Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

HFX 5 Stock Healthcare

Stocks · Started May 2016

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
9.3%
Max Drawdown
34.7%
Trades
72
Win Trades
52.8%
Profit Factor
3.40
Win Months
56.0%

About this strategy

The Halifax 5 Stock Healthcare portfolio with market timing targets five US stocks in the Healthcare sector that show indications are reasonable value and increasing earnings estimates.

The portfolio will then seek to enter the stock at an oversold level and then exit the stock at an overbought level.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20166.912.69.339.8-8.9-3.81.60.164.0
2017-5.02.5-2.0-4.50.14.7-2.11.80.74.61.2-3.4-2.1
2018-7.4-8.0-3.07.1-1.24.0-0.21.20.5-6.77.5-5.9-12.9
20196.911.02.60.70.18.5-2.3-7.53.80.2-3.11.022.5
20200.0-9.1-7.94.94.92.84.61.3-1.24.4-3.81.91.4
20210.7-1.95.23.7-1.65.0-0.2-7.00.7-5.90.16.54.3
2022-7.912.310.88.63.3-0.18.11.8-5.43.7-6.8-7.419.7
20233.3-10.93.24.03.7-1.2-0.6-7.7-5.73.8-0.2-4.2-13.2
2024-8.413.9-0.31.110.1-0.6-1.121.5-1.91.3-11.50.922.9
20255.1-9.210.54.51.6-14.6-7.5-2.3-4.93.2-0.26.0-10.1
2026-0.04.80.13.912.71.8-1.4-1.5-0.720.6

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began5/3/2016
Suggested Minimum Capital$25,000
Age126 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades72
# Profitable38
% Profitable52.8%
Avg trade duration213.1 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown34.7%
drawdown periodSept 14, 2022 - Jan 24, 2024
Annual Return (Compounded)9.3%
Avg win$1,469
Avg loss$487

Ratios

W:L ratio3.37
Sharpe Ratio0.36
Sortino Ratio0.52
Calmar Ratio0.96

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.21
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life271.7%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-120.8%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)9.3%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)9.5%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity8.4%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss6.7%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$487
Avg Win$1,469
# Winners38
Sum Trade PL (losers)$16,551
Sum Trade PL (winners)$55,815
Num Months Winners71
# Losers34
% Winners52.8%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table125

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)306806.12
Avg Position Time (hrs)5113.44
Avg Trade Length213.10
Last Trade Ago3385

Regression

Alpha0.02
Beta0.26
Treynor Index0.10

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades0.79
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.62
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats39.41
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats26.60
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.21
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.33
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.05

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.39
SD0.53
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.72
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.71
df39
t1.32
p0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.37
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.80
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.38
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.79
Sortino ratio1.63
Upside Potential Ratio3.41
Upside part of mean0.81
Downside part of mean-0.42
Upside SD0.48
Downside SD0.24
N nonnegative terms21
N negative terms19
N of observations40
Mean of predictor0.47
Mean of criterion0.39
SD of predictor0.48
SD of criterion0.53
Covariance0.08
r0.32
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.35
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.22
Mean Square Error0.26
DF error38
t(b)2.05
p(b)0.02
t(a)0.76
p(a)0.22
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.69
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.37
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.81
Treynor index (mean / b)1.11
Jensen alpha (a)0.22
Mean0.26
SD0.49
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.53
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.52
df39
t0.97
p0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.55
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.61
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.56
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.60
Sortino ratio1.00
Upside Potential Ratio2.74
Upside part of mean0.71
Downside part of mean-0.45
Upside SD0.41
Downside SD0.26
N nonnegative terms21
N negative terms19
N of observations40
Mean of predictor0.37
Mean of criterion0.26
SD of predictor0.41
SD of criterion0.49
Covariance0.06
r0.30
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.35
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.13
Mean Square Error0.22
DF error38
t(b)1.91
p(b)0.03
t(a)0.48
p(a)0.32
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.73
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.41
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.67
Treynor index (mean / b)0.73
Jensen alpha (a)0.13
VaR(95%)0.19
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.23
VaR(95%)0.08
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.15
Mean0.33
SD0.38
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.87
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.87
df874
t1.58
p0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.21
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.94
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.21
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.94
Sortino ratio1.29
Upside Potential Ratio7.08
Upside part of mean1.79
Downside part of mean-1.47
Upside SD0.28
Downside SD0.25
N nonnegative terms443
N negative terms432
N of observations875
Mean of predictor0.42
Mean of criterion0.33
SD of predictor0.32
SD of criterion0.38
Covariance0.03
r0.27
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.31
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.20
Mean Square Error0.13
DF error873
t(b)8.21
p(b)0
t(a)0.98
p(a)0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.24
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.39
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.59
Treynor index (mean / b)1.04
Jensen alpha (a)0.20
Mean0.25
SD0.38
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.68
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.68
df874
t1.24
p0.11
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.40
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.75
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.40
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.75
Sortino ratio0.97
Upside Potential Ratio6.65
Upside part of mean1.75
Downside part of mean-1.50
Upside SD0.27
Downside SD0.26
N nonnegative terms443
N negative terms432
N of observations875
Mean of predictor0.37
Mean of criterion0.25
SD of predictor0.32
SD of criterion0.38
Covariance0.03
r0.27
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.32
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.14
Mean Square Error0.13
DF error873
t(b)8.29
p(b)0
t(a)0.70
p(a)0.24
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.24
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.39
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.25
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.53
Treynor index (mean / b)0.80
Jensen alpha (a)0.14
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean0.36
SD0.69
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.51
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.51
df130
t0.36
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.26
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.29
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.26
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.28
Sortino ratio0.74
Upside Potential Ratio7.99
Upside part of mean3.87
Downside part of mean-3.51
Upside SD0.49
Downside SD0.48
N nonnegative terms60
N negative terms71
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.45
Mean of criterion0.36
SD of predictor0.41
SD of criterion0.69
Covariance-0.02
r-0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.09
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.49
Mean Square Error0.48
DF error129
t(b)-0.62
p(b)0.53
t(a)0.49
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.39
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.50
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.48
Treynor index (mean / b)-3.88
Jensen alpha (a)0.49
Mean0.12
SD0.70
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.17
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.17
df130
t0.12
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.61
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.94
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.61
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.94
Sortino ratio0.23
Upside Potential Ratio7.36
Upside part of mean3.75
Downside part of mean-3.64
Upside SD0.47
Downside SD0.51
N nonnegative terms60
N negative terms71
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.37
Mean of criterion0.12
SD of predictor0.41
SD of criterion0.70
Covariance-0.02
r-0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.11
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.26
Mean Square Error0.49
DF error129
t(b)-0.71
p(b)0.54
t(a)0.26
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.40
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.19
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.74
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.26
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.10
Jensen alpha (a)0.26
VaR(95%)0.07
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.08
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations40
Minimum0.77
Quartile 10.96
Median1.00
Quartile 31.07
Maximum1.47
Mean of quarter 10.88
Mean of quarter 20.98
Mean of quarter 31.03
Mean of quarter 41.24
Inter Quartile Range0.11
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.03
Mean of outliers low0.77
Number of outliers high5
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high1.36
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.03
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.11
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.15
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.63
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.25
Number of observations875
Minimum0.85
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.14
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low59
Percentage of outliers low0.07
Mean of outliers low0.95
Number of outliers high81
Percentage of outliers high0.09
Mean of outliers high1.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.75
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.09
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.56
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.04
Number of observations131
Minimum0.85
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.02
Maximum1.14
Mean of quarter 10.95
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.05
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low8
Percentage of outliers low0.06
Mean of outliers low0.90
Number of outliers high7
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high1.10
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.37
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.08
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.00
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.06

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations6
Minimum0.02
Quartile 10.14
Median0.23
Quartile 30.24
Maximum0.25
Mean of quarter 10.06
Mean of quarter 20.23
Mean of quarter 30.23
Mean of quarter 40.25
Inter Quartile Range0.10
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations21
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.03
Quartile 30.08
Maximum0.34
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.06
Mean of quarter 40.22
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high0.28
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.70
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.20
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.22
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.81
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.22
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.24
Number of observations3
Minimum0.02
Quartile 10.05
Median0.08
Quartile 30.21
Maximum0.34
Mean of quarter 10.02
Mean of quarter 20.08
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.34
Inter Quartile Range0.16
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-400630272
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)497
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.8%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.48
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.33
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.35
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.35
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.41
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.47
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.33
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.96
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.48
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal7.13
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.15
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.15
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.46
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.46
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.83

Trading record

Placed 6 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
LMNX long280May 17, 2017Jun 6, 2017($166)
ESRX long45May 2, 2017May 17, 2017($72)
CRHM long400Apr 4, 2017May 17, 2017($968)
MDXG long230May 2, 2017May 17, 2017$646
ANGO long180Apr 18, 2017May 17, 2017$12
ICLR long32May 2, 2017May 17, 2017$100
AVDL long340Mar 14, 2017May 17, 2017($208)
LNTH long240Apr 18, 2017May 2, 2017$499
DRAD long640Mar 14, 2017May 2, 2017($485)
CUTR long125Apr 11, 2017Apr 18, 2017($28)
ADUS long95Mar 21, 2017Apr 18, 2017($26)
PFNX long520Mar 28, 2017Apr 11, 2017($608)
ELMD long670Feb 21, 2017Apr 4, 2017($246)
CBM long60Feb 13, 2017Mar 28, 2017($100)
CUTR long170Feb 28, 2017Mar 21, 2017($122)
AGTC long460Feb 13, 2017Mar 14, 2017$221
PGNX long310Feb 21, 2017Mar 14, 2017$230
LCI long160Jan 4, 2017Feb 28, 2017($51)
EBS long85Jan 24, 2017Feb 21, 2017$8
OFIX long110Dec 20, 2016Feb 21, 2017$274
PDLI long1870Dec 28, 2016Feb 13, 2017$257
CUTR long130Jan 24, 2017Feb 13, 2017$121
SCMP long230Jan 16, 2017Jan 24, 2017($316)
CCRN long180Jan 10, 2017Jan 24, 2017($288)
DPLO long210Jan 10, 2017Jan 17, 2017$196
SCMP long230Dec 20, 2016Jan 10, 2017($304)
AMAG long110Dec 20, 2016Jan 10, 2017($1,166)
MOH long70Dec 28, 2016Jan 4, 2017($26)
AKRX long190Dec 13, 2016Dec 20, 2016$121
ARA long160Dec 13, 2016Dec 20, 2016($152)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.