Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

Boux Crude Oil Rig

Futures · Started Jul 2017

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
127.2%
Max Drawdown
23.9%
Trades
82
Win Trades
61.0%
Profit Factor
1.70
Win Months
4.5%

About this strategy

Boux Crude Oil Rig strategy actively trades the CL Crude Oil futures. The strategy can trade at any time during the day or night session. Currently and until further notice 1 CL contract is traded. You can scale higher if you wish to within the Collective2 control panel.

For new subscribers a minimum capital of 12K is suggested.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
201716.45.94.7-6.2-3.518.438.1
20189.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.09.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began7/16/2017
Suggested Minimum Capital$10,000
Age111 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades82
# Profitable50
% Profitable61.0%
Avg trade duration11.5 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown23.9%
drawdown periodNov 24, 2017 - Dec 05, 2017
Cumul. Return52.8%
Avg win$343
Avg loss$322

Ratios

W:L ratio1.67
Sharpe Ratio0.29
Sortino Ratio0.46
Calmar Ratio2.21

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.00
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life211.9%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)38.9%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)127.2%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.5%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)5.9%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity3.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss23.5%
Chance of 20% account loss5.5%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated98.2%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)703
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)897
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)762

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$322
Avg Win$343
# Winners50
Sum Trade PL (losers)$10,305
Sum Trade PL (winners)$17,166
Num Months Winners5
# Losers32
% Winners61.0%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table111

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)692.50
Avg Position Time (hrs)11.54
Avg Trade Length0.50
Last Trade Ago3159

Regression

Alpha0.01
Beta0
Treynor Index-4.83

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.06
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.04
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.02
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades3.28
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.80
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats57.90
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats15.22
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.51
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.27
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.30

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean1.17
SD0.37
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)3.19
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.68
df5
t2.25
p0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.28
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio6.46
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.55
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.91
Sortino ratio109.89
Upside Potential Ratio111.31
Upside part of mean1.19
Downside part of mean-0.02
Upside SD0.48
Downside SD0.01
N nonnegative terms5
N negative terms1
N of observations6
Mean of predictor0.24
Mean of criterion1.17
SD of predictor0.07
SD of criterion0.37
Covariance-0.01
r-0.27
b (slope, estimate of beta)-1.48
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)1.52
Mean Square Error0.16
DF error4
t(b)-0.57
p(b)0.70
t(a)1.82
p(a)0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-8.71
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta5.76
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.80
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha3.84
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.79
Jensen alpha (a)1.52
Mean1.07
SD0.32
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)3.31
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.78
df5
t2.34
p0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.21
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio6.62
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.48
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation6.04
Sortino ratio100.29
Upside Potential Ratio101.71
Upside part of mean1.09
Downside part of mean-0.02
Upside SD0.43
Downside SD0.01
N nonnegative terms5
N negative terms1
N of observations6
Mean of predictor0.23
Mean of criterion1.07
SD of predictor0.07
SD of criterion0.32
Covariance-0.01
r-0.27
b (slope, estimate of beta)-1.32
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)1.38
Mean Square Error0.12
DF error4
t(b)-0.56
p(b)0.70
t(a)1.87
p(a)0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-7.86
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta5.22
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.67
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha3.43
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.81
Jensen alpha (a)1.38
VaR(95%)0.06
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.10
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
Mean1.14
SD0.36
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)3.18
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)3.16
df130
t2.25
p0.40
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.37
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.97
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.36
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.96
Sortino ratio5.24
Upside Potential Ratio10.81
Upside part of mean2.35
Downside part of mean-1.21
Upside SD0.29
Downside SD0.22
N nonnegative terms75
N negative terms56
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.24
Mean of criterion1.14
SD of predictor0.07
SD of criterion0.36
Covariance-0.00
r-0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.28
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.34
Mean Square Error0.13
DF error129
t(b)-0.57
p(b)0.53
t(a)2.31
p(a)0.37
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.68
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.23
Treynor index (mean / b)-4.12
Jensen alpha (a)1.20
Mean1.07
SD0.35
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)3.02
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)3.00
df130
t2.13
p0.41
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.22
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.81
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.21
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.80
Sortino ratio4.82
Upside Potential Ratio10.37
Upside part of mean2.30
Downside part of mean-1.23
Upside SD0.28
Downside SD0.22
N nonnegative terms75
N negative terms56
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.23
Mean of criterion1.07
SD of predictor0.07
SD of criterion0.35
Covariance-0.00
r-0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.28
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)1.14
Mean Square Error0.13
DF error129
t(b)-0.59
p(b)0.53
t(a)2.21
p(a)0.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.66
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.16
Treynor index (mean / b)-3.80
Jensen alpha (a)1.14
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean1.14
SD0.36
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)3.18
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)3.16
df130
t2.25
p0.40
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.37
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.97
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.36
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.96
Sortino ratio5.24
Upside Potential Ratio10.81
Upside part of mean2.35
Downside part of mean-1.21
Upside SD0.29
Downside SD0.22
N nonnegative terms75
N negative terms56
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.24
Mean of criterion1.14
SD of predictor0.07
SD of criterion0.36
Covariance-0.00
r-0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.28
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)1.20
Mean Square Error0.13
DF error129
t(b)-0.57
p(b)0.53
t(a)2.31
p(a)0.37
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.68
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.23
Treynor index (mean / b)-4.12
Jensen alpha (a)1.20
Mean1.07
SD0.35
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)3.02
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)3.00
df130
t2.13
p0.41
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.22
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.81
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.21
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.80
Sortino ratio4.82
Upside Potential Ratio10.37
Upside part of mean2.30
Downside part of mean-1.23
Upside SD0.28
Downside SD0.22
N nonnegative terms75
N negative terms56
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.23
Mean of criterion1.07
SD of predictor0.07
SD of criterion0.35
Covariance-0.00
r-0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.28
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)1.14
Mean Square Error0.13
DF error129
t(b)-0.59
p(b)0.53
t(a)2.21
p(a)0.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.23
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.66
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.16
Treynor index (mean / b)-3.80
Jensen alpha (a)1.14
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations6
Minimum0.99
Quartile 11.03
Median1.07
Quartile 31.14
Maximum1.28
Mean of quarter 11.01
Mean of quarter 21.07
Mean of quarter 31.07
Mean of quarter 41.22
Inter Quartile Range0.11
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations131
Minimum0.93
Quartile 11
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.10
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low12
Percentage of outliers low0.09
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high9
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-2.61
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.13
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.03
Number of observations131
Minimum0.93
Quartile 11
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.10
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low12
Percentage of outliers low0.09
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high9
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-2.61
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.13
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.03

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.01
Median0.01
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.01
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations9
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.04
Maximum0.19
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.17
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.22
Mean of outliers high0.17
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-129.55
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-2.91
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.30
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.30
Number of observations9
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.04
Maximum0.19
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.17
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.22
Mean of outliers high0.17
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-129.55
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-2.91
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.30
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.30
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)11
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.46
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)2.00
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)383.91
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal20.44
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.46
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)2.00
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)10.74
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs11.72
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal49.69
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.46
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)2.00
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)10.74
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs11.72
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal49.69

Trading record

Placed 135 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
QCL G8long1Jan 9, 2018Jan 10, 2018$642
QCL G8short1Jan 4, 2018Jan 5, 2018$412
QCL G8long1Jan 3, 2018Jan 3, 2018$352
QCL G8short1Dec 18, 2017Dec 18, 2017$612
QCL G8long1Dec 15, 2017Dec 18, 2017$282
QCL F8long1Dec 15, 2017Dec 15, 2017$132
QCL F8short1Dec 14, 2017Dec 15, 2017($558)
QCL F8short1Dec 12, 2017Dec 13, 2017$692
QCL F8short1Dec 12, 2017Dec 12, 2017$942
QCL F8long1Dec 8, 2017Dec 11, 2017$872
QCL F8short1Dec 7, 2017Dec 8, 2017($588)
QCL F8short1Dec 5, 2017Dec 6, 2017$730
QCL F8short1Nov 30, 2017Dec 1, 2017($978)
QCL F8long1Nov 30, 2017Nov 30, 2017($108)
QCL F8short1Nov 29, 2017Nov 30, 2017($582)
QCL F8long1Nov 29, 2017Nov 29, 2017($397)
QCL F8short1Nov 27, 2017Nov 29, 2017$395
QCL F8long1Nov 24, 2017Nov 27, 2017($820)
QCL F8long1Nov 20, 2017Nov 21, 2017$206
QCL Z7long1Nov 15, 2017Nov 15, 2017$310
QCL Z7short1Nov 14, 2017Nov 14, 2017$782
QCL Z7long1Nov 8, 2017Nov 9, 2017$359
QCL Z7short1Nov 7, 2017Nov 7, 2017$332
QCL Z7long1Nov 2, 2017Nov 3, 2017$1,002
QCL Z7short1Nov 1, 2017Nov 2, 2017($348)
QCL Z7long1Nov 1, 2017Nov 1, 2017($664)
QCL Z7short1Oct 31, 2017Nov 1, 2017($751)
QCL Z7long1Oct 25, 2017Oct 26, 2017($18)
QCL Z7long1Oct 23, 2017Oct 24, 2017$649
QCL Z7short1Oct 20, 2017Oct 20, 2017($799)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.