterion | 0.14 |
| SD of predictor | 0.33 |
| SD of criterion | 0.41 |
| Covariance | 0.07 |
| r | 0.56 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.68 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.10 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.11 |
| DF error | 749 |
| t(b) | 18.34 |
| p(b) | 0 |
| t(a) | -0.52 |
| p(a) | 0.70 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.61 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.76 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.49 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.29 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 0.20 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.10 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.04 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.05 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.01 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.03 |
| Mean | -0.03 |
| SD | 0.64 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -0.04 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -0.04 |
| df | 130 |
| t | -0.03 |
| p | 0.50 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -2.82 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 2.73 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -2.82 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 2.73 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.06 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 7.33 |
| Upside part of mean | 3.67 |
| Downside part of mean | -3.70 |
| Upside SD | 0.40 |
| Downside SD | 0.50 |
| N nonnegative terms | 67 |
| N negative terms | 64 |
| N of observations | 131 |
| Mean of predictor | 1.25 |
| Mean of criterion | -0.03 |
| SD of predictor | 0.52 |
| SD of criterion | 0.64 |
| Covariance | 0.21 |
| r | 0.64 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.80 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -1.03 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.24 |
| DF error | 129 |
| t(b) | 9.57 |
| p(b) | 0.12 |
| t(a) | -1.46 |
| p(a) | 0.58 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.63 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.97 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -2.42 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.36 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -0.04 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -1.03 |
| Mean | -0.24 |
| SD | 0.66 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -0.36 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -0.36 |
| df | 130 |
| t | -0.26 |
| p | 0.51 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -3.14 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 2.41 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -3.13 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 2.41 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.45 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 6.73 |
| Upside part of mean | 3.59 |
| Downside part of mean | -3.83 |
| Upside SD | 0.39 |
| Downside SD | 0.53 |
| N nonnegative terms | 67 |
| N negative terms | 64 |
| N of observations | 131 |
| Mean of predictor | 1.11 |
| Mean of criterion | -0.24 |
| SD of predictor | 0.52 |
| SD of criterion | 0.66 |
| Covariance | 0.23 |
| r | 0.66 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.84 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -1.17 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.25 |
| DF error | 129 |
| t(b) | 9.94 |
| p(b) | 0.11 |
| t(a) | -1.65 |
| p(a) | 0.59 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.67 |
| VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl) | 0.04 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 1.00 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -2.58 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.24 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -0.29 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -1.17 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.07 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.08 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.03 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.06 |
ORDER STATISTICS
| Number of observations | 34 |
|---|---|
| Minimum | 0.60 |
| Quartile 1 | 1.00 |
| Median | 1.01 |
| Quartile 3 | 1.03 |
| Maximum | 1.34 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.92 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1.01 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.02 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.13 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.03 |
| Number outliers low | 3 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.09 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0.77 |
| Number of outliers high | 4 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.12 |
| Mean of outliers high | 1.22 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 1.75 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.08 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Number of observations | 751 |
| Minimum | 0.79 |
| Quartile 1 | 1.00 |
| Median | 1.00 |
| Quartile 3 | 1.01 |
| Maximum | 1.17 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.98 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1.00 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.00 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.03 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.01 |
| Number outliers low | 78 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.10 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0.96 |
| Number of outliers high | 78 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.10 |
| Mean of outliers high | 1.04 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0.62 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.02 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.06 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0.39 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.02 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.04 |
| Number of observations | 131 |
| Minimum | 0.79 |
| Quartile 1 | 0.98 |
| Median | 1.00 |
| Quartile 3 | 1.03 |
| Maximum | 1.12 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.95 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.99 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.01 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.04 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.05 |
| Number outliers low | 2 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.02 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0.83 |
| Number of outliers high | 1 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.01 |
| Mean of outliers high | 1.12 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0.45 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.05 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.10 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0.45 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.05 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.09 |
DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
| Number of observations | 6 |
|---|---|
| Minimum | 0.01 |
| Quartile 1 | 0.01 |
| Median | 0.02 |
| Quartile 3 | 0.13 |
| Maximum | 0.40 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.01 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.02 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0.02 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.28 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.12 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 1 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.17 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0.40 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Number of observations | 66 |
| Minimum | 0.00 |
| Quartile 1 | 0.00 |
| Median | 0.00 |
| Quartile 3 | 0.02 |
| Maximum | 0.43 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.00 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.00 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0.01 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.08 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.02 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 7 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.11 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0.17 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0.88 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.08 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.73 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 1.40 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.05 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Number of observations | 1 |
| Minimum | 0.36 |
| Quartile 1 | 0.36 |
| Median | 0.36 |
| Quartile 3 | 0.36 |
| Maximum | 0.36 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life? | -403446944 |
| Max Equity Drawdown (num days) | 41 |
| Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative | 0.2% |
COMBINED STATISTICS
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0.17 |
|---|---|
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0.15 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 0.37 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 0.53 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 0.69 |
| j156mfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| j157mfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0.21 |
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0.18 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 0.42 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 2.12 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 3.58 |
| j313dfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| j314dfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | -0.20 |
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | -0.19 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | -0.53 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 0 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | -2.35 |
Trading record
Placed 161 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.
| Symbol | Side | Qty | Opened | Closed | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BP2020W38 | short | 5 | Mar 10, 2020 | Nov 21, 2020 | $7,172 |
| BWA2020W30 | short | 10 | Mar 10, 2020 | Nov 21, 2020 | $6,233 |
| WFC2016V47.5 | short | 5 | Mar 10, 2020 | Oct 17, 2020 | $8,072 |
| SPR2016V47.5 | short | 10 | Mar 10, 2020 | Oct 17, 2020 | $9,993 |
| WBA2016V45 | short | 5 | Mar 10, 2020 | Oct 17, 2020 | $2,247 |
| HOG2021T32.5 | short | 5 | Mar 10, 2020 | Aug 22, 2020 | $5,199 |
| CHD2020C70 | short | 7 | Feb 14, 2020 | Mar 21, 2020 | $4,510 |
| WFC2020O47.5 | short | 5 | Feb 11, 2020 | Mar 10, 2020 | ($7,121) |
| WBA2020O50 | short | 5 | Feb 20, 2020 | Mar 10, 2020 | ($1,966) |
| SPR2020O60 | short | 5 | Feb 20, 2020 | Mar 10, 2020 | ($9,132) |
| HOG2020O32.5 | short | 5 | Feb 4, 2020 | Mar 10, 2020 | ($4,642) |
| BWA2020O32.5 | short | 10 | Feb 19, 2020 | Mar 10, 2020 | ($5,620) |
| BP2013O38 | short | 5 | Feb 19, 2020 | Mar 10, 2020 | ($6,037) |
| DLTR2021N85 | short | 3 | Jan 14, 2020 | Feb 22, 2020 | $274 |
| O2021N70 | short | 5 | Jan 10, 2020 | Feb 22, 2020 | $327 |
| MPLX2021N23 | short | 5 | Feb 6, 2020 | Feb 22, 2020 | $147 |
| WBA2020O47.5 | short | 5 | Jan 30, 2020 | Feb 20, 2020 | $192 |
| SPR2021N67.5 | short | 5 | Jan 14, 2020 | Feb 20, 2020 | $603 |
| BP2021N38 | short | 5 | Jan 21, 2020 | Feb 19, 2020 | ($552) |
| CHD2021B70 | short | 7 | Jan 8, 2020 | Feb 14, 2020 | ($2,607) |
| KO2021N55 | short | 5 | Jan 2, 2020 | Feb 5, 2020 | $523 |
| QSR2017M62.5 | short | 5 | Dec 20, 2019 | Jan 18, 2020 | $157 |
| NTGR2017M24 | short | 3 | Dec 9, 2019 | Jan 18, 2020 | $238 |
| BEN2017M25 | short | 5 | Dec 11, 2019 | Jan 18, 2020 | $287 |
| TAP2017M50 | short | 3 | Dec 9, 2019 | Jan 18, 2020 | $238 |
| ORCL2017M52.5 | short | 5 | Dec 20, 2019 | Jan 18, 2020 | $252 |
| T2017M38 | short | 5 | Dec 17, 2019 | Jan 18, 2020 | $317 |
| CHD2017A70 | short | 5 | Dec 20, 2019 | Jan 17, 2020 | ($282) |
| SPR2017M70 | short | 5 | Jan 9, 2020 | Jan 14, 2020 | ($932) |
| O2017M70 | short | 5 | Dec 20, 2019 | Jan 10, 2020 | $208 |
Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.
These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.