Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

VIX Tactical Trader

Equity · Stocks · Started Dec 2016

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
14.6%
Max Drawdown
18.3%
Trades
265
Win Trades
42.3%
Profit Factor
1.70
Win Months
33.3%

About this strategy

VIX Tactical Trader is a systematic trend-following strategy implemented via volatility ETFs such as SVXY and VXX. Thus, retail investors can take advantage of a robust strategy usually accessible to professional traders only.

The strategy takes advantage of the strong trends generated by volatility instruments. It can assume a long/short or cash state and it implements stop-loss signals to mitigate the potential losses.

Trend-following Momentum

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20166.46.4
201716.5-1.29.511.36.0-5.16.36.17.06.05.63.397.3
2018-6.67.9-0.23.51.9-4.04.4-3.43.9-0.75.2-11.5-1.4
20199.73.31.91.0-7.05.24.60.63.48.57.1-1.941.5
2020-6.74.61.06.7-4.5-2.72.87.69.78.812.4-2.241.9
2021-8.11.1-0.3-0.91.02.7-6.45.7-2.8-0.90.00.0-9.3
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began12/2/2016
Suggested Minimum Capital$15,000
Age119 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades265
# Profitable112
% Profitable42.3%
Avg trade duration8.2 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown18.3%
drawdown periodDec 09, 2020 - May 19, 2021
Annual Return (Compounded)14.6%
Avg win$686
Avg loss$299

Ratios

W:L ratio1.68
Sharpe Ratio0.72
Sortino Ratio1.09
Calmar Ratio1.93

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.16
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life249.9%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)24.9%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)14.6%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)15.5%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity14.3%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.6%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss27.0%
Chance of 20% account loss5.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.5%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$299
Avg Win$686
# Winners112
Sum Trade PL (losers)$45,819
Sum Trade PL (winners)$76,854
Num Months Winners39
# Losers153
% Winners42.3%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table117

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)11847.37
Avg Position Time (hrs)197.46
Avg Trade Length8.20
Last Trade Ago1788

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)0.64
Daily leverage (max)2.01

Regression

Alpha0.03
Beta0.13
Treynor Index0.28

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.03
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades2.70
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.93
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats34.47
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats90.46
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.41
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.16
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.37

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.26
SD0.21
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.21
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.20
df64
t2.83
p0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.34
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.08
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.33
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.07
Sortino ratio2.30
Upside Potential Ratio3.84
Upside part of mean0.43
Downside part of mean-0.17
Upside SD0.19
Downside SD0.11
N nonnegative terms39
N negative terms26
N of observations65
Mean of predictor0.23
Mean of criterion0.26
SD of predictor0.24
SD of criterion0.21
Covariance0.01
r0.17
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.15
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.22
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error63
t(b)1.39
p(b)0.09
t(a)2.37
p(a)0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.37
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.41
Treynor index (mean / b)1.69
Jensen alpha (a)0.22
Mean0.23
SD0.21
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.12
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.11
df64
t2.60
p0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.25
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.98
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.24
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.97
Sortino ratio2.00
Upside Potential Ratio3.53
Upside part of mean0.41
Downside part of mean-0.18
Upside SD0.18
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms39
N negative terms26
N of observations65
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion0.23
SD of predictor0.25
SD of criterion0.21
Covariance0.01
r0.18
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.15
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.20
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error63
t(b)1.47
p(b)0.07
t(a)2.22
p(a)0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.36
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.39
Treynor index (mean / b)1.52
Jensen alpha (a)0.20
VaR(95%)0.08
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.10
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
Mean0.25
SD0.18
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.34
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.34
df1439
t3.15
p0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.51
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.18
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.51
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.18
Sortino ratio2.08
Upside Potential Ratio9.32
Upside part of mean1.11
Downside part of mean-0.86
Upside SD0.14
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms674
N negative terms766
N of observations1440
Mean of predictor0.23
Mean of criterion0.25
SD of predictor0.23
SD of criterion0.18
Covariance0.01
r0.17
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.13
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.22
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error1438
t(b)6.36
p(b)0.42
t(a)2.80
p(a)0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.37
Treynor index (mean / b)1.91
Jensen alpha (a)0.22
Mean0.23
SD0.18
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.25
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.25
df1439
t2.94
p0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.42
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.09
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.42
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.09
Sortino ratio1.91
Upside Potential Ratio9.12
Upside part of mean1.10
Downside part of mean-0.87
Upside SD0.14
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms674
N negative terms766
N of observations1440
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion0.23
SD of predictor0.24
SD of criterion0.18
Covariance0.01
r0.16
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.13
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.20
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error1438
t(b)6.34
p(b)0.42
t(a)2.64
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.36
Treynor index (mean / b)1.79
Jensen alpha (a)0.20
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.33
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.41
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.25
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.41
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6745150038474752
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.70418330175334e+32
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations65
Minimum0.89
Quartile 11.00
Median1.02
Quartile 31.06
Maximum1.16
Mean of quarter 10.95
Mean of quarter 21.01
Mean of quarter 31.04
Mean of quarter 41.10
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.89
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-3.30
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.52
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.06
Number of observations1440
Minimum0.94
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.08
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low68
Percentage of outliers low0.05
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high66
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.17
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.03
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations11
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.06
Median0.08
Quartile 30.10
Maximum0.12
Mean of quarter 10.03
Mean of quarter 20.07
Mean of quarter 30.09
Mean of quarter 40.11
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-2.49
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.12
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.12
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.46
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.12
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.13
Number of observations66
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.02
Quartile 30.05
Maximum0.15
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.09
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high0.15
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.37
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.09
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.11
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.21
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.09
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.11
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-429295872
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)161
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.58
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.30
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.54
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.74
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal3.01
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.57
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.29
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.93
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.39
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal13.24
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 678 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
VXX short500Oct 1, 2021Oct 6, 2021($354)
VXX short100Sep 13, 2021Sep 20, 2021($258)
VXX long300Sep 10, 2021Sep 13, 2021$48
VXX short400Sep 9, 2021Sep 10, 2021($316)
VXX long300Sep 8, 2021Sep 9, 2021($299)
VXX short450Aug 20, 2021Sep 8, 2021$1,198
VXX long250Aug 18, 2021Aug 20, 2021($130)
VXX short550Aug 4, 2021Aug 18, 2021$1,176
VXX long200Aug 2, 2021Aug 3, 2021($203)
VXX short300Jul 21, 2021Aug 2, 2021$21
VXX short500Jul 9, 2021Jul 19, 2021($1,298)
VXX long400Jul 8, 2021Jul 9, 2021($1,064)
VXX short500Jun 22, 2021Jul 6, 2021$1,080
VXX long500Jun 18, 2021Jun 22, 2021($816)
VXX short400May 14, 2021Jun 18, 2021$2,917
VXX long250May 11, 2021May 14, 2021$27
VXX short400May 7, 2021May 11, 2021($755)
VXX long50May 6, 2021May 7, 2021($80)
VXX short450May 5, 2021May 6, 2021($1,220)
VXX long50May 4, 2021May 5, 2021($83)
VXX short700Apr 21, 2021May 4, 2021($863)
VXX long750Apr 19, 2021Apr 21, 2021($244)
VXX short700Mar 5, 2021Apr 19, 2021$2,621
VXX long400Mar 4, 2021Mar 5, 2021($547)
VXX short600Mar 1, 2021Mar 4, 2021($1,181)
VXX long300Feb 26, 2021Mar 1, 2021($522)
VXX short500Feb 24, 2021Feb 26, 2021($550)
VXX long200Feb 23, 2021Feb 24, 2021($258)
VXX short600Feb 2, 2021Feb 23, 2021$1,358
VXX short700Jan 29, 2021Feb 1, 2021($867)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.