Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

Premium Scalping

Options · Started Mar 2018

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
18.2%
Max Drawdown
54.0%
Trades
167
Win Trades
89.8%
Profit Factor
2.20
Win Months
20.6%

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
201812.417.221.010.26.111.314.10.53.13.9155.0
20193.65.010.02.39.87.7-18.211.8-15.014.812.8-17.420.3
202011.324.2-2.30.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.035.1
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began3/1/2018
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age103 months
What it tradesOptions
# Trades167
# Profitable150
% Profitable89.8%
Avg trade duration5.1 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown54.0%
drawdown periodMarch 18, 2020 - March 18, 2020
Annual Return (Compounded)18.2%
Avg win$2,552
Avg loss$10,205

Ratios

W:L ratio2.21
Sharpe Ratio0.59
Sortino Ratio0.87
Calmar Ratio2.65

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.02
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life183.5%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)126.6%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)18.2%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.2%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)21.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity2.9%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.8%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options1.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss29.0%
Chance of 20% account loss17.0%
Chance of 30% account loss4.5%
Chance of 40% account loss1.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$10,205
Avg Win$2,552
# Winners150
Sum Trade PL (losers)$173,483
Sum Trade PL (winners)$382,788
Num Months Winners21
# Losers17
% Winners89.8%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table102

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)7317.30
Avg Position Time (hrs)121.96
Avg Trade Length5.10
Last Trade Ago2353

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)10.68
Daily leverage (max)92.32

Regression

Alpha0.05
Beta0.03
Treynor Index1.51

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.05
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.02
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.14
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.03
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades6.53
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)1.15
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats22.78
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats19.22
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.92
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-2.40
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.15

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.54
SD0.32
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.67
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.63
df38
t3.00
p0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.51
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.81
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.49
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.78
Sortino ratio3.59
Upside Potential Ratio4.63
Upside part of mean0.70
Downside part of mean-0.16
Upside SD0.32
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms21
N negative terms18
N of observations39
Mean of predictor0.31
Mean of criterion0.54
SD of predictor0.25
SD of criterion0.32
Covariance-0.02
r-0.26
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.33
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.64
Mean Square Error0.10
DF error37
t(b)-1.61
p(b)0.94
t(a)3.43
p(a)0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.74
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.09
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.26
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.02
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.65
Jensen alpha (a)0.64
Mean0.48
SD0.31
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.53
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.50
df38
t2.75
p0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.66
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.36
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.63
Sortino ratio2.92
Upside Potential Ratio3.94
Upside part of mean0.65
Downside part of mean-0.17
Upside SD0.30
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms21
N negative terms18
N of observations39
Mean of predictor0.28
Mean of criterion0.48
SD of predictor0.25
SD of criterion0.31
Covariance-0.02
r-0.25
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.32
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.57
Mean Square Error0.09
DF error37
t(b)-1.57
p(b)0.94
t(a)3.15
p(a)0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.73
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.09
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.93
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.51
Jensen alpha (a)0.57
VaR(95%)0.10
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.14
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
Mean0.54
SD0.35
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.55
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.55
df855
t2.81
p0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.47
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.64
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.47
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.64
Sortino ratio2.31
Upside Potential Ratio5.00
Upside part of mean1.16
Downside part of mean-0.62
Upside SD0.26
Downside SD0.23
N nonnegative terms233
N negative terms623
N of observations856
Mean of predictor0.33
Mean of criterion0.54
SD of predictor0.30
SD of criterion0.35
Covariance0.00
r0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.53
Mean Square Error0.12
DF error854
t(b)0.51
p(b)0.30
t(a)2.77
p(a)0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.91
Treynor index (mean / b)26.27
Jensen alpha (a)0.53
Mean0.48
SD0.35
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.36
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.36
df855
t2.46
p0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.28
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.45
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.28
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.45
Sortino ratio1.90
Upside Potential Ratio4.51
Upside part of mean1.13
Downside part of mean-0.65
Upside SD0.24
Downside SD0.25
N nonnegative terms233
N negative terms623
N of observations856
Mean of predictor0.29
Mean of criterion0.48
SD of predictor0.30
SD of criterion0.35
Covariance0.00
r0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.47
Mean Square Error0.12
DF error854
t(b)0.71
p(b)0.24
t(a)2.42
p(a)0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.11
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.85
Treynor index (mean / b)16.68
Jensen alpha (a)0.47
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.03
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.51
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.90
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.51
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6826439810744320
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.34679732949928e+32
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations39
Minimum0.80
Quartile 11
Median1.02
Quartile 31.11
Maximum1.23
Mean of quarter 10.95
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.06
Mean of quarter 41.17
Inter Quartile Range0.11
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.03
Mean of outliers low0.80
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.52
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.08
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.12
Number of observations856
Minimum0.80
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.19
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low83
Percentage of outliers low0.10
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high186
Percentage of outliers high0.22
Mean of outliers high1.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.20
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.63
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.03
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations4
Minimum0.02
Quartile 10.10
Median0.13
Quartile 30.15
Maximum0.20
Mean of quarter 10.02
Mean of quarter 20.12
Mean of quarter 30.13
Mean of quarter 40.20
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.25
Mean of outliers low0.02
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations52
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.25
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.11
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high7
Percentage of outliers high0.13
Mean of outliers high0.17
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.28
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.09
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.16
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.14
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.11
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.16
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-374244448
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)60
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.29
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.66
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)3.35
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.35
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal4.85
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.28
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.66
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.64
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs6.01
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal15.70
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 281 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
UVXY2020O50 short630Mar 19, 2020Mar 21, 2020$5,859
UVXY2020C185 short280Mar 17, 2020Mar 21, 2020($10,644)
VIXW2026B32.5 short490Feb 24, 2020Feb 27, 2020$9,457
VIXW2026B30 short1400Feb 24, 2020Feb 27, 2020$6,020
UVXY2014B13.5 short1960Feb 13, 2020Feb 15, 2020$4,508
VIXW2012B15 short280Feb 11, 2020Feb 13, 2020$6,804
VIXW2012B19 short980Feb 10, 2020Feb 13, 2020$9,114
UVXY2007B12 short210Feb 7, 2020Feb 8, 2020($1,805)
UVXY2007B12.5 short1190Feb 7, 2020Feb 8, 2020$5,117
UVXY2007N11.5 long490Feb 7, 2020Feb 7, 2020($4,116)
VIXW2005B18 short1190Feb 4, 2020Feb 6, 2020$5,117
UVXY2031A16 short1260Jan 30, 2020Feb 1, 2020$5,418
VIX2022A13.5 short1260Jan 21, 2020Jan 22, 2020$4,985
VIXW2015A16 short1120Jan 13, 2020Jan 16, 2020$4,816
UVXY short92500Dec 28, 2019Jan 9, 2020($49,463)
UVXY1927L13 short1050Dec 26, 2019Dec 28, 2019$7,025
VIXW1911L18 short1820Dec 10, 2019Dec 12, 2019$7,826
VIXW1904L21 short1400Dec 3, 2019Dec 5, 2019$6,020
VIX1920K14 short1540Nov 19, 2019Nov 20, 2019$6,622
VIXW1913K14 short280Nov 12, 2019Nov 14, 2019$924
UVXY1908K19.5 short140Nov 7, 2019Nov 9, 2019($593)
UVXY1908K20 short910Nov 7, 2019Nov 9, 2019$4,823
VIXW1906K14 short1400Nov 5, 2019Nov 7, 2019$6,020
UVXY1901K19.5 short630Nov 1, 2019Nov 2, 2019$3,339
VIXW1930J16 short1330Oct 28, 2019Oct 31, 2019$5,719
VIXW1930J14.5 short350Oct 29, 2019Oct 31, 2019$3,255
VIXW1923J16 short1120Oct 22, 2019Oct 24, 2019$4,816
VIX1916J15 short1050Oct 15, 2019Oct 16, 2019$4,515
UVXY1911J28 short700Oct 11, 2019Oct 12, 2019$3,010
VIXW1925I19 short70Sep 24, 2019Sep 26, 2019$274

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.