Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

Copper Pea Capital

Futures · Futures · Started Jul 2016

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
9.0%
Max Drawdown
39.2%
Trades
571
Win Trades
58.5%
Profit Factor
1.50
Win Months
13.0%

About this strategy

Nothing to say.

Macro / Fundamental

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20161.53.218.16.613.87.160.6
20172.9-0.46.15.7-5.7-0.67.5-0.86.3-8.2-0.1-24.4-15.2
20188.825.235.75.2-8.4-1.92.4-0.8-0.40.00.0-0.376.1
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began7/21/2016
Suggested Minimum Capital$250,000
Age123 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades571
# Profitable334
% Profitable58.5%
Avg trade duration3.4 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown39.2%
drawdown periodNov 13, 2017 - Dec 15, 2017
Annual Return (Compounded)9.0%
Avg win$3,339
Avg loss$3,102

Ratios

W:L ratio1.52
Sharpe Ratio0.44
Sortino Ratio0.75
Calmar Ratio1.07

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.05
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life254.2%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-114.2%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)9.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)9.5%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity16.1%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.8%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.1%
Percent Trades Futures0.9%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss35.5%
Chance of 20% account loss11.0%
Chance of 30% account loss1.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$3,102
Avg Win$3,339
# Winners334
Sum Trade PL (losers)$735,142
Sum Trade PL (winners)$1,115,298
Num Months Winners16
# Losers237
% Winners58.5%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table123

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)4858.72
Avg Position Time (hrs)80.98
Avg Trade Length3.40
Last Trade Ago2919

Regression

Alpha0.02
Beta-0.04
Treynor Index-0.50

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades4.89
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)1.06
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats45.96
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats67.14
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.65
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.48
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.20

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.36
SD0.38
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.95
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.93
df34
t1.62
p0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.11
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.24
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.09
Sortino ratio2.05
Upside Potential Ratio3.26
Upside part of mean0.57
Downside part of mean-0.21
Upside SD0.34
Downside SD0.17
N nonnegative terms16
N negative terms19
N of observations35
Mean of predictor0.41
Mean of criterion0.36
SD of predictor0.31
SD of criterion0.38
Covariance-0.03
r-0.23
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.28
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.47
Mean Square Error0.14
DF error33
t(b)-1.38
p(b)0.91
t(a)2.03
p(a)0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.70
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.13
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.95
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.26
Jensen alpha (a)0.47
Mean0.29
SD0.35
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.82
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.80
df34
t1.40
p0.09
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.35
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.98
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.36
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.97
Sortino ratio1.51
Upside Potential Ratio2.69
Upside part of mean0.52
Downside part of mean-0.23
Upside SD0.30
Downside SD0.19
N nonnegative terms16
N negative terms19
N of observations35
Mean of predictor0.36
Mean of criterion0.29
SD of predictor0.29
SD of criterion0.35
Covariance-0.02
r-0.22
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.28
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.39
Mean Square Error0.12
DF error33
t(b)-1.32
p(b)0.90
t(a)1.79
p(a)0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.70
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.83
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.04
Jensen alpha (a)0.39
VaR(95%)0.13
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.17
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.09
Mean0.32
SD0.26
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.23
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.23
df777
t2.12
p0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.37
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.09
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.37
Sortino ratio2.08
Upside Potential Ratio7.69
Upside part of mean1.17
Downside part of mean-0.85
Upside SD0.21
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms287
N negative terms491
N of observations778
Mean of predictor0.45
Mean of criterion0.32
SD of predictor0.34
SD of criterion0.26
Covariance-0.01
r-0.07
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.34
Mean Square Error0.07
DF error776
t(b)-1.82
p(b)0.97
t(a)2.27
p(a)0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.63
Treynor index (mean / b)-6.36
Jensen alpha (a)0.34
Mean0.28
SD0.25
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.12
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.12
df777
t1.93
p0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.26
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.02
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.26
Sortino ratio1.83
Upside Potential Ratio7.39
Upside part of mean1.14
Downside part of mean-0.86
Upside SD0.20
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms287
N negative terms491
N of observations778
Mean of predictor0.40
Mean of criterion0.28
SD of predictor0.33
SD of criterion0.25
Covariance-0.01
r-0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.30
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error776
t(b)-1.79
p(b)0.96
t(a)2.06
p(a)0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.59
Treynor index (mean / b)-5.83
Jensen alpha (a)0.30
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.13
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.49
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.01
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.49
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6811340853215232
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)6.17966127642082e+31
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations35
Minimum0.77
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.05
Maximum1.43
Mean of quarter 10.94
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.03
Mean of quarter 41.16
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.09
Mean of outliers low0.85
Number of outliers high5
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high1.23
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.41
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.25
Number of observations778
Minimum0.93
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.16
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low101
Percentage of outliers low0.13
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high105
Percentage of outliers high0.13
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.05
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.08
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations3
Minimum0.11
Quartile 10.13
Median0.15
Quartile 30.22
Maximum0.29
Mean of quarter 10.11
Mean of quarter 20.15
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.29
Inter Quartile Range0.09
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations39
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.02
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.34
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.12
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high5
Percentage of outliers high0.13
Mean of outliers high0.19
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.63
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.12
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.37
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.54
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.11
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.25
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-387200096
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)32
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.52
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.37
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.30
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.30
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.21
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.51
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.37
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.07
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.15
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal11.91
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 1108 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
EZ U8short40Apr 17, 2018Sep 6, 2018($9,402)
BD U8short20Apr 6, 2018Sep 6, 2018($40,913)
QGC M8long16Apr 23, 2018May 15, 2018($19,728)
ES M8short12Apr 20, 2018Apr 22, 2018$8,754
QHG K8long16Apr 4, 2018Apr 16, 2018$33,272
QGC K8long8Apr 11, 2018Apr 11, 2018$6,736
ES M8long20Apr 6, 2018Apr 11, 2018$4,840
BD U8short16Apr 3, 2018Apr 4, 2018($6,220)
QHG K8long8Mar 25, 2018Apr 4, 2018$7,536
ES M8short30Mar 7, 2018Mar 25, 2018$152,385
QHG K8long16Mar 16, 2018Mar 19, 2018($25,928)
QHG J8long12Mar 5, 2018Mar 7, 2018$9,054
NQ H8short8Feb 22, 2018Mar 5, 2018($1,904)
ES H8short8Feb 22, 2018Mar 5, 2018$11,836
QHG J8long12Feb 22, 2018Feb 22, 2018($2,871)
NKD H8long8Feb 22, 2018Feb 22, 2018$1,136
ES H8long8Feb 22, 2018Feb 22, 2018($3,164)
ES H8short16Feb 21, 2018Feb 22, 2018($22,328)
QHG J8long10Feb 21, 2018Feb 21, 2018($1,855)
NKD H8long4Feb 21, 2018Feb 21, 2018($3,732)
ES H8short8Feb 16, 2018Feb 21, 2018($14)
QNG J8long8Feb 15, 2018Feb 19, 2018($144)
NKD H8long4Feb 14, 2018Feb 14, 2018$4,968
ES H8short4Feb 13, 2018Feb 14, 2018($1,032)
QGC J8short4Feb 13, 2018Feb 14, 2018$2,358
ES H8short4Feb 13, 2018Feb 13, 2018$568
ES H8short4Feb 9, 2018Feb 9, 2018($2,182)
ES H8short8Feb 8, 2018Feb 8, 2018$27,236
ES H8short8Feb 8, 2018Feb 8, 2018($1,964)
ES H8short16Feb 7, 2018Feb 7, 2018$32,172

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.