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Quantex QandM

Equity · Stocks · Started Oct 2016

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-1.9%
Max Drawdown
82.1%
Trades
365
Win Trades
42.7%
Profit Factor
1.10
Win Months
48.3%

About this strategy

As of February 6, 2023, we are incorporating some improvements to the Original strategy (Dual Leverage Strategy), especially related to risk management. These mechanisms have been developed and implemented by Quantex Capital, a company dedicated to the development of investment strategies.

Quantex Quality & Momentum is a Dual Momentum (DM) Strategy

*Dual Momentum (DM) is based on Papers and Book from Gary Antonacci.
*Quantex Quality & Momentum (QQ&M) combines asset's momentum, volatilities, and cross-correlations for building diversified investment portfolios.
*In a tactical application QQ&M exploits momentum for crash detection and results in consistent returns at mitigated risk levels.
*In up-trending markets capital is allocated into offensive assets, like stocks, some ETFs, REITs, and commodities, while during market sell-offs especially Cash or intermediate US-treasuries are in vogue or ETFs and Stocks with low correlation.

This strategy opens the possibility of capturing high returns in the short term of the leveraged ETFs. Through the use of ETFs with a low correlation between them, we seek to identify market anomalies with a Low ratio: Risk / Reward.

Through a quantitative methodology called "Adaptive Asset Allocation" (AAA), this strategy allows to adapt each month, both the composition of the portfolio and the size of each position. In this way, it seeks to maximize profitability over the medium term and control portfolio volatility.

The system has been backtested since 2011 and in this testing has produced consistently profitable results.

Backtesting data is hypothetical and it has not been verified by C2.
Our system generates around 50 trades a year. This is not a high frequency system, we would expect 4 trades per month on average. This is a purely mechanical system with no discretionary elements. If you wish to receive the results of the Back Testing applied to this strategy, feel free to request them.

I invite you to see an additional strategy that has been recording similar results: https://collective2.com/details/106187009

Hedged Equity Momentum

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2016-0.61.05.25.6
201711.313.84.94.98.0-3.12.0-0.5-3.67.28.13.170.8
20189.8-12.8-8.1-3.93.7-1.98.48.30.9-9.34.85.82.5
20194.1-2.22.011.7-15.85.22.118.9-3.3-0.13.61.526.6
202012.4-6.922.17.21.04.013.4-0.3-3.3-8.27.81.557.9
2021-6.4-10.8-7.08.6-0.76.78.75.5-12.715.43.82.39.7
2022-12.9-8.2-7.1-27.4-4.4-9.7-1.1-1.5-4.7-10.10.2-3.6-62.5
20231.8-1.8-0.8-5.61.17.0-1.82.3-4.4-4.2-11.5-0.4-17.7
20244.7-10.32.3-7.711.57.81.40.71.8-4.7-14.311.10.8
2025-7.96.120.46.3-12.8-14.2-7.8-7.6-10.2-24.413.80.0-38.4
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began10/31/2016
Suggested Minimum Capital$25,000
Age120 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades365
# Profitable156
% Profitable42.7%
Avg trade duration21.0 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown82.1%
drawdown periodDec 28, 2021 - Oct 29, 2025
Annual Return (Compounded)-1.9%
Avg win$1,112
Avg loss$802

Ratios

W:L ratio1.06
Sharpe Ratio-0.05
Sortino Ratio-0.07
Calmar Ratio0.06

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.13
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life260.7%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-235.1%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-1.9%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)3.5%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity435.7%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.5%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss84.5%
Chance of 20% account loss51.0%
Chance of 30% account loss43.0%
Chance of 40% account loss17.5%
Chance of 50% account loss4.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.5%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.1%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$802
Avg Win$1,112
# Winners156
Sum Trade PL (losers)$167,555
Sum Trade PL (winners)$173,470
Num Months Winners58
# Losers209
% Winners42.7%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct4184

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table120

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)30254.40
Avg Position Time (hrs)504.24
Avg Trade Length21
Last Trade Ago305

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)2.45
Daily leverage (max)4.58

Regression

Alpha-0.01
Beta0.17
Treynor Index-0.02

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-31.77
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.87
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats39.30
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats32.21
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.30
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.36
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.03

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.05
SD0.25
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.21
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.21
df103
t0.62
p0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.46
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.88
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.46
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.87
Sortino ratio0.30
Upside Potential Ratio2.07
Upside part of mean0.36
Downside part of mean-0.31
Upside SD0.18
Downside SD0.18
N nonnegative terms58
N negative terms46
N of observations104
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.05
SD of predictor0.19
SD of criterion0.25
Covariance0.01
r0.17
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.22
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.03
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error102
t(b)1.75
p(b)0.41
t(a)0.29
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.19
Treynor index (mean / b)0.24
Jensen alpha (a)0.03
Mean0.02
SD0.25
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.08
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.08
df103
t0.24
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.58
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.75
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.58
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.75
Sortino ratio0.11
Upside Potential Ratio1.84
Upside part of mean0.35
Downside part of mean-0.33
Upside SD0.17
Downside SD0.19
N nonnegative terms58
N negative terms46
N of observations104
Mean of predictor0.10
Mean of criterion0.02
SD of predictor0.21
SD of criterion0.25
Covariance0.01
r0.17
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.20
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.00
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error102
t(b)1.70
p(b)0.42
t(a)-0.00
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.17
Treynor index (mean / b)0.10
Jensen alpha (a)-0.00
VaR(95%)0.11
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.14
VaR(95%)0.06
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.11
Mean0.03
SD0.21
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.12
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.12
df2273
t0.36
p0.36
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.54
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.79
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.54
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.79
Sortino ratio0.16
Upside Potential Ratio7.57
Upside part of mean1.17
Downside part of mean-1.15
Upside SD0.14
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms1175
N negative terms1099
N of observations2274
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.03
SD of predictor0.19
SD of criterion0.21
Covariance0.01
r0.20
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.22
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.00
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error2272
t(b)9.54
p(b)0
t(a)-0.02
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.26
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.14
Treynor index (mean / b)0.12
Jensen alpha (a)-0.00
Mean0.00
SD0.21
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.02
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.02
df2273
t0.05
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.65
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.68
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.65
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.68
Sortino ratio0.02
Upside Potential Ratio7.37
Upside part of mean1.16
Downside part of mean-1.16
Upside SD0.14
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms1175
N negative terms1099
N of observations2274
Mean of predictor0.11
Mean of criterion0.00
SD of predictor0.19
SD of criterion0.21
Covariance0.01
r0.20
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.22
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.02
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error2272
t(b)9.63
p(b)0
t(a)-0.29
p(a)0.61
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.27
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.12
Treynor index (mean / b)0.01
Jensen alpha (a)-0.02
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean-0.85
SD0.30
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-2.89
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-2.87
df130
t-2.04
p0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-5.68
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.09
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-5.67
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.08
Sortino ratio-3.70
Upside Potential Ratio5.16
Upside part of mean1.19
Downside part of mean-2.04
Upside SD0.19
Downside SD0.23
N nonnegative terms51
N negative terms80
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.37
Mean of criterion-0.85
SD of predictor0.23
SD of criterion0.30
Covariance-0.05
r-0.67
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.86
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.53
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error129
t(b)-10.23
p(b)0.89
t(a)-1.70
p(a)0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.70
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.09
Treynor index (mean / b)0.99
Jensen alpha (a)-0.53
Mean-0.90
SD0.30
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-3.03
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-3.01
df130
t-2.14
p0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-5.82
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.23
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-5.81
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.22
Sortino ratio-3.80
Upside Potential Ratio4.96
Upside part of mean1.17
Downside part of mean-2.07
Upside SD0.18
Downside SD0.24
N nonnegative terms51
N negative terms80
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.34
Mean of criterion-0.90
SD of predictor0.23
SD of criterion0.30
Covariance-0.05
r-0.67
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.88
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.59
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error129
t(b)-10.32
p(b)0.89
t(a)-1.90
p(a)0.60
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.05
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.71
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.21
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.02
Treynor index (mean / b)1.02
Jensen alpha (a)-0.59
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations104
Minimum0.79
Quartile 10.97
Median1.01
Quartile 31.05
Maximum1.19
Mean of quarter 10.92
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.03
Mean of quarter 41.09
Inter Quartile Range0.08
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.03
Mean of outliers low0.81
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.01
Mean of outliers high1.19
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.08
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.08
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.11
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.06
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.09
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.12
Number of observations2274
Minimum0.90
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.08
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low98
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high59
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.22
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.06
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum0.91
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.08
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.94
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.02
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.44
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.03

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations7
Minimum0.04
Quartile 10.05
Median0.06
Quartile 30.20
Maximum0.66
Mean of quarter 10.04
Mean of quarter 20.06
Mean of quarter 30.18
Mean of quarter 40.44
Inter Quartile Range0.15
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high0.66
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations63
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.04
Maximum0.71
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.15
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high5
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high0.32
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.73
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.16
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.61
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.76
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.13
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.51
Number of observations3
Minimum0.02
Quartile 10.03
Median0.04
Quartile 30.25
Maximum0.45
Mean of quarter 10.02
Mean of quarter 20.04
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.45
Inter Quartile Range0.22
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-355056672
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)1401
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.06
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.05
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.08
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.11
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.36
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.04
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.03
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.04
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.22
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.20
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.71
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.58
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-1.28
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-1.28
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-14.41

Trading record

Placed 108 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
SPXL short210Nov 4, 2024Nov 10, 2025($12,358)
SPXL long225Sep 12, 2024Nov 1, 2024$1,566
SPXL short45Sep 5, 2024Sep 12, 2024($312)
SPXL long135Aug 26, 2024Sep 5, 2024($1,001)
SPXL long200Apr 11, 2024Aug 1, 2024$4,637
SPXL short200Apr 9, 2024Apr 10, 2024$828
SPXL long200Apr 4, 2024Apr 9, 2024($730)
SPXL short200Apr 3, 2024Apr 4, 2024($672)
SPXL long200Apr 3, 2024Apr 3, 2024($191)
SPXL short200Apr 1, 2024Apr 3, 2024$381
SPXL long100Mar 28, 2024Apr 1, 2024($94)
SPXL long230Mar 18, 2024Mar 22, 2024$1,060
SPXL short200Mar 14, 2024Mar 18, 2024($244)
SPXL long100Mar 12, 2024Mar 14, 2024$94
SPXL short100Mar 11, 2024Mar 12, 2024($159)
SPXL long200Mar 6, 2024Mar 11, 2024($228)
SPXL short200Mar 5, 2024Mar 5, 2024$244
SPXL long200Mar 1, 2024Mar 5, 2024$70
SPXL short100Feb 28, 2024Mar 1, 2024($246)
SPXL long100Feb 28, 2024Feb 28, 2024($100)
SPXL short260Feb 28, 2024Feb 28, 2024($273)
SPXL long260Feb 27, 2024Feb 28, 2024($275)
SPXL short190Feb 26, 2024Feb 27, 2024($12)
SPXL long45Feb 23, 2024Feb 26, 2024($79)
SPXL short272Feb 20, 2024Feb 21, 2024($10)
SPXL long272Feb 14, 2024Feb 20, 2024($399)
SPXL short279Feb 13, 2024Feb 14, 2024($495)
SPXL long300Feb 6, 2024Feb 13, 2024($490)
SPXL long100Feb 2, 2024Feb 6, 2024$114
SPXL short200Jan 31, 2024Feb 2, 2024($309)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.