Volatility Returns
- hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
- 14.0%
- Max Drawdown
- 60.0%
- Trades
- 32
- Win Trades
- 50.0%
- Profit Factor
- 1.50
- Win Months
- 15.1%
About this strategy
We’ve been actively trading different volatility strategies since 2011. We consider this strategy to be the most well-balanced automated volatility strategy that we’ve ever come across. We believe in it and trade it ourselves (100% TOS).
Through backtested results, our strategy has produced impressive returns for the past 10 years:
2007: -17%
2008: 1564%
2009: 441%
2010: 1963%
2011: 782%
2012: 636%
2013: 112%
2014: 38%
2015: -2%
2016: 268%
Of course, with such massive returns, there are risks. That’s why we would never suggest anyone follow it without at least a 5 year time horizon. There will certainly be plenty of losses along the way. If you can’t handle the losses, then this strategy is not for you. We appreciate that 5 years is a long time horizon, particularly within the world of C2 where people want instant returns. However, to compensate for the long time horizon, we’ve made our strategy extremely affordable so that anyone can afford it over the long term.
Historically, the strategy trades on average less than 2 times per month. With so few trades in comparison to other strategies, you don't necessarily need to be on auto-trade in order to keep up with our strategy.
C2 currently mentions that you need $25,000 minimum capital to trade our system. However, that is not accurate and you can trade with significantly less than that as long as you scale appropriately.
Through backtested results, our strategy has produced impressive returns for the past 10 years:
2007: -17%
2008: 1564%
2009: 441%
2010: 1963%
2011: 782%
2012: 636%
2013: 112%
2014: 38%
2015: -2%
2016: 268%
Of course, with such massive returns, there are risks. That’s why we would never suggest anyone follow it without at least a 5 year time horizon. There will certainly be plenty of losses along the way. If you can’t handle the losses, then this strategy is not for you. We appreciate that 5 years is a long time horizon, particularly within the world of C2 where people want instant returns. However, to compensate for the long time horizon, we’ve made our strategy extremely affordable so that anyone can afford it over the long term.
Historically, the strategy trades on average less than 2 times per month. With so few trades in comparison to other strategies, you don't necessarily need to be on auto-trade in order to keep up with our strategy.
C2 currently mentions that you need $25,000 minimum capital to trade our system. However, that is not accurate and you can trade with significantly less than that as long as you scale appropriately.
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | -0.8 | 9.6 | 25.0 | -9.2 | 11.8 | 10.9 | -5.9 | 5.3 | 23.2 | 13.7 | 112.1 | ||
| 2017 | 52.3 | 6.2 | 22.5 | 30.0 | -17.0 | -1.4 | 24.8 | -46.2 | 30.9 | 22.8 | 10.4 | 6.6 | 168.0 |
| 2018 | -30.2 | -3.6 | -0.3 | -2.7 | 10.7 | -0.5 | 11.4 | -5.0 | 4.6 | -3.1 | -9.7 | -0.1 | -30.4 |
| 2019 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.3 | |
| 2020 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2021 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2022 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2023 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2024 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2026 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Statistics
Overview
| Strategy began | 3/23/2016 |
|---|---|
| Suggested Minimum Capital | $23,047 |
| Age | 127 months |
| What it trades | Stocks |
| # Trades | 32 |
| # Profitable | 16 |
| % Profitable | 50.0% |
| Avg trade duration | 23.7 days |
| Max peak-to-valley drawdown | 60.0% |
| drawdown period | May 16, 2017 - Sept 05, 2017 |
| Annual Return (Compounded) | 14.0% |
| Avg win | $12,930 |
| Avg loss | $8,483 |
Ratios
| W:L ratio | 1.52 |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.48 |
| Sortino Ratio | 0.66 |
| Calmar Ratio | 0.96 |
CORRELATION STATISTICS
| Correlation to SP500 | 0.12 |
|---|---|
| Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life | 275.9% |
| Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu) | 14.3% |
Return Statistics
| Ann Return (w trading costs) | 14.0% |
|---|---|
| Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant) | 0.1% |
| Return Pcnt Since TOS Status | 0.0% |
| Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees) | 14.4% |
Slump
| Current Slump as Pcnt Equity | 66.1% |
|---|---|
| Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life | 0.8% |
Instruments
| Percent Trades Forex | 0.0% |
|---|---|
| Percent Trades Futures | 0.0% |
| Percent Trades Options | 0.0% |
| Short Options - Percent Covered | 100.0% |
| Percent Trades Stocks | 1.0% |
Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
| Chance of 10% account loss | 69.0% |
|---|---|
| Chance of 20% account loss | 43.5% |
| Chance of 30% account loss | 22.0% |
| Chance of 40% account loss | 13.5% |
| Chance of 50% account loss | 6.5% |
| Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 2.5% |
| Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.5% |
| Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
Automation
| Percentage Signals Automated | 0.0% |
|---|
Popularity
| Popularity (Today) | 0 |
|---|---|
| Popularity (Last 6 weeks) | 0 |
| Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale) | 0 |
Trading Style
| Any stock shorts? 0/1 | 1 |
|---|
Trades-Own-System Certification
| Trades Own System? | 0 |
|---|---|
| TOS percent | 0.0% |
Win / Loss
| Avg Loss | $8,482 |
|---|---|
| Avg Win | $12,930 |
| # Winners | 16 |
| Sum Trade PL (losers) | $135,720 |
| Sum Trade PL (winners) | $206,876 |
| Num Months Winners | 19 |
| # Losers | 16 |
| % Winners | 50.0% |
Dividends
| Dividends Received in Model Acct | 0 |
|---|
Age
| Num Months filled monthly returns table | 127 |
|---|
Frequency
| Avg Position Time (mins) | 34158.98 |
|---|---|
| Avg Position Time (hrs) | 569.32 |
| Avg Trade Length | 23.70 |
| Last Trade Ago | 2852 |
Regression
| Alpha | 0.03 |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.18 |
| Treynor Index | 0.23 |
Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
| MAE:Equity, average, all trades | 0.10 |
|---|---|
| MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | 0.05 |
| MAE:Equity, average, losing trades | 0.15 |
| MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | — |
| MAE:Equity, average, winning trades | 0.06 |
| MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | — |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades | -3.99 |
| MAE:PL (avg, all trades) | 0.17 |
| MAE:PL (avg, losing trades) | — |
| MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats | 22.22 |
| MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats | 49.04 |
| MAE:PL (avg, winning trades) | — |
| MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy | — |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades | 0.82 |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades | -1.18 |
| Hold-and-Hope Ratio | -0.25 |
RATIO STATISTICS
| Mean | 0.58 |
|---|---|
| SD | 0.56 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 1.03 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 1.01 |
| df | 38 |
| t | 1.86 |
| p | 0.04 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.09 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 2.14 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -0.10 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 2.12 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.69 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 2.79 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.96 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.38 |
| Upside SD | 0.47 |
| Downside SD | 0.34 |
| N nonnegative terms | 19 |
| N negative terms | 20 |
| N of observations | 39 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.44 |
| Mean of criterion | 0.58 |
| SD of predictor | 0.39 |
| SD of criterion | 0.56 |
| Covariance | -0.01 |
| r | -0.03 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -0.05 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.60 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.33 |
| DF error | 37 |
| t(b) | -0.19 |
| p(b) | 0.58 |
| t(a) | 1.80 |
| p(a) | 0.04 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.53 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.44 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.07 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 1.28 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -12.72 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.60 |
| Mean | 0.41 |
| SD | 0.60 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0.67 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0.66 |
| df | 38 |
| t | 1.21 |
| p | 0.12 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.43 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 1.76 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -0.44 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 1.76 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.92 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 1.96 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.87 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.46 |
| Upside SD | 0.42 |
| Downside SD | 0.44 |
| N nonnegative terms | 19 |
| N negative terms | 20 |
| N of observations | 39 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.38 |
| Mean of criterion | 0.41 |
| SD of predictor | 0.34 |
| SD of criterion | 0.60 |
| Covariance | 0.00 |
| r | 0.00 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.00 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.40 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.37 |
| DF error | 37 |
| t(b) | 0.01 |
| p(b) | 0.49 |
| t(a) | 1.13 |
| p(a) | 0.13 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.59 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.60 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.32 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 1.13 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 95.69 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.40 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.22 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.28 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.07 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.16 |
| Mean | 0.51 |
| SD | 0.46 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 1.11 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 1.11 |
| df | 855 |
| t | 2.01 |
| p | 0.02 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.03 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 2.20 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0.03 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 2.20 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.54 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 6.66 |
| Upside part of mean | 2.22 |
| Downside part of mean | -1.70 |
| Upside SD | 0.32 |
| Downside SD | 0.33 |
| N nonnegative terms | 315 |
| N negative terms | 541 |
| N of observations | 856 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.42 |
| Mean of criterion | 0.51 |
| SD of predictor | 0.29 |
| SD of criterion | 0.46 |
| Covariance | 0.01 |
| r | 0.10 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.16 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.44 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.21 |
| DF error | 854 |
| t(b) | 3.08 |
| p(b) | 0.00 |
| t(a) | 1.74 |
| p(a) | 0.04 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.06 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.27 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.06 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.94 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 3.11 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.44 |
| Mean | 0.40 |
| SD | 0.47 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0.86 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0.86 |
| df | 855 |
| t | 1.56 |
| p | 0.06 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.22 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 1.95 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -0.22 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 1.95 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.15 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 6.17 |
| Upside part of mean | 2.17 |
| Downside part of mean | -1.76 |
| Upside SD | 0.31 |
| Downside SD | 0.35 |
| N nonnegative terms | 315 |
| N negative terms | 541 |
| N of observations | 856 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.38 |
| Mean of criterion | 0.40 |
| SD of predictor | 0.29 |
| SD of criterion | 0.47 |
| Covariance | 0.01 |
| r | 0.10 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.17 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.34 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.21 |
| DF error | 854 |
| t(b) | 3.07 |
| p(b) | 0.00 |
| t(a) | 1.32 |
| p(a) | 0.09 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.06 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.27 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.17 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.85 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 2.43 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.34 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.04 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.06 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.02 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.04 |
| Mean | -0.03 |
| SD | 0 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0 |
| df | 0 |
| t | 0 |
| p | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0 |
| Sortino ratio | -16.19 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0 |
| Upside part of mean | 0 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.03 |
| Upside SD | 0 |
| Downside SD | 0.00 |
| N nonnegative terms | 0 |
| N negative terms | 131 |
| N of observations | 131 |
| Mean of predictor | 1.12 |
| Mean of criterion | -0.03 |
| SD of predictor | 0.52 |
| SD of criterion | 0 |
| Covariance | 0 |
| r | 0 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0 |
| Mean Square Error | 0 |
| DF error | 0 |
| t(b) | 0 |
| p(b) | 0 |
| t(a) | 0 |
| p(a) | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 0 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0 |
| Mean | -0.03 |
| SD | 0 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -9.74841826823373e+15 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -9.69206937105203e+15 |
| df | 130 |
| t | -6893172865105920 |
| p | 1 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -1.08701574255084e+16 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -8513981316595712 |
| Sortino ratio | -16.19 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0 |
| Upside part of mean | 0 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.03 |
| Upside SD | 0 |
| Downside SD | 0.00 |
| N nonnegative terms | 0 |
| N negative terms | 131 |
| N of observations | 131 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.99 |
| Mean of criterion | -0.03 |
| SD of predictor | 0.52 |
| SD of criterion | 0 |
| Covariance | 0 |
| r | 0 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.03 |
| Mean Square Error | 0 |
| DF error | 129 |
| t(b) | 0 |
| p(b) | 0.50 |
| t(a) | -6820253447225344 |
| p(a) | 1 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0 |
| VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl) | 0.04 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.03 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.03 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 2.549675812022e+32 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.03 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.00 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.00 |
| VaR(95%) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0 |
ORDER STATISTICS
| Number of observations | 39 |
|---|---|
| Minimum | 0.52 |
| Quartile 1 | 1 |
| Median | 1.00 |
| Quartile 3 | 1.15 |
| Maximum | 1.41 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.88 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1.00 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.08 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.25 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.15 |
| Number outliers low | 2 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.05 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0.60 |
| Number of outliers high | 1 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.03 |
| Mean of outliers high | 1.41 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0.64 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.17 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.68 |
| Number of observations | 856 |
| Minimum | 0.83 |
| Quartile 1 | 1.00 |
| Median | 1 |
| Quartile 3 | 1.01 |
| Maximum | 1.19 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.97 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.00 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.03 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.01 |
| Number outliers low | 111 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.13 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0.96 |
| Number of outliers high | 114 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.13 |
| Mean of outliers high | 1.04 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0.50 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.01 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.02 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0.12 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.02 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.04 |
| Number of observations | 131 |
| Minimum | 1 |
| Quartile 1 | 1 |
| Median | 1 |
| Quartile 3 | 1 |
| Maximum | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
| Number of observations | 4 |
|---|---|
| Minimum | 0.07 |
| Quartile 1 | 0.14 |
| Median | 0.25 |
| Quartile 3 | 0.38 |
| Maximum | 0.48 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.07 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.16 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0.35 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.48 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.24 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Number of observations | 32 |
| Minimum | 0.00 |
| Quartile 1 | 0.01 |
| Median | 0.03 |
| Quartile 3 | 0.09 |
| Maximum | 0.56 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.00 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.02 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0.06 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.24 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.09 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 3 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.09 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0.41 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0.40 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.26 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.49 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0.52 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.30 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.70 |
| Number of observations | 0 |
| Minimum | 0 |
| Quartile 1 | 0 |
| Median | 0 |
| Quartile 3 | 0 |
| Maximum | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life? | -408990496 |
| Max Equity Drawdown (num days) | 112 |
| Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative | 0.0% |
COMBINED STATISTICS
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0.95 |
|---|---|
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0.54 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 1.14 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 1.14 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 1.96 |
| j156mfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| j157mfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0.94 |
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0.54 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 0.96 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 2.25 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 9.59 |
| j313dfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| j314dfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0 |
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 0 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 0 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 0 |
Trading record
Placed 79 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.
| Symbol | Side | Qty | Opened | Closed | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VXX | short | 3000 | Nov 7, 2018 | Nov 12, 2018 | ($9,732) |
| VXX | short | 2425.2 | Oct 1, 2018 | Oct 4, 2018 | ($3,176) |
| VXX | short | 3316.32 | Aug 17, 2018 | Sep 28, 2018 | $9,235 |
| VXX | short | 2842.56 | Aug 14, 2018 | Aug 15, 2018 | ($9,168) |
| VXX | short | 1934.52 | Apr 26, 2018 | Aug 13, 2018 | $20,817 |
| SVXY | long | 13344.24 | Apr 17, 2018 | Apr 24, 2018 | ($3,944) |
| TVIX | long | 9451.512 | Mar 26, 2018 | Mar 27, 2018 | $900 |
| VXX | short | 1895.04 | Mar 8, 2018 | Mar 19, 2018 | ($1,125) |
| SVXY | long | 7066.92 | Feb 27, 2018 | Feb 27, 2018 | ($3,229) |
| XIV | long | 1906.884 | Jan 22, 2018 | Jan 30, 2018 | ($48,046) |
| XIV | long | 1746.595 | Dec 22, 2017 | Jan 16, 2018 | $6,305 |
| XIV | long | 1912.411 | Oct 30, 2017 | Dec 8, 2017 | $26,617 |
| XIV | long | 1547.616 | Aug 22, 2017 | Oct 24, 2017 | $39,725 |
| UVXY | long | 1702.378 | Aug 18, 2017 | Aug 21, 2017 | $1,340 |
| XIV | long | 2100.336 | Aug 14, 2017 | Aug 17, 2017 | ($24,667) |
| XIV | long | 2409.859 | Jul 12, 2017 | Aug 10, 2017 | ($16,942) |
| UVXY | long | 9838.416 | Jun 29, 2017 | Jul 5, 2017 | $2,141 |
| XIV | long | 2525.93 | Jun 8, 2017 | Jun 29, 2017 | $2,526 |
| XIV | long | 2553.566 | May 22, 2017 | Jun 6, 2017 | $4,587 |
| UVXY | long | 7469.458 | May 18, 2017 | May 19, 2017 | ($12,703) |
| XIV | long | 2976.563 | Apr 19, 2017 | May 17, 2017 | $16,119 |
| XIV | long | 1826.795 | Nov 9, 2016 | Apr 6, 2017 | $60,376 |
| XIV | long | 1759.429 | Oct 18, 2016 | Oct 27, 2016 | $2,456 |
| XIV | long | 1832.256 | Sep 30, 2016 | Oct 12, 2016 | ($1,468) |
| XIV | long | 1847.279 | Sep 19, 2016 | Sep 29, 2016 | $3,052 |
| XIV | long | 0.227 | Sep 19, 2016 | Sep 19, 2016 | ($0) |
| XIV | long | 0.227 | Sep 19, 2016 | Sep 19, 2016 | ($0) |
| XIV | long | 0.227 | Sep 19, 2016 | Sep 19, 2016 | ($0) |
| XIV | long | 0.227 | Sep 19, 2016 | Sep 19, 2016 | ($0) |
| UVXY | long | 1411.183 | Sep 13, 2016 | Sep 16, 2016 | ($1,591) |
Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.
These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.