Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

Taking Advantage

Futures · Started Dec 2016

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
22.6%
Max Drawdown
20.8%
Trades
73
Win Trades
86.3%
Profit Factor
1.70
Win Months
3.4%

About this strategy

We believe in professional human trading. Our system will take advantage on future trading at most and our system's specializing is trading on the Euro Bund Future.

We are strongly believe the market is unbeaten. This is exactly the reason why we are looking for some distortions and arbitrage spreads between the Bund futures, the Index futures and the Euro Index. Our goal is to take some small bites of the market each day.
While no system can guarantee risk-free or low-risk trading, we do make an effort to control our risk levels.

*** For small accounts –
The daily maintenance margin for trading at the Eurex-Bund is 1438$ and overnight margin requirement of 2875$.
When subscribe to "Taking advantage" you need to take in mind that this asset trade in Euro. You can limit the maximum contracts that your account will get at the auto trade setting page.
Please take in mind that the margin requirement could change in different brokers and over time.

Good luck to all of us!

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20164.94.9
20178.62.2-1.212.7-10.2-4.40.00.00.00.00.00.06.1
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began12/14/2016
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age118 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades73
# Profitable63
% Profitable86.3%
Avg trade duration1.1 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown20.8%
drawdown periodMay 23, 2017 - June 06, 2017
Cumul. Return11.7%
Avg win$362
Avg loss$1,370

Ratios

W:L ratio1.66
Sharpe Ratio-0.09
Sortino Ratio-0.16
Calmar Ratio0.52

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.00
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life239.8%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)3.5%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)22.6%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)1.7%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity20.8%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)869
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)396

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$1,370
Avg Win$362
# Winners63
Sum Trade PL (losers)$13,703
Sum Trade PL (winners)$22,802
Num Months Winners4
# Losers10
% Winners86.3%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table118

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)1597.75
Avg Position Time (hrs)26.63
Avg Trade Length1.10
Last Trade Ago3371

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0
Treynor Index-1.44

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.26
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.03
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades6.01
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)1.42
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats45.90
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats44.74
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.52
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.36
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.17

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.32
SD0.31
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.03
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.86
df5
t0.72
p0.25
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.86
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.82
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.96
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.68
Sortino ratio2.01
Upside Potential Ratio3.99
Upside part of mean0.63
Downside part of mean-0.31
Upside SD0.25
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms4
N negative terms2
N of observations6
Mean of predictor0.13
Mean of criterion0.32
SD of predictor0.07
SD of criterion0.31
Covariance0.01
r0.71
b (slope, estimate of beta)3.37
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.11
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error4
t(b)2.04
p(b)0.06
t(a)-0.28
p(a)0.60
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta7.97
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.01
Treynor index (mean / b)0.09
Jensen alpha (a)-0.11
Mean0.28
SD0.31
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.90
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.76
df5
t0.64
p0.28
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.97
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.68
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.05
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.57
Sortino ratio1.67
Upside Potential Ratio3.64
Upside part of mean0.60
Downside part of mean-0.33
Upside SD0.24
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms4
N negative terms2
N of observations6
Mean of predictor0.13
Mean of criterion0.28
SD of predictor0.07
SD of criterion0.31
Covariance0.01
r0.72
b (slope, estimate of beta)3.37
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.15
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error4
t(b)2.09
p(b)0.05
t(a)-0.38
p(a)0.64
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta7.84
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.94
Treynor index (mean / b)0.08
Jensen alpha (a)-0.15
VaR(95%)0.12
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.15
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.09
Mean0.30
SD0.28
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.07
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.06
df136
t0.77
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.65
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.78
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.65
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.78
Sortino ratio2.04
Upside Potential Ratio8.56
Upside part of mean1.26
Downside part of mean-0.96
Upside SD0.24
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms70
N negative terms67
N of observations137
Mean of predictor0.13
Mean of criterion0.30
SD of predictor0.07
SD of criterion0.28
Covariance0.00
r0.07
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.28
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.07
Mean Square Error0.08
DF error135
t(b)0.79
p(b)0.46
t(a)0.68
p(a)0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.42
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.99
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.51
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.04
Treynor index (mean / b)1.06
Jensen alpha (a)0.26
Mean0.26
SD0.27
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.96
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.95
df136
t0.69
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.76
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.67
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.76
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.66
Sortino ratio1.76
Upside Potential Ratio8.26
Upside part of mean1.23
Downside part of mean-0.97
Upside SD0.23
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms70
N negative terms67
N of observations137
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.26
SD of predictor0.07
SD of criterion0.27
Covariance0.00
r0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.26
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.23
Mean Square Error0.08
DF error135
t(b)0.74
p(b)0.46
t(a)0.60
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.43
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.95
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.52
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.98
Treynor index (mean / b)1.01
Jensen alpha (a)0.23
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0.29
SD0.29
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.03
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.02
df130
t0.73
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.75
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.80
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.75
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.80
Sortino ratio1.96
Upside Potential Ratio8.60
Upside part of mean1.29
Downside part of mean-1.00
Upside SD0.24
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms69
N negative terms62
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.13
Mean of criterion0.29
SD of predictor0.07
SD of criterion0.29
Covariance0.00
r0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.27
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.26
Mean Square Error0.08
DF error129
t(b)0.73
p(b)0.46
t(a)0.64
p(a)0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.46
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.55
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.07
Treynor index (mean / b)1.09
Jensen alpha (a)0.26
Mean0.26
SD0.28
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.91
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.91
df130
t0.65
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.86
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.69
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.87
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.68
Sortino ratio1.68
Upside Potential Ratio8.30
Upside part of mean1.26
Downside part of mean-1.01
Upside SD0.23
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms69
N negative terms62
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.26
SD of predictor0.07
SD of criterion0.28
Covariance0.00
r0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.25
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.22
Mean Square Error0.08
DF error129
t(b)0.68
p(b)0.46
t(a)0.56
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.47
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.96
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.56
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.01
Treynor index (mean / b)1.04
Jensen alpha (a)0.22
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations6
Minimum0.91
Quartile 10.96
Median1.04
Quartile 31.09
Maximum1.14
Mean of quarter 10.92
Mean of quarter 21.03
Mean of quarter 31.05
Mean of quarter 41.12
Inter Quartile Range0.13
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations137
Minimum0.96
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.13
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low22
Percentage of outliers low0.16
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high17
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.24
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.28
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum0.96
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.13
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low22
Percentage of outliers low0.17
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high16
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.62
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.41
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.06
Quartile 10.07
Median0.08
Quartile 30.08
Maximum0.09
Mean of quarter 10.06
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.09
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations15
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.18
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.10
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.20
Mean of outliers high0.12
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-7.62
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.07
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.55
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.17
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.20
Number of observations15
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.18
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.10
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.20
Mean of outliers high0.12
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-7.62
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.07
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.55
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.17
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.20
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)14
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.33
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.35
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)4.01
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs4.01
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.41
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.31
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.34
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.86
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.44
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal10.10
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.30
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.33
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.81
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.35
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal9.61

Trading record

Placed 103 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
BD M7short6May 23, 2017Jun 12, 2017($10,883)
BD M7short2May 22, 2017May 22, 2017$276
BD M7long2May 18, 2017May 18, 2017($305)
BD M7long6May 3, 2017May 18, 2017$2,157
BD M7short2Apr 27, 2017Apr 28, 2017($59)
BD M7short2Apr 26, 2017Apr 26, 2017$181
BD M7short4Apr 3, 2017Apr 24, 2017$7,419
BD M7short6Mar 29, 2017Mar 30, 2017($1,852)
BD M7long2Mar 29, 2017Mar 29, 2017$113
BD M7short2Mar 29, 2017Mar 29, 2017($102)
BD M7short2Mar 28, 2017Mar 28, 2017$93
BD M7short2Mar 28, 2017Mar 28, 2017$136
BD M7short2Mar 28, 2017Mar 28, 2017($81)
BD M7short2Mar 27, 2017Mar 27, 2017$223
BD M7short2Mar 23, 2017Mar 23, 2017$157
BD M7long2Mar 22, 2017Mar 22, 2017$114
BD M7short2Mar 21, 2017Mar 21, 2017($340)
BD M7short2Mar 20, 2017Mar 21, 2017$415
BD M7short2Mar 17, 2017Mar 20, 2017$200
BD M7short2Mar 14, 2017Mar 15, 2017$154
BD M7long2Mar 9, 2017Mar 9, 2017$111
BD M7long2Mar 8, 2017Mar 8, 2017$89
BD M7short1Mar 8, 2017Mar 8, 2017$76
BD M7short2Mar 7, 2017Mar 7, 2017$100
BD M7short1Mar 7, 2017Mar 7, 2017$87
BD H7short4Feb 28, 2017Feb 28, 2017($11)
BD H7short2Feb 28, 2017Feb 28, 2017$111
BD H7long1Feb 28, 2017Feb 28, 2017$56
BD H7long1Feb 27, 2017Feb 27, 2017($93)
BD H7short1Feb 27, 2017Feb 27, 2017$34

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.