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Platinum 4X

Forex · Started Mar 2018

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
0.0%
Max Drawdown
100.0%
Trades
96
Win Trades
99.0%
Profit Factor
0.50
Win Months
12.7%

About this strategy

Platinum 4x is a live trading account of an experienced Forex trading team, led by Enzo Stipoli. The team uses fundamental, proprietary technical analysis, and unique capital management techniques to form the strategy. The trading system is implemented in a semi-automated manner by the team so that we have a final decision for each trade opened. The system is constantly monitored, adjusted and optimized. Trading size might vary according to market conditions.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
201812.3-6.114.78.21.012.3-7.812.3-3.927.087.5
20198.1-0.24.8-16.1-14.033.911.4-33.8-22.079.8-4.431.842.4
2020-13.8-31.2-151.50.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-130.5
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began3/1/2018
Suggested Minimum Capital$10,000
Age103 months
What it tradesForex
# Trades96
# Profitable95
% Profitable99.0%
Avg trade duration6.9 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown100.0%
drawdown periodMarch 18, 2020 - March 18, 2020
Annual Return (Compounded)0.0%
Avg win$208
Avg loss$36,436

Ratios

W:L ratio0.54
Sharpe Ratio-0.50
Sortino Ratio-0.54
Calmar Ratio-0.96

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.06
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life183.5%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-369.5%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)0.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)0.0%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.8%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex1.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss82.0%
Chance of 20% account loss59.5%
Chance of 30% account loss48.0%
Chance of 40% account loss26.0%
Chance of 50% account loss14.5%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)3.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.5%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$36,436
Avg Win$208
# Winners95
Sum Trade PL (losers)$36,436
Sum Trade PL (winners)$19,741
Num Months Winners13
# Losers1
% Winners99.0%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table25

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)9942.98
Avg Position Time (hrs)165.72
Avg Trade Length6.90
Last Trade Ago2355

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)11.40
Daily leverage (max)32.88

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0.19
Treynor Index0

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.04
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.04
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-4.87
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)2.18
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats54.01
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats35.38
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades2.73
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-0.76
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.20

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-0.18
SD0.84
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.21
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.21
df34
t-0.36
p0.64
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.94
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.35
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.94
Sortino ratio-0.25
Upside Potential Ratio0.96
Upside part of mean0.68
Downside part of mean-0.86
Upside SD0.42
Downside SD0.71
N nonnegative terms14
N negative terms21
N of observations35
Mean of predictor0.40
Mean of criterion-0.18
SD of predictor0.37
SD of criterion0.84
Covariance-0.05
r-0.15
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.35
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.04
Mean Square Error0.70
DF error33
t(b)-0.90
p(b)0.81
t(a)-0.07
p(a)0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.01
Treynor index (mean / b)0.50
Jensen alpha (a)-0.04
Mean-3.19
SD5.43
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.59
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.57
df34
t-1.00
p0.84
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.74
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.57
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.73
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.58
Sortino ratio-0.59
Upside Potential Ratio0.11
Upside part of mean0.61
Downside part of mean-3.80
Upside SD0.36
Downside SD5.42
N nonnegative terms14
N negative terms21
N of observations35
Mean of predictor0.33
Mean of criterion-3.19
SD of predictor0.37
SD of criterion5.43
Covariance-0.68
r-0.34
b (slope, estimate of beta)-5.06
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-1.53
Mean Square Error26.87
DF error33
t(b)-2.08
p(b)0.98
t(a)-0.49
p(a)0.68
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-10.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.12
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-7.91
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha4.86
Treynor index (mean / b)0.63
Jensen alpha (a)-1.53
VaR(95%)0.94
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.97
VaR(95%)0.18
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.39
Mean-0.34
SD0.82
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.42
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.42
df765
t-0.72
p0.76
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.56
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.73
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.56
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.73
Sortino ratio-0.47
Upside Potential Ratio3.28
Upside part of mean2.39
Downside part of mean-2.73
Upside SD0.38
Downside SD0.73
N nonnegative terms272
N negative terms494
N of observations766
Mean of predictor0.37
Mean of criterion-0.34
SD of predictor0.32
SD of criterion0.82
Covariance0.03
r0.10
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.26
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.44
Mean Square Error0.67
DF error764
t(b)2.82
p(b)0.00
t(a)-0.92
p(a)0.82
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.50
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.30
Jensen alpha (a)-0.44
Mean-3.18
SD5.17
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.61
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.61
df765
t-1.05
p0.85
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.76
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.53
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.76
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.53
Sortino ratio-0.62
Upside Potential Ratio0.45
Upside part of mean2.32
Downside part of mean-5.50
Upside SD0.36
Downside SD5.16
N nonnegative terms272
N negative terms494
N of observations766
Mean of predictor0.32
Mean of criterion-3.18
SD of predictor0.32
SD of criterion5.17
Covariance0.17
r0.11
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.74
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-3.74
Mean Square Error26.45
DF error764
t(b)2.97
p(b)0.00
t(a)-1.24
p(a)0.89
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.59
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.90
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-9.66
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.17
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.82
Jensen alpha (a)-3.74
VaR(95%)0.42
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.49
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.14
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.48
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.02
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.48
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6807803410776064
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.42
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.71084361259283e+32
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations35
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.96
Median1
Quartile 31.08
Maximum1.54
Mean of quarter 10.73
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.03
Mean of quarter 41.20
Inter Quartile Range0.11
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.09
Mean of outliers low0.40
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.40
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.77
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.24
Expected Shortfall (moments method)1.15
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.85
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.32
Expected Shortfall (regression method)2.45
Number of observations766
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.99
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.17
Mean of quarter 10.96
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low93
Percentage of outliers low0.12
Mean of outliers low0.93
Number of outliers high83
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high1.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.52
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.07
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.25
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.06
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations6
Minimum0.02
Quartile 10.06
Median0.14
Quartile 30.26
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10.04
Mean of quarter 20.08
Mean of quarter 30.19
Mean of quarter 40.64
Inter Quartile Range0.20
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high1.00
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations34
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.09
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.04
Mean of quarter 40.30
Inter Quartile Range0.08
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high0.53
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.57
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.32
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.83
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.81
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.43
Expected Shortfall (regression method)2.42
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-404036736
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)64
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.8%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.34
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.96
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.96
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-1.50
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.99
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.34
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.96
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.96
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-3.14
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-1.97
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 61 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
NZD/USD long390Jan 13, 2020Mar 18, 2020($36,436)
NZD/JPY long50Jan 31, 2020Feb 2, 2020$7
USD/CAD long50Jan 15, 2020Jan 16, 2020$13
NZD/USD long250Jan 9, 2020Jan 12, 2020$775
NZD/USD long310Jan 7, 2020Jan 8, 2020$276
USD/CAD short200Jan 2, 2020Jan 6, 2020$237
NZD/USD short100Dec 30, 2019Jan 2, 2020$345
NZD/USD long300Dec 10, 2019Dec 11, 2019$612
EUR/USD long150Dec 8, 2019Dec 9, 2019$206
EUR/USD long200Dec 3, 2019Dec 4, 2019$459
NZD/USD long570Aug 4, 2019Dec 3, 2019$2,373
NZD/JPY short50Jul 21, 2019Aug 1, 2019$9
NZD/USD long410Mar 26, 2019Jul 17, 2019$478
USD/CAD short80Mar 25, 2019Mar 25, 2019$62
USD/CAD short50Mar 24, 2019Mar 25, 2019$130
NZD/USD long140Mar 21, 2019Mar 25, 2019$80
NZD/USD long150Mar 20, 2019Mar 20, 2019$100
EUR/USD long160Feb 3, 2019Mar 20, 2019$225
USD/CAD short50Mar 19, 2019Mar 20, 2019$229
USD/CAD short50Mar 14, 2019Mar 19, 2019$149
USD/CAD short70Mar 3, 2019Mar 13, 2019$119
NZD/JPY short40Feb 25, 2019Feb 25, 2019$0
USD/JPY short40Feb 20, 2019Feb 21, 2019$0
USD/CAD short40Feb 14, 2019Feb 15, 2019$55
NZD/JPY short50Feb 12, 2019Feb 13, 2019$1
USD/CAD short30Feb 10, 2019Feb 12, 2019$48
USD/CAD short110Jan 30, 2019Feb 1, 2019$200
USD/JPY short40Jan 29, 2019Jan 30, 2019$0
EUR/USD long130Jan 14, 2019Jan 30, 2019$217
USD/CAD short50Jan 23, 2019Jan 24, 2019$43

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.