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360TradingView Options

Options · Started Jun 2016

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
0.0%
Max Drawdown
100.0%
Trades
270
Win Trades
38.5%
Profit Factor
0.80
Win Months
0.8%

About this strategy

A momentum based equity options strategy utilizing both weekly and monthly options on high beta/high volatility equities. This strategy is a higher risk, lower capital allocation approach to aggressive growth utilizing the leverage provided by weekly options. Equity focus: AAPL, NFLX, FB, PCLN, GOOGL, AMZN, TSLA, BIDU, and other high beta equities.
All trades are manually entered, managed & exited by Lead Trader, Murtuza Vohra (aka TraderByInstinct). This is not an algorithmic or machine-operated system. All trades are based on the personal technical analysis of the lead trader and his opinion of the markets at any given time.
Disciplined risk management is implemented through position sizing so followers should not scale positions more than 100% when using this strategy and it's suggested for followers to use the starting capital defined in the strategy.

Additional Strategy Parameters:
- Long directional options (i.e. buying calls & puts)only
- Retains a 50% cash position in account at all times.
- No more than 3-4 open positions at any given time on an intraday basis.
- Overnight positions are kept to a minimum.
- Focused on contracts priced below $1
- This system does not average down on positions.
- Position sizing is kept small with approximately a 30% stop from entry on most positions.
- Some positions are designated as "Defined Risk", so followers should be prepared for some long option trades to expire worthless (i.e. 100% loss).

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20167.1-81.1-76.6-613.6-21.0-14.5-12.2-138.0
2017-3.2-2.80.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began6/11/2016
Suggested Minimum Capital$3,000
Age125 months
What it tradesOptions
# Trades270
# Profitable104
% Profitable38.5%
Avg trade duration3.0 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown100.0%
drawdown periodAug 01, 2016 - Feb 08, 2017
Annual Return (Compounded)0.0%
Avg win$90
Avg loss$69

Ratios

W:L ratio0.82
Sharpe Ratio-0.67
Sortino Ratio-1.18
Calmar Ratio-0.64

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.02
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life265.9%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-408.6%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)0.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)-10.2%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options1.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss100.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$69
Avg Win$90
# Winners104
Sum Trade PL (losers)$11,384
Sum Trade PL (winners)$9,381
Num Months Winners1
# Losers166
% Winners38.5%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table4

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)4379.18
Avg Position Time (hrs)72.99
Avg Trade Length3
Last Trade Ago3514

Regression

Alpha0
Beta-1.57
Treynor Index0

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.09
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.10
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.06
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-4.15
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.31
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats25.53
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats57.35
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.39
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.07
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.24

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-0.56
SD0.41
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.36
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.31
df20
t-1.80
p0.69
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.88
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.20
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.84
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.23
Sortino ratio-1.30
Upside Potential Ratio0.10
Upside part of mean0.04
Downside part of mean-0.60
Upside SD0.06
Downside SD0.43
N nonnegative terms1
N negative terms20
N of observations21
Mean of predictor0.69
Mean of criterion-0.56
SD of predictor0.34
SD of criterion0.41
Covariance0.02
r0.17
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.21
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.70
Mean Square Error0.17
DF error19
t(b)0.77
p(b)0.39
t(a)-1.92
p(a)0.75
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.78
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.47
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.06
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.68
Jensen alpha (a)-0.70
Mean-0.68
SD0.52
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.31
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.26
df20
t-1.73
p0.68
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.83
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.24
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.79
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.27
Sortino ratio-1.26
Upside Potential Ratio0.08
Upside part of mean0.04
Downside part of mean-0.73
Upside SD0.06
Downside SD0.54
N nonnegative terms1
N negative terms20
N of observations21
Mean of predictor0.62
Mean of criterion-0.68
SD of predictor0.33
SD of criterion0.52
Covariance0.03
r0.15
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.24
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.83
Mean Square Error0.28
DF error19
t(b)0.67
p(b)0.40
t(a)-1.82
p(a)0.74
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.52
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.79
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.13
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.82
Jensen alpha (a)-0.83
VaR(95%)0.26
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.31
VaR(95%)0.17
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.33
Mean-0.42
SD0.68
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.62
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.62
df478
t-0.84
p0.80
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.83
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.07
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.83
Sortino ratio-0.87
Upside Potential Ratio2.91
Upside part of mean1.40
Downside part of mean-1.82
Upside SD0.47
Downside SD0.48
N nonnegative terms42
N negative terms437
N of observations479
Mean of predictor0.78
Mean of criterion-0.42
SD of predictor0.41
SD of criterion0.68
Covariance0.00
r0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.43
Mean Square Error0.46
DF error477
t(b)0.11
p(b)0.46
t(a)-0.85
p(a)0.80
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.42
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.56
Treynor index (mean / b)-51.37
Jensen alpha (a)-0.43
Mean-0.66
SD0.69
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.95
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.95
df478
t-1.28
p0.90
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.40
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.50
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.40
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.51
Sortino ratio-1.19
Upside Potential Ratio2.37
Upside part of mean1.31
Downside part of mean-1.96
Upside SD0.42
Downside SD0.55
N nonnegative terms42
N negative terms437
N of observations479
Mean of predictor0.69
Mean of criterion-0.66
SD of predictor0.43
SD of criterion0.69
Covariance0.00
r0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.66
Mean Square Error0.48
DF error477
t(b)0.16
p(b)0.44
t(a)-1.29
p(a)0.90
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.68
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.35
Treynor index (mean / b)-55.45
Jensen alpha (a)-0.66
VaR(95%)0.07
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.09
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.18
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.43
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.09
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.43
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6781764097802240
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-8.58974580904422e+31
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations21
Minimum0.55
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.08
Mean of quarter 10.83
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low5
Percentage of outliers low0.24
Mean of outliers low0.80
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high1.08
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.89
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.15
Expected Shortfall (regression method)1.73
Number of observations479
Minimum0.66
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.44
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low72
Percentage of outliers low0.15
Mean of outliers low0.95
Number of outliers high42
Percentage of outliers high0.09
Mean of outliers high1.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.20
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.30
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.06
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.68
Quartile 10.68
Median0.68
Quartile 30.68
Maximum0.68
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations2
Minimum0.10
Quartile 10.26
Median0.42
Quartile 30.57
Maximum0.73
Mean of quarter 10.10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.73
Inter Quartile Range0.31
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-426359936
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)191
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.8%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.39
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.48
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.70
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-1.57
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.37
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.47
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.64
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.64
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-5.38
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 568 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
TWTR1720A32 long2Oct 5, 2016Jan 21, 2017($91)
AAPL1616L135 long1Oct 25, 2016Dec 17, 2016($28)
GS1609X232.5 long1Dec 8, 2016Dec 10, 2016($50)
BABA1609L93.5 long1Dec 8, 2016Dec 9, 2016($22)
GDX1602X20 long8Dec 1, 2016Dec 3, 2016($46)
GDX1602L21.5 long8Dec 1, 2016Dec 2, 2016$37
BIDU1618K202.5 long1Oct 26, 2016Nov 19, 2016($51)
CELG1611W105 long1Nov 7, 2016Nov 12, 2016($87)
GOOGL1604K787.5 long1Nov 4, 2016Nov 4, 2016$41
AAPL1628V112 short1Oct 26, 2016Oct 26, 2016($2)
AAPL1628V112 long1Oct 26, 2016Oct 26, 2016($35)
FB1628J135 long4Oct 19, 2016Oct 26, 2016$38
AAPL1621J118 long6Oct 20, 2016Oct 22, 2016($62)
GS1621V170 long1Oct 18, 2016Oct 22, 2016($74)
JUNO1621J37.5 long1Sep 27, 2016Oct 22, 2016($62)
FB1621J132 long4Oct 19, 2016Oct 21, 2016($58)
NFLX1621J123 long1Oct 18, 2016Oct 19, 2016$13
CMG1621J415 long1Oct 18, 2016Oct 19, 2016$68
TWLO1621V45 short1Oct 13, 2016Oct 13, 2016($12)
TWLO1621V45 long1Oct 12, 2016Oct 13, 2016$30
FB1614V126 long4Oct 12, 2016Oct 13, 2016$88
SPY1614J216 long2Oct 12, 2016Oct 12, 2016($17)
BABA1614V100 long3Oct 12, 2016Oct 12, 2016($16)
AAPL1621J121 long4Sep 27, 2016Oct 11, 2016$77
NFLX1607J110 long1Oct 3, 2016Oct 8, 2016($20)
SPY1607V213.5 long3Oct 7, 2016Oct 7, 2016($27)
GDX1607J24 long8Oct 6, 2016Oct 7, 2016($9)
SPY1605J219 long5Sep 27, 2016Oct 5, 2016($89)
PCLN1607J1530 long1Oct 3, 2016Oct 5, 2016$41
TSLA1630I217.5 long1Sep 22, 2016Sep 27, 2016($59)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.