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QT DayTrader VIX

Stocks · Started Oct 2016

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-8.7%
Max Drawdown
35.0%
Trades
375
Win Trades
57.1%
Profit Factor
1.10
Win Months
3.4%

About this strategy

For more system related information please visit our website.

We sincerely appreciate your interest in QuanTimer. We care about your financial well-being and would like to make sure that you do not have any unpleasant experience, when you start trading QuanTimer systems. While we are very confident about the long-term profitability of our strategies, it is difficult to predict when exactly we could experience some drawdown.

We strongly recommend that you invest only one-third of your intended capital in the first month, add another one-third after a month, and add the last one-third after two months to get fully invested. This would be a prudent approach, since it will lessen the impact of drawdown in your portfolio.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2016-9.528.99.227.4
2017-5.5-10.8-6.0-7.24.2-2.52.1-6.10.00.00.00.0-28.3
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began10/15/2016
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age120 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades375
# Profitable214
% Profitable57.1%
Avg trade duration3.6 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown35.0%
drawdown periodDec 22, 2016 - July 06, 2017
Cumul. Return-7.9%
Avg win$484
Avg loss$598

Ratios

W:L ratio1.08
Sharpe Ratio-0.27
Sortino Ratio-0.40
Calmar Ratio0.33

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.03
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life259.6%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-24.0%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-8.7%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)1.4%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity45.2%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss49.5%
Chance of 20% account loss12.5%
Chance of 30% account loss0.5%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated85.7%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)588
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)804
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)540

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$598
Avg Win$484
# Winners214
Sum Trade PL (losers)$96,254
Sum Trade PL (winners)$103,492
Num Months Winners4
# Losers161
% Winners57.1%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table120

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)215.92
Avg Position Time (hrs)3.60
Avg Trade Length0.20
Last Trade Ago3293

Regression

Alpha-0.01
Beta0.02
Treynor Index-0.43

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.02
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-24.51
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.41
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats54.36
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats66.31
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.66
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.22
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.04

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.20
SD0.30
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.65
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.60
df9
t0.60
p0.28
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.53
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.80
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.57
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.76
Sortino ratio1.37
Upside Potential Ratio3.36
Upside part of mean0.48
Downside part of mean-0.29
Upside SD0.25
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms5
N negative terms5
N of observations10
Mean of predictor0.14
Mean of criterion0.20
SD of predictor0.07
SD of criterion0.30
Covariance0.01
r0.65
b (slope, estimate of beta)2.78
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.18
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error8
t(b)2.39
p(b)0.02
t(a)-0.58
p(a)0.71
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta5.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.89
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.53
Treynor index (mean / b)0.07
Jensen alpha (a)-0.18
Mean0.16
SD0.29
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.54
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.49
df9
t0.49
p0.32
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.64
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.69
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.67
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.65
Sortino ratio1.04
Upside Potential Ratio3.01
Upside part of mean0.45
Downside part of mean-0.30
Upside SD0.23
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms5
N negative terms5
N of observations10
Mean of predictor0.13
Mean of criterion0.16
SD of predictor0.07
SD of criterion0.29
Covariance0.01
r0.64
b (slope, estimate of beta)2.69
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.20
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error8
t(b)2.37
p(b)0.02
t(a)-0.67
p(a)0.74
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta5.31
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.89
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.49
Treynor index (mean / b)0.06
Jensen alpha (a)-0.20
VaR(95%)0.12
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.15
VaR(95%)0.06
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.10
Mean0.16
SD0.23
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.70
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.70
df229
t0.66
p0.26
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.39
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.79
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.39
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.79
Sortino ratio1.10
Upside Potential Ratio9.42
Upside part of mean1.37
Downside part of mean-1.21
Upside SD0.18
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms101
N negative terms129
N of observations230
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.16
SD of predictor0.08
SD of criterion0.23
Covariance0.00
r0.24
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.73
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.04
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error228
t(b)3.71
p(b)0.00
t(a)0.22
p(a)0.41
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.34
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.11
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.42
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.53
Treynor index (mean / b)0.22
Jensen alpha (a)0.05
Mean0.13
SD0.23
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.59
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.59
df229
t0.56
p0.29
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.50
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.68
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.50
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.68
Sortino ratio0.91
Upside Potential Ratio9.21
Upside part of mean1.36
Downside part of mean-1.22
Upside SD0.17
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms101
N negative terms129
N of observations230
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.13
SD of predictor0.08
SD of criterion0.23
Covariance0.00
r0.24
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.72
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.03
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error228
t(b)3.70
p(b)0.00
t(a)0.13
p(a)0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.34
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.44
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.50
Treynor index (mean / b)0.19
Jensen alpha (a)0.03
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean-0.09
SD0.21
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.42
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.41
df130
t-0.29
p0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.36
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.19
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.36
Sortino ratio-0.60
Upside Potential Ratio8.11
Upside part of mean1.17
Downside part of mean-1.26
Upside SD0.15
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms54
N negative terms77
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.05
Mean of criterion-0.09
SD of predictor0.07
SD of criterion0.21
Covariance0.00
r0.16
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.46
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.11
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error129
t(b)1.87
p(b)0.40
t(a)-0.38
p(a)0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.95
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.69
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.47
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.19
Jensen alpha (a)-0.11
Mean-0.11
SD0.21
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.52
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.52
df130
t-0.37
p0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.29
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.25
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.29
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.26
Sortino ratio-0.74
Upside Potential Ratio7.96
Upside part of mean1.16
Downside part of mean-1.27
Upside SD0.15
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms54
N negative terms77
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.05
Mean of criterion-0.11
SD of predictor0.07
SD of criterion0.21
Covariance0.00
r0.16
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.45
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.13
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error129
t(b)1.85
p(b)0.40
t(a)-0.45
p(a)0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.03
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.94
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.71
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.45
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.24
Jensen alpha (a)-0.13
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations10
Minimum0.89
Quartile 10.96
Median1.01
Quartile 31.04
Maximum1.19
Mean of quarter 10.94
Mean of quarter 20.98
Mean of quarter 31.03
Mean of quarter 41.12
Inter Quartile Range0.08
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.10
Mean of outliers high1.19
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.41
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.08
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.14
Extreme Value Index (regression method)4.87
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.28
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations230
Minimum0.96
Quartile 10.99
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.07
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low5
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high6
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.16
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.11
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum0.97
Quartile 10.99
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.06
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.01
Mean of outliers high1.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.72
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.26
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.15
Quartile 10.15
Median0.15
Quartile 30.15
Maximum0.15
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations6
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.10
Maximum0.21
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.17
Inter Quartile Range0.10
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations3
Minimum0.09
Quartile 10.09
Median0.09
Quartile 30.10
Maximum0.11
Mean of quarter 10.09
Mean of quarter 20.09
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.11
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)196
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.20
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.20
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.35
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.37
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.17
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.18
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.83
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.04
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal6.29
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.08
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.08
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.71
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.71
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-2.90

Trading record

Placed 675 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
VXX long522Aug 30, 2017Aug 30, 2017($36)
VXX long522Aug 29, 2017Aug 29, 2017($229)
VXX long533Aug 23, 2017Aug 23, 2017($335)
VXX long2112Aug 9, 2017Aug 9, 2017$101
VXX long2149Aug 9, 2017Aug 9, 2017($607)
VXX short2680Aug 2, 2017Aug 2, 2017($675)
XIV long483Aug 2, 2017Aug 2, 2017($942)
XIV long489Aug 1, 2017Aug 1, 2017($34)
VXX short2682Aug 1, 2017Aug 1, 2017($59)
XIV long496Jul 31, 2017Jul 31, 2017($372)
VXX long2609Jul 31, 2017Jul 31, 2017$256
VXX long2607Jul 28, 2017Jul 28, 2017($135)
XIV long489Jul 28, 2017Jul 28, 2017$337
VXX long2616Jul 28, 2017Jul 28, 2017($633)
XIV long488Jul 27, 2017Jul 27, 2017($962)
VXX short2796Jul 27, 2017Jul 27, 2017($620)
VXX short2816Jul 26, 2017Jul 26, 2017($315)
XIV long487Jul 26, 2017Jul 26, 2017$170
VXX short2842Jul 25, 2017Jul 25, 2017($232)
XIV long489Jul 25, 2017Jul 25, 2017($328)
XIV long492Jul 24, 2017Jul 24, 2017$644
VXX short2725Jul 24, 2017Jul 24, 2017$458
VXX short2668Jul 21, 2017Jul 21, 2017$395
XIV long490Jul 21, 2017Jul 21, 2017$573
XIV long490Jul 20, 2017Jul 20, 2017$142
VXX short2650Jul 20, 2017Jul 20, 2017($32)
VXX short2602Jul 19, 2017Jul 19, 2017$125
XIV long496Jul 19, 2017Jul 19, 2017$178
XIV long496Jul 18, 2017Jul 18, 2017$516
VXX short2504Jul 18, 2017Jul 18, 2017$646

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.