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ConservProfitEA

Forex · Started Mar 2017

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-88.3%
Max Drawdown
28.0%
Trades
21
Win Trades
71.4%
Profit Factor
0.20
Win Months
0.9%

About this strategy

Trading Forex.... AUDUSD and EURJPY using EA's. The EA's can open 6 trades on the two pairs each (12 open trades total). However, that is not the norm. The odds are very low that both EA's would have 6 open trades at the same time. The EA's usually pick very good entry and exit points. Always be prepared for a possible large pip draw down if there are many trades open (600-800 pips). The EA's may not trade for days at a time. This is typical. New accounts starting with 5K start can start with 100% scaling. 1 minilot will be traded at this time. If you have less than 50:1 leverage on any of the pairs please increase your capital. Thanks for your support.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20170.9-9.2-19.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-26.2
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began3/18/2017
Suggested Minimum Capital$10,000
Age115 months
What it tradesForex
# Trades21
# Profitable15
% Profitable71.4%
Avg trade duration1.7 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown28.0%
drawdown periodMarch 23, 2017 - May 09, 2017
Cumul. Return-27.5%
Avg win$37
Avg loss$499

Ratios

W:L ratio0.19
Sharpe Ratio-1.10
Sortino Ratio-1.13
Calmar Ratio-0.72

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.00
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life222.0%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-28.4%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-88.3%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.3%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)-2.9%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity36.6%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex1.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated99.2%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)832
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)981
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)920

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$499
Avg Win$37
# Winners15
Sum Trade PL (losers)$2,993
Sum Trade PL (winners)$556
Num Months Winners1
# Losers6
% Winners71.4%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table114

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)2411.85
Avg Position Time (hrs)40.20
Avg Trade Length1.70
Last Trade Ago3401

Regression

Alpha-0.01
Beta0
Treynor Index-17.56

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.17
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.06
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-2.03
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.34
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats62.51
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats34.68
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.57
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.12
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.49

RATIO STATISTICS

a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.23
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Max Equity Drawdown (num days)47
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

Trading record

Placed 116 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
AUD/USD long80May 2, 2017May 9, 2017($776)
EUR/JPY long10May 8, 2017May 8, 2017$0
EUR/JPY short10May 7, 2017May 7, 2017$1
EUR/JPY short70May 1, 2017May 7, 2017($10)
AUD/USD long70Apr 24, 2017May 1, 2017$169
AUD/USD long20Apr 18, 2017Apr 20, 2017$5
AUD/USD long20Apr 17, 2017Apr 18, 2017$16
GBP/USD short40Apr 12, 2017Apr 13, 2017$0
AUD/USD long10Apr 11, 2017Apr 12, 2017$18
EUR/JPY long60Apr 10, 2017Apr 11, 2017($5)
AUD/USD long10Apr 10, 2017Apr 11, 2017$17
AUD/USD long40Apr 5, 2017Apr 10, 2017($63)
EUR/JPY long40Apr 5, 2017Apr 5, 2017($1)
EUR/JPY long20Mar 30, 2017Mar 30, 2017$0
AUD/USD long10Mar 29, 2017Mar 30, 2017$19
EUR/JPY long10Mar 27, 2017Mar 27, 2017$0
AUD/USD long30Mar 22, 2017Mar 26, 2017($6)
EUR/JPY short10Mar 23, 2017Mar 23, 2017$0
EUR/JPY long20Mar 22, 2017Mar 22, 2017$0
AUD/USD long10Mar 20, 2017Mar 21, 2017$21
EUR/JPY long30Mar 20, 2017Mar 20, 2017$0

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.